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1. Determining the source of speleothem δ18O variability from in situ measurements of seasonal and inter-annual isotope trends in precipitation, cave drip water and modern calcite from sites in the Central Peruvian Andes

   Olson, E.J. (December 2022, American Geophysical Union Conference. Chicago, IL)

   In the past decade, Huagapo and Pacupahuain Caves in the Central Peruvian Andes have become sources of speleothem oxygen isotope (δ18O) paleoclimate records. These studies identify the South American Summer Monsoon (SASM) as the main climate system controlling δ18O variability. While this interpretation is verified through inter-proxy record comparisons on millennial scales, interpretation of the high-resolution variability within these records is limited by a lack of modern proxy calibration studies at these sites. Here we present results from a modern cave monitoring study undertaken to address the controls on the δ18O values of precipitation at these sites and how surface and in-cave processes affect the δ18O value of speleothem calcite. Speleothem calcite δ18O values reflect an integrated signal of atmospheric processes (e.g., rainout, Raleigh distillation, upstream moisture recycling, changes in moisture source), evaporation and mixing during infiltration in the soil and epikarst, and in-cave processes such as degassing and evaporation. In consideration of these factors, we compare isotope trends in precipitation, cave drip water and modern farmed calcite from the two cave sites. We find that precipitationδ18O values during peak monsoon activity (January -February) shows considerable inter-annual variation with averages of -16.7‰ for 2020, -18.5‰ for 2021 and -13.8‰ in 2022. We investigate the source of this variability in regional atmospheric circulation patterns using weather station data and back trajectories. The mean annual precipitation (MAP) from outside Huagapo Cave is δ18O = -15.5+/- 6‰, while seasonal samples of drip water δ18O = -14.5+/- 1‰, are offset from MAP possibly due to evaporation during infiltration. Cave drip waterδ18O has low variability over inter-annual and seasonal timescales indicating homogenization in the epikarst. Using geochemical and sensor data (e.g. cave relative humidity, temperature, and drip rate) as inputs for a karst based forward model, we simulate modern speleothem δ18O to quantitatively assess the combined effects of hydroclimate processes integration to the isotope record. 

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2. A precipitation dipole between central Nepal and eastern India during the 4.2 ka event

   https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-4596  

   Denniston, R F; Tiger, B H; Wimmer, E; Ummenhofer, C C; Asmerom, Y; Wanamaker, A D; Polyak, V J; Thatcher, D L; Gurung, A; Magar, S T (May 2024, European Geosciences Union)

   Over the late Holocene, a variety of hydroclimate-sensitive proxies have identified substantial, multidecadal changes in Indian summer monsoon (ISM) precipitation, the most prominent of which is the “4.2 ka event”. This interval, dated to ~4.2-3.9 ka, is associated with severe droughts across South Asia that are linked to societal change. Given the absence of the 4.2 ka event in polar records, the 4.2 ka event is generally associated with low latitude forcings, but no clear consensus on its origins has been reached. We investigated the ISM response to the 4.2 ka event through analysis of aragonite stalagmites from Siddha cave, formed in the lower Paleozoic Dhading dolomite in the Pokhara Valley of central Nepal (28.0˚N, 84.1˚E; ~850 m.a.s.l.). The climate of this region is dominated by small monthly variations in air temperature (21±5˚C) but strong precipitation seasonality associated with the ISM: ~80% of the annual 3900 mm of rainfall occurs between June and September. High uranium and low detrital thorium abundances in these stalagmites yield precise U/Th ages that all fall within stratigraphic order. These dates reveal continuous growth from 4.30-2.26 ka, interrupted only by a hiatus from 3.27-3.10 ka. Overlap with coeval aragonite stalagmites reveals generally consistent trends in carbon and oxygen isotope ratios, suggesting that these stalagmites reflect environmental variability and not secondary (e.g., kinetic) effects. Many stalagmite-based paleomonsoon reconstructions rely on oxygen isotope ratios, which track amount effects in regional rainfall. However, our on-going rainwater collection and analysis program, as well as a previous study conducted in Kathmandu, 120 km the east of Siddha cave, reveals that amount effects in precipitation are weak in this region, particularly during the monsoon season, and thus we rely instead on carbon isotope ratios, which have been demonstrated to track site-specific effective precipitation. Siddha cave stalagmite carbon isotopes, in contrast to other South Asian proxy records, indicate that ISM rainfall increased at Siddha cave from 4.13-3.91 ka. As a further test of this result, we analyzed uranium abundances in the section spanning 4.3-3.4 ka. Uranium serves as an indicator of prior aragonite precipitation and thus of hydroclimate, and like carbon isotopes, suggests increased ISM rainfall coincident with the 4.2 ka event. This precipitation anomaly is nearly identical in timing and structure but anti-phased with stalagmites from Mawmluh cave, northeastern India. We investigated the climatic origins of this precipitation dipole using observational data from the Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC) and Hadley Center Sea Ice and Sea Surface Temperature (HadISST) products. Preliminary spatial composites suggest that large precipitation differences between Mawmluh and Siddha caves are associated with SST anomalies in the equatorial Pacific. Additionally, superposed Epoch Analysis shows relatively rapid eastern Indian Ocean cooling during the summer monsoon season coeval with large precipitation differences between these sites. Our findings lend support to a tropical Indo-Pacific origin of the 4.2 ka event. 

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3. Ultra-High Resolution Stable Isotope Analysis of a Nepal Stalagmite Reveals Hydroclimate Anomalies Associated with the 1257 CE Mt. Samalas Eruption

   Methe, Anna E; Denniston, Rhawn F; Ummenhofer, Caroline C; Wanamaker, Alan D; Asmerom, Yemane; Polyak, Victor J (April 2024, Geological Society of America)

   The 1257 CE eruption of Mt. Samalas in Indonesia is argued to be the largest of the last two millennia in terms of global volcanic aerosol forcing, with a reduction in insolation of more than 30 W/m2 (Sigl et al., 2015, Nature, 523). Large volcanic eruptions are tied to short-term climatic shifts, including changes to monsoon rainfall (Ridley et al., 2015, Nature Geoscience, 8). In order to investigate the impact of this eruption on the Indian summer monsoon in Nepal, we analyzed at ultra-high resolution the carbon and oxygen isotopes of a fast-growing, precisely-dated aragonite stalagmite from Siddha cave in the Pokhara Valley of central Nepal (28.0˚ N, 84.1˚ E; ~850 m.a.s.l.). We micromilled the stalagmite in ~40 µm-wide traverses during the interval through the Mt. Samalas eruption (a total of 261 analyses). Studies near Siddha cave and in Kathmandu, 130 km to the southeast, reveal that amount effects of oxygen isotopes in precipitation in this region are weak, and so we rely on carbon isotopes as a proxy for rainfall. Carbon isotopes define sinusoids that appear to represent annual cycles of rainfall associated with the summer monsoon and winter dry season. The average magnitude of these cycles is ~0.3 to 0.6‰. While some ambiguities exist, the number of seasonal cycles (18-21) is within error of the years of growth for this interval as determined by U/Th dating (26±8 years). To investigate the impact of the eruption on regional hydroclimate, we detrended the carbon isotope data and then calculated anomalies in the wet and dry seasons relative to the mean of those values. The most prominent feature of the time series is two large positive isotope anomalies separated by a moderate negative isotope anomaly. We interpret these to reflect disruptions to both the monsoon and dry season precipitation regimes by aerosol forcing from Mt. Samalas. If true, then these results reveal somewhat surprising an anomalously wet monsoon season in the first year after the eruption and that seasonal sinusoids return to their pre-eruption pattern after only two years following the eruption. In order to better understand these results, we investigate this interval using the Last Millennium Ensemble, a state-of-the-art suite of climate model simulations conducted by the National Center for Atmospheric Research with the Community Earth System Model. 

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4. NOAA/WDS Paleoclimatology - Tham Doun Mai Cave, Northern Laos Trace Metal and Stable Isotope Data from 7.6 to 9 ka

   https://doi.org/10.25921/seqw-yh76  

   Wood, CT; Johnson, KR; Lewis, LE; Wright, KT; Wang, JK; Borsato, A; Griffiths, ML; Mason, AJ; Henderson, GM; Setera, JB; et al (January 2023, NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information)

   The 8.2 ka event is the most significant global climate anomaly of the Holocene epoch, but a lack of records from Mainland Southeast Asia (MSEA) currently limits our understanding of the spatial and temporal extent of the climate response. A newly developed speleothem record from Tham Doun Mai Cave, Northern Laos provides the first high resolution record of this event in MSEA. Our multiproxy record (d18O, d13C, Mg/Ca, Sr/Ca, and petrographic data), anchored in time by 9 U-Th ages, reveals a significant reduction in local rainfall amount and weakening of the monsoon at the event onset at ~8.29 +/- 0.03 ka BP. This response lasts for a minimum of ~170 years, similar to event length estimates from other speleothem d18O monsoon records. Interestingly, however, our d13C and Mg/Ca data, proxies for local hydrology, show that abrupt changes to local rainfall amounts began decades earlier (~70 years) than registered in the d18O. Moreover, the d13C and Mg/Ca also show that reductions in rainfall continued for at least ~200 years longer than the weakening of the monsoon inferred from the d18O. Our interpretations suggest that drier conditions brought on by the 8.2 ka event in MSEA were felt beyond the temporal boundaries defined by d18O-inferred monsoon intensity, and an initial wet period (or precursor event) may have preceded the local drying. Most existing Asian Monsoon proxy records of the 8.2 ka event may lack the resolution and/or multiproxy information necessary to establish local and regional hydrological sensitivity to abrupt climate change. 

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5. High‐Resolution, Multiproxy Speleothem Record of the 8.2 ka Event From Mainland Southeast Asia

   https://doi.org/10.1029/2023PA004675  

   Wood, Christopher T.; Johnson, Kathleen R.; Lewis, Lindsey. E.; Wright, Kevin; Wang, Jessica K.; Borsato, Andrea; Griffiths, Michael L.; Mason, Andrew; Henderson, Gideon M.; Setera, Jacob B.; et al (December 2023, Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology)

   Abstract The 8.2 ka event is the most significant global climate anomaly of the Holocene epoch, but a lack of records from Mainland Southeast Asia (MSEA) currently limits our understanding of the spatial and temporal extent of the climate response. A newly developed speleothem record from Tham Doun Mai Cave, Northern Laos provides the first high‐resolution record of this event in MSEA. Our multiproxy record (δ¹⁸O, δ¹³C, Mg/Ca, Sr/Ca, and petrographic data), anchored in time by 9 U‐Th ages, reveals a significant reduction in local rainfall amount and weakening of the monsoon at the event onset at ∼8.29 ± 0.03 ka BP. This response lasts for a minimum of ∼170 years, similar to event length estimates from other speleothem δ¹⁸O monsoon records. Interestingly, however, our δ¹³C and Mg/Ca data, proxies for local hydrology, show that abrupt changes to local rainfall amounts began decades earlier (∼70 years) than registered in the δ¹⁸O. Moreover, the δ¹³C and Mg/Ca also show that reductions in rainfall continued for at least ∼200 years longer than the weakening of the monsoon inferred from the δ¹⁸O. Our interpretations suggest that drier conditions brought on by the 8.2 ka event in MSEA were felt beyond the temporal boundaries defined by δ¹⁸O‐inferred monsoon intensity, and an initial wet period (or precursor event) may have preceded the local drying. Most existing Asian Monsoon proxy records of the 8.2 ka event may lack the resolution and/or multiproxy information necessary to establish local and regional hydrological sensitivity to abrupt climate change. 

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