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1. Versatile Detection of Diverse Selective Sweeps with Flex-Sweep

   https://doi.org/10.1093/molbev/msad139  

   Lauterbur, M Elise; Munch, Kasper; Enard, David (June 2023, Molecular Biology and Evolution)

   Kim, Yuseob (Ed.)

   Abstract Understanding the impacts of selection pressures influencing modern-day genomic diversity is a major goal of evolutionary genomics. In particular, the contribution of selective sweeps to adaptation remains an open question, with persistent statistical limitations on the power and specificity of sweep detection methods. Sweeps with subtle genomic signals have been particularly challenging to detect. Although many existing methods powerfully detect specific types of sweeps and/or those with strong signals, their power comes at the expense of versatility. We present Flex-sweep, a machine learning–based tool designed to detect sweeps with a variety of subtle signals, including those thousands of generations old. It is especially valuable for nonmodel organisms, for which we have neither expectations about the overall characteristics of sweeps nor outgroups with population-level sequencing to otherwise facilitate detecting very old sweeps. We show that Flex-sweep has the power to detect sweeps with subtle signals, even in the face of demographic model misspecification, recombination rate heterogeneity, and background selection. Flex-sweep detects sweeps up to 0.125*4Ne generations old, including those that are weak, soft, and/or incomplete; it can also detect strong, complete sweeps up to 0.25*4Ne generations old. We apply Flex-sweep to the 1000 Genomes Yoruba data set and, in addition to recovering previously identified sweeps, show that sweeps disproportionately occur within genic regions and are close to regulatory regions. In addition, we show that virus-interacting proteins (VIPs) are strongly enriched for selective sweeps, recapitulating previous results that demonstrate the importance of viruses as a driver of adaptive evolution in humans. 

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2. A hybrid stochastic-deterministic approach to explore multiple infection and evolution in HIV

   https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009713  

   Kreger, Jesse; Komarova, Natalia L.; Wodarz, Dominik (December 2021, PLOS Computational Biology)

   Pascual, Mercedes (Ed.)

   To study viral evolutionary processes within patients, mathematical models have been instrumental. Yet, the need for stochastic simulations of minority mutant dynamics can pose computational challenges, especially in heterogeneous systems where very large and very small sub-populations coexist. Here, we describe a hybrid stochastic-deterministic algorithm to simulate mutant evolution in large viral populations, such as acute HIV-1 infection, and further include the multiple infection of cells. We demonstrate that the hybrid method can approximate the fully stochastic dynamics with sufficient accuracy at a fraction of the computational time, and quantify evolutionary end points that cannot be expressed by deterministic models, such as the mutant distribution or the probability of mutant existence at a given infected cell population size. We apply this method to study the role of multiple infection and intracellular interactions among different virus strains (such as complementation and interference) for mutant evolution. Multiple infection is predicted to increase the number of mutants at a given infected cell population size, due to a larger number of infection events. We further find that viral complementation can significantly enhance the spread of disadvantageous mutants, but only in select circumstances: it requires the occurrence of direct cell-to-cell transmission through virological synapses, as well as a substantial fitness disadvantage of the mutant, most likely corresponding to defective virus particles. This, however, likely has strong biological consequences because defective viruses can carry genetic diversity that can be incorporated into functional virus genomes via recombination. Through this mechanism, synaptic transmission in HIV might promote virus evolvability. 

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3. The effect of weak clonal interference on average fitness trajectories in the presence of macroscopic epistasis

   https://doi.org/10.1093/genetics/iyac028  

   Guo, Yipei; Amir, Ariel; Jain, ed., K. (February 2022, Genetics)

   Abstract Adaptation dynamics on fitness landscapes is often studied theoretically in the strong-selection, weak-mutation regime. However, in a large population, multiple beneficial mutants can emerge before any of them fixes in the population. Competition between mutants is known as clonal interference, and while it is known to slow down the rate of adaptation (when compared to the strong-selection, weak-mutation model with the same parameters), how it affects the shape of long-term fitness trajectories in the presence of epistasis is an open question. Here, by considering how changes in fixation probabilities arising from weak clonal interference affect the dynamics of adaptation on fitness-parameterized landscapes, we find that the change in the shape of fitness trajectory arises only through changes in the supply of beneficial mutations (or equivalently, the beneficial mutation rate). Furthermore, a depletion of beneficial mutations as a population climbs up the fitness landscape can speed up the rescaled fitness trajectory (where adaptation speed is measured relative to its value at the start of the experiment), while an enhancement of the beneficial mutation rate does the opposite of slowing it down. Our findings suggest that by carrying out evolution experiments in both regimes (with and without clonal interference), one could potentially distinguish the different sources of macroscopic epistasis (fitness effect of mutations vs change in fraction of beneficial mutations). 

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4. Heterogeneity in viral populations increases the rate of deleterious mutation accumulation

   https://doi.org/10.1093/genetics/iyac127  

   Allman, Brent; Koelle, Katia; Weissman, Daniel (August 2022, Genetics)

   Jain, K (Ed.)

   Abstract RNA viruses have high mutation rates, with the majority of mutations being deleterious. We examine patterns of deleterious mutation accumulation over multiple rounds of viral replication, with a focus on how cellular coinfection and heterogeneity in viral output affect these patterns. Specifically, using agent-based intercellular simulations we find, in agreement with previous studies, that coinfection of cells by viruses relaxes the strength of purifying selection and thereby increases the rate of deleterious mutation accumulation. We further find that cellular heterogeneity in viral output exacerbates the rate of deleterious mutation accumulation, regardless of whether this heterogeneity in viral output is stochastic or is due to variation in the cellular multiplicity of infection. These results highlight the need to consider the unique life histories of viruses and their population structure to better understand observed patterns of viral evolution. 

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5. Understanding patterns of HIV multi-drug resistance through models of temporal and spatial drug heterogeneity

   https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.69032  

   Feder, Alison F; Harper, Kristin N; Brumme, Chanson J; Pennings, Pleuni S (September 2021, eLife)

   Triple-drug therapies have transformed HIV from a fatal condition to a chronic one. These therapies should prevent HIV drug resistance evolution, because one or more drugs suppress any partially resistant viruses. In practice, such therapies drastically reduced, but did not eliminate, resistance evolution. In this article, we reanalyze published data from an evolutionary perspective and demonstrate several intriguing patterns about HIV resistance evolution - resistance evolves (1) even after years on successful therapy, (2) sequentially, often via one mutation at a time and (3) in a partially predictable order. We describe how these observations might emerge under two models of HIV drugs varying in space or time. Despite decades of work in this area, much opportunity remains to create models with realistic parameters for three drugs, and to match model outcomes to resistance rates and genetic patterns from individuals on triple-drug therapy. Further, lessons from HIV may inform other systems. 

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