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			<titleStmt><title level='a'>Refined Permian−Triassic floristic timeline reveals early collapse and delayed recovery of south polar terrestrial ecosystems</title></titleStmt>
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				<publisher></publisher>
				<date>11/14/2019</date>
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				<bibl> 
					<idno type="par_id">10158563</idno>
					<idno type="doi">10.1130/B35355.1</idno>
					<title level='j'>GSA Bulletin</title>
<idno>0016-7606</idno>
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<biblScope unit="issue"></biblScope>					

					<author>Chris Mays</author><author>Vivi Vajda</author><author>Tracy D. Frank</author><author>Christopher R. Fielding</author><author>Robert S. Nicoll</author><author>Allen P. Tevyaw</author><author>Stephen McLoughlin</author>
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			<abstract><ab><![CDATA[The collapse of late Permian (Lopingian) Gondwanan floras, characterized by the extinction of glossopterid gymnosperms, heralded the end of one of the most enduring and extensive biomes in Earth’s history. The Sydney Basin, Australia, hosts a near-continuous, age-constrained succession of high southern paleolatitude (∼65−75°S) terrestrial strata spanning the end-Permian extinction (EPE) interval. Sedimentological, stable carbon isotopic, palynological, and macrofloral data were collected from two cored coal-exploration wells and correlated. Six palynostratigraphic zones, supported by ordination analyses, were identified within the uppermost Permian to Lower Triassic succession, corresponding to discrete vegetation stages before, during, and after the EPE interval. Collapse of the glossopterid biome marked the onset of the terrestrial EPE and may have significantly predated the marine mass extinctions and conodont-defined Permian−Triassic Boundary. Apart from extinction of the dominant Permian plant taxa, the EPE was characterized by a reduction in primary productivity, and the immediate aftermath was marked by high abundances of opportunistic fungi, algae, and ferns. This transition is coeval with the onset of a gradual global decrease in δ13Corg and the primary extrusive phase of Siberian Traps Large Igneous Province magmatism. The dominant gymnosperm groups of the Gondwanan Mesozoic (peltasperms, conifers, and corystosperms) all appeared soon after the collapse but remained rare throughout the immediate post-EPE succession. Faltering recovery was due to a succession of rapid and severe climatic stressors until at least the late Early Triassic. Immediately prior to the Smithian−Spathian boundary (ca. 249 Ma), indices of increased weathering, thick redbeds, and abundant pleuromeian lycophytes likely signify marked climate change and intensification of the Gondwanan monsoon climate system. This is the first record of the Smithian−Spathian floral overturn event in high southern latitudes.]]></ab></abstract>
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<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>INTRODUCTION</head><p>Several mass extinction intervals in Earth's history have been linked to rapid warming driven by elevated levels of greenhouse gases <ref type="bibr">(Bond and Wignall, 2014)</ref>, e.g., the end-Triassic extinction <ref type="bibr">(McElwain et al., 1999;</ref><ref type="bibr">Steinthorsdottir et al., 2011)</ref> and Toarcian oceanic anoxic event <ref type="bibr">(McElwain et al., 2005;</ref><ref type="bibr">Suan et al., 2010)</ref>. The end-Permian mass extinction (EPE), an episode of Earth history associated with the single greatest loss of biodiversity, is no exception. Extreme warming driven by greenhouse gas emissions from the Siberian Traps Large Igneous Province has been implicated as a proximate cause of this cataclysm <ref type="bibr">(Brand et al., 2012;</ref><ref type="bibr">Payne and Clapham, 2012;</ref><ref type="bibr">Song et al., 2014;</ref><ref type="bibr">Burgess et al., 2017)</ref>. Approximately 50% of marine invertebrate families were eliminated during this episode of extinctions <ref type="bibr">(Raup and Sepkoski, 1982;</ref><ref type="bibr">Alroy et al., 2008)</ref>, &#8764;81% of marine fossil species disappeared <ref type="bibr">(Stanley, 2016)</ref>, and it is the only mass extinction interval with a similar impact on both marine and terrestrial faunas <ref type="bibr">(Benton, 1995;</ref><ref type="bibr">Labandeira, 2005)</ref>.</p><p>The global fossil record of terrestrial floras reveals a greater species turnover between the Permian and Triassic than any other interval in Earth's history <ref type="bibr">(McElwain and Punyasena, 2007;</ref><ref type="bibr">Cascales-Mi&#241;ana et al., 2016)</ref>. Although it has been argued that floral diversity changes across the EPE were modest compared to animals (e.g., <ref type="bibr">Schneebeli-Hermann et al., 2017;</ref><ref type="bibr">Nowak et al., 2019)</ref>, a major terrestrial ecosystem collapse is represented by the apparently synchronous disappearance of coals across Gondwana <ref type="bibr">(Retallack et al., 1996)</ref>, the extinction of the primary coal-forming glossopterid gymnosperms <ref type="bibr">(Class Dictyopteridiopsida;</ref><ref type="bibr">McLoughlin, 2011)</ref>, and the disappearance of key herbaceous to arborescent accessory taxa including a range of sphenophytes, ferns, cordaitaleans, and conifers <ref type="bibr">(Hill et al., 1999)</ref>. Glossopterids constituted an overwhelming proportion of the Lopingian (late Permian) terrestrial biomass across Gondwana (e.g., <ref type="bibr">Miller et al., 2016)</ref> and were the keystones of Lopingian component communities incorporating a broad range of invertebrates, vertebrates, and fungi <ref type="bibr">(Zavada and Mentis, 1992;</ref><ref type="bibr">Prevec et al., 2009;</ref><ref type="bibr">Slater et al., 2012</ref><ref type="bibr">Slater et al., , 2015))</ref>. Consequently, the loss of these primary producers would have had an unprecedented impact on herbivore populations (van de Schootbrugge and Gollner, 2013) even if gross plant diversity changes were modest.</p><p>Systematic analysis of the amplitude and timing of floral productivity changes across the Permian-Triassic will elucidate the progressive patterns of environmental change and the catastrophic diversity losses at higher trophic levels. Moreover, previous reports of a few glossopterids post-dating the initial stages of the EPE interval in Gondwana (see <ref type="bibr">Bomfleur et al., 2018)</ref> require testing to assess the timing and significance of relictual communities that might have harbored plant groups that seeded subsequent taxonomic radiations in the Triassic. It is particularly relevant to establish the pace and extent of extinction and recovery in high-latitude biomes, which may have provided the optimal settings for the persistence of thermophobic and hygrophilic plant communities preferring cool and moist environments, while illuminating the adaptations promoting their survival. In this paper, we document the floristic changes from the end-Permian ecological collapse through the stepwise pattern of vegetation recovery in the southern high-latitude Lower Triassic succession of the Sydney Basin, eastern Australia. This floristic succession provides context for the interpretation of climatic shifts and other global events through the latest Permian and Early Triassic.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Timing of the End-Permian Extinction and Permian-Triassic Boundary</head><p>In continental settings, the EPE has traditionally been interpreted as a single, rapid destabilization and collapse of the terrestrial biosphere (e.g., <ref type="bibr">Visscher et al., 1996)</ref>, whereas in the marine realm at least two prominent stages of extinction have been identified, e.g., at the Permian-Triassic boundary (PTB)type section at Meishan, southern China <ref type="bibr">(Jin et al., 2000;</ref><ref type="bibr">Yin et al., 2012;</ref><ref type="bibr">Song et al., 2013)</ref>. These extinction pulses, and their associated sharp carbon isotope excursions, are separated by &#8764;60 k.y. <ref type="bibr">(Burgess et al., 2014)</ref> and have been employed to define an "extinction interval." Furthermore, the marine record shows a long-term carbon isotope excursion that predates the primary extinction phase and the PTB by more than one million years, which could indicate a prolonged disruption of the global carbon cycle <ref type="bibr">(Korte and Kozur, 2010)</ref>. Complex, multi-stage extinctions are consistent with the leading hypothesized cause of the EPE: massive, sustained, or episodic outgassing from Siberian Traps Large Igneous Province magmatism <ref type="bibr">(Benton and Newell, 2014;</ref><ref type="bibr">Cui and Kump, 2015;</ref><ref type="bibr">Burgess et al., 2017)</ref>. Although the onset of a terrestrial "extinction interval" can be readily identified by the abrupt loss of peat-forming plants (e.g., <ref type="bibr">Retallack et al., 1996)</ref>, the timing and patterns of terrestrial extinction and recovery are far less well constrained than those of the marine record at present.</p><p>The identification of the PTB in continental strata has been confounded because: (1) the system boundary is defined by the first appearance of a marine conodont index taxon, Hindeodus parvus <ref type="bibr">(Mei et al., 1998;</ref><ref type="bibr">Metcalfe and Nicoll, 2007)</ref>, and (2) this bioevent is not coeval with the initial stage of the end-Permian extinction interval <ref type="bibr">(Song et al., 2013;</ref><ref type="bibr">Burgess et al., 2014)</ref>. Attempts to place the PTB in terrestrial successions have generally employed a combination of palynostratigraphic, lithostratigraphic, and magnetostratigraphic markers (e.g., southern Africa, <ref type="bibr">Smith and</ref><ref type="bibr">Botha-Brink, 2014, Gastaldo et al., 2015;</ref><ref type="bibr">Antarctica, Retallack et al., 2005, Lindstr&#246;m and</ref><ref type="bibr">McLoughlin, 2007;</ref><ref type="bibr">China, Bercovici et al., 2015, Bercovici and</ref><ref type="bibr">Vajda, 2016;</ref><ref type="bibr">Russia, Taylor et al., 2009;</ref><ref type="bibr">Svalbard, Hounslow and Nawrocki et al., 2008)</ref>. However, there are no regionally extensive event beds or fossil indices available for consistent, broad geographic correlation of the PTB in terrestrial settings, in contrast to the widely distributed and well-delineated boundary clay of the end-Cretaceous event <ref type="bibr">(Schulte et al., 2010;</ref><ref type="bibr">Esmeray-Senlet et al., 2017)</ref>. Consequently, terrestrial biostratigraphic studies have proposed widely disparate placements of the system boundary, especially in regions remote from the stratotype section. For example, some have placed the PTB in stratigraphical proximity to the terrestrial EPE (e.g., <ref type="bibr">Laurie et al., 2016)</ref>, whereas others have favored its placement much higher in the stratigraphic successions (e.g., <ref type="bibr">Looy et al., 2001;</ref><ref type="bibr">Lindstr&#246;m and McLoughlin, 2007;</ref><ref type="bibr">Gastaldo et al., 2015;</ref><ref type="bibr">Zhang et al., 2016)</ref>. Independent proxies have been increasingly employed to correlate both the PTB and EPE over broad regions, such as U-Pb radiogenic-isotope ages <ref type="bibr">(Burgess et al., 2014;</ref><ref type="bibr">Metcalfe et al., 2015)</ref>, stable carbon isotope trends (e.g., <ref type="bibr">Morante, 1996;</ref><ref type="bibr">Korte and Kozur, 2010)</ref>, and/or other geochemical signatures (e.g., <ref type="bibr">Grice et al., 2005;</ref><ref type="bibr">Williams et al., 2012</ref><ref type="bibr">Williams et al., , 2017))</ref>. The combination of radioisotopic geochronology, chemostratigraphy, and highresolution biostratigraphy currently provides the most robust method for dating and correlating the key terrestrial bioevents associated with the Permian-Triassic transition and other complex ecological turnovers in Earth's history.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Permian-Triassic Palynostratigraphy of Gondwana</head><p>The Permian-Triassic palynostratigraphic schemes most widely employed across Gondwana were established on Australian successions <ref type="bibr">(Foster, 1982;</ref><ref type="bibr">Helby et al., 1987;</ref><ref type="bibr">Price, 1997;</ref><ref type="bibr">Mantle et al., 2010;</ref><ref type="bibr">Fig. 1)</ref>. Independent correlation proxies in eastern Australia have resulted in arguably the best age-constrained terrestrial Permian to Lower Triassic palynostratigraphic scheme in the world <ref type="bibr">(Stephenson, 2018)</ref>. These proxies have included stable carbon isotopes <ref type="bibr">(Morante, 1996;</ref><ref type="bibr">Williams et al., 2017)</ref>, lithostratigraphic markers <ref type="bibr">(Michaelsen, 2002;</ref><ref type="bibr">Wheeler et al., 2019)</ref>, and recent radiogenic-isotope ages from U-Pb chemical abrasion-isotope dilution-thermal ionization mass spectrometry (CA-ID-TIMS) of zircons <ref type="bibr">(Metcalfe et al., 2015;</ref><ref type="bibr">Ayaz et al., 2016;</ref><ref type="bibr">Phillips et al., 2018;</ref><ref type="bibr">Fielding et al., 2019)</ref>. These data support approximately synchronous Lopingian (upper Permian) to Lower Triassic palynological zones across eastern Australia <ref type="bibr">(Laurie et al., 2016)</ref>. Despite this, the precise stratigraphic positions of the PTB and EPE have remained ambiguous owing to a paucity of absolute age constraints for strata overlying the uppermost Permian coals.</p><p>The bio-and lithostratigraphic events longconsidered concurrent with the PTB boundary (e.g., loss of glossopterid floras: <ref type="bibr">Balme, 1969;</ref><ref type="bibr">Foster et al., 1997</ref>; cessation of peat-forming conditions: <ref type="bibr">Retallack et al., 1996)</ref> are now considered to be indicators of the terrestrial EPE, which occurred long before the system boundary sensu stricto based on correlations with the stratotype section at Meishan, South China. With recent improved chronostratigraphic controls on the Sydney-Gunnedah-Bowen basin succession <ref type="bibr">(Metcalfe et al., 2015;</ref><ref type="bibr">Laurie et al., 2016;</ref><ref type="bibr">Fielding et al., 2019)</ref>, the Lopingian to Lower Triassic palynozones of eastern Australia have been recalibrated herein (Fig. <ref type="figure">1</ref>). This refined timeline provides the context for interpreting the stageby-stage extinctions and recoveries of the latest Permian to Early Triassic south polar floras.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Geological Setting</head><p>During the Permian and Triassic, the Sydney Basin was situated at &#8764;65-75&#176;S <ref type="bibr">(Veevers, 2006)</ref>, and it was the southernmost component of the Sydney-Gunnedah-Bowen basin complex. This large foreland basin system and the continental volcanic belt to its east, the New England Orogen, developed in association with active subduction of Panthalassan oceanic crust along the eastern margin of Gondwana (Fig. <ref type="figure">2A</ref>; <ref type="bibr">Waschbusch et al., 2009)</ref>. The modern onshore Sydney Basin is in eastern New South Wales, Australia (Fig. <ref type="figure">2B</ref>) and forms a broad synclinorium with an onshore areal extent of &gt;60,000 km 2 . It hosts a &gt;5000-m-thick Cisuralian-Middle Triassic succession <ref type="bibr">(Tadros, 1995)</ref>; the Early-Middle Triassic succession alone comprises 1350 m of strata in the axis of the basin near Sydney <ref type="bibr">(Herbert, 1997a)</ref>. The upper Permian succession is especially significant in hosting numerous bituminous coal seams that represent some of the world's largest steaming-and coking-coal resources <ref type="bibr">(Agnew et al., 1995)</ref>. Coastal exposures of the Permian-Triassic transition occur in the northern (near Catherine Hill Bay) and southern (near Wollongong) parts of the basin (Fig. <ref type="figure">2C</ref>).</p><p>The Illawarra and Newcastle coal measures constitute the Lopingian successions of the southern and northern Sydney Basin, respectively. These units are characterized by intercalated sandstone, mudstone, and conglomerate facies typical of coastal-plain and deltaic deposits. Fining-upward cycles within these deposits are typically capped by prominent coal seams that represent the development of thick forest mires on floodplains flanking predominantly large, sandy-bed fluvial channels <ref type="bibr">(Brakel, 1986;</ref><ref type="bibr">Bamberry et al., 1995;</ref><ref type="bibr">Tadros, 1995;</ref><ref type="bibr">Herbert, 1997b)</ref>. The overlying Narrabeen Group spans almost the entirety of the Lower Triassic <ref type="bibr">(Metcalfe et al., 2015)</ref>. This unit is characterized by laterally extensive, sandstone-dominated, fining-upward alluvial plain deposits lacking coals but containing significant packages of gray, green, and red mudrocks <ref type="bibr">(Emerson and Branagan, 2011)</ref>. A predominantly southward drainage pattern with additional contributions from transverse river systems east-and westward has been determined from paleocurrent indices <ref type="bibr">(Ward, 1972;</ref><ref type="bibr">Cowan, 1993;</ref><ref type="bibr">Tadros, 1995;</ref><ref type="bibr">Herbert, 1997a)</ref>. Subsidence progressed faster to the northeast, thus accommodating a much thicker and more continuous succession in the region between Sydney and Newcastle <ref type="bibr">(Herbert, 1997a)</ref>.</p><p>Traditionally, a major unconformity has been inferred across much of the Sydney Basin at or near the Permian-Triassic system boundary between the Newcastle Coal Measures and the overlying Narrabeen Group <ref type="bibr">(Helby, 1973;</ref><ref type="bibr">Herbert, 1980;</ref><ref type="bibr">Herbert, 1997a)</ref>. However, recent radiogenic-isotope ages have demonstrated minimal to no discernible time gap at this contact in sections where the uppermost Permian has not been removed by fluvial downcutting <ref type="bibr">(Metcalfe et al., 2015;</ref><ref type="bibr">Fielding et al., 2019)</ref>. The welldefined lithostratigraphic contact between these units reflects an abrupt cessation of peat-forming conditions across Gondwana for several million years <ref type="bibr">(Retallack et al., 1996</ref><ref type="bibr">(Retallack et al., , 2011))</ref>. Above the PTB in eastern Australia, the first occurrence of minor coaly laminae is within the Terrigal Formation (Spathian: ca. 248 Ma), but significant coal deposits are not represented until accumulation of the Nymboida Coal Measures of northern New South Wales in the Middle Triassic <ref type="bibr">(Retallack et al., 1993;</ref><ref type="bibr">Wells, 1995)</ref>. Some authors have interpreted a prolonged change in the style of terrestrial sedimentation across Australian basins at or near the PTB <ref type="bibr">(Michaelsen, 2002)</ref>, with synchronous changes across other regions of Gondwana (Antarctica, <ref type="bibr">Webb and Fielding, 1993;</ref><ref type="bibr">India, Sarkar et al., 2003;</ref><ref type="bibr">South Africa, Ward et al., 2000</ref><ref type="bibr">, Pace et al., 2009)</ref> and beyond (e.g., <ref type="bibr">Arche and L&#243;pez-G&#243;mez, 2005;</ref><ref type="bibr">Sephton et al., 2005;</ref><ref type="bibr">Newell et al., 2010)</ref>. However, the nature and severity of the depositional transition in Gondwana has been disputed. For example, in Antarctica, forest-derived paleosols are common features of both upper Permian and Lower Triassic strata <ref type="bibr">(Retallack and Krull, 1999)</ref>, and apart from a clear lack of peat formation in the Early Triassic, the Sydney Basin reveals only limited evidence of change in fluvial sedimentation style <ref type="bibr">(Fielding et al., 2019)</ref>. The stratigraphic successions in the Sydney Basin examined in this study offer a near-continuous and age-constrained perspective of southern high-latitude continental depositional environments through the Lopingian to late Early Triassic.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>MATERIALS AND METHODS</head></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Well Cores and Sedimentology</head><p>All data in this study derive from two well cores: (1) Pacific Power Hawkesbury Bunnerong DDH 1 (PHKB-1), central Sydney Basin (lat: 33&#176; 58&#8242; 17.61&#8243;S; long: 151&#176; 13&#8242; 43.52&#8243;E); and (2) Coalcliff Colliery DDH 27 (CCC-27), southern Sydney Basin (lat: 34&#176; 13&#8242; 25.28&#8243;S; long: 150&#176; 56&#8242; 50.67&#8243;E). Core samples and plant fossils were collected from the W.B. Clarke Geoscience Centre drillcore library, Londonderry, New South Wales, Australia. Both well cores were logged for sedimentological and macropaleontological features, and these logs are presented graphically (Figs. <ref type="figure">3</ref> and<ref type="figure">4</ref>). PHKB-1 was selected as the primary reference well because of its position near the synclinal axis of the Sydney Basin and its great thickness (&gt;1260 m) of upper Permian-Lower Triassic strata. CCC-27 provides a continuous record of the PTB succession in the southeastern Sydney Basin, which can be related directly to the adjacent and laterally extensive coastal exposures at Coalcliff, New South Wales, sampled for zircon dating <ref type="bibr">(Fielding et al., 2019)</ref>. For both CCC-27 and PHKB-1, most of the strata from the uppermost coal seam (Bulli Coal) were removed for analysis soon after drilling, so these could not be documented herein.</p><p>Sedimentation rates were calculated from the ten U-Pb zircon absolute ages for the Sydney Basin by <ref type="bibr">Metcalfe et al. (2015)</ref>. These were correlated to PHKB-1 by <ref type="bibr">Fielding et al. (2019)</ref>, who recorded an additional absolute date from     the Coal Cliff Sandstone (252.31 &#177; 0.07 Ma). We subdivided the strata of PHKB-1 into two distinct successions based on their predominant depositional regimes. The lower stratigraphic succession (&gt;980 m depth in PHKB-1) was deposited primarily under marine conditions (marine shelf) or peat-forming deltaic/coastal-plain settings, whereas the upper portion (&lt;980 m depth in PHKB-1) was deposited primarily in terrestrial settings (coastal and alluvial plain; <ref type="bibr">Fielding et al., 2019)</ref>. Simple linear functions of sediment accumulation rates for these successions were derived assuming uniform compaction and constant deposition within each portion of the succession. Where indicated, chronostratigraphic placements of zone boundaries were estimated by interpolating these accumulation rates from the probable age of the top of the Bulli Coal (ca. 252.4 Ma), which is the uppermost bed of the Illawarra Coal Measures.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Palynology</head><p>Seventy-eight well core samples were analyzed in this study; 52 samples from PHKB-1 and 26 from CCC-27. Palynological samples were processed at Global Geolab, Medicine Hat, Canada. Samples were digested using hydrochloric (HCl) and hydrofluoric (HF) acids to remove inorganic mineral content. Kerogen slides were produced for each sample for palynofacies analysis; organic residues were subsequently oxidized with Schulze's Solution, sieved using a 10 &#181;m nylon mesh, then mounted on glass slides for palynomorph identification and quantitative assessment. Index spore-pollen taxa were counted from both sieved and kerogen slides. All palynomorph images were acquired using a Zeiss Axioskop 2 Plus transmitted light microscope equipped with a Zeiss AxioCam MRc camera. All palynological figures are composite images of multiple microphotographs taken at different focal depths (see <ref type="bibr">Bercovici et al., 2009)</ref>; these were processed digitally with the "Auto-Blend Layers" function in Adobe Photoshop CC 2018. All palynological slides are provided with prefix "S" and housed at the Department of Palaeobiology, Naturhistoriska riksmuseet, Stockholm, Sweden. Detailed palynological count methods and productivity estimates are provided in Appendix 1 1 . Taxonomic categories for palynomorph counts are in Table <ref type="table">A2</ref>, and palynomorph and palynofacies count data are presented in Table <ref type="table">A3</ref> and<ref type="table">Table A4</ref>, respectively.</p><p>Biostratigraphic correlations were based on palynozone definitions by <ref type="bibr">Foster (1982)</ref>, <ref type="bibr">Helby et al. (1987), and</ref><ref type="bibr">Price (1997)</ref>. Radiogenic-isotope age controls for the Sydney Basin were provided by <ref type="bibr">Metcalfe et al. (2015)</ref> and <ref type="bibr">Fielding et al. (2019)</ref>; palynozones were calibrated to the global geochronological scheme by <ref type="bibr">Laurie et al. (2016)</ref> and further developed herein (see Fig. <ref type="figure">1</ref>).</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Ordination Data Analysis</head><p>To gauge whether differences between palynological assemblages represented discrete floristic stages or were better explained by geographic position or local depositional conditions, the quantitative palynofloral data were tested statistically by ordination analyses. The palynomorphs were categorized as outlined in Table <ref type="table">A5</ref> (see footnote 1). These categories were tested for (dis)similarities between palynomorph samples as a function of the following three variables: (1) palynostratigraphic zones, as a proxy of the age relative to the terrestrial end-Permian extinction (EPE); (2) sample lithofacies; and (3) geographic position (wells PHKB-1 and CCC-27). It was predicted that all three of these variables would contribute to the differences in palynomorph assemblages but that the pre-EPE and post-EPE zones would be most dissimilar.</p><p>Non-metric multidimensional scaling (nMDS) was selected for this analysis because it has long been shown to yield reliable results for ecological data <ref type="bibr">(Minchin, 1987)</ref> with promising results in paleopalynological applications (e.g., <ref type="bibr">Bowman et al., 2014;</ref><ref type="bibr">Slater and Wellman, 2015)</ref>. NMDS ordination is a non-parametric method for discerning similarity between rank-ordered samples and provides a visual representation on a minimal number of axes <ref type="bibr">(Hammer and Harper, 2006)</ref>. Specifically, samples that are similar in composition plot relatively close in the projected ordination space. All nMDS scaling analyses were plotted in two dimensions (Fig. <ref type="figure">5</ref>); the resulting stress values of the different data sets (transformed 1 GSA Data Repository item 2020024, Appendix 1, Tables A1-A7, and color versions of all figures, is available at <ref type="url">http://www .geosociety. org/datarepository/2020</ref> or by request to editing@ geosociety.org. abundance, untransformed abundance, and binary) were relatively low and similar ( = 2.1-2.2). The replicability of these different tests suggests that the trends in the data were reliable. Ordination analyses were performed using the program Palaeontological Statistics <ref type="bibr">(PAST, v.3.22;</ref><ref type="bibr">Hammer et al., 2001)</ref>. Additional details of the ordination analyses are provided in Appendix 1.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>A B</head></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Stable Carbon Isotopes</head><p>Stable carbon isotope data for bulk organic matter (&#948; 13 C org ) were collected from 108 samples of PHKB-1 and 33 samples of CCC-27 (Table <ref type="table">A6</ref>; see footnote 1). Most of the palynological samples were derived from corresponding &#948; 13 C org sample levels. In preparation for analysis, samples were powdered, reacted for 24 h with 1N HCl at room temperature to remove inorganic carbon, and rinsed three times in ultra-pure water. Following each rinse, the supernatant was separated by centrifugation and discarded. Samples were then dried in an oven at 40 &#176;C and crushed using an agate mortar and pestle. Carbon isotope compositions were measured using a Costech 4010 Element Analyzer connected to a Thermo Finnigan MAT 253 stable-isotope gas-ratio mass spectrometer in the W.M. Keck Paleoenvironmental and Environmental Stable Isotope Laboratory at the University of Kansas. Carbon isotope compositions of the bulk organic matter fractions are reported in permil (&#8240;) relative to the Vienna Peedee Belemnite standard (V-PDB). Analyses of powdered dogfish remains (DORM) certified working standards were reproducible to better than &#177; 0.11&#8240; (1&#963; SD) for &#948; 13 C.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>RESULTS</head></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Sedimentology and Lithostratigraphy</head><p>The uppermost succession of the Illawarra Coal Measures in PHKB-1 (Wongawilli Coal, Eckersley Formation, Bulli Coal) consists of an array of erosionally based, single to multi-story sandstone bodies (with minor pebble conglomerate and pebbly sandstone), heterolithic (thinly interbedded to interlaminated) sandstones and siltstones, mudrocks, and coals with common light-colored beds of tuff (Fig. <ref type="figure">3</ref>). The coals are associated with well-developed hydromorphic paleosols <ref type="bibr">(Retallack, 1999)</ref>. Sandstone bodies preserve heterolithic partings, some of which incorporate rhythmic interlamination of sand and mud, synaeresis cracks, and a sporadically distributed, low-diversity suite of simple trace fossils. These partings and the thicker intervals of heteroliths host various interlamination features (pinstripe, lenticular, wavy, and flaser bedding) with abundant soft-sediment deformation structures. Plant debris is also ubiquitous, ranging from large axes to macerated "coffee grounds," together with coaly traces and in situ roots. Above the uppermost coal seam (Figs. <ref type="figure">3</ref> and<ref type="figure">4</ref>), facies are broadly similar but lack coal, and initially lack plant debris before it reappears after a few meters of vertical section. The coloration of mudrocks becomes steadily more pronounced above the Bulli Coal, changing from medium gray to initially light gray with increasing blue and yellow hues upward. Tuffs are also almost entirely absent and thinner above the Bulli Coal.</p><p>The erosionally based sandstone bodies are interpreted as the deposits of laterally mobile sand bed rivers on a coastal plain. Multi-story sandstone bodies suggest an aggradational pattern of sediment accumulation facilitated by channel filling and lateral migration over time. A location within the coastal backwater zone is indicated for the lower part of the Illawarra Coal Measures by the presence of synaeresis cracks, trace fossils, and rhythmically laminated heterolithic partings, which indicate some tidal modulation of fluvial outflow currents.</p><p>Although the uppermost Permian section (upper Illawarra Coal Measures) contains abundant evidence of terrestrial plant colonization of substrates, the interval immediately above the Bulli Coal seam is devoid of plant fossils, suggesting abrupt biotic change at this level. The Bulli Coal is normally overlain by a regionally extensive package (generally &lt;5 m thick) of gray siltstones. These siltstones are absent in some localities where overlying channel sandstones have been deposited on scour surfaces that extend down to the Bulli Coal. Impressions of gymnosperm logs (possibly Voltziopsis) and other woody debris are locally common in lag deposits within these channel sandstones.</p><p>The pronounced coloration of mudrocks higher in the Narrabeen Group is interpreted to reflect lowering of the water table soon after deposition, leading to partial or temporary oxidation of iron-bearing minerals in coastal-plain substrates. The continued presence of synaeresis cracks and trace fossils suggests the coastalplain setting persisted for some time into the Triassic, gradually becoming more continental upward as these features dissipate.</p><p>We estimate (compacted) sediment accumulation rates of &#8764;63 m/m.y. for the lower succession (marine shelf/delta/coastal-plain settings) and &#8764;108 m/m.y. for the upper succession (coastal-and alluvial-plain settings) of PHKB-1 (Fig. <ref type="figure">6</ref>).  </p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Palynofloras, Macrofloras and Biostratigraphy</head><p>Six palynozones were identified in the studied succession. Representative palynofloral and macrofloral taxa for these zones are illustrated (Figs. 7-10) and the key features, stratigraphic distribution, and inferred ages of each zone are outlined below. <ref type="bibr">(Price, 1997)</ref> Composition. This zone has a distinctive but rather uniform palynological and macrofloral character, which distinguishes it clearly from the overlying zones. The D. parvithola Zone is characterized by: (1) a high abundance of laevigate trilete spores (Fig. <ref type="figure">7C);</ref><ref type="figure"/> (2) abundant Microbaculatispora and trilete spores with coarse baculae (Horriditriletes, Neoraistrickia, Raistrickia; Figs. 7A-7B and 7E); (3) diverse Dulhuntyispora <ref type="bibr">(Price, 1983</ref>; Fig. <ref type="figure">7F</ref>); (4) abundant pollen typical of glossopterids (Protohaploxypinus, Striatopodocarpites); and (5) a near total absence of phytoplankton. Relatively high palynomorph concentrations and organic productivity at the time of deposition are indicated by low counts of extrinsic Lycopodium spores in both palynomorph and palynofacies data sets (see Appendix 1 for productivity estimation methods). Strata assigned to this zone are also characterized by abundant macrofloral remains of glossopterid gymnosperms (Glossopteris, Figs. 8A-8F and 8H; Vertebraria, Figs. <ref type="figure">8I-8K</ref>) and locally common representation of herbaceous sphenophytes (Paracalamites Fig. <ref type="figure">8M</ref>; Phyllotheca Fig. <ref type="figure">8L</ref>, Schizoneura). Charcoalrich laminae are common (Fig. <ref type="figure">8N</ref>).</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Dulhuntyispora parvithola Zone (Mantle et al., 2010) = APP5 Zone</head><p>Remarks. The examined succession of the D. parvithola Zone in the two wells studied is equivalent to the upper portion of the informal APP5 biostratigraphic zone <ref type="bibr">(Price, 1997)</ref>, the upper Dulhuntyispora Assemblage Zone <ref type="bibr">(Helby, 1973;</ref><ref type="bibr">Foster, 1979)</ref>, or Upper Stage 5c <ref type="bibr">(Price, 1983)</ref>.</p><p>Stratigraphic depths of zone base. The base of this zone is at &gt;900.22 m depth in PHKB-1 (&gt;95.14 m below the top of the Bulli Coal) and &gt;478.12 m depth in CCC-27 (&gt;2.94 m below the top of the Bulli Coal); i.e., the zone base was not observed in either studied succession. This zone exceeds 95.19 m of strata in PHKB-1 and 2.97 m in CCC-27.</p><p>Estimated chronostratigraphic range. Numerous recent zircon U-Pb radiochronologic ages from tuff beds across eastern Australia have provided the D. parvithola Zone with the most well-constrained ages of any Permian palynostratigraphic unit in Gondwana <ref type="bibr">(Laurie et al., 2016)</ref>. These estimates have provided a mid-Wuchiapingian age (ca. 258.0 Ma) for the lower boundary <ref type="bibr">(Metcalfe et al., 2015;</ref><ref type="bibr">Ayaz et al., 2016;</ref><ref type="bibr">Phillips et al., 2018)</ref> and a Changhsingian age (ca. 252.3-252.6 Ma) for the upper boundary <ref type="bibr">(Metcalfe et al., 2015;</ref><ref type="bibr">Fielding et al., 2019;</ref><ref type="bibr">Fig. 1)</ref>. See the Playfordiaspora crenulata Zone section below for further discussion of the upper boundary. <ref type="bibr">(Foster, 1982)</ref> Composition. The base of this zone is identified by the first appearance data of Triplexisporites playfordii and Brevitriletes (Apiculatisporis) bulliensis in both wells (Figs. <ref type="figure">7G</ref> and<ref type="figure">7I</ref>). The palynological record of this boundary is further characterized by: (1) a significant reduction in coarse baculate trilete spores (e.g., Horriditriletes spp., Neoraistrickia spp., Raistrickia spp.);</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Playfordiaspora crenulata Zone</head><p>(2) local abundance spikes of the fern spore Thymospora spp. (PHKB-1 only; Fig. <ref type="figure">7N</ref>) or the alga Quadrisporites horridus (CCC-27 only; Fig. <ref type="figure">7L);</ref><ref type="figure"/> (3) anomalously high abundances of amorphous organic matter (AOM); and (4) a reduction in plant productivity, as indicated by a relative decrease in palynomorph concentrations in both the strict palynomorph and palynofacies counts. Non-marine algal cysts are abundant in the lower 2 m of this zone in both wells. The last occurrence of D. parvithola is recorded within the P. crenulata Zone, but these specimens are fragmentary and have surface textures indicative of pyrite damage. Within PHKB-1, this degradation style is typical of specimens from the preceding D. parvithola Zone <ref type="bibr">(Fielding et al., 2019)</ref>. Their occurrence within the P. crenulata Zone may be a consequence of reworking from the underlying D. parvithola Zone. Extrinsic Lycopodium spores added to the samples during processing have a very wide range of abundances within the upper portion of this zone, indicating highly fluctuating plant and phytoplankton productivity. The base of this zone is also marked by the last occurrence of fossils with unambiguous glossopterid affinity (e.g., Glossopteris, Vertebraria). Within the broader Sydney Basin, the first occurrences of the peltaspermalean leaf taxon Lepidopteris callipteroides (Fig. <ref type="figure">9J</ref>) and the conifer Voltziopsis africana, together with persistent examples of Schizoneura gondwanensis (a sphenophyte taxon that survived the EPE), are recorded in this zone <ref type="bibr">(Retallack, 1980</ref><ref type="bibr">(Retallack, , 2002;;</ref><ref type="bibr">Vajda et al., 2020)</ref>. Macrofossils are otherwise scarce in this interval apart from fine woody debris, charcoal fragments, and a few unidentifiable roots.</p><p>Remarks. The D. parvithola-P. crenulata zone boundary is equivalent to the APP5-APP6 boundary of <ref type="bibr">Price (1997)</ref>. In both of the examined successions, large portions of the uppermost coal seam (Bulli Coal) were removed for analysis soon after drilling; consequently, the base of this zone might extend into the upper-most part of the Bulli Coal, as has been reported in the Bowen Basin <ref type="bibr">(Foster, 1982)</ref>. However, the Bulli Coal appears to be of consistent botanical composition throughout, being dominated by glossopterid remains <ref type="bibr">(Diessel, 1992)</ref> typical of those occurring throughout the D. parvithola Zone; hence, we consider the D. parvithola-P. crenulata boundary to be best placed at the top of this coal.</p><p>In two sections of the Sydney Basin (Frazer Beach, and Snapper Point), the index taxa for the P. crenulata Zone were not observed until &#8764;1.5 m above the uppermost Permian coal <ref type="bibr">(Mishra et al., 2019;</ref><ref type="bibr">Vajda et al., 2020</ref>; Fig. <ref type="figure">1</ref>). This &#8764;1.5 m interval was identified as a post-EPE "dead zone" and is characterized by a high abundance of coalified and charcoalified phytoclasts and a near-total absence of palynomorphs. This "dead zone" is not present across the entire basin, or may be overlooked where sampling is too widely spaced, as no directly correlative interval was identified within CCC-27 or PHKB-1.</p><p>Stratigraphic distribution. Assemblages assigned to this zone occur in samples immediately above the Bulli Coal in both wells studied <ref type="bibr">(Vajda et al., 2020;</ref><ref type="bibr">Mishra et al., in press</ref>). The depths to the base of this zone (top of the Illawarra Coal Measures) are 805.08 m (in PHKB-1) and 475.18 m (in CCC-27). Despite evidence of erosion at the base of some sandstone bodies within this interval, the P. crenulata Zone has a preserved thickness of 24 m in PHKB-1 and 48 m in CCC-27, consistently thicker than the 7 m type succession of this zone in the Bowen Basin, Queensland <ref type="bibr">(Foster, 1982)</ref>. Lithostratigraphically, this zone encompasses the Coal Cliff Sandstone in the central part of the basin (PHKB-1) but correlates to both the Coal Cliff Sandstone and the Wombarra Shale southwards (CCC-27), suggesting that these rock units are at least partially time-transgressive.</p><p>Estimated chronostratigraphic range. Previously, the age of the Dulhuntyispora parvithola-Playfordiaspora crenulata boundary in eastern Australia was considered within the Wuchiapingian <ref type="bibr">(Mantle et al., 2010)</ref> or close to the PTB (Changhsingian-Griesbachian boundary; <ref type="bibr">Laurie et al., 2016;</ref><ref type="bibr">Fig. 1)</ref>. Recent radiogenic-isotope ages from the Sydney Basin tightly constrain the D. parvithola-P. crenulata zonal boundary to a maximum of 252.6 &#177; 0.04 Ma <ref type="bibr">(Metcalfe et al., 2015)</ref> and a minimum of 252.31 &#177; 0.07 Ma <ref type="bibr">(Fielding et al., 2019)</ref>. These new radiochronologic age constraints place the D. parvithola-P. crenulata zone boundary firmly within the Changhsingian Stage (upper Lopingian). This is a chronostratigraphic position intermediate between the above-mentioned biostratigraphic schemes <ref type="bibr">(Mantle et al., 2010;</ref><ref type="bibr">Laurie et al., 2016)</ref>. Furthermore, a preliminary U-Pb radiochronologic age indicates an earliest Triassic (Griesbachian) age for the upper P. crenulata Zone <ref type="bibr">(Fielding et al., 2019)</ref>.</p><p>Early attempts to tie the spore-pollen biostratigraphy to the global time scale tended to place the PTB above the Protohaploxypinus microcor-pus-equivalent zones <ref type="bibr">(Helby, 1973;</ref><ref type="bibr">Foster, 1979</ref><ref type="bibr">Foster, , 1982;;</ref><ref type="bibr">Helby et al., 1987;</ref><ref type="bibr">Price, 1997;</ref><ref type="bibr">Mantle et al., 2010)</ref> and, in some cases, within or above the Lunatisporites pellucidus-equivalent zones <ref type="bibr">(Foster, 1979</ref><ref type="bibr">(Foster, , 1982;;</ref><ref type="bibr">Mantle et al., 2010;</ref><ref type="bibr">Fig. 1)</ref>. Recalibration of the zones by <ref type="bibr">Laurie et al. (2016)</ref> to the radioisotopic geochronology <ref type="bibr">(Metcalfe et al., 2015)</ref> interpreted the P. microcorpus Zone, and hence the overlying L. pellucidus Zone, to be above the PTB (presently dated to 251.902 &#177; 0.0241; <ref type="bibr">Burgess et al., 2014)</ref>. The additional age constraints outlined above support a higher position of the PTB relative to the EPE, a pattern also expressed in the PTB-type section in southern China (e.g., <ref type="bibr">Jin et al., 2000)</ref>. However, the Sydney Basin absolute ages revealed a much longer discrepancy (&#8764;400 k.y.) between the terrestrial EPE and PTB than in the marine record, suggesting an early onset of vegetation turnover at high southern latitudes <ref type="bibr">(Fielding et al., 2019)</ref>. Collectively, these data suggest: (1) the base of this zone correlates to the EPE; and (2) this zone encompasses the PTB (Fig. <ref type="figure">1</ref>).</p><p>In summary, we interpret this zone to range from the upper Changhsingian to lower Induan (?lower Griesbachian) based on lower-boundary U-Pb calibrations <ref type="bibr">(Metcalfe et al., 2015;</ref><ref type="bibr">Fielding et al., 2019)</ref> and age estimates of the upper boundary from inferred sediment accumulation rates in the basin <ref type="bibr">(Laurie et al., 2016;</ref><ref type="bibr">this study)</ref>.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Protohaploxypinus microcorpus</head><p>Zone <ref type="bibr">(Foster, 1982)</ref> Composition. We identified the first appearances of index taxa unique to the P. microcorpus Zone, specifically Rewanispora foveolata and Lundbladispora springsurensis (Figs. 10A and 10C-10D), in both wells examined. We also identified the first appearance of Lundbladispora sp. A (sensu <ref type="bibr">Foster, 1979)</ref>, a rare index taxon for this zone <ref type="bibr">(Foster, 1982)</ref>, but only within the P. microcorpus Zone of CCC-27 (Fig. <ref type="figure">10B</ref>). The first appearances of two additional index species, Playfordiaspora crenulata and Triquitrites proratus (Figs. <ref type="figure">7H</ref> and<ref type="figure">7J</ref>), were identified within this zone; however, these taxa were very rare. Consequently, their stratigraphic ranges possibly extend into the underlying P. crenulata Zone within the Sydney Basin, as suggested by other successions in eastern Australia <ref type="bibr">(Helby, 1973;</ref><ref type="bibr">Foster, 1979;</ref><ref type="bibr">Helby et al., 1987)</ref> and greater Gondwana (e.g., Pakistan: <ref type="bibr">Balme, 1970</ref>; Prince Charles Mountains, Antarctica: <ref type="bibr">Lindstr&#246;m and McLoughlin, 2007)</ref>. Leiospherid acritarchs and AOM remain abundant throughout this interval, but total palynomorph concentrations were low. The first appearances of Lepidopteris callipteroides (peltasperm) fragments (Fig. <ref type="figure">9J</ref>) and voltzialean conifer remains (Fig. <ref type="figure">9O</ref>) were identified within PHKB-1 at or near the base of the P. microcorpus Zone.</p><p>Remarks. The Protohaploxypinus microcorpus Zone has proven elusive in some studies owing to the probable diachronous distribution of some index taxa (e.g., <ref type="bibr">Price, 1997)</ref>. As per previous authors <ref type="bibr">(Mantle et al., 2010</ref>; Laurie  <ref type="bibr">et al., 2016)</ref>, we identify the P. microcorpus Zone as equivalent to the upper portion of zone APP6 (sensu <ref type="bibr">Price, 1997)</ref>, but the recognition of the above-mentioned, zone-specific index taxa (Rewanispora foveolata and Lundbladispora springsurensis) has enabled the differentiation of this zone from the preceding P. crenulata Zone in both wells studied (cf., <ref type="bibr">Laurie et al., 2016)</ref>.</p><p>Further investigation may reveal that this zone, as defined by <ref type="bibr">Foster (1982)</ref>, has only regional (e.g., basin-wide) utility. Stratigraphic distribution. Lacking any absolute age constraints within the P. microcorpus Zone, a short chronostratigraphic range for this zone has been inferred from its relatively small stratigraphic thickness within the wells investigated in our study, in other Sydney Basin wells studied <ref type="bibr">(Helby et al., 1987)</ref>, and in other eastern Australian Basins <ref type="bibr">(Foster, 1982)</ref>. This study constrains the base of the P. microcorpus Zone to 781.18 m in PHKB-1 (23.9 m above the top of the Bulli Coal) and 427.1 m in CCC-27 (48.08 m above the top of the Bulli Coal), giving zone thicknesses of &#8764;20-25 m in PHKB-1 and 75-80 m in CCC-27. Although this zone is more extensive in the studied wells than in some other successions, this thickness is broadly consistent with previous studies of this zone in the Bowen Basin <ref type="bibr">(Foster, 1982)</ref>. The lithostratigraphic units encompassing this zone in the southern part of the basin (CCC-27; Scarborough Sandstone and Stanwell Park Claystone) differ from those in the central part of Sydney Basin (PHKB-1; lower Wombarra Shale). This suggests that these rock units are slightly time-transgressive across the basin, consistent with the pattern observed for the rock units correlated with the underlying P. crenulata Zone.</p><p>Estimated chronostratigraphic range. We interpret this zone to be restricted to the ?lower Induan (Griesbachian; Fig. <ref type="figure">1</ref>) based on previous studies <ref type="bibr">(Laurie et al., 2016)</ref> and estimates of depositional rates within the Triassic succession in the Sydney Basin (this study). <ref type="bibr">(Foster, 1982)</ref> Composition. The base of this zone is identified by the first occurrence of Lunatisporites pellucidus (Fig. <ref type="figure">10G</ref>) and important accessory taxa: Limatulasporites spp. (e.g., L. limatulus; Figs. <ref type="figure">10E-10F</ref>) and Kraeuselisporites saeptatus <ref type="bibr">(Foster, 1982)</ref>. The species richness and abundance of zonate trilete spores, which is typical of lycophytes, increases in this zone, but there is a relative decrease in non-taeniate bisaccate pollen, e.g., Alisporites (or Falcisporites; Fig. <ref type="figure">10I</ref>) and Pteruchipollenites (Fig. <ref type="figure">10H</ref>). In other characteristics, this zone is very similar to the preceding P. microcorpus Zone.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Lunatisporites pellucidus Zone</head><p>Remarks. The Lunatisporites pellucidus Zone corresponds to the lower APT1 Zone of <ref type="bibr">Price (1997)</ref> and, previously, had been considered the lowermost zone of the Triassic <ref type="bibr">(Helby, 1973;</ref><ref type="bibr">Helby et al., 1987;</ref><ref type="bibr">Price, 1997)</ref>. <ref type="bibr">Helby et al. (1987, p. 8</ref>) defined the base of this zone as the "oldest common occurrence of Lunatisporites pellucidus," whereas other palynostratigraphic studies of eastern Australia <ref type="bibr">(Foster, 1982;</ref><ref type="bibr">Price, 1997)</ref> employed a more objective criterion: the first appearance datum of L. pellucidus as one of the markers for the base of this zone. To avoid ambiguity, the latter, more concrete definition was employed herein. Sparse palynological sampling, rare macrofloral remains, and a lack of absolute age controls preclude detailed interpretations of the duration and temporal patterns of floral change within this zone in the wells studied. A higher resolution study of these successions will likely place the P. microcorpus-L. pellucidus Zone boundary stratigraphically lower than indicated herein because it is highly unlikely that any recorded first (or last) appearance datum is genuinely the lowest (or highest) occurrence of a taxon in a given region, an axiom to consider in all biostratigraphic research. This is especially relevant to successions with low sampling densities.</p><p>Stratigraphic distribution. The base of this zone is registered at 760.09 m in PHKB-1 (44.99 m above the top of the Bulli Coal) and 348.19 m in CCC-27 (126.99 m above the top of the Bulli Coal). The zone is 14.47 m thick in PHKB-1 but of uncertain thickness in CCC-27 as the top was not defined. The L. pellucidus Zone is much thicker in the type section in the northern Sydney Basin (152 m; <ref type="bibr">Helby et al., 1987)</ref> and has an estimated thickness of &gt;250 m within the lower Rewan Formation of the Bowen <ref type="bibr">Basin, Queensland (de Jersey, 1970;</ref><ref type="bibr">Foster, 1982)</ref>. This zone correlates to the upper Wombarra Shale in the central portion of the basin (in PHKB-1), but southwards, the lower boundary of this zone commences at or near the base of the Bulgo Sandstone (in CCC-27). This is consistent with the diachronous pattern identified for the underlying lithostratigraphic units.</p><p>Estimated chronostratigraphic range. The zone is inferred to range from the ?lower Induan (?upper Griesbachian) to ?lower Olenekian (?lower Smithian; Fig. <ref type="figure">1</ref>) based on data from <ref type="bibr">Laurie et al. (2016)</ref> and inferences from average sediment accumulation rates in the basin (this study).</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Protohaploxypinus samoilovichii</head><p>Zone <ref type="bibr">(Foster, 1982;</ref><ref type="bibr">Helby et al., 1987)</ref> Composition. This palynozone is identified in our study by the first occurrence of Aratrisporites (Figs. <ref type="bibr">10J-10K;</ref><ref type="bibr">Foster, 1982;</ref><ref type="bibr">Helby et al., 1987)</ref>. This genus of zonate monolete spores is typically linked to pleuromeian lycophytes (e.g., <ref type="bibr">Helby and Martin, 1965;</ref><ref type="bibr">Morbelli and Petriella, 1973)</ref>. Fossils of this group become increasingly prevalent in the upper parts of the P. samoilovichii Zone, as represented by abundant pleuromeian leaf fragments, megaspores, and cingulate zonate trilete spores (e.g., Densoisporites). The pollen record of this zone is dominated by the taeniate bisaccate pollen Lunatisporites and the non-taeniate bisaccate pollen Alisporites (or Falcisporites) and Pteruchipollenites. In the leaf flora, this zone includes the first occurrence of Dicroidium (Umkomasiales; Figs. <ref type="figure">9A-9B</ref>) in PHKB-1 at 587.47 m but cuticular fragments of this and other seed plants are sparse throughout. Charcoalified wood fragments occur consistently through this interval (Fig. <ref type="figure">9L</ref>), attesting to the persistence of wildfires in the landscape through the Early Triassic. Spinicaudatans were recorded at several levels within the upper part of this zone in PHKB-1 (Fig. <ref type="figure">9O</ref>), but they have not been identified to genera or species.</p><p>This zone is characterized by high inter-sample variability of AOM and trilete spore morphogroup abundances (particularly cingulate [e.g., Limatulasporites; Figs. <ref type="figure">10E-10F]</ref>, granulate [e.g., Cyclogranisporites; Fig. <ref type="figure">7D],</ref><ref type="figure"/> and laevigate [e.g., Leiotriletes; Fig. <ref type="figure">7C forms]</ref>). In general, there is a gradual decline in abundance of taxa that flourished in the wake of the EPE, particularly the phytoplankton cysts Leiosphaeridia (Fig. <ref type="figure">7M</ref>) and Quadrisporites (Fig. <ref type="figure">7L</ref>) and the fern spore Thymospora (Marattiales; <ref type="bibr">Balme, 1995;</ref><ref type="bibr">Lesnikowska and Willard, 1997</ref>; Fig. <ref type="figure">7N</ref>). Furthermore, plant spore taxa that flourished prior to the EPE (e.g., Microbaculatispora, coarse baculate spores; Figs. <ref type="figure">7A-B</ref> and<ref type="figure">7E</ref>) decrease to negligible levels upwards through this zone.</p><p>Remarks. There is some ambiguity in the recognition of this zone in previous studies. The index taxon range chart provided by <ref type="bibr">Helby et al. (1987, Fig. 5</ref>) indicates the first sparse occurrences of Aratrisporites as low as the P. microcorpus Zone, and a consistent distribution of this genus through most of the L. pellucidus Zone and the entirety of the P. samoilovichii Zone. However, this is inconsistent with their written definition of the Protohaploxypinus samoilovichii Zone, which stipulates that the base is concurrent with the first appearance of Aratrisporites spp. <ref type="bibr">(Helby et al., 1987, p. 8)</ref>. Herein, we have followed the latter definition of this zonal boundary, which is consistent with that of <ref type="bibr">Foster (1982)</ref>. Furthermore, <ref type="bibr">Helby et al. (1987)</ref> reported a decline of Alisporites (Falcisporites) australis with a concomitant increase in taeniate bisaccate pollen at the base of this zone. A distinct change from non-taeniate to taeniate-dominated pollen assemblages was identified, but this was observed &#8764;130 m above the base of this zone (614.33 m depth; sample S014124).</p><p>Stratigraphic range. The depth to the base of this zone is 745.62 m in PHKB-1 (59.46 m above the top of the Bulli Coal). The zone was not detected in the sampled portion of CCC-27. The Protohaploxypinus samoilovichii Zone has the largest observed stratigraphic range of any zone identified in this study. It is estimated to be 360 m thick in PKHB-1, extending from the upper Wombarra Shale to near the top of the Bulgo Sandstone. This is broadly consistent with the reference section for the P. samoilovichii Zone in the northern Sydney Basin described by <ref type="bibr">Helby et al. (1987;</ref><ref type="bibr">&#8805;259 m thick)</ref> and the stratotype of the more-or-less coeval Kraeuselisporites saeptatus Zone of Western Australia (&#8764;361 m thick; <ref type="bibr">Dolby and Balme, 1976)</ref>.</p><p>Estimated chronostratigraphic range. Dating of the upper boundary is based on U-Pb radiochronologic ages <ref type="bibr">(Metcalfe et al., 2015;</ref><ref type="bibr">Fielding et al., 2019)</ref>, average sediment accumulation rates in the basin (&#8764;108 m/m.y.; Fig. <ref type="figure">6</ref>), and a distinctive positive &#948; 13 C org excursion (Fig. <ref type="figure">3</ref>), which marks the Smithian-Spathian boundary <ref type="bibr">(Galfetti et al., 2007;</ref><ref type="bibr">Zhang et al., 2015;</ref><ref type="bibr">Zhang et al., 2019</ref>; see Discussion section below). However, owing to the absence of global boundary stratotype sections and points (GSSPs) and precise geochronometric controls for the Lower Triassic substages, and the lack of a refined geochronology for the Dienerian-Smithian interval in eastern Australia, the placement of the upper and lower boundaries of this zone herein must be considered tentative. On the basis of available data, we interpret this zone to range from the ?lower Olenekian (?lower Smithian) to mid-Olenekian (upper Smithian; Fig. <ref type="figure">1</ref>). <ref type="bibr">(Helby, 1973;</ref><ref type="bibr">Helby et al., 1987)</ref> Composition. The base of this unit is identified by a marked increase in the relative abundance of Aratrisporites spp., particularly A. tenuispinosus and A. plicatus (Figs. <ref type="figure">10J-10K</ref>). This genus constitutes up to 63% of the entire palynomorph count (at 320.1 m depth) but is generally &#8804;5% in most other samples. Increases in non-taeniate bisaccate pollen, particularly Alisporites (Falcisporites) and Pteruchipollenites (Figs. <ref type="figure">10H-10I</ref>), occur near the base of this zone, and their abundances remain relatively high throughout (average abundance per sample &#8764;20%). With these increases, there is a corresponding decrease in Lunatisporites (Fig. <ref type="figure">10G</ref>), the dominant taeniate bisaccate pollen type of the underlying Protohaploxypinus samoilovichii Zone. As per the preceding zone, fluctuations in abundance of the primary spore groups (especially granulate and laevigate acavate trilete spores) continue through the A. tenuispinosus Zone. Unexpectedly, the polyplicate pollen Praecolpatites spp. has a local first appearance at the base of the A. tenuispinosus Zone in PHKB-1, although this taxon has a widely accepted Permian first appearance in eastern Australia (e.g., <ref type="bibr">Foster, 1979)</ref> and elsewhere in Gondwana (Antarctica: <ref type="bibr">Balme and Playford, 1967;</ref><ref type="bibr">India: Venkatachala and Kar, 1968;</ref><ref type="bibr">Pakistan: Balme, 1970)</ref>. These specimens likely indicate local reworking into the Lower Triassic succession. AOM levels decrease to approximately pre-EPE levels. Evidence from macrofossil leaves and cuticle mesofossils indicates the replacement of Lepidopteris by Dicroidium as the dominant foliage of seed-ferns in this interval. Isoetalean lycophyte microphylls remain abundant in this zone (Figs. <ref type="figure">9G-9I</ref>).</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Aratrisporites tenuispinosus Zone</head><p>Remarks. The marked increase in Aratrisporites, and the replacement of Lunatisporites by Alisporites (or Falcisporites) as the dominant pollen form, matches previous studies for the basal portions of this zone <ref type="bibr">(Helby, 1973;</ref><ref type="bibr">Helby et al., 1987)</ref> and the correlative Triplexisporites playfordii Zone of Western Australia <ref type="bibr">(Dolby and Balme, 1976;</ref><ref type="bibr">Helby et al., 1987)</ref>.</p><p>Stratigraphic distribution. The depth to the base of the Aratrisporites tenuispinosus Zone is 383.48 m in PHKB-1 (421.6 m above the top of the Bulli Coal), where it corresponds to the base of the Bald Hill Claystone. The A. tenuispinosus Zone also extends to the top of the Garie Formation <ref type="bibr">(Helby, 1973)</ref>, but the upper boundary of this zone, and that of the Garie Formation, were not observed in this study. The preserved stratigraphic thickness of this zone in PHKB-1 (&#8764;145 m) is substantially greater than the Sydney Basin reference section (58 m; <ref type="bibr">Helby et al., 1987)</ref>. The zone was not detected in the sampled portion of CCC-27.</p><p>Estimated chronostratigraphic range. We infer a range of mid-Olenekian (upper Smithian) to lower Anisian for this zone (Fig. <ref type="figure">1</ref>). The upper boundary was broadly correlated to marine biostratigraphic zones by <ref type="bibr">Helby et al. (1987)</ref> and, thence, calibrated to the global geochronological scheme of <ref type="bibr">Gradstein et al. (2012)</ref> by <ref type="bibr">Mantle et al. (2010)</ref>.</p><p>The age of the lower boundary of the Aratrisporites tenuispinosus Zone (and thus the upper boundary of the P. samoilovichii Zone) is partially constrained by U-Pb radiochronologic ages from two tuffs near the base of the Garie Formation in the northern Sydney Basin (248.23 &#177; 0.13 Ma and 247.87 &#177; 0.11 Ma; <ref type="bibr">Metcalfe et al., 2015)</ref>. However, between the base of the A. tenuispinosus Zone (upper Bulgo Sandstone within the PHKB-1 reference section) and the Garie Formation is the Bald Hill Claystone, which is dominated by light brown mudrocks of substantial thickness (&#8764;90 m) in PHKB-1 and elsewhere in the Sydney Basin (up to 110 m thick; <ref type="bibr">Emerson and Branagan, 2011)</ref>. Around 100 m of strata separate the base of the A. tenuispinosus Zone from the level equivalent to the lowermost dated tuff in the Garie Formation. Based on the overall estimated sedimentation rate of &#8764;108 m/m.y. for the Lower Triassic succession, we infer that this interval corresponds to around 0.9-1 m.y., or perhaps slightly more given the fine-grained nature of these strata. On this basis, we estimate that the base of the A. tenuispinosus Zone is close to 249.2 Ma (upper Smithian), thus significantly older than inferred by previous studies (e.g., <ref type="bibr">Mantle et al., 2010)</ref>.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Ordination Data Analysis</head><p>Ordination analyses of the palynological data revealed minimal overlap of the pre-EPE (= Dulhuntyispora parvithola Zone) and post-EPE (= all other zones) palynoassemblages in the ordination space (Fig. <ref type="figure">5</ref>). This supports the prediction that there was a major shift in vegetation composition between these intervals. The only exceptions to this distinction between pre-and post-EPE assemblages were assemblages from the Playfordiaspora crenulata Zone, which overlapped to a small degree with those of the preceding D. parvithola Zone, but only within the presence-absence ordination. In contrast, the abundance data for these zones separated these assemblages into distinct areas in the ordination space. The post-EPE zones generally show a high degree of overlap, with the oldest of these, the P. crenulata Zone, being an exceptional assemblage once again. Specifically, the relative abundance data indicate that this zone is mostly distinct but shares a few palynofloral characters with other post-EPE assemblages, particularly the immediately overlying Protohaploxypinus microcorpus Zone. As such, the P. crenulata Zone likely represents a succession of distinct transitional assemblages between the classical Permian and Triassic palynofloras (the "ecosystem collapse" stage of Fig. <ref type="figure">11</ref>).</p><p>The relatively small area of the ordination space occupied by the D. parvithola Zone assemblages in both analyses reflects a low degree of inter-sample variability, which is typical of a relatively uniform palynoflora (and parent vegetation). In contrast, the zone with the highest inter-sample abundance dissimilarity was the Aratrisporites tenuispinosus Zone, which spans a large area in the ordination space. The high inter-sample variability of the A. tenuispinosus Zone was largely the result of highly variable abundances of Aratrisporites and non-taeniate bisaccate pollen species. Emblematic of this was sample S014134 (PHKB-1, 320.1 m depth), which was an extreme outlier in the relative abundance ordination. Because this sample was not an outlier in the binary ordination (Fig. <ref type="figure">5B</ref>), the dissimilarity of this sample was due primarily to anomalous abundances rather than disparate taxa. Specifically, this sample had an inordinately high abundance of Aratrisporites, comprising &#8764;63% of the total, which is nearly twice as much as the assemblage with the next highest abundance of this genus (S014131, PHKB-1, 383.48 m depth). This sample was not illustrated in Figure <ref type="figure">5A</ref> because it heavily compressed the remaining data points, even with transformed abundance data sets, and made visualization impractical.</p><p>Palynostratigraphic zones accounted for most of the clustering in both ordinations, whereas sample lithofacies and geographic position played only minor roles in distinguishing palynomorph content. This suggests that the stage of floral community evolution played a greater role in segregating palynomorph assemblage compositions than local depositional conditions or regional variations in the flora and supports the biozones as reflecting discrete palynofloral/ vegetation phases, particularly the well-differentiated D. parvithola and P. crenulata zones.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Carbon Isotope Chemostratigraphy</head><p>The &#948; 13 C org trend from the uppermost Permian to the upper Lower Triassic reveals a major negative shift just above the last Permian coal. Although initially marked by a series of positive spikes in short succession, the &#948; 13 C org remained depressed for much of the examined post-EPE interval. Toward the upper part of the succession, a gradual positive shift in &#948; 13 C org was observed, followed by a relatively rapid stepwise increase. A zone-by-zone description of this broad trend is outlined below.</p><p>The Dulhuntyispora parvithola Zone has a relatively consistent stable carbon isotope signature, with high &#948; 13 C org values throughout (-25 to -23&#8240;), but they decrease notably in the uppermost strata. Within the Playfordiaspora crenulata Zone, immediately above the Bulli Coal (which we interpret as the onset of the EPE herein), we identify overall low &#948; 13 C org values (generally below -26&#8240;) but also significant fluctuations ranging from -28&#8240; to -22&#8240;. A similar &#948; 13 C org pattern was not observed in CCC-27 over the same interval, which is tentatively linked to the lower sampling resolution in the CCC-27 core. The &#948; 13 C org values reach a minimum within the Protohaploxypinus microcorpus Zone and remain consistently low in this interval (-30&#8240; to -27&#8240;). Within PHKB-1, the Lunatisporites pellucidus Zone marks the onset of a second but much longer phase of extreme &#948; 13 C org variability between samples (-30&#8240; to -22&#8240;), a pattern that continues well into the subsequent Protohaploxypinus samoilovichii Zone. A shift toward higher &#948; 13 C org , followed by sustained high values, initiates shortly below the base of the Aratrisporites tenuispinosus Zone and is concurrent with an increase in pleuromeian lycophyte fossils (microphylls, axes, and zonate trilete and monolete spores). With one exception (375.68 m depth), the &#948; 13 C org values from the A. tenuispinosus Zone are all consistently higher than those of the pre-EPE interval (-26&#8240; to -21&#8240;).</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>DISCUSSION</head></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Vegetation Changes of the Latest Permian to Early Triassic (Lopingian-Spathian)</head><p>Here, we summarize five discrete uppermost Permian (upper Lopingian) to Lower Triassic (Spathian) floristic stages within the Sydney Basin that approximately correspond to the palynozones outlined above. Each stage is supported by a combination of macrofloras, palynofloras, palynofacies, palynological ordination analyses, and non-fossil proxy data, such as chemostratigraphic and lithostratigraphic signatures. The stages have been calibrated to the global time scale following the chronostratigraphy presented in the Results (see Fig. <ref type="figure">1</ref>). These stages are summarized graphically in Figure <ref type="figure">11</ref>, and the details of each are presented below.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Stable glossopterid forests (Dulhuntyispora parvithola Zone)</head><p>This stage was characterized by a highly productive glossopterid-dominated, forest-mire vegetation and dense, broad-leafed deciduous forests in humid coastal-plain environments. The macrofloras of both examined wells yield not only copious Glossopteris leaves but a continuous record of Vertebraria, a distinctive chambered root taxon with clear glossopterid affinities <ref type="bibr">(Schopf, 1965;</ref><ref type="bibr">Pigg and Taylor, 1993;</ref><ref type="bibr">Decombeix et al., 2009)</ref>, and only minor components of other groups, such as sphenophytes, ferns, and lycophytes (Fig. <ref type="figure">8</ref>). Elsewhere in the Sydney Basin, strata assigned to this interval also contain sparse cordaitalean and scale-leafed conifer foliage, rare pteridosperm leaves, and the remains of various reed-like to scrambling sphenophytes, ferns, and lycophytes <ref type="bibr">(Townrow, 1968;</ref><ref type="bibr">Holmes, 1995;</ref><ref type="bibr">Shi et al., 2010)</ref>. A consistent vegetation type is signified by the relatively small area that the palynoassemblages of this zone occupy in the ordination space (Fig. <ref type="figure">5</ref>). The vegetation can be equated to a stable arborescent, broad-leafed, deciduous climax community in the humid high latitudes. Despite a dominance of hygrophilic plants in the assemblages of this zone, macroscopic charcoal particles (Fig. <ref type="figure">8N</ref>) are common and signify the regular occurrence of wildfires in the Lopingian wetlands.</p><p>The most common pollen groups throughout this interval are those typical of glossopterids (taeniate bisaccate forms such as Protohaploxypinus and Striatopodocarpites). However, it is difficult to use these grains as a measure of floristic diversity because multiple pollen morphogenera have been found within individual glossopterid sporangia, demonstrating wide intraspecific morphological variability of pollen within this group <ref type="bibr">(Lindstr&#246;m et al., 1997)</ref>. Furthermore, the occurrences of these pollen morphotypes extend well beyond the demonstrable stratigraphic and geographic ranges of definitive glossopterid macrofossils, indicating that equivalent pollen types were produced by several other plant groups <ref type="bibr">(Balme, 1995)</ref>. On this latter point, two of the Lower Triassic palynozones identified in this study are named for the pollen genus most commonly associated with glossopterids, Protohaploxypinus, but these zones are much younger (Griesbachian-Smithian) than any reliable record of Glossopteris. Additionally, the distribution of glossopterids appears to be restricted to Gondwana during the Lopingian <ref type="bibr">(McLoughlin, 2011)</ref>, but Protohaploxypinus has also been commonly associated with peltasperms at various locations in Laurasia (e.g., <ref type="bibr">Gomankov and Meyen, 1986;</ref><ref type="bibr">Balme, 1995)</ref>.</p><p>Similar palyno-and macrofloral assemblages in Lopingian fluvio-deltaic deposits have been recorded in continental basins across eastern Australia <ref type="bibr">(Shi et al., 2010)</ref> and other regions of southern Gondwana (e.g., Antarctica, <ref type="bibr">Taylor et al., 1992</ref><ref type="bibr">, Gulbranson et al., 2012</ref><ref type="bibr">, Slater et al., 2015</ref><ref type="bibr">, Miller et al., 2016;</ref><ref type="bibr">southern Africa, Prevec et al., 2009</ref><ref type="bibr">, 2010)</ref>. This signifies a very wide distribution of relatively monotonous glossopteriddominated hygrophilous austral forests. Coals of this age are common across southern Gondwana, but their contents are generally homogenized and obscured by diagenesis <ref type="bibr">(McLoughlin et al., 1997)</ref>. The constituents of Gondwanan Permian coals are best expressed in permineralized peats distributed across eastern Australia and Antarctica. These are invariably dominated by glossopterid remains <ref type="bibr">(Schopf, 1970;</ref><ref type="bibr">Gould and Delevoryas, 1977;</ref><ref type="bibr">Taylor et al., 1989;</ref><ref type="bibr">Pigg and McLoughlin, 1997;</ref><ref type="bibr">McManus et al., 2002;</ref><ref type="bibr">Holdgate et al., 2005;</ref><ref type="bibr">McLoughlin et al., 2019)</ref>. Despite the extreme photoperiod regime at polar paleolatitudes, late Permian (sub-)polar forests had a very high, albeit seasonal, rate of productivity (e.g., <ref type="bibr">Taylor et al., 1992;</ref><ref type="bibr">Miller et al., 2016)</ref>. This high productivity is supported by the relatively high pollen absolute abundances in both wells investigated herein. This productivity appears to have remained high until the end of this zone, despite independent evidence that the biosphere may have been under increasing environmental stress, as outlined below.</p><p>Lithologically, the top of the Bulli Coal corresponds to a coal-siltstone interface with no evidence of scouring or sediment remobilization in either of the examined wells. This suggests a widespread and abrupt (e.g., <ref type="bibr">Herbert, 1997a)</ref> but conformable transition from the D. parvithola to P. crenulata zones; thus, it provides a continuous record of the initial stages of the terrestrial EPE interval in the wells studied. The Bulli Coal has a relatively high tissue preservation index and moderate to low gelification index characteristic of coals formed in forested mires <ref type="bibr">(Diessel and Smyth, 1995)</ref>. However, it shows a dulling-upward profile indicative of an increased proportion of oxidized macerals (inertinite) toward the top <ref type="bibr">(Shibaoka and Smyth, 1975)</ref>. Furthermore, chemical analyses of aluminosilicate minerals within the uppermost Lopingian strata reveal a prominent phase of chemical alteration initiating prior to the EPE <ref type="bibr">(Fielding et al., 2019)</ref>, as noted for probable coeval deposits in Antarctica <ref type="bibr">(Sheldon, 2006)</ref> and China <ref type="bibr">(Cao et al., 2019)</ref>. Additionally, a reduction in Glossopteris leaf size has been observed in the uppermost Permian strata of southern Africa <ref type="bibr">(Anderson and Anderson, 1985;</ref><ref type="bibr">Zavada and Mentis, 1992)</ref>. These lines of evidence hint at a shifting climate at high southern latitudes immediately preceding the terrestrial EPE and may indicate destabilization of the glossopterid biome near the end of its temporal range.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Ecosystem collapse (Playfordiaspora crenulata Zone)</head><p>The synchronous collapse of the glossopterid biome across the continental settings of eastern Australia marks the cessation of Permian peatforming conditions in the south polar landscape. We interpret the D. parvithola-P. crenulata boundary as concurrent with the onset of the terrestrial end-Permian mass extinction interval (EPE; Figs. <ref type="figure">1</ref> and<ref type="figure">3-4</ref>). The EPE in the Sydney Basin is marked by: (1) the substitution of coals by carbonaceous siltstone capping upward-fining cyclic fluvial successions; (2) the last occurrence of glossopterids; (3) a significant and prolonged negative &#948; 13 C org excursion; (4) high abundances of amorphous organic matter (AOM); and (5) a massive reduction in plant productivity. Highresolution palynofloral and palynofacies details of the immediate aftermath from additional outcrop sections are outlined elsewhere <ref type="bibr">(Vajda et al., 2020)</ref>, but a brief summary is included here to indicate the broad-scale changes.</p><p>The palynological records of the mudstone/ siltstone facies overlying the uppermost Permian coal ("roof shales," sensu <ref type="bibr">Fielding et al., 2019)</ref> are characterized by a series of anomalous, stepwise abundance spikes. These include the fern spore Thymospora (PHKB-1 only), the freshwater alga Quadrisporites (CCC-27 only), and a combination of concurrent leiosphere acritarchs and AOM in both successions. The abundance peak of Thymospora indicates a local proliferation of opportunistic Marattiales, a fern group dominant in many late Paleozoic wet floodplain habitats <ref type="bibr">(Pfefferkorn and Thomson, 1982)</ref>. Freshwater algal proliferation is indicative of continuing, at least seasonally, wet conditions and a dearth of microfaunal consumers in freshwater habitats. Although the palynofloras from this zone have many features in common with younger zones, these abundance spikes result in a high degree of inter-sample variability highlighted by the wide but distinct area of the P. crenulata Zone suites in the abundance ordination plot (Fig. <ref type="figure">5A</ref>). Although only modest gross palynofloral diversity reduction has been claimed across the EPE <ref type="bibr">(Nowak et al., 2019)</ref>, the dramatic changes in group representation and loss of the previously dominant taxa indicate a major biotic crisis. The immediately succeeding vegetation appears to have been dominated by opportunistic herbaceous plants and rapidly changing plant communities.</p><p>The roof shales above the Bulli Coal are of variable thicknesses (4 m in PHKB-1, 0.4 m in CCC-27) and are truncated above by a thick succession of sandstone commonly incorporating a basal conglomeratic lag of quartz pebbles and intraformational mudstone clasts. The uneven base of the sandstone/conglomerate facies suggests that, although the basal contact of the P. crenulata Zone is likely intact, a portion of the upper part of this short biozone may have been lost to erosion locally. Based on the first appearances of P. crenulata Zone index taxa, and a significant negative &#948; 13 C org excursion, these roof shales likely correlate to the &lt;25-m-thick informally named "marker mudstone" overlying the uppermost Permian coal in the Bowen and Galilee basins, Queensland <ref type="bibr">(Clare, 1985;</ref><ref type="bibr">Michaelsen et al., 2000)</ref>, although this mudrock unit may be slightly diachronous <ref type="bibr">(Wheeler et al., 2019)</ref>.  <ref type="table">A3</ref> (see footnote 1).</p><p>The onset of the terrestrial biotic collapse interval in eastern Australia has been constrained to between 252.60 &#177; 0.04 Ma <ref type="bibr">(Metcalfe et al., 2015)</ref> and 252.31 &#177; 0.07 Ma <ref type="bibr">(Fielding et al., 2019)</ref>. In concordance with the marine record (e.g., <ref type="bibr">Jin et al., 2000;</ref><ref type="bibr">Song et al., 2013)</ref>, the onset of biotic collapse occurred significantly earlier than the PTB. However, these recent age constraints also suggest that the terrestrial EPE in eastern Australia occurred at least 300 k.y. before the marine extinction interval at ca. 251.94 &#177; 0.037 Ma, as per representation in the Meishan P-T type section <ref type="bibr">(Burgess et al., 2014)</ref>. The collapse of the Glossopteris flora in the Sydney Basin is concurrent with the initiation of the primary extrusion phase of the Siberian Traps Large Igneous Province (STLIP; <ref type="bibr">Burgess and Bowring, 2015)</ref>, whereas the marine extinction interval has been temporally linked to massive STLIP intrusive magmatism <ref type="bibr">(Burgess and Bowring, 2015;</ref><ref type="bibr">Burgess et al., 2017)</ref>. Independent support for an earlier terrestrial collapse comes from apparent discrepancies in the marine and terrestrial stable carbon isotope records. Firstly, the marine &#948; 13 C carb record at Meishan indicates a negative excursion at least 60 k.y. before the marine extinction interval <ref type="bibr">(Burgess et al., 2014)</ref>. However, diachroneity is suggested by the C-isotope signal in Iran, where the &#948; 13 C carb excursion appears to have initiated during the Clarkina subcarinata conodont biozone <ref type="bibr">(Korte and Kozur, 2010)</ref>. This would correspond to a level between beds 15 and 20 at Meishan <ref type="bibr">(Cao et al., 2009)</ref> and thus be &gt;250 k.y. before the Chinese marine extinction interval <ref type="bibr">(Bowring et al., 1998;</ref><ref type="bibr">Burgess and Bowring, 2015)</ref>. Secondly, the initial negative excursion of &#948; 13 C org from a terrestrial succession at Chahe, southern China <ref type="bibr">(Zhang et al., 2016)</ref>, has been dated at 252.30 &#177; 0.07 Ma <ref type="bibr">(Shen et al., 2011;</ref><ref type="bibr">Fig. 12)</ref>. The onset of this gradual excursion is concurrent with the last occurrences of many plant taxa <ref type="bibr">(Chu et al., 2016;</ref><ref type="bibr">Zhang et al., 2016)</ref>. The reported age (&#8764;360 k.y. before the marine EPE) is concordant with the onset of the terrestrial EPE interval in eastern Australia; however, the zircon data from the ash bed at Chahe should be reanalyzed using the updated age model outlined by <ref type="bibr">Burgess et al. (2014)</ref> for more valid comparisons to the Meishan type section. Furthermore, there is an unresolved controversy surrounding the continuity of the Chahe strata across the end-Permian interval <ref type="bibr">(Bourquin et al., 2018a, b;</ref><ref type="bibr">Zhang et al., 2018)</ref>. Regardless, the strata that include the first signs of the EPE (the uppermost coal bed and onset of &#948; 13 C org excursion) appears to be continuous or show only minor disruption <ref type="bibr">(Bourquin et al., 2018a)</ref>. Thirdly, a major floral overturn has been recorded in northern Norway, which preceded the major &#948; 13 C org excursion associated with the onset of marine extinctions by an interval on the order of 100 k.y. <ref type="bibr">(Hochuli et al., 2010)</ref>. Lastly, the start of the gradual negative &#948; 13 C org decline occurs approximately within the uppermost coal laminae and at the base of the P. crenulata Zone in some successions of eastern Australia (e.g., Bowen Basin, <ref type="bibr">Morante, 1996;</ref><ref type="bibr">Sydney Basin, Fielding et al., 2019;</ref><ref type="bibr">Fig. 12)</ref>. Thus, the estimated age for the start of the terrestrial ecosystem collapse and opportunism stage is approximately concurrent with the initiation of a protracted shift in the global carbon cycle, which may have commenced hundreds of thousands of years prior to the first marine extinction pulse.</p><p>There are important limitations of the most recent &#948; 13 C org studies in the Sydney Basin that have precluded their direct correlation of this ecosystem collapse interval (&#8764;P. crenulata Zone) to other chemostratigraphic signatures of the EPE and PTB. Firstly, high resolution records of &#948; 13 C org from the uppermost Permian coals of Sydney Basin are largely lacking <ref type="bibr">(Williams et al., 2012</ref><ref type="bibr">(Williams et al., , 2017;;</ref><ref type="bibr">Mishra et al., 2019;</ref><ref type="bibr"/> this study), which would confirm the nature of the carbon isotope signal leading up to the terrestrial EPE. Secondly, in southern China there is a major, rapid carbon isotope excursion with marine &#948; 13 C org values of &#8764;-5&#8240; (at Meishan; <ref type="bibr">Cao et al., 2009)</ref> associated with the onset of the marine extinction event, very shortly (&#8764;50 k.y.) before the PTB <ref type="bibr">(Burgess et al., 2014)</ref> and probable coeval terrestrial &#948; 13 C org values of &#8764;-8&#8240; (at Chahe; <ref type="bibr">Zhang et al., 2016;</ref><ref type="bibr">Fig. 12)</ref>. In contrast, the &#948; 13 C org record of the terrestrial strata directly above the last Permian coals in the Sydney Basin (&#8764;lower P. crenulata Zone) shows two modest &#948; 13 C org excursions of &#8764;-2&#8240; to -3&#8240; <ref type="bibr">(Williams et al., 2017;</ref><ref type="bibr">Mishra et al., 2019)</ref>. These values are generally of similar magnitude to the carbon isotope excursions concurrent with the floral ecosystem overturn recorded from the Barents Sea near Norway <ref type="bibr">(Hochuli et al., 2010)</ref>, which likely occurred long before the marine extinction interval and PTB. However, recent outcrop sampling has revealed a very short but prominent carbon isotope excursion (&#8764;-5&#8240;) immediately above the uppermost coal in the northern Sydney Basin <ref type="bibr">(Vajda et al., 2020)</ref>. The differences between the magnitudes of these &#948; 13 C org excursions may be due to variations in organic components (e.g., wood fragments, miospores, AOM), which can have a demonstrable and significant impact on the secular &#948; 13 C org signal of some Permian-Triassic successions <ref type="bibr">(Foster et al., 1997)</ref>. Because the correlative PTB horizon is predicted to be on the order of several meters above the uppermost Permian coals (e.g., Chahe, <ref type="bibr">Zhang et al., 2016;</ref><ref type="bibr"/> within the midst of the P. crenulata Zone in eastern Australia, <ref type="bibr">Morante, 1996, this study;</ref><ref type="bibr">Fig. 12)</ref>, this short excursion may signal an early disruption to the global carbon cycle, coeval with the collapse of terrestrial ecosystems. At present however, it is possible that the PTB interval in eastern Australia has either not yet been sampled (e.g., <ref type="bibr">Williams et al., 2012</ref><ref type="bibr">Williams et al., , 2017) )</ref> or examined at sufficiently high resolution <ref type="bibr">(Morante, 1996;</ref><ref type="bibr">Retallack et al., 2011;</ref><ref type="bibr"/> this study) to fully characterize the &#948; 13 C org signal.</p><p>There are some important differences between the Sydney Basin fossil record and other Permian-Triassic around the globe. For instance, Reduviasporonites, a microfossil of fungal <ref type="bibr">(Eshet et al., 1995;</ref><ref type="bibr">Visscher et al., 1996;</ref><ref type="bibr">Twitchett et al., 2001)</ref> or algal <ref type="bibr">(Afonin et al., 2001;</ref><ref type="bibr">Spina et al., 2015;</ref><ref type="bibr">Hochuli, 2016)</ref> origin, is extremely abundant in many localities across Gondwana and Laurasia soon after the initial phase of the EPE <ref type="bibr">(Visscher et al., 1996)</ref>. It has been considered an opportunistic "disaster taxon" and a key marker for the Permian-Triassic biotic collapse (see <ref type="bibr">Rampino and Eshet, 2018)</ref>. However, Reduviasporonites occurs in extremely low numbers in the examined successions (Fig. <ref type="figure">7K</ref>), suggesting either: (1) Reduviasporonites did not have an abundance acme in these parts of the Sydney Basin; or (2) the relevant stratigraphic beds were not sampled in our study. The local increase in Thymospora spores is similar in magnitude and probable duration to the lycophyte spore acme in the Permian-Triassic record of East Greenland <ref type="bibr">(Looy et al., 2001)</ref> and Norway <ref type="bibr">(Hochuli et al., 2010)</ref>, which suggests the temporary emergence of an open herbaceous flora in the aftermath of the EPE. High abundances of spinose acritarchs (e.g., Micrhystridium and Veryhachium) during the end-Permian extinction interval were found in several marine successions following the end-Permian extinction interval <ref type="bibr">(Sarjeant et al., 1970;</ref><ref type="bibr">Tripathi, 1997;</ref><ref type="bibr">Twitchett et al., 2001;</ref><ref type="bibr">Payne and van de Schootbrugge, 2007)</ref>, indicating a pulse of primary productivity or dearth of consumers in the oceans. In contrast to the present study in which the acritarch assemblages are dominated by smooth-walled leiospherids, spiny acritarchs are consistently more common in marine successions of the EPE <ref type="bibr">(Lei et al., 2012</ref><ref type="bibr">(Lei et al., , 2019;;</ref><ref type="bibr">Shen et al., 2013)</ref>.</p><p>There are scattered reports of dominant Lopingian plant groups surviving beyond the onset of terrestrial ecological collapse. Although the last record of glossopterids in Sydney Basin is more-or-less coincident with the cessation of peat-forming conditions, this group may have persisted in small numbers in disparate Gondwanan localities <ref type="bibr">(Antarctica: McManus et al., 2002</ref><ref type="bibr">, Elliot et al., 2017;</ref><ref type="bibr">India: Pant and Pant, 1987;</ref><ref type="bibr">southern Africa: Gastaldo et al., 2015;</ref><ref type="bibr">see Bomfleur et al., 2018)</ref>, although age controls on these successions are poor. Similarly, scattered remains of gigantopterids, a major pteridosperm component of the Lopingian Cathaysian (east Asian) floral province, appear to post-date the onset of the terrestrial extinction interval by a brief time interval <ref type="bibr">(Bercovici et al., 2015;</ref><ref type="bibr">Fig. 12)</ref>. Regardless, these groups never recovered, soon became extinct, and did not produce coal deposits after the onset of the EPE.</p><p>Vertebrate remains are very sparse from the P. crenulata Zone, but the tracks of small therapsids have long been known from terrestrial strata of the Sydney Basin <ref type="bibr">(Harper, 1915)</ref>. Lystrosaurus has been inferred as the maker of these tracks <ref type="bibr">(Retallack, 1996)</ref>, a distinctive dicynodontid survivor of the EPE very commonly found in the relatively low diversity post-EPE strata of the Karoo Basin, southern Africa <ref type="bibr">(King, 1990;</ref><ref type="bibr">Damiani et al., 2004;</ref><ref type="bibr">Viglietti et al., 2013)</ref>. In that region, herbaceous horsetails (Equisetales) have been inferred as the preferred diet of these small herbivores <ref type="bibr">(Rayner, 1992)</ref>. The paucity of equisetalean spores (e.g., Calamospora, Laevigatosporites) in the P. crenulata Zone suggests that horsetails were not abundant in the eastern Australian landscape at the time, while herbaceous lycophyte spores are more common in strata from this interval. This supports <ref type="bibr">Retallack's (1996)</ref> proposal that pleuromeian lycophytes were a more likely food source for lystrosaurids in the Sydney Basin. The highly variable spore-pollen abundances throughout the P. crenulata Zone indicate rapid changes in the flora, which would have provided considerable stress on the herbivore populations in eastern Australia and promoted the survival of those subsisting on broad diets. The occurrence of lystrosaurids in both the Sydney and Karoo Basins and the dissimilar floras of these regions also support a generalist feeding strategy for these animals. Such a strategy would have provided a distinct selective advantage over more specialized herbivores or carnivores during the end-Permian ecosystem collapse.</p><p>Other mass extinction intervals reveal fossil signatures that may be analogous to the end-Permian collapse stage recorded in the Sydney Basin. For example, the Thymospora fern spore acme is similar to the "spore spike" consistently reported for the Cretaceous-Paleogene (K-Pg) mass extinction event (e.g., <ref type="bibr">Saito et al., 1986;</ref><ref type="bibr">Sweet and Braman, 1992;</ref><ref type="bibr">Vajda et al., 2001;</ref><ref type="bibr">Nichols and Johnson, 2008;</ref><ref type="bibr">Vajda and Bercovici, 2014)</ref> and the end-Triassic event <ref type="bibr">(Larsson, 2009)</ref>. Indeed, spikes in the abundance of fern, lycophyte, or bryophyte spores appear to be a repeated response to global crises in the terrestrial flora through Earth's history <ref type="bibr">(Vajda and McLoughlin, 2007)</ref>. A similar association of increased sphaeromorph acritarch and AOM abundances has also been recognized in beds spanning the marine Toarcian Oceanic Anoxic Event in Yorkshire, UK <ref type="bibr">(Slater et al., 2019)</ref>. These pulses were inferred to result from vegetation turnover leading to enhanced soil and bedrock erosion and increased nutrient supply to marine basins <ref type="bibr">(Slater et al., 2019)</ref>, a scenario likely paralleled by the end-Permian extinction interval <ref type="bibr">(Sephton et al., 2005;</ref><ref type="bibr">Algeo et al., 2011)</ref>.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Suppressed Recovery (Protohaploxypinus microcorpus Zone)</head><p>The initial interval of the recovery stage shares some important characteristics with the preceding zone, reflecting a gradual transition as indicated by the partial overlap with the P. crenulata Zone in ordination space (Fig. <ref type="figure">5</ref>). Specifically, primary productivity remained low as shown by low absolute palynomorph abundances and significant abundances of AOM and leiospherid acritarchs persisting into this zone, which suggest intervals of lacustrine sedimentation and extensive bacterial degradation of organic matter <ref type="bibr">(Payne and van de Schootbrugge, 2007)</ref>. Relatively open vegetation, dominated by peltasperm seed-ferns, voltzialean conifers, and herbaceous sphenophytes and lycophytes, appears to have occupied the landscape throughout this interval (Fig. <ref type="figure">9</ref>). There are sparse records of Lepidopteris (peltasperm seed-fern) appearing very soon after the terrestrial biotic collapse in various localities around the Sydney Basin <ref type="bibr">(Retallack, 2002;</ref><ref type="bibr">Vajda et al., 2020)</ref>, in East Antarctica <ref type="bibr">(McLoughlin et al., 1997)</ref>, and in Madagascar <ref type="bibr">(Carpentier, 1935;</ref><ref type="bibr">Townrow, 1965)</ref>. Opportunistic green algae (e.g., Quadrisporites) and fern (e.g., Thymospora) groups, which were highly abundant in the wake of the biotic collapse, occur only in minor abundances through this stage.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Steady recovery (Lunatisporites pellucidus-Protohaploxypinus samoilovichii Zones)</head><p>This interval signals the emergence of conifers and corystosperm seed-ferns as dominant constituents of the Triassic floral biome. Peltasperms (Lepidopteris; Figs. <ref type="figure">9E</ref> and<ref type="figure">9J</ref>) persist through this interval, but they are progressively relegated to subsidiary components of the flora. Initially, the dominant pollen types were the bisaccate non-taeniate forms Alisporites (Falcisporites) and Pteruchipollenites, indicative of corystosperms (and/or conifers; <ref type="bibr">Townrow, 1967b;</ref><ref type="bibr">Clement-Westerhof, 1974;</ref><ref type="bibr">Balme, 1995)</ref>. However, these were soon replaced by the taeniate bisaccate pollen Lunatisporites (Fig. <ref type="figure">10G</ref>), which likely represents podocarpaceous <ref type="bibr">(Townrow, 1967b)</ref> or voltzialean <ref type="bibr">(Townrow, 1967a</ref>) conifers. The latter group is considered a more likely parent plant group because of the abundant voltzialean leaf compressions found in coeval strata <ref type="bibr">(Retallack, 1980)</ref>. In contrast, taeniate bisaccate pollen of probable peltasperm affinity (Protohaploxypinus, Striatopodocarpites; <ref type="bibr">Gomankov and Meyen, 1986</ref>; see <ref type="bibr">Balme, 1995)</ref> persist in very low abundance. The corystosperm Dicroidium (Fig. <ref type="figure">9B</ref>), a major component of Middle and Late Triassic Gondwanan coal deposits <ref type="bibr">(Balme et al., 1995)</ref>, appears shortly above the first appearance datum of Lepidopteris in the studied wells (Fig. <ref type="figure">11</ref>) and becomes progressively more common toward the end of this recovery stage. Over the longer timeframe, there is a protracted reduction of trilete spore groups common during the Permian, such as Microbaculatispora, and the possible osmundalean Horriditriletes <ref type="bibr">(Galtier and Taylor, 1994;</ref><ref type="bibr">Figs. 7A-7B and 7E)</ref>.</p><p>The major fluctuations in &#948; 13 C org (&#8764;-30&#8240; to -22&#8240;) through this interval reflect severe changes to the global climate and carbon cycle commonly inferred for the Early Triassic by previous researchers <ref type="bibr">(Payne et al., 2004;</ref><ref type="bibr">Payne and Kump, 2007;</ref><ref type="bibr">Retallack, 2009)</ref>. Elsewhere throughout the Early Triassic, major changes in palynological suites have been recognized as coinciding with the &#948; 13 C org fluctuations <ref type="bibr">(Hermann et al., 2012a)</ref>. Such &#948; 13 C org oscillations seem to be matched in the palynological record of Sydney Basin by sharp variations in the cingulate, granulate, and laevigate trilete spore morphogroups between samples. A short interval of depressed &#948; 13 C org values was identified in the P. samoilovichii Zone within the Patonga Formation (a correlative of the Bald Hill Claystone) by <ref type="bibr">Morante (1996)</ref>. This is mirrored herein by a progressive &#948; 13 C org decline in the upper P. samoilovichii Zone, but this part of the zone corresponds to the Bulgo Sandstone, further suggesting time-transgressive lithostratigraphic units within the Sydney Basin.</p><p>Strata correlated to the upper P. samoilovichii Zone of the Sydney Basin (Bulgo Sandstone) have yielded body fossils of a range of archosauriform amniotes <ref type="bibr">(Kear, 2009)</ref> and temnospondyl amphibians <ref type="bibr">(Warren, 1991;</ref><ref type="bibr">Damiani, 1999;</ref><ref type="bibr">Greco et al., 2014)</ref>. However, diverse coprolites suggest an even richer vertebrate fauna than has been recovered to date from these strata <ref type="bibr">(Nied&#378;wiedzki et al., 2016)</ref>. Similar diverse faunas of aquatic tetrapods and non-marine bony fish have been recovered from Lower Triassic strata of Queensland, Australia: the Rewan Group of the Bowen and Galilee basins <ref type="bibr">(Thulborn, 1986;</ref><ref type="bibr">Warren, 1991;</ref><ref type="bibr">Damiani and Warren, 1996;</ref><ref type="bibr">Northwood, 1999</ref><ref type="bibr">Northwood, , 2005;;</ref><ref type="bibr">Warren et al., 2006)</ref>. These fossil occurrences correspond to the L. pellucidus-P. samoilovichii palynozones <ref type="bibr">(Metcalfe et al., 2015)</ref> and are approximately coeval or perhaps slightly older than the Bulgo Sandstone faunas.</p><p>Although not yet conducive to peat accumulation, the environmental conditions of this time were stable enough to promote a thriving terrestrial ecosystem of diverse vertebrate faunas and the mixed conifer-seed fern floras less than 2 m.y. after the onset of the end-Permian extinction interval.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Ecosystem instability (Aratrisporites tenuispinosus Zone)</head><p>The transition to this stage (mid-P. samoilovichii-A. tenuispinosus zones) is characterized by the following features: (1) a large and gradual increase in pleuromeian lycophyte fossils; (2) common spinicaudatan fossils; (3) a major, stepwise positive &#948; 13 C org excursion; and later (4) the prevalence of red, ferruginous mudrock facies or "redbeds" (Bald Hill Claystone) and a concomitant increase in the chemical index of alteration (CIA; <ref type="bibr">Fielding et al., 2019)</ref>. In the interval immediately preceding this zone, spores of pleuromeian lycophyte affinity (Densoisporites, e.g., <ref type="bibr">Grauvogel-Stamm and Lugardon, 2004;</ref><ref type="bibr">Aratrisporites, e.g., Helby and Martin, 1965;</ref><ref type="bibr">Morbelli and Petriella, 1973)</ref> emerge as the dominant palynomorphs, accompanied by abundant lycophyte axes, megaspores, and microphylls.</p><p>The timing of this abundance increase is in sharp contrast to that of the pleuromeian and selaginellalean lycophyte abundance spikes of Greenland <ref type="bibr">(Looy et al., 2001)</ref> and offshore Norway <ref type="bibr">(Hochuli et al., 2010)</ref>, which were reported to have occurred during the initial phase of the terrestrial extinction interval. Furthermore, this signature is significantly later than that of the Salt and Surghar ranges, Pakistan, which reveal the onset of a prolonged lycophyte dominated flora as early as the Dienerian <ref type="bibr">(Hermann et al., 2011a)</ref>. Concurrent with the increase in pleuromeian fossils, the repeated occurrence of spinicaudatans suggests a shift toward seasonal desiccation and perhaps increased salinity in ephemeral floodplain lakes <ref type="bibr">(Gueriau et al., 2016)</ref>.</p><p>The major positive &#948; 13 C org excursion near the base of the Aratrisporites tenuispinosus Zone, and subsequent high values throughout the studied portion of this zone, are similar to the &#948; 13 C signature observed for the Smithian-Spathian boundary (SSB) from various successions of the Northern Hemisphere (e.g., <ref type="bibr">Galfetti et al., 2007;</ref><ref type="bibr">Hermann et al., 2011b;</ref><ref type="bibr">Zhang et al., 2015</ref><ref type="bibr">Zhang et al., , 2019;;</ref><ref type="bibr">Lindstr&#246;m et al., 2019)</ref>. The palynological record herein is similar to that consistently associated with the SSB; specifically, lycophyte dominated assemblages in the latest Smithian are followed by a rapid shift during the early Spathian to stable, mixed pteridophyte-gymnosperm floras (Barents Sea: <ref type="bibr">Hochuli and Vigran, 2010;</ref><ref type="bibr">Pakistan: Hermann et al., 2011a</ref><ref type="bibr">, Hermann et al., 2012b;</ref><ref type="bibr">Tibet: Schneebeli-Hermann et al., 2012;</ref><ref type="bibr">northern Greenland: Lindstr&#246;m et al., 2019)</ref>. The age of this substage boundary has not been well-constrained at present. U-Pb radiometric age determinations of zircons from tuff deposits have indicated that the SSB is older than 250.55 &#177; 0.51 Ma <ref type="bibr">(Ovtcharova et al., 2006;</ref><ref type="bibr">Galfetti et al., 2007)</ref>. However, these age estimates were not derived using the updated U-Pb age model employed for the Permian-Triassic type section <ref type="bibr">(Burgess et al., 2014)</ref>, precluding their direct comparison with the most recent age estimates of the PTB. Importantly, these earlier methods produced large error ranges and tended to systematically overestimate the U-Pb age values <ref type="bibr">(Condon et al., 2010)</ref>. A ca. 248.45 Ma age for the SSB was inferred from a combination of marine biostratigraphic and magnetostratigraphic indices correlated to the global time scale <ref type="bibr">(Ogg, 2012)</ref>. The high-precision absolute age estimates of the Sydney Basin and deposition rates for the Lower Triassic in this study put the positive shift in &#948; 13 C org at ca. 249 Ma, approximately midway between the SSB estimates in the aforementioned chronostratigraphic schemes <ref type="bibr">(Ovtcharova et al., 2006;</ref><ref type="bibr">Galfetti et al., 2007;</ref><ref type="bibr">Ogg, 2012)</ref>. We interpret this positive &#948; 13 C org excursion as a tentative marker of the SSB in the Sydney Basin; therefore, the base of the Aratrisporites tenuispinosus Zone is likely coincident with, or slightly below, the SSB. However, higher resolution palynological and chemostratigraphic analyses of this interval are necessary to better constrain the placement and floristic character of this event at high southern latitudes.</p><p>The emergence of herbaceous lycophytes as the dominant palynomorph group (particularly Aratrisporites), significant &#948; 13 C org excursion, and coeval redbed development near the base of this zone are indicative of significant environmental changes that delayed the re-establishment of complex forest ecosystems. However, ecological and environmental interpretations of this zone are presently equivocal. Pleuromeian lycophytes, which dominate the base of this zone, have long been considered herb-to shrub-sized xerophytic or halophytic plants that flourished in regions of probable aridity and/or elevated salinity <ref type="bibr">(M&#228;gdefrau, 1931;</ref><ref type="bibr">Retallack, 1975;</ref><ref type="bibr">Ziqiang and Lixin, 1982)</ref>. However, Triassic pleuromeian remains have also been found in wetland settings in some parts of southern <ref type="bibr">Gondwana (central Transantarctic Mountains;</ref><ref type="bibr">Bomfleur et al., 2011)</ref>. Pleuromeians, like their closest extant relatives Iso&#235;tes (quillworts), may have preferred consistently or seasonally wet habitats, and their dominance during various intervals of the Early Triassic in various parts of the world was possibly favored by other factors. This could have included greater immunity to fluctuations in atmospheric gas concentrations (obtaining CO 2 via their root systems), having slow growth rates with storage of starch in a large zone of cortical tissues, occupying open landscapes free from competition, and possibly having a form of crassulacean acid metabolism (CAM) and a lycopsid photosynthetic pathway. All of these features represent specialized ecological adaptations to stressed environments.</p><p>This interval saw the starvation of coarse sediment supply <ref type="bibr">(Cowan, 1993)</ref> and intensification of red-bed development (Bald Hill Claystone and equivalents) in the Sydney Basin that likely reflect destabilization of the climatic system. Redbed formation has been commonly interpreted to reflect semi-arid conditions <ref type="bibr">(Van Houten, 1973)</ref> and/or strongly fluctuating watertables <ref type="bibr">(Dubiel and Smoot, 1994)</ref>. The development of ferruginous mudrock facies in the Lower Triassic of the Karoo Basin, southern Africa, has been attributed to increased temperature, seasonality <ref type="bibr">(Smith and Botha-Brink, 2014)</ref>, and either an increase <ref type="bibr">(Retallack et al., 2003)</ref> or decrease <ref type="bibr">(Smith and Botha-Brink, 2014)</ref> in overall precipitation. Although these facies generally constrain the range of possible depositional conditions, they are not indicative of any specific paleoenvironments without additional proxies <ref type="bibr">(Sheldon, 2005)</ref>.</p><p>However, in the case of the Sydney Basin, the marked increase in the CIA during this stage of ecosystem instability (Fig. <ref type="figure">11</ref>) favors an overall increase in precipitation <ref type="bibr">(Fielding et al., 2019)</ref>. This likely reflects intensification of the Gondwana monsoon in the region. More humid conditions have also been inferred for the onset of Lower Triassic red paleosols of Antarctica <ref type="bibr">(Retallack and Krull, 1999)</ref>. Importantly, as per the lycophyte abundance increase outlined above, the onset of redbed development appears to have occurred at disparate times across southern Gondwana. Ferruginous mudstone facies have been dated to near the inferred onset of Permian-Triassic terrestrial extinctions in the Karoo Basin <ref type="bibr">(Ward et al., 2005;</ref><ref type="bibr">Smith and Botha-Brink, 2014;</ref><ref type="bibr">Gastaldo et al., 2015)</ref> and some regions of the Transantarctic Mountains (e.g., <ref type="bibr">Collinson et al., 1994)</ref>. In other Antarctic successions, the first ferruginous mudrocks occur much higher in the Lower Triassic successions, in some cases hundreds of meters above the last evidence of Permian floras (see <ref type="bibr">McLoughlin et al., 1997;</ref><ref type="bibr">Retallack and Krull, 1999)</ref>. This diachroneity of ferruginous strata and coeval pulse of lycophyte dominance are clearly indicative of shifting climatic belts across much of Pangaea that likely initiated during the late Permian <ref type="bibr">(McLoughlin et al., 1997)</ref>. However, further data will be required to resolve the precise climatic drivers of the sedimentary and biotic changes in the late Early Triassic.</p><p>This interval of ecosystem instability initiated with rapid fluctuations in palynomorph assemblages caused by blooms of specialist lycophytes. However, following this interval of lycophyte dominance, the spore-pollen record of the A. tenuispinosus Zone reflects the establishment of a complex fern-gymnosperm recovery flora, with assemblages similar in composition and abundance to those of the L. pellucidus-P. samoilovichii zones. The high inter-sample variability of this zone is reflected by the large area it occupies in the ordination space (Fig. <ref type="figure">5</ref>). Toward the end of this stage, fossil leaves of Dicroidium become much more common in the studied bore cores and in outcrop throughout the Sydney Basin <ref type="bibr">(Walkom, 1925;</ref><ref type="bibr">Retallack, 1980)</ref> and are matched by abundance increases of Alisporites (Falcisporites) and Pteruchipollenites, pollen commonly associated with corystosperms <ref type="bibr">(Clement-Westerhof, 1974;</ref><ref type="bibr">Balme, 1995)</ref>. In contrast, there is a corresponding reduction in all taeniate bisaccate pollen to negligible levels. We note a distinct absence of Lepidopteris (peltasperm) leaves in the cores toward the top of this zone. However, Lepidopteris madagascariensis remained a sub-dominant element in macrofloras recovered from equivalent strata in outcrop of the northern Sydney Basin and the neighboring Lorne Basin <ref type="bibr">(Holmes and Ash, 1979;</ref><ref type="bibr">Retallack, 1980)</ref>. This seems to indicate the initial re-commencement of floral ecosystem recovery after the Smithian-Spathian event.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>CONCLUSIONS</head><p>The southern high-latitude continental strata of the Sydney Basin record a near-continuous succession of sedimentary, geochemical, and floristic changes from the late Permian (Wuchiapingian) to late Early Triassic (late Olenekian). Recent absolute dating of tuffs has refined the timing of several discrete floristic stages through this interval. Most of the late Permian was characterized by a stable, low diversity mire and broad-leafed forest flora dominated by deciduous glossopterid gymnosperms. This stable ecosystem abruptly collapsed between deposition of two ash beds dated at 252.3 Ma and 252.6 Ma. This event marked the rapid demise of the glossopterid biome across southern Gondwana. The collapse, equated to the terrestrial end-Permian mass extinction event, occurred up to several hundred thousand years before the chronostratigraphic Permian-Triassic Boundary. The collapse is concurrent with the initiation of: (1) the primary phase of Siberian Traps Large Igneous Province extrusive magmatism and (2) a gradual stable carbon isotope shift toward lower values in terrestrial successions around the world, which likely signifies a long-term shift in the global carbon cycle punctuated by one or more short, sharp excursions. In the wake of this collapse, the flora was characterized by very low productivity and successive abundance spikes of opportunistic fungi, algae, and fern "disaster taxa."</p><p>Ecosystem recovery occurred through several successive palynozones and is expressed by stepwise appearances of macrofossils belonging to several prominent Mesozoic gymnosperm groups (peltasperms, voltzialean conifers, and corystosperms). This recovery phase is supported by the emergence of a diverse and ecologically complex vertebrate fauna across eastern Australia in contrast with the depauperate vertebrate record in the immediate aftermath of the EPE. However, recovery was hampered by conditions that were prohibitive to the reestablishment of productive wetlands or forests, despite early emergence of the plant groups (e.g., peltasperms, corystosperms) that became the primary peat-formers of the Middle to Late Triassic of Gondwana. In addition to the absence of coals, environmental stressors through the Early Triassic are reflected by persistent anoxic/dysoxic aqueous conditions and a fluctuating stable carbon isotope record that likely indicates an unstable global climate.</p><p>The establishment of a new, complex coniferpteridosperm climax flora was interrupted by a major phase of abiotic stress in the region initiating approximately 2 m.y. after the PTB (ca. 250 Ma; mid-Smithian). This was indicated by a marked rise of pleuromeian lycophytes with specialized ecophysiological traits and a stepwise positive shift in stable carbon isotopes. This was followed by the accumulation of thick packages of ferruginous mudrocks, an increase in chemical weathering, and a major overturn of the palynofloras shortly before the Smithian-Spathian boundary (SSB), the first such stable carbon and palynological records of this boundary from southern Gondwana. The age of the SSB was estimated as ca. 249 Ma by interpolating the sediment accumulation rates from radiogenicisotope age anchor-points within the Sydney Basin. The specific environmental changes that triggered this environmental transition late in the Early Triassic are presently unclear, but they were likely linked to prolonged climate change and shifting climatic belts across southern Gondwana. Similar changes have been identified in post-EPE successions the world over but at discrepant intervals. The high southern latitudes were likely the last region on Earth to develop these environmental conditions. In summary, the loss of the Permian climax glossopterid floras represents a major collapse in primary productivity and ecological complexity from which the terrestrial vegetation did not recover until late in the Early Triassic.</p></div><note xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0" place="foot" xml:id="foot_0"><p>&#8224; chris.mays@nrm.se. Downloaded from https://pubs.geoscienceworld.org/gsa/gsabulletin/article-pdf/doi/10.1130/B35355.1/4871101/b35355.pdf by Univ Nebraska Lincoln user</p></note>
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