Efficient asymptotic frame selection for binary black hole spacetimes using asymptotic radiation
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Granger causality is among the widely used data-driven approaches for causal analysis of time series data with applications in various areas including economics, molecular biology, and neuroscience. Two of the main challenges of this methodology are: 1) over-fitting as a result of limited data duration, and 2) correlated process noise as a confounding factor, both leading to errors in identifying the causal influences. Sparse estimation via the LASSO has successfully addressed these challenges for parameter estimation. However, the classical statistical tests for Granger causality resort to asymptotic analysis of ordinary least squares, which require long data duration to be useful and are not immune to confounding effects. In this work, we address this disconnect by introducing a LASSO-based statistic and studying its non-asymptotic properties under the assumption that the true models admit sparse autoregressive representations. We establish fundamental limits for reliable identification of Granger causal influences using the proposed LASSO-based statistic. We further characterize the false positive error probability and test power of a simple thresholding rule for identifying Granger causal effects and provide two methods to set the threshold in a data-driven fashion. We present simulation studies and application to real data to compare the performance of our proposed method to ordinary least squares and existing LASSO-based methods in detecting Granger causal influences, which corroborate our theoretical results.more » « less
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This paper is concerned with large time behavior of solutions to a semi-discrete model involving nonlinear competition that describes the evolution of a trait-structured population. Under some threshold assumptions, the steady solution is shown unique and strictly positive, and also globally stable. The exponential convergence rate to the steady state is also established. These results are consistent with the results in [P.-E. Jabin, H. L. Liu. Nonlinearity 30 (2017) 4220–4238] for the continuous model.more » « less
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— This paper proposes a method for certifying the local asymptotic stability of a given nonlinear Ordinary Differential Equation (ODE) by using Sum-of-Squares (SOS) programming to search for a partially quadratic Lyapunov Function (LF). The proposed method is particularly well suited to the stability analysis of ODEs with high dimensional state spaces. This is due to the fact that partially quadratic LFs are parametrized by fewer decision variables when compared with general SOS LFs. The main contribution of this paper is using the Center Manifold Theorem to show that partially quadratic LFs that certify the local asymptotic stability of a given ODE exist under certain conditions.more » « less
