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1. Behavior of the Azores High from 1200 Years of Proxy Records and Climate Model Simulations

   Thatcher, D.L. ( January 2022 , PAGES Open Science Meeting)

   The Azores High (AH), a subtropical ridge in the atmosphere over the North Atlantic comprising one node of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) system, has a dominant influence on the weather and climate of the Iberian Peninsula and northwest Africa. The behavior of the entire NAO system over the last millennium has been the subject of much debate in both proxy- and model-based studies. Many studies have focused on the behavior of the entire NAO system, but we focus solely on the behavior of the AH due to its proximity to this region. Other proxies from this region, mainly from Spain and Morocco, have provided details about atmospheric dynamics yet spatiotemporal gaps remain. In this study, we present a continuous, sub-decadally-resolved composite stalagmite carbon isotopic record from three partially overlapping stalagmites from Buraca Gloriosa (BG) cave, western Portugal, situated within the center of the AH, that preserves evidence of regional hydroclimate variability from approximately 800 CE to the present. This composite record, developed from U-Th dating and laminae counting paired with carbon isotopes, primarily reflects effective moisture in western Portugal. Given the close pairing of AH behavior (intensity, size, and location) and moisture transport in this region, the BG compositemore »record allows for a thorough analysis of AH behavior over time. Multidecadal to centennial scale variability in the BG record and state-of-the-art last millennium climate model simulations show considerable coherence with precipitation-sensitive records from Spain and Morocco that, like BG, are strongly influenced by the intensity, size, and location of the AH. Synthesis of model output and proxy data suggests that western Portugal was persistently dry during much of the Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA; ~850-1250 CE) and Modern era (1850 CE-present) and experienced wetter conditions during Little Ice Age (LIA; ~1400-1850 CE). Even considering age uncertainties from the Iberian Peninsula and northwest Africa proxy records, the apparent timing in the transition from a relatively dry MCA to a wetter LIA is spatially variable across this region, likely due to the non-stationary behavior of the AH system.« less
2. Behavior of the Azores High from 1200 Years of Proxy Records and Climate Model Simulations

   Thatcher, D.L. ; Wanamaker, A.D. ; Denniston, R.F. ; Ummenhofer, C.C. ; Asmerom, Y. ; Polyak, V.J. ; Cresswell-Clay, N. ; Hasiuk, F. ; Haws, J. ; Gillikin, D.P. ( April 2022 , PAGES Open Science Meeting 2022, Virtual)

   The Azores High (AH), a subtropical ridge in the atmosphere over the North Atlantic comprising one node of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) system, has a dominant influence on the weather and climate of the Iberian Peninsula and northwest Africa. The behavior of the entire NAO system over the last millennium has been the subject of much debate in both proxy- and model-based studies. Many studies have focused on the behavior of the entire NAO system, but we focus solely on the behavior of the AH due to its proximity to this region. Other proxies from this region, mainly from Spain and Morocco, have provided details about atmospheric dynamics yet spatiotemporal gaps remain. In this study, we present a continuous, sub-decadally-resolved composite stalagmite carbon isotopic record from three partially overlapping stalagmites from Buraca Gloriosa (BG) cave, western Portugal, situated within the center of the AH, that preserves evidence of regional hydroclimate variability from approximately 800 CE to the present. This composite record, developed from U-Th dating and laminae counting paired with carbon isotopes, primarily reflects effective moisture in western Portugal. Given the close pairing of AH behavior (intensity, size, and location) and moisture transport in this region, the BG compositemore »record allows for a thorough analysis of AH behavior over time. Multidecadal to centennial scale variability in the BG record and state-of-the-art last millennium climate model simulations show considerable coherence with precipitation-sensitive records from Spain and Morocco that, like BG, are strongly influenced by the intensity, size, and location of the AH. Synthesis of model output and proxy data suggests that western Portugal was persistently dry during much of the Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA; ~850-1250 CE) and Modern era (1850 CE-present) and experienced wetter conditions during Little Ice Age (LIA; ~1400-1850 CE). Even considering age uncertainties from the Iberian Peninsula and northwest Africa proxy records, the apparent timing in the transition from a relatively dry MCA to a wetter LIA is spatially variable across this region, likely due to the non-stationary behavior of the AH system.« less
3. A stalagmite test of North Atlantic SST and Iberian hydroclimate linkages over the last two glacial cycles

   https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-14-1893-2018  

   Denniston, Rhawn F. ; Houts, Amanda N. ; Asmerom, Yemane ; Wanamaker Jr., Alan D. ; Haws, Jonathan A. ; Polyak, Victor J. ; Thatcher, Diana L. ; Altan-Ochir, Setsen ; Borowske, Alyssa C. ; Breitenbach, Sebastian F. ; et al ( January 2018 , Climate of the Past)

   Abstract. Close coupling of Iberian hydroclimate and North Atlantic seasurface temperature (SST) during recent glacial periods has been identifiedthrough the analysis of marine sediment and pollen grains co-deposited on thePortuguese continental margin. While offering precisely correlatable records,these time series have lacked a directly dated, site-specific record ofcontinental Iberian climate spanning multiple glacial cycles as a point ofcomparison. Here we present a high-resolution, multi-proxy (growth dynamicsandδ¹³C, δ¹⁸O, and δ²³⁴Uvalues) composite stalagmite record of hydroclimate from two caves in westernPortugal across the majority of the last two glacial cycles (∼220ka).At orbital and millennial scales, stalagmite-based proxies for hydroclimateproxies covaried with SST, with elevated δ¹³C,δ¹⁸O, and δ²³⁴U values and/or growth hiatusesindicating reduced effective moisture coincident with periods of lowered SSTduring major ice-rafted debris events, in agreement with changes inpalynological reconstructions of continental climate. While in many cases thePortuguese stalagmite record can be scaled to SST, in some intervals themagnitudes of stalagmite isotopic shifts, and possibly hydroclimate, appearto have been somewhat decoupled from SST.
4. High precise dating on the variation of the Asian summer monsoon since 37 ka BP

   https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-88597-7  

   Li, Ting-Yong ; Wu, Yao ; Shen, Chuan-Chou ; Li, Jun-Yun ; Chiang, Hong-Wei ; Lin, Ke ; Tan, Liang-Cheng ; Jiang, Xiu-Yang ; Cheng, Hai ; Edwards, R. Lawrence ( December 2021 , Scientific Reports)

   Abstract Comprehensive comparison of paleoclimate change based on records constrained by precise chronology and high-resolution is essential to explore the correlation and interaction within earth climate systems. Here, we propose a new stalagmite-based multidecadal resolved Asian summer monsoon (ASM) record spanning the past thirty-seven thousand years (ka BP, before ad 1950) from Furong Cave, southwestern China. This record is consistent with the published Chinese stalagmite sequences and shows that the dominant controls of the ASM dynamics include not only insolation and solar activity but also suborbital-scale hydroclimate events in the high latitudes of the northern hemisphere, such as the Heinrich events, Bølling-Allerød (BA), and Younger Dryas (YD). Benefit from the unprecedented accurate chronology, the timings of these events are precisely dated, with uncertainties of, at most, 40 years (2σ). The onset of the weak ASM during the YD began at 12.92 ka BP and lasted for 430 years. The occurrence of the 200-yr Older Dryas during the BA period was dated from 13.87 to 14.06 ka BP. The durations of the three Heinrich (H) events, H1, H2, and H3, are 14.33–18.29, 23.77–24.48, and 28.98–30.46 ka BP, respectively. Furong record shows surprisingly variable onset transitions of 980, 210, and 40 years for the corresponding weakmore »ASM events. These discrepancies suggest different influences of the H events on ASM dynamics. During the periods of H 1–3, the obvious difference between our Furong record and NGRIP δ 18 O record indicated the decoupling correlation between the mid-low latitudes and high latitudes. On the other hand, synchronous climate change in high and low latitudes suggests another possibility which different to the dominant role of Northern high latitudes in triggering global climate change. Our high quality records also indicate a plausible different correlation between the high and mid-low latitudes under glacial and inter-glacial background, especially for the ASM regimes.« less
5. A precisely-dated, composite stalagmite record of Indian summer monsoon variability from Siddha Baba cave, central Nepal, for the last 2700 yr

   Denniston, R.F. ; Sharafuddin, E.K. ; Bransel, L.R. ; Creech, P.D. ; Hughes, E.K. ; Wanamaker, A.D. ; Asmerom, Y. ; Polyak, V.J. ; Ummenhofer, C.C. ; Thatcher, D.L. ; et al ( January 2022 , Transactions American Geophysical Union)

   The Indian summer monsoon (ISM), which today supplies ~75% of annual precipitation to South Asia, has been reconstructed across previous centuries using a variety of hydroclimate-sensitive proxies. In some of these cases, ISM variability far exceeds that observed in the century-and-a-half-long instrumental record. Understanding the origins of these events is best addressed by developing a wide-ranging, multi-proxy network of high-resolution ISM reconstructions. In Nepal, ISM variability has been examined through tree rings, glacial ice, and lake sediments, but no stalagmite isotopic records of ISM rainfall have yet been published. Here we present a sub-decadally-resolved, precisely-dated, composite aragonite stalagmite record of ISM variability from Siddha Baba cave, central Nepal, for the last 2.7 kyr. A rainwater sampling program near the cave site, and a published study from Kathmandu (Adhikari et al., 2020), 150 km to the southeast, reveal that rainfall amount explains little of the observed variance in d18O values. Local hydroclimate is thus reconstructed from stalagmite 13C values, which we interpret as reflecting prior aragonite precipitation driven by changes in effective precipitation above the cave. ISM variability is apparent across a number of time scales, including centennial periods of reduced or enhanced rainfall coincident with societally-relevant precipitation regimes identified atmore »other sites across South Asia. These include the Neo-Assyrian drought in the eastern Mediterranean and Middle East (2.7-2.5 kyr BP; Kathayat et al., 2019), the Mauria Empire (2.1-1.9 kyr BP), and the Guge Kingdom (0.9-0.3 kyr BP) pluvials in India and Tibet (Kathayat et al., 2017). A secular shift toward drier conditions since 0.5 kyr BP in the Siddha Baba record tracks the 18O records from Dasuopu glacier, Nepal Himalaya, and Sahiya cave, North India. Numerous multidecadal oscillations are also evident, including markedly wetter conditions during the 18th century, in the late Little Ice Age, apparent in the Dasuopu and Sahiya records. References Adhikari et al. (2020) Tellus B: Chem. Phys. Meteor., 72, 1-17. Kathayat et al. (2017) Sc. Adv., 7, e1701296. Kathayat et al. (2019) Sci. Adv., 5, eaax6656.« less