We propose time‐varying coefficient model selection and estimation based on the spline approach, which is capable of capturing time‐dependent covariate effects. The new penalty function utilizes local‐region information for varying‐coefficient estimation, in contrast to the traditional model selection approach focusing on the entire region. The proposed method is extremely useful when the signals associated with relevant predictors are time‐dependent, and detecting relevant covariate effects in the local region is more scientifically relevant than those of the entire region. Our simulation studies indicate that the proposed model selection incorporating local features outperforms the global feature model selection approaches. The proposed method is also illustrated through a longitudinal growth and health study from National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute. 
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                            Time-varying correlation structure estimation and local-feature detection for spatio-temporal data
                        
                    
    
            Spatial–temporal data arise frequently in biomedical, environmental, political and social science studies. Capturing dynamic changes of time-varying correlation structure is scientifically important in spatio-temporal data analysis. We approximate the time-varying empirical estimator of the spatial correlation matrix by groups of selected basis matrices representing substructures of the correlation matrix. After projecting the correlation structure matrix onto a space spanned by basis matrices, we also incorporate varying-coefficient model selection and estimation for signals associated with relevant basis matrices. The unique feature of the proposed method is that signals at local regions corresponding with time can be identified through the proposed penalized objective function. Theoretically, we show model selection consistency and the oracle property in detecting local signals for the varying-coefficient estimators. The proposed method is illustrated through simulation studies and brain fMRI data. 
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                            - Award ID(s):
- 1812258
- PAR ID:
- 10094391
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Journal of Multivariate Analysis
- Volume:
- 168
- ISSN:
- 0047-259X
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- 221-239
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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