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			<titleStmt><title level='a'>Expedition 374 Scientific Prospectus: Ross Sea West Antarctic Ice Sheet History</title></titleStmt>
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				<publisher></publisher>
				<date>2017 September</date>
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				<bibl> 
					<idno type="par_id">10230118</idno>
					<idno type="doi">10.14379/iodp.sp.374.2017</idno>
					<title level='j'>Scientific prospectus</title>
<idno>2332-1385</idno>
<biblScope unit="volume">374</biblScope>
<biblScope unit="issue"></biblScope>					

					<author>R.M. McKay</author><author>L. De Santis</author><author>D.K. Kulhanek</author>
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			<abstract><ab><![CDATA[Observations from the past several decades indicate that the Southern Ocean is warming significantly and that Southern Hemisphere westerly winds have migrated southward and strengthened due to increasing atmospheric CO2 concentrations and/or ozone depletion. These changes have been linked to thinning of Antarctic ice shelves and marine terminating glaciers. Results from geologic drilling on Antarctica’s continental margins show late Neogene marine-based ice sheet variability, and numerical models indicate a fundamental role for oceanic heat in controlling this variability over at least the past 20 My. Although evidence for past ice sheet variability has been observed in marginal settings, sedimentological sequences from the outer continental shelf are required to evaluate the extent of past ice sheet variability and the role of oceanic heat flux in controlling ice sheet mass balance.International Ocean Discovery Program (IODP) Expedition 374 proposes a latitudinal and depth transect of six drill sites from the outer continental shelf and rise in the eastern Ross Sea to resolve the relationship between climatic/oceanic change and West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) evolution through the Neogene and Quaternary. This location was selected because numerical ice sheet models indicate that it is highly sensitive to changes in ocean heat flux and sea level. The proposed drilling is designed for optimal data-model integration, which will enable an improved understanding of the sensitivity of Antarctic Ice Sheet mass balance during warmer-than-present climates (e.g., the early Pliocene and middle Miocene). Additionally, the proposed transect links ice-proximal records from the inner Ross Sea continental shelf (e.g., ANDRILL sites) to deepwater Southwest Pacific drilling sites/targets to obtain an ice-proximal to far-field view of Neogene climate and Antarctic cryosphere evolution. The proposed scientific objectives directly address Ocean and Climate Challenges 1 and 2 of the 2013–2023 IODP Science Plan.Drilling Neogene and Quaternary strata from the Ross Sea continental shelf-to-rise sedimentary sequence is designed to achieve five scientific objectives:1. Evaluate the contribution of West Antarctica to far-field ice volume and sea level estimates.2. Reconstruct ice-proximal atmospheric and oceanic temperatures to identify past polar amplification and assess its forcings/feedbacks.3. Assess the role of oceanic forcing (e.g., sea level and temperature) on Antarctic Ice Sheet stability/instability.4. Identify the sensitivity of the AIS to Earth’s orbital configuration under a variety of climate boundary conditions.5. Reconstruct eastern Ross Sea bathymetry to examine relationships between seafloor geometry, ice sheet stability/instability, and global climate.To achieve these objectives, we will (1) use data and models to reconcile intervals of maximum Neogene and Quaternary Antarctic ice advance with far-field records of eustatic sea level change; (2) reconstruct past changes in oceanic and atmospheric temperatures using a multiproxy approach; (3) reconstruct Neogene and Quaternary ice margin fluctuations in datable marine continental slope and rise records and correlate these records to existing inner continental shelf records; (4) examine relationships among WAIS stability/instability, Earth’s orbital configuration, oceanic temperature and circulation, and atmospheric pCO2; and (5) constrain the timing of Ross Sea continental shelf overdeepening and assess its impact on Neogene and Quaternary ice dynamics.]]></ab></abstract>
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<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Abstract</head><p>Observations from the past several decades indicate that the Southern Ocean is warming significantly and that Southern Hemisphere westerly winds have migrated southward and strengthened due to increasing atmospheric CO 2 concentrations and/or ozone depletion. These changes have been linked to thinning of Antarctic ice shelves and marine terminating glaciers. Results from geologic drilling on Antarctica's continental margins show late Neogene marine-based ice sheet variability, and numerical models indicate a fundamental role for oceanic heat in controlling this variability over at least the past 20 My. Although evidence for past ice sheet variability has been observed in marginal settings, sedimentological sequences from the outer continental shelf are required to evaluate the extent of past ice sheet variability and the role of oceanic heat flux in controlling ice sheet mass balance.</p><p>International Ocean Discovery Program (IODP) Expedition 374 proposes a latitudinal and depth transect of six drill sites from the outer continental shelf and rise in the eastern Ross Sea to resolve the relationship between climatic/oceanic change and West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) evolution through the Neogene and Quaternary. This location was selected because numerical ice sheet models indicate that it is highly sensitive to changes in ocean heat flux and sea level. The proposed drilling is designed for optimal data-model integration, which will enable an improved understanding of the sensitivity of Antarctic Ice Sheet mass balance during warmer-thanpresent climates (e.g., the early Pliocene and middle Miocene). Additionally, the proposed transect links ice-proximal records from the inner Ross Sea continental shelf (e.g., ANDRILL sites) to deepwater Southwest Pacific drilling sites/targets to obtain an ice-proximal to far-field view of Neogene climate and Antarctic cryosphere evolution. The proposed scientific objectives directly address Ocean and Climate Challenges 1 and 2 of the 2013-2023 IODP Science Plan.</p><p>Drilling Neogene and Quaternary strata from the Ross Sea continental shelf-to-rise sedimentary sequence is designed to achieve five scientific objectives:</p><p>1. Evaluate the contribution of West Antarctica to far-field ice volume and sea level estimates. 2. Reconstruct ice-proximal atmospheric and oceanic temperatures to identify past polar amplification and assess its forcings/feedbacks. 3. Assess the role of oceanic forcing (e.g., sea level and temperature) on Antarctic Ice Sheet stability/instability. 4. Identify the sensitivity of the AIS to Earth's orbital configuration under a variety of climate boundary conditions. 5. Reconstruct eastern Ross Sea bathymetry to examine relationships between seafloor geometry, ice sheet stability/instability, and global climate.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Introduction</head><p>Drilling eastern Ross Sea outer continental shelf-to-rise sedimentary sequences will provide a direct record of Neogene to Quaternary West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) evolution and improve understanding of associated climate forcings/feedbacks. In combination with model sensitivity tests, tectonic considerations, and the well-developed seismic stratigraphic framework of the Ross Sea, proposed drilling will enable researchers to determine if the large far-field Neogene sea level estimates (20-60 m) (cf. <ref type="bibr">Miller et al., 2005</ref><ref type="bibr">Miller et al., , 2012;;</ref><ref type="bibr">Naish and Wilson, 2009)</ref> reflect changes in Antarctic ice volume (Figure <ref type="figure">F1</ref>). The proposed continental shelf-to-rise transect in an area of demonstrated climate sensitivity (Figures <ref type="figure">F2,</ref><ref type="figure">F3,</ref><ref type="figure">F4</ref>) allows for improved understanding of ocean-ice sheet interactions on orbital to million year timescales.</p><p>The onset of the Neogene (23 Ma; Oligocene/Miocene [O/M] boundary) is characterized by an abrupt increase in Antarctic ice volume attributed to changes in Earth's orbital parameters <ref type="bibr">(Naish et al., 2001;</ref><ref type="bibr">Zachos et al., 1997)</ref> and declining atmospheric CO 2 (Figure <ref type="figure">F1</ref>) <ref type="bibr">(Pagani et al., 2005)</ref>. Following the O/M glaciation, both near-and far-field proxy records indicate a period of sustained (~3&#176;C warmer than present) <ref type="bibr">(You et al., 2009)</ref> warmth and carbon cycle reorganization (e.g., <ref type="bibr">Foster et al., 2012;</ref><ref type="bibr">Vincent and Berger, 1985)</ref>, referred to as the Middle Miocene Climatic Optimum (MMCO; ~17-15 Ma) <ref type="bibr">(Flower and Kennett, 1994;</ref><ref type="bibr">Shevenell et al., 2004)</ref>. During the MMCO, polar amplification of temperature is suggested <ref type="bibr">(Feakins et al., 2012;</ref><ref type="bibr">Lewis et al., 2008;</ref><ref type="bibr">Shevenell et al., 2004;</ref><ref type="bibr">Warny et al., 2009)</ref> but not yet successfully modeled (e.g., <ref type="bibr">You et al., 2009)</ref>. The MMCO was immediately followed by an interval of Antarctic ice growth and cooling, termed the Middle Miocene Climate Transition (MMCT; 14. , as observed in both far-field benthic foraminifer &#948; 18 O records and ice-proximal data (Figure <ref type="figure">F1</ref>) <ref type="bibr">(Cramer et al., 2009;</ref><ref type="bibr">Flower and Kennett, 1994;</ref><ref type="bibr">Holbourn et al., 2007;</ref><ref type="bibr">Kennett, 1977;</ref><ref type="bibr">Shevenell et al., 2008</ref><ref type="bibr">Shevenell et al., , 2004;;</ref><ref type="bibr">Zachos et al., 2001)</ref> and is believed to have resulted in the extinction of the Antarctic tundra vegetation <ref type="bibr">(Lewis et al., 2008)</ref>. Although ice expansion has traditionally been inferred in East Antarctica, Ross Sea seismic evidence also suggests WAIS expansion <ref type="bibr">(Bart, 2003)</ref>. However, the timing of the Ross Sea event, WAIS development, and forcings and feedbacks involved in the MMCT remain enigmatic <ref type="bibr">(De Santis et al., 1995)</ref>. During the mid-Pliocene, global sea levels were ~20 &#177; 10 m above present-day levels, indicating a reduction/collapse of both the Greenland Ice Sheet and the WAIS <ref type="bibr">(Miller et al., 2012)</ref>. Ice-proximal sedimentary facies indicate orbitally paced advances and retreats of the WAIS from the early Pliocene (Figures F4, F5, F6) until at least 1.0 Ma, although equivocal evidence exists for collapse as recently as the last interglacial <ref type="bibr">(Kopp et al., 2009;</ref><ref type="bibr">McKay et al., 2012b;</ref><ref type="bibr">Naish et al., 2009;</ref><ref type="bibr">Dahl-Jensen et al., 2013;</ref><ref type="bibr">Scherer et al., 1998)</ref>.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Background</head></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Oceanographic setting</head><p>Most of the abyssal ocean is presently filled with cold dense waters produced within the large polynyas of the Weddell and Ross Seas and mixed with ambient waters. Thus, changes in temperature and/or meltwater input to the Ross Sea could disrupt global meridional overturning circulation (MOC) <ref type="bibr">(Jacobs et al., 2002;</ref><ref type="bibr">Orsi and Wiederwohl, 2009;</ref><ref type="bibr">Purkey and Johnson, 2010)</ref>. Over the past 40 y, Ross Sea-derived Antarctic Bottom Water (AABW) has freshened as a result of increased meltwater input to the Amundsen and Bellingshausen Seas from melting ice shelves/glacial systems <ref type="bibr">(Jacobs et al., 2002</ref><ref type="bibr">(Jacobs et al., , 2011))</ref>.</p><p>Unlike in the Amundsen and Bellingshausen Seas, where the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) impinges the continental shelf and cross-shelf bathymetry encourages the presence of relatively warm Circumpolar Deep Water (CDW) on the inner shelf, the eastern limb of the Ross Gyre brings cooler Modified CDW (MCDW) to the Ross Sea along the lower continental slope <ref type="bibr">(Orsi and Wiederwohl, 2009;</ref><ref type="bibr">Whitworth et al., 1995)</ref>. The strong westward-flowing Antarctic Slope Current (ASC), with a sharp subsurface front (Antarctic Slope Front [ASF]), separates Antarctic Surface Water (AASW) on the shelf from CDW on the lower continental slope (Figure <ref type="figure">F7</ref>). This front serves as a dynamical barrier that limits the transfer of CDW and MCDW onto the Ross Sea continental shelf (Ainley and <ref type="bibr">Jacobs, 1981)</ref>. Thus, ASC vigor and the formation of fresh AASWs regulate the volume of MCDW on the Ross Sea continental shelf.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Geological setting and previous drilling</head><p>The break-up of Gondwana during the Middle Jurassic began with the initiation of the West Antarctic Rift, which led to the opening of the Ross Sea <ref type="bibr">(Behrendt et al., 1991)</ref> and the development of three sedimentary basins (Figures <ref type="figure">F2,</ref><ref type="figure">F3</ref>; <ref type="bibr">Cooper et al., 1991)</ref>. The westernmost Victoria Land Basin (VLB) has been the focus of previous regional geological drilling (e.g., Dry Valley Drilling Project [DVDP], MSSTS-1, CIROS-1 and CIROS-2, Cape Roberts Project <ref type="bibr">[CRP]</ref>, and ANDRILL). This proposal focuses on the Eastern Basin, which contains up to 6 km of Cenozoic sediment infill.</p><p>The basement geology of the Central High adjacent to the Eastern Basin was penetrated at Deep Sea Drilling Project (DSDP) Site 270 and consists of high-grade Paleozoic calcareous metamorphics <ref type="bibr">(Ford and Barrett, 1975)</ref> that were mylonitized during Late Cretaceous uplift <ref type="bibr">(Siddoway et al., 2004)</ref>. Upper Cretaceous mylonites were also recovered from the eastern part of the Eastern Basin <ref type="bibr">(Luyendyk et al., 2001)</ref>. The lack of basement younger than Devonian at CRP-3 and Site 270 suggests that younger Permian-Triassic Beacon Supergroup strata are likely absent in the western (and eastern) Ross Sea. This suggestion is supported by paleogeographic maps from <ref type="bibr">Barrett (1981)</ref>, which suggest that the western (and eastern) Ross Sea was likely an area of uplift and erosion through much of the Permian-Triassic, although these maps are poorly constrained. The Devonian lower part of the Beacon Supergroup is dominated by coarse clastics <ref type="bibr">(Barrett, 1981)</ref>. The tectonic models for the formation of the Ross Sea, through the thinning of thickened (~40 km) crust that covered the entire Transantarctic Mountain (TAM)-Ross Sea-Marie Byrd Land region <ref type="bibr">(Decesari et al., 2007;</ref><ref type="bibr">Karner et al., 2005)</ref>, would also tend to argue against the preservation of younger Beacon strata because uplift and erosion of large amounts of strata would be predicted during early rifting, and this rifting would likely include the removal of any upper Beacon Supergroup strata even if they had been present.</p><p>The ANTOSTRAT seismic stratigraphic scheme defines eight seismic units (RSS-1 to RSS-8) within the sediment infill lying above the basement, bounded by six major shelf-wide unconformities (RSU1 to RSU6) (Table <ref type="table">T1</ref>; Figure <ref type="figure">F6</ref>) <ref type="bibr">(Brancolini et al., 1995;</ref><ref type="bibr">De Santis et al., 1995)</ref>, but their ages are only partially constrained by drilling (see synthesis by <ref type="bibr">Bart and De Santis, 2012)</ref>. In the western Ross Sea, CIROS-1 and CRP-3 indicate marine-terminating glaciation in the TAM by the earliest Oligocene <ref type="bibr">(Barrett, 2007</ref><ref type="bibr">(Barrett, , 1989</ref>). In the central Ross Sea, seismic-based reconstructions suggest ice caps nucleated on the subaerially elevated basement highs in the central Ross Sea during the Oligocene. The adjacent deep-water basins in the outer Ross Sea appear to have remained free of grounded ice to the late Oligocene, although they were probably influenced by voluminous sediment-laden meltwater discharge under a more temperate style of glacial sedimentation, resulting in progressive shoaling of the Eastern Basin as accommodation space was filled <ref type="bibr">(Hayes et al., 1975)</ref>. Expedition 374 seeks to constrain the ages of Unconformities RSU4 to RSU1 to understand how these unconformities relate to the evolution of the marine-based WAIS.</p><p>Seismic Unit RSS-1 (underlying seismic Unconformity RSU6) is the oldest and deepest basin infill sedimentary package in the central Ross Sea. It is divided into a lower and upper package. The lower part of Unit RSS-1 has not been drilled in any holes, whereas the upper part has been drilled in the western Ross Sea (CRP and CIROS-1) and consists of upper Eocene to Oligocene high-energy fluvial and deltatic/shelfal rift-fill strata, with a glacial influence in its upper parts <ref type="bibr">(Fielding et al., 2000;</ref><ref type="bibr">Galeotti et al., 2016)</ref>. The lithology and age of lowermost Unit RSS-1 is uncertain because it has not been sampled, but it likely consists of high-energy, coarsegrained fluvial facies deposited in the initial phases of Late Cretaecous to Paleocene rifting in the central Ross Sea <ref type="bibr">(Wilson and Luyendyk, 2009)</ref>.</p><p>Units overlying Unconformity RSU6 (Units RSS-2 to RSS-8) have all been partially sampled by drilling, and the stratigraphic architecture in the Ross Sea is relatively well constrained, although most drill holes are located in isolated basins in the western Ross Sea (Figure <ref type="figure">F2</ref>) and basin-to-basin correlations remain uncertain. It is difficult to make a direct correlation of Unconformity RSU6 from across the various Ross Sea basins because it onlaps the basement flanks (Figures <ref type="figure">F3,</ref><ref type="figure">F6</ref>). However, an inferred correlation can be made due to the distinctive acoustic character of the underlying seismic facies.</p><p>Upper Oligocene (28 Ma) to lower Miocene (23 Ma) strata within Unit RSS-2 at Site 270 consist of a 365 m sequence of lithified glaciomarine mudstones with ice-rafted debris (IRD) and common macro-and microfossils, suggesting a shallow continental shelf environment with abundant terrestrial runoff. Above 100 meters be-low seafloor (mbsf ) (Unit RSS-3), many of the units (originally classified as mudstones) are diamictites (i.e., &gt;20% sand) that were eroded and transported by glacial ice <ref type="bibr">(Barrett, 1975)</ref>.</p><p>Two ANDRILL sites drilled on the inner continental shelf of the western Ross Sea (98% recovery) contain an unprecedented record of marine-based ice sheet variability in the Ross Sea <ref type="bibr">(Levy et al., 2016;</ref><ref type="bibr">Naish et al., 2009;</ref><ref type="bibr">Wilson et al., 2012)</ref> over the past 20 My, although both of these sites are heavily influenced by the East Antarctic Ice Sheet (EAIS). Site AND-2A recovered a ~20 to 14 Ma sequence interpreted to reflect TAM tidewater outlet glaciers overriding and/or calving near the site <ref type="bibr">(Fielding et al., 2011;</ref><ref type="bibr">Levy et al., 2016;</ref><ref type="bibr">Passchier et al., 2011)</ref>. At 15.7 Ma, a diatomite with abundant pollen, algae, and other biomarkers suggests a warmer than present (mean surface temperature of ~10&#176;C) climate during the MMCO <ref type="bibr">(Feakins et al., 2012;</ref><ref type="bibr">Warny et al., 2009)</ref>. At 300 mbsf, a 300 ky disconformity is thought to be equivalent to Unconformity RSU4, suggesting a shelf-wide advance of the marine-based ice sheet during the MMCT (Figures <ref type="figure">F6,</ref><ref type="figure">F8</ref>) <ref type="bibr">(De Santis et al., 1999;</ref><ref type="bibr">Passchier et al., 2011)</ref>.</p><p>The first unequivocal seismic evidence of a glacially carved trough in the central Ross Sea (key target of proposed Eastern Basin Outer Continental Shelf [EBOCS] Sites EBOCS-01D and EBOCS-02B) occurs at Unconformity RSU4 (mid-Miocene) and is interpreted as an expansion of a grounded marine-based ice stream originating from the west (Figures <ref type="figure">F8,</ref><ref type="figure">F9</ref>) <ref type="bibr">(Anderson, 1999;</ref><ref type="bibr">De Santis et al., 1995;</ref><ref type="bibr">Ten Brink et al., 1995)</ref>. At DSDP Site 272, a ~400 m thick middle-upper Miocene sequence of glaciomarine mudstones was recovered (Figure <ref type="figure">F6</ref>). Combined with the presence of numerous outwash channels above Unconformity RSU4, up to 250 m of till delta foreset and aggrading bottomset strata suggest that glaciomarine sedimentation was dominated by the release of abundant erosive sediment-laden meltwater during the middle Miocene (~14 Ma; Figure <ref type="figure">F9</ref>) <ref type="bibr">(Anderson and Bartek, 1992;</ref><ref type="bibr">Chow and Bart, 2003)</ref>. This meltwater release was likely associated with extensive channellevee systems above Unconformity RSU4 on the continental slope and rise <ref type="bibr">(De Santis et al., 1995</ref><ref type="bibr">, 1999)</ref>. A downlapping till delta thickening toward the Central High (dated at Site 272 at 14.  suggests that middle Miocene glaciation was characterized by local ice caps on the Central High and that the continental shelf was shallow and seaward dipping (cf. Figures <ref type="figure">F8,</ref><ref type="figure">F9</ref>). Another possibility is that this feature was a grounding zone wedge forming on the flank of the Central High, where ice remained pinned during retreat after the ice expansion that carved Unconformity RSU4 over the central Ross Sea.</p><p>Unconformity RSU3 (key target of proposed Site EBOCS-03C) provides the first evidence for a major cross-shelf paleotrough eroded by an expanded WAIS, although the age of this event(s) is poorly constrained (~14-4 Ma; Figures <ref type="figure">F6,</ref><ref type="figure">F8</ref>) <ref type="bibr">(Bart, 2003;</ref><ref type="bibr">De Santis et al., 1995</ref><ref type="bibr">, 1999)</ref>. Large meltwater and outwash features are absent and laminated seismic facies are progressively thinner/less common in strata younger than Unconformity RSU3, suggesting sediment starvation and a transition to a colder glacial regime. Site AND-1B sediments indicate that this transition may not have occurred until the Pliocene <ref type="bibr">(McKay et al., 2009)</ref>, although evidence for meltwater outburst features is lacking in the TAM after 12. <ref type="bibr">4 Ma (Lewis et al., 2006)</ref>. High-velocity seismic units above Unconformities RSU3 and RSU2 suggest overcompaction by ice loading during WAIS expansion <ref type="bibr">(B&#246;hm et al., 2009)</ref>. Bathymetric reconstructions suggest overdeepening and a transition to a landward-deepening continental shelf occurred by the Unconformity RSU2 event during the early Pliocene to early Pleistocene(?) (Figures <ref type="figure">F8,</ref><ref type="figure">F10</ref>) <ref type="bibr">(De San-tis et al., 1995</ref><ref type="bibr">, 1999)</ref>. A trough-mouth fan on the upper slope and a sediment-starved continental rise (typical of the Pliocene-Pleistocene Antarctic margin) coincided with overdeepening <ref type="bibr">(Bart et al., 1999;</ref><ref type="bibr">Bart and Iwai, 2012;</ref><ref type="bibr">Cooper and O'Brien, 2004;</ref><ref type="bibr">Rebesco et al., 2006)</ref>.</p><p>At Site AND-1B, ~58 sedimentary cycles of ice sheet advance and retreat can be observed within the Ross Embayment over the past 13 <ref type="bibr">My (McKay et al., 2009)</ref>. Diatomites indicate frequent collapses of the WAIS in the Pliocene (5. , during which diatom assemblages and geochemical paleothermometry indicate ocean temperatures up to 4&#176;C warmer than present <ref type="bibr">(McKay et al., 2012a;</ref><ref type="bibr">Naish et al., 2009)</ref>. However, sedimentary lithofacies indicate that meltwater discharge was reduced during Pliocene interglacials compared with the latest Miocene (11-5.3 Ma; Figure <ref type="figure">F5</ref>). By the mid-Pleistocene (1.0 Ma), the Ross Ice Shelf persisted through most interglacials <ref type="bibr">(McKay et al., 2009)</ref>.</p><p>Seismic facies above Unconformity RSU2 consist of till sheets bound by erosional unconformities in an aggrading shelf margin that is indicative of shelf-wide advances of the WAIS (Figures <ref type="figure">F8,</ref><ref type="figure">F10</ref>) <ref type="bibr">(Alonso et al., 1992;</ref><ref type="bibr">Bart et al., 2011;</ref><ref type="bibr">Brancolini et al., 1995)</ref>. Unlike other sectors of the Antarctic, the eastern Ross Sea trough mouth contains thick (~2000 m) sedimentary sequences on the shelf and upper continental slope (Figure <ref type="figure">F10</ref>) that may contain a detailed WAIS history. Above Unconformity RSU1 (0.7? Ma; key target of proposed Site EBOCS-04B), shelf-edge sediments are aggrading or backstepping (rather than prograding), indicating that most sediment delivered from land was sequestered on the outer shelf.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Site survey data</head><p>Multichannel and single-channel seismic profiles have been collected in the Ross Sea by several nations since 1980. The multichannel seismic data are available through the Antarctic Seismic Data Library System, which works under the auspices of the Scientific Committee on Antarctic Research and the Antarctic Treaty (ATCM XVI-12). Prestack data are available only from the Italian cruises <ref type="bibr">(1988, 1989, 1991, 1994, and 2006</ref>) and recently also from the BGR80 cruise.</p><p>We located the sites for scientific reasons such as maximum thickness of target sequence, better potential for dating sediments, and acoustic facies and geometry, which usually can be seen much better on high-resolution profiles. In most cases, high-resolution profiles are single channel or, in the case of the TAN lines, they have a very short streamer (200 m) compared with the water depth (&gt;1000 m). In some cases, crossing lines are not available and the remoteness of Antarctic waters prevents the easy collection of new site survey data. New multichannel seismic (MCS) Profiles KSL14-02 and KSL14-04 (unpublished) were collected in February 2013 and in 2015 by the Korea Polar Research Institute (KOPRI) with the aim to provide the cross-lines for proposed Ross Sea Continental Shelf (RSCR) Sites RSCR-08C and RSCR-12B, respectively. Another SCS survey cruise was conducted in 2017 in the frame of the EU/FP7 EUROFLEETS2, Programma Nazionale di Ricerche in Antartide (PNRA) WHISPERS, and PNRA ODYSSEA projects, with the aim to collect more cross-lines of the proposed sites and identify future alternate sites that will be detailed in an addendum to this Scientific Prospectus.</p><p>Single-channel seismic data, collected by National Science Foundation (NSF) <ref type="bibr">Cruises 1990 and</ref><ref type="bibr">1994-95,</ref> were made available by John Anderson (Rice University, TX, USA) in the format of digital Society of Exploration Geophysicists (SEGY) data (PD90 cruise) and paper copies (NBP 94-95 cruise). We made the conversion of the TIFF or JPG image to SEGY format to depth convert the sections and load the data in the HIS Kingdon interpretation software with the other available data sets. The supporting site survey data for Expedition 374 are archived at the IODP Site Survey Data Bank (<ref type="url">https://ssdb.iodp.org/SSDBquery/SSDBquery.php</ref>; select P751 for proposal number).  <ref type="bibr">(Cramer et al., 2009;</ref><ref type="bibr">Miller et al., 2005</ref><ref type="bibr">Miller et al., , 2012;;</ref><ref type="bibr">Raymo et al., 2011;</ref><ref type="bibr">Zachos et al., 2001)</ref>. Miocene to Pliocene sea level reconstructions could potentially be reconciled without invoking Northern Hemisphere contributions if Antarctica's ice sheets expanded to the continental shelf edge (~14 m sea level equivalent [SLE]) (Figure <ref type="figure">F4</ref>). The modeled difference between the glacial maxima states and loss of the marine-based WAIS (assuming present bathymetry) represent ~21 m SLE (with some minor loss of the EAIS), although changes in Ross Sea bathymetry could increase this value (Figure <ref type="figure">F4</ref>) (see Objective 5). Expedition 374 records will constrain the timing of the first WAIS advances to the shelf edge, and integration with the ANDRILL records allows assessment of the WAIS contribution to Neogene sea level estimates.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Scientific objectives</head><p>Sedimentologic analyses at the proposed continental shelf sites (primary Sites EBOCS-01D, EBOCS-02B, EBOCS-03C, and EB-OCS-04B), combined with seismic stratigraphic correlations, will identify deposition under grounded ice, glacial marine, and openmarine conditions, following ANDRILL/CRP methodology <ref type="bibr">(Fielding et al., 2000</ref><ref type="bibr">(Fielding et al., , 2011;;</ref><ref type="bibr">McKay et al., 2009;</ref><ref type="bibr">Passchier et al., 2011;</ref><ref type="bibr">Powell and Cooper, 2002)</ref>. Magneto-, bio-, and tephrochronology will enable identification of orbital-scale ice sheet variations and have been employed in discontinuous Antarctic margin sequences <ref type="bibr">(Florindo et al., 2003</ref><ref type="bibr">(Florindo et al., , 2005;;</ref><ref type="bibr">Tauxe et al., 2012;</ref><ref type="bibr">Wilson et al., 2012) (Figure F4)</ref>. Furthermore, new quantitative techniques have greatly enhanced the biostratigraphic framework of the Southern Ocean <ref type="bibr">(Cody et al., 2012</ref><ref type="bibr">(Cody et al., , 2008;;</ref><ref type="bibr">Crampton et al., 2016)</ref>. Glacially reworked volcanic clasts <ref type="bibr">(Wilson et al., 2012)</ref> and radiometrically datable felsic ashes from Marie Byrd Land may be used to provide maximum ages <ref type="bibr">(Wilch et al., 1999)</ref>. Climate snapshots near magnetic reversals will be targeted (cf. the M2 glacial in Figure <ref type="figure">F4</ref>) because these events can be traced to more continuous records from the continental rise (proposed primary Sites RSCR-11A and RSCR-02B) and global sea level records (Figure <ref type="figure">F10</ref>). Sediment provenance studies (clast/sand petrology and Nd-, Sr-, and Pb-isotopic analysis) at proposed Sites EBOCS-01D through EBOCS-04B will enable understanding of the changes in the origin of sediments (e.g., local ice caps vs. ice sheet expansion) (Figure <ref type="figure">F8</ref>) <ref type="bibr">(Cook et al., 2013;</ref><ref type="bibr">Licht et al., 2005)</ref>. As with all objectives, data integration with modeling studies will be undertaken (cf. Figure <ref type="figure">F4</ref>) <ref type="bibr">(DeConto and Pollard, 2016;</ref><ref type="bibr">Gasson et al., 2016;</ref><ref type="bibr">Golledge et al., 2012;</ref><ref type="bibr">Wilson et al., 2013)</ref>.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head n="2.">Reconstruct ice-proximal atmospheric and oceanic temperatures</head><p>to identify past polar amplification and assess its forcings/feedbacks</p><p>Obtaining atmospheric and ocean temperatures from the proposed Expedition 374 drill sites will enable the paleoclimate community to address the following key scientific questions:</p><p>&#8226; Were polar temperatures sensitive to the low-amplitude variations in Neogene atmospheric pCO 2 ? &#8226; Were Neogene ocean and atmospheric temperatures at Antarctica's margin amplified relative to the global mean, and if so, what were the forcings? &#8226; How did ocean temperatures evolve as Antarctica's ice sheets expanded and contracted during major Neogene climate transitions and on orbital timescales?</p><p>Although ANDRILL's records provide important archives of high-latitude oceanic conditions, they only provide snapshots of temperature and sea ice conditions through interglacials, when these sites were not covered by ice <ref type="bibr">(McKay et al., 2012a;</ref><ref type="bibr">Warny et al., 2009)</ref>. In contrast, proposed primary Sites EBOCS-01D to EB-OCS-04B will likely provide intervals of more continuous sedimentation (albeit with some periods of erosion during large glaciations) because they are farther out on the margin and overridden by ice less frequently <ref type="bibr">(Bart et al., 2011;</ref><ref type="bibr">Pollard and DeConto, 2009)</ref>. Nearcontinuous records of oceanographic change are anticipated at the proposed continental rise sites (RSCR sites), providing high-latitude (~60&#176;S) information on Neogene ocean and atmospheric temperatures, meltwater input, and bottom water production.</p><p>Facies analysis will be used to reconstruct glacial thermal regimes and glacial cyclicity (cf. <ref type="bibr">Naish et al., 2009;</ref><ref type="bibr">McKay et al., 2009)</ref>, whereas diatom census counts, palynology, organic biomarkers (e.g., <ref type="bibr">TEX86 and BIT index;</ref><ref type="bibr">cf. McKay et al., 2012a)</ref>, and redox-sensitive metals (e.g., Mn, U, Re, and Mo for paleoproductivity, along with monitoring alteration of the biomarkers by methanogenesis and shifting redox boundaries) provide insights into high-latitude climate. Carbonate (e.g., calcareous nannofossils/foraminifers) may also be present in late Pleistocene interglacial sequences (e.g., <ref type="bibr">Escutia, Brinkhuis, Klaus, and the Expedition 318 Scientists, 2011;</ref><ref type="bibr">Scherer et al., 2008;</ref><ref type="bibr">Theissen et al., 2003;</ref><ref type="bibr">Villa et al., 2008)</ref>. In the lower to middle Miocene, biogenic carbonate is more common in the Southern Ocean and Antarctica's margins (Figure <ref type="figure">F5</ref>) <ref type="bibr">(Escutia, Brinkhuis, Klaus, and the Expedition 318 Scientists, 2011;</ref><ref type="bibr">Exon, Kennett, Malone, et al., 2001;</ref><ref type="bibr">Fielding et al., 2011;</ref><ref type="bibr">Hayes et al., 1975;</ref><ref type="bibr">Kennett and Barker, 1990;</ref><ref type="bibr">Shevenell et al., 2004)</ref>, making stable isotope (&#948; 18 O and &#948; 13 C), trace element (e.g., Mg/Ca, Li/Ca, U/Ca, Ba/Ca, and B/Ca), and clumped isotope analyses possible, with careful consideration of proxy strengths/weaknesses in a marginal marine setting.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head n="3.">Assess the role of oceanic forcing (e.g., sea level and temperature) on WAIS stability/instability</head><p>WAIS collapse events during past warmer-than-present climates may be the consequence of intensified ocean-cryosphere interactions <ref type="bibr">(Naish et al., 2009;</ref><ref type="bibr">Pollard and DeConto, 2009)</ref>. Interactions between the wind-driven upwelling of warm CDW and the ice shelves that buttress the WAIS appear to play a significant role in modern ice mass loss in West Antarctica <ref type="bibr">(Joughin et al., 2012;</ref><ref type="bibr">Mercer, 1978;</ref><ref type="bibr">Pritchard et al., 2012;</ref><ref type="bibr">Shepherd et al., 2012)</ref>. Observations and numerical ice sheet models suggest that changes in ocean heat flux are the key factor influencing the stability/instability of the WAIS (DeConto and <ref type="bibr">Pollard, 2016;</ref><ref type="bibr">Golledge et al., 2012;</ref><ref type="bibr">Pritchard et al., 2012)</ref>. We postulate that changes in either the formation of Antarctic Surface and Deep Waters or the vigor of the wind-driven ASC control incursions of CDW and thus WAIS retreats (Figure <ref type="figure">F7</ref>). This expedition aims to test this hypothesis by assessing changes in these two variables (from grain size and facies analysis of sediment drifts on the continental rise, e.g., proposed primary Sites RSCR-02B and RSCR-11A) and ice sheet extent in the Ross Embayment (proposed primary Sites EBOCS-01D to EBOCS-04B and ANDRILL).</p><p>The Ross Sea is also one of the three main sources of AABW that feeds the abyssal ocean (to become Southern Component Water <ref type="bibr">[SCW]</ref>). In the middle Miocene, benthic foraminifer &#948; 13 C indicates changes in the relative input of SCW and Northern Component Water into the global ocean <ref type="bibr">(Cramer et al., 2009;</ref><ref type="bibr">Shevenell et al., 2004;</ref><ref type="bibr">Woodruff and Savin, 1985;</ref><ref type="bibr">Wright et al., 1991)</ref>. Newer proxies, such as Nd isotopes, are now used to further refine the geographic source (e.g., <ref type="bibr">Newkirk and Martin, 2009;</ref><ref type="bibr">Scher and Martin, 2006)</ref>. Thus, it is anticipated that the records obtained during this drilling program and comparison to far-field records will provide insight into temporal changes in SCW production through the Neogene <ref type="bibr">(Flower and Kennett, 1994;</ref><ref type="bibr">Hodell and Venz-Curtis, 2006;</ref><ref type="bibr">Vincent and Berger, 1985)</ref>.</p><p>Paleocurrent strength associated with past ASC changes will be reconstructed by examining the sedimentologic (e.g., facies analysis and grain size) and magnetic characteristics of continental rise sites (e.g., <ref type="bibr">Bianchi et al., 1999;</ref><ref type="bibr">Hall et al., 2001;</ref><ref type="bibr">Joseph et al., 2004;</ref><ref type="bibr">Prins et al., 2002)</ref>. Micropaleontological, geochemical, and sedimentological records from drill cores from all Expedition 374 sites will provide reconstructions of changing regional surface conditions (e.g., sea ice, surface stratification, sea-surface temperatures [SSTs], polynya mixing, glacial meltwater discharge, nutrient uptake, and supercooling of dense waters by ice shelves) proximal to Antarctica's ice sheets (e.g., <ref type="bibr">Houben et al., 2013;</ref><ref type="bibr">Levy et al., 2016;</ref><ref type="bibr">McKay et al., 2012a;</ref><ref type="bibr">Shevenell et al., 2011)</ref> and thus AASW (and SCW) formation. Additionally, downslope currents resulting from the transfer of High-Salinity Shelf Water into the abyssal ocean can also be assessed (and distinguished from ASC flow) by integrated facies analysis, geochemistry, micropaleontology, and seismic profiles (e.g., <ref type="bibr">Caburlotto et al., 2010;</ref><ref type="bibr">Hepp et al., 2006;</ref><ref type="bibr">Lucchi and Rebesco, 2007)</ref> at primary Sites RSCR-11A and RSCR-02B. Carbonate-based paleotemperature and carbonate ion proxies (e.g., foraminiferal Mg/Ca, Li/Ca, U/Ca, and clumped isotopes) will also be applied if appropriate species are preserved (see Objective 2).</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head n="4.">Identify the sensitivity of WAIS to Earth's orbital configuration under a variety of climate boundary conditions</head><p>Fundamental questions remain about the orbital pacing of Antarctic ice sheet development and variability. The Ross Sea Expedition 374 sequences may shed light on (1) the absence of the 20 ky precession cycle in benthic &#948; 18 O records (Figure <ref type="figure">F4</ref>) <ref type="bibr">(Huybers, 2006;</ref><ref type="bibr">Lisiecki and Raymo, 2005;</ref><ref type="bibr">Raymo et al., 2006)</ref> and ( <ref type="formula">2</ref>) the origin of transient shifts in the sensitivity of Earth's climate system to orbital forcing (e.g., 40-100 ky dominated frequencies) in the middle Miocene <ref type="bibr">(Shevenell et al., 2004)</ref> and Pliocene-Pleistocene <ref type="bibr">(Tzedakis et al., 2017)</ref>.</p><p>A recent hypothesis suggests that the last such shift in Earth's history (the mid-Pleistocene transition) was initiated by an abrupt increase in Antarctic ice volume <ref type="bibr">(Elderfield et al., 2012)</ref>. This hypothesis may be tested by identifying and dating grounding events on the outer Ross Sea continental shelf (proposed primary Site EB-OCS-04B). If the dominant frequency of Antarctic ice sheet advance and retreat shifted from 40 to 100 ky at 0.8 Ma, records from this sensitive region will likely record this transition.</p><p>Recent evidence from ice-proximal drill sites indicates that Antarctic ice sheets did advance and retreat with 40 and 100 ky cyclicity in the Neogene <ref type="bibr">(Gr&#252;tzner et al., 2003;</ref><ref type="bibr">Naish et al., 2009;</ref><ref type="bibr">Patterson et al., 2014;</ref><ref type="bibr">Williams and Handwerger, 2005)</ref>. However, these records are from single locations. We envision a more complete picture of the forcings and feedbacks involved with ice advance and retreat from our outer shelf to slope/rise transect. Sedimentologic analyses (complimented by downhole logs) will enable development of an orbital-scale continental shelf-to-rise sequence stratigraphy of glacial advance and retreat (all Expedition 374 sites; see Objective 1). Additional micropaleontologic, inorganic and organic geochemistry (e.g., &#948; 18 O, &#948; 13 C, &#948; 30 Si, and Nd), minor and trace elements (X-ray fluorescence and discrete samples), and organic biomarkers may be used to assess associated frequencies of change in the continental rise sites (RSCR-01B and RSCR-02B).</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head n="5.">Reconstruct eastern Ross Sea bathymetry to examine relationships between seafloor geometry, ice sheet stability/instability, and global climate</head><p>The transition from a terrestrial (or shallow marine)-based West Antarctica with a seaward-dipping shallow continental shelf to that of the modern overdeepened (i.e., landward-dipping) continental shelf would have a first order control on Antarctic ice sheet volume and mass balance <ref type="bibr">(Gasson et al., 2016;</ref><ref type="bibr">Wilson et al., 2013)</ref>. First, the cooling threshold for the development of a terrestrial-based ice sheet is lower than that of a marine-based ice sheet, which is highly sensitive to changes in oceanic heat flux (Figure <ref type="figure">F4</ref>) <ref type="bibr">(Golledge et al., 2012;</ref><ref type="bibr">Pollard and DeConto, 2009)</ref>. A terrestrial (or shallow marine) West Antarctica may have supported a larger ice sheet in warmerthan-present climates, whereas overdeepening of the continental shelves may have resulted in a smaller ice sheet with less frequent ice sheet advances, as hypothesized for the Antarctic Peninsula (e.g., <ref type="bibr">Bart and Iwai, 2012)</ref>. Ice sheet models indicate that a largely terrestrial West Antarctica could accommodate an extra ~13 million km 2 of grounded ice in the warmer-than-present climates of the Eocene (~30 m SLE; Figure <ref type="figure">F4</ref>) <ref type="bibr">(Wilson et al., 2013)</ref>. Therefore, constraining the timing of overdeepening in the Ross Sea is critical to reconcile far-field records of eustatic sea level variance into the late Neogene (see Objective 1).</p><p>The timing of Ross Sea shelf overdeepening is currently unconstrained. However, the Ross Sea has the most developed seismic framework in Antarctica and the highest resolution history of WAIS variability currently available (ANDRILL), making this location ideal for achieving this objective. Dating of Unconformities RSU3 and RSU2 (Figure <ref type="figure">F6</ref>) at proposed primary Sites EBOCS-02B and EBOCS-03C in the eastern Ross Sea (via methodologies in Objective 1) will constrain the timing of this overdeepening (Figure <ref type="figure">F8</ref>).</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Drilling and coring strategy</head></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Proposed drill sites</head><p>We plan to drill a total of six primary sites, four on the continental shelf and two on the continental slope or rise (Table <ref type="table">T2</ref>). These sites comprise both a depth (present water depths of 490 to 2400 m) and latitudinal transect, with links to ANDRILL and DSDP drilling (78&#176; to 74&#176;S). We expect to recover lower Miocene to present sequences (Tables <ref type="table">T1,</ref><ref type="table">T2</ref>) of subglacial, glaciomarine, and open-marine/pelagic sediments with macrofossils, microfossils, and organic material that will enable the development of sedimentological and geochemical proxy records. Our operations plan is prioritized to maximize objectives in case we do not have time to core at all primary sites (Table <ref type="table">T3</ref>). We also have eight alternate sites (Table <ref type="table">T4</ref>) that can be occupied if any of the primary sites are ice covered. We will be adding additional alternate sites in an addendum to this Scientific Prospectus.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Continental shelf (EBOCS) sites</head><p>We propose four primary continental shelf sites: EBOCS-01D, EBOCS-02B, EBOCS-03C, and EBOCS-04B. High-quality AN-DRILL core material covering WAIS minima from the inner continental shelf will be integrated with our sites to provide a stratigraphic framework unmatched elsewhere in Antarctica. This integrated framework will enable us to constrain the spatial extent of Neogene glacial advance events across the Ross Sea and determine if these events are isochronous. Major hiatuses are likely to occur in continental shelf sequences, but the existing sediments provide critical snapshots into past interglacial intervals. The timing of major hiatuses will allow us to determine if widespread WAIS advances coincided with major global cooling steps (e.g., <ref type="bibr">Anderson, 1999;</ref><ref type="bibr">Zachos et al., 2001;</ref><ref type="bibr">Bart, 2003;</ref><ref type="bibr">Naish et al., 2009;</ref><ref type="bibr">Passchier et al., 2011;</ref><ref type="bibr">Fielding et al., 2011;</ref><ref type="bibr">Bart et al., 2011)</ref>.</p><p>Proposed primary Site EBOCS-01D is located on the mid-to outer shelf near a northeast-southwest oriented paleotrough (Fig- <ref type="figure">ure F8</ref>) and will penetrate the oldest strata overlying Unconformity RSU4 (middle Miocene) to establish the timing of the first expansion of marine-based ice streams into the Ross Sea (Figure <ref type="figure">F9</ref>). The paleotrough orientation suggests that these streams may be of EAIS origin <ref type="bibr">(De Santis et al., 1995)</ref> and the provenance of till associated with this unconformity will establish the geographic origin of these ice streams. Above Unconformity RSU4, the acoustic facies at Site EBOCS-01D indicates the presence of layered units (similar to those cored at Sites 270 and 272) that are likely glaciomarine and contain abundant terrestrial and marine biogenic material useful for dating and environmental reconstructions. These units lie between acoustically opaque (till) tongues that may provide direct evidence of ice sheet grounding onto the outer Ross Sea continental shelf during the middle to late Miocene (Objectives 1 and 4) (Figure <ref type="figure">F9</ref>). Site EBOCS-01D will also recover a climatic/ice sheet record of the MMCO (17-15 Ma) below Unconformity RSU4. The layered strata below Unconformity RSU4 are likely glaciomarine ice-proximal to ice-distal MMCO-aged deposits (Objective 2). Proposed alternate Site EBOCS-05A would recover a younger glaciomarine section below Unconformity RSU4, although Site EBOCS-01D is prioritized because it enables recovery of the section immediately overlying Unconformity RSU4. Proposed primary Site EBOCS-02B (~70 km east of Site EBOCS-01D) has similar objectives but targets a thicker and younger (late Miocene?) interval of layered glaciomarine strata above Unconformity RSU4.</p><p>Proposed primary Site EBOCS-03C is located at the shelf break during the middle Miocene (Figure <ref type="figure">F8</ref>) and is designed to recover a post-Unconformity RSU4 sedimentary sequence that spans the MMCT to the Pleistocene (Unconformities RSU3 to RSU1) (Figure <ref type="figure">F6</ref>). It targets laminated and massive acoustic facies interpreted as interlayered glaciomarine/open-marine mudstones and massive diamictites (tills) (Figure <ref type="figure">F10</ref>). The massive facies display wedgelike or channel structures consistent with deposition and erosion by streaming ice (Objectives 1 and 4) (Figure <ref type="figure">F10</ref>). The primary objectives at this site are to date WAIS advances associated with Unconformities RSU3 and RSU2 (Objective 1) and to constrain the timing of the Ross Sea overdeepening (Objective 5). The glaciomarine mudstones are anticipated to be biogenic rich, enabling paleoenvironmental reconstructions for late Miocene to Pleistocene interglacials (Objective 2). Proposed alternate Site EBOCS-06A would achieve the same objectives.</p><p>Proposed primary Site EBOCS-04B will recover a Pliocene-Pleistocene sequence to date Unconformities RSU2 and RSU1. The upper ~140 m of sediment consists of tabular units interpreted as aggradational subglacial till sheets deposited by a grounded ice sheet during the late Pleistocene (Figure <ref type="figure">F10</ref>) <ref type="bibr">(De Santis et al., 1995)</ref>. Underlying the till sheets is ~40 m of acoustically laminated facies interpreted as glaciomarine or hemipelagic sediments and ~40 m of massive facies directly overlying Unconformity RSU1 (&lt;0.7 Ma?). The sedimentary succession underlying the Pleistocene till sheets is progradational and hypothesized to represent interlayered subglacial till and glaciomarine/hemipelagic sediments of early to late Pliocene age. This site will enable us to determine if ice sheet overriding events observed at Site AND-1B advanced to the shelf edge, allowing determination of Antarctic ice sheet contribution to Pliocene sea level lowstands (Objective 1) <ref type="bibr">(Naish et al., 2009;</ref><ref type="bibr">Miller et al., 2012)</ref>. Glaciomarine deposits at this site will allow reconstruction of paleoceanographic and paleoecological conditions at the outermost Ross Sea continental shelf (Objective 2). We anticipate that these sequences will provide insights to the orbital controls on marine-based ice sheet extent (Objective 4). Proposed alternate Site EBOCS-07C would achieve the same objectives.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Continental slope/rise (RSCR) sites</head><p>We propose two primary continental slope/rise sites: RSCR-02B and RSCR-11A (Figure <ref type="figure">F11</ref>). Sediment deposition on Antarctica's continental rises results from the interplay among (1) downslope marine sediment gravity flows (turbidity currents) triggered by glacial meltwater discharge and/or subglacial transport <ref type="bibr">(Lucchi et al., 2007)</ref>, ( <ref type="formula">2</ref>) along-slope transport (contour currents), (3) biogenic sedimentation <ref type="bibr">(Escutia, Brinkhuis, Klaus, and the Expedition 318 Scientists, 2011)</ref>, and (4) iceberg rafting (Anderson 1999; <ref type="bibr">Williams et al., 2012;</ref><ref type="bibr">Passchier et al., 2011)</ref>  <ref type="bibr">(Florindo et al., 2003;</ref><ref type="bibr">Escutia, Brinkhuis, Klaus, and the Expedition 318 Scientists, 2011;</ref><ref type="bibr">Tauxe et al., 2012)</ref> and provide records of EAIS retreat events <ref type="bibr">(Passchier et al., 2011;</ref><ref type="bibr">Cook et al., 2013)</ref>. However, these locations do not offer paired high-resolution Neogene continental shelf records suitable for reconstructing the oceanographic response/drivers for changes in ice sheet extent.</p><p>Proposed primary Site RSCR-02B is located in 2550 m of water on the upper continental rise near the western levee of a channel system at the head of the Hillary Canyon (Figure <ref type="figure">F11</ref>), which is one of the main AAWB outflows in the central Ross Sea (Figure <ref type="figure">F7</ref>) <ref type="bibr">(Orsi and Wiederwohl, 2009)</ref>. This site is designed to penetrate sediments above and below Unconformity RSU3 but with no major hiatus between Unconformities RSU2 and RSU3. The fine-grained component of overbank deposits is expected to be interstratified with bioturbated hemipelagic sediments during periods of reduced turbidity current activity. This site will provide a mostly continuous record of overbank turbidite (i.e., nonerosive) deposition that should reflect late Neogene changes in SCW formation, ASC flow, and ice sheet advance to the shelf edge (Figures <ref type="figure">F7,</ref><ref type="figure">F10</ref>). Three proposed alternate sites (RSCR-01B, RSCR-03A, and RSCR-10A) would achieve the same objectives.</p><p>Proposed primary Site RSCR-11A is located on Iselin Bank outside of the Eastern Basin (Figure <ref type="figure">F11</ref>) but will provide an important regional constraint for ASC and help distinguish local from regional processes (Objectives 2 and 3). It is also a drift deposit on the upper slope (in 1534 m of water) and will thus complement the deeper water Site RSCR-02B with a broader geographic context. Site RSCR-11A targets Pliocene-Pleistocene deposits and will recover a highresolution record of oceanographic change at the shelf edge. The oceanographic connection at this site with the shelf (EBOCS) sites is very strong, despite the geographic disconnect. The more westerly location of this site will also link directly with the benchmark Site AND-1B core in the western Ross Sea. Proposed alternate Sites RSCR-08C and RSCR-12B would achieve similar objectives.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Operations plan</head><p>The overall operations plan and time estimates for Expedition 374 are summarized in Table <ref type="table">T3</ref>. After departing Wellington, New Zealand, we will transit for ~6 days to the rendezvous point with the R/V Nathaniel B. Palmer. This ship will escort us for ~2 days through the sea ice to the Ross Sea polynya, where we will prepare for coring operations on the continental shelf. Our operations plan is designed to maximize achievement of scientific objectives rather than minimize transit, so we plan to conduct coring operations at three shelf sites, followed by coring at two slope/rise sites. We will then return to the shelf to core the final shelf site. However, the actual order of operations will be dictated by ice and weather conditions, and alternate sites (Table <ref type="table">T4</ref>) may be occupied if primary sites are covered by ice (see Risks and contingency). The operations plan and time estimates are based on prior DSDP drilling in the region, together with formations and depths inferred from regional seismic stratigraphy.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Shelf (EBOCS) sites</head><p>The operations plan includes a single rotary core barrel (RCB) hole to total depth (500-950 mbsf ) at each of the primary shelf sites due to the overconsolidated nature of anticipated glaciomarine and subglacial diamictites and presence of boulders in surficial sediments. Ross Sea continental shelf sediments, including Quaternary sediments, are typically lithified muddy diamictites/mudstones (e.g., Site 270 and both ANDRILL holes) <ref type="bibr">(Barrett, 1975;</ref><ref type="bibr">McKay et al., 2009;</ref><ref type="bibr">Passchier et al., 2011)</ref>. Although drilling unconsolidated diamict is difficult and may result in poor recovery, drilling lithified glacial sediment with an indurated mud matrix is easier because it is homogeneous and cohesive. If rotary coring indicates the lithologies in the upper sections of any the shelf sites (in particular the Pliocene-Pleistocene in Sites EBOCS-03C and EBOCS-04B) are suitable for piston coring, we may core a second hole using the APC and/or half-length APC (HLAPC) systems together with the extended core barrel (XCB) system through more indurated intervals to recover a more complete section. Note that the use of the APC/HLAPC system at any of the shelf sites would be at the expense of other planned operations and would require either coring fewer sites (e.g., not coring at Site EBOCS-02B) or decreasing total penetration depth at one or more sites. Following completion of coring, we will condition the hole for downhole logging.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Slope/rise (RSCR) sites</head><p>The operations plan for the slope/rise sites includes two APC holes to refusal (estimated at 250 mbsf ). At Site RSCR-11A, we will then use the XCB coring system to extend the second hole to total depth (500 mbsf ). Because penetration to 1000 mbsf is proposed for Site RSCR-02B, a third hole will consist of an RCB hole to total depth. Following completion of coring, we will condition the final hole at each site for downhole logging measurements.</p><p>Upon completion of coring/logging operations at the last site, we will transit ~7 days back to Wellington, New Zealand.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Downhole measurements strategy</head></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Wireline logging</head><p>The downhole measurements plan for Expedition 374 aims to provide continuous stratigraphic coverage of in situ formation properties at all primary drilling sites. Downhole logging data will provide the only stratigraphic data where core recovery is incomplete, which is likely when sites are single-cored with XCB and RCB coring and in the challenging coring conditions of the continental shelf. As demonstrated by <ref type="bibr">Williams et al. (2012)</ref> for ANDRILL, downhole logging allows a complete lithostratigraphy to be developed, and holes are generally stable for logging on the shelf and rise (e.g., Escutia, Brinkhuis, Klaus, and the Expedition 318 Scientists, 2011; <ref type="bibr">Williams et al., 2012)</ref>. This approach was also used in Prydz Bay (ODP Site 1166), where recovery was only 18% due to mostly sandy lithologies in the Oligocene sequences <ref type="bibr">(Cooper and O'Brien, 2004)</ref>.</p><p>The three standard IODP tool strings will be deployed at each logged site if conditions and time permit (Table <ref type="table">T2</ref>). The first run will be the triple combo tool string, which logs formation resistivity, density, porosity, natural gamma radiation (NGR), and borehole diameter. The General Purpose Inclinometry Tool (GPIT) will be added to the triple combo because it includes a fluxgate magnetometer. We will also likely deploy the Lamont-Doherty magnetic susceptibility sonde (MSS) with the triple combo to provide magnetic field and susceptibility information. The borehole diameter log provided by the caliper on the density tool will allow assessment of hole conditions (e.g., washouts of sandy beds), log quality, and the potential for success of the following runs.</p><p>The second logging run will be the Formation MicroScanner (FMS)-sonic tool string, which provides an oriented resistivity image of the borehole wall and logs formation acoustic velocity, NGR, GPIT magnetometry, and borehole diameter. To provide a link between borehole stratigraphy and the seismic section, sonic velocity and density data can be combined to generate synthetic seismograms for detailed well-seismic correlations. If time and hole conditions allow, the third run will consist of a check shot survey using the Versatile Seismic Imager (VSI) with a station spacing of ~50-100 m where the borehole diameter is narrow enough to give good coupling of the tool's geophone with the borehole wall. The objective is to directly establish the link between lithostratigraphic depths in the borehole and reflectors in the seismic profiles. The seismic source for the check shots will be either a generator-injector (GI) air gun (most suitable for the shelf sites) or two 250 inch 3  Sercel G guns in parallel clusters 1 m apart (most suitable for slope/rise sites). Deployment of the seismic source is subject to the IODP marine mammal policy; the check shot survey would have to be postponed or canceled if policy conditions are not met. Details of the logging tools are available at <ref type="url">http://iodp.ldeo.colum-</ref>bia.edu/TOOLS_LABS/tools.html.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Downhole temperature measurements</head><p>Temperature measurements are planned for all sites with APC coring to reconstruct the thermal gradient at each location. Typically, ~3-5 measurements are made in one hole per site using the advanced piston corer temperature tool (APCT-3), potentially supplemented by the Sediment Temperature Tool (SET) if necessary where sediments are more consolidated.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Risks and contingency</head><p>There have been extensive shallow coring and seismic survey expeditions in the Ross Sea over the last few decades, and weather and sea ice conditions in those waters are well understood. There have also been significant improvements in coring technology since DSDP Leg 28, which cored in the Ross Sea in 1973. Specifically, the JOIDES Resolution has improved dynamic positioning and heave compensation. New drill bit technology and advances in bottomhole assembly technology also give drillers more options to improve core recovery and core quality in glacial diamicts. Continuous recovery is not required to achieve our paleoceanographic scientific objectives at the proposed continental shelf (EBOCS) sites. Core recovery for sites on the continental slope and rise (RSCR) should be comparable with that of lower latitude paleoceanographic conditions and will hopefully allow for recovery of complete or nearly complete stratigraphic sections in the upper part of the stratigraphy.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Ice conditions</head><p>Extensive sea ice-free conditions occur in the vicinity of the continental shelf sites from January to mid-February within the Ross Sea polynya. To gain entrance to the polynya, we have arranged to meet the Nathaniel B. Palmer near the ice edge on 15 January 2018. The icebreaker will escort us through the sea ice to the open waters of the polynya. In addition, the Nathaniel B. Palmer will be operating within 2 days of our position throughout our operations in the Ross Sea should we require assistance. The Nathaniel B. Palmer must depart the Ross Sea no later than 24 February if we require an escort out of the polynya. The JOIDES Resolution captain will assess the sea ice conditions by 19 February to determine if we must exit with Nathaniel B. Palmer support or if we can continue operations in the polynya after the Nathaniel B. Palmer's departure.</p><p>To maximize achievement of the expedition scientific objectives regardless of sea ice conditions in the Ross Sea, we have included a number of alternate sites that can be occupied should the primary sites be ice covered. We will also include additional alternate sites in an addendum to this Scientific Prospectus once the sites have been approved at all levels of the IODP Science Advisory Structure. We note that the sea ice-free season is shorter and less predictable near continental slope/rise Sites RSCR-11B and RSCR-02B. If we can access these sites, the rim of sea ice will act to dampen local wave heights, which will reduce ship heave and enhance core recovery. We include western Ross Sea continental rise alternate sites in a more ice-free setting that should achieve similar scientific objectives should the primary sites be ice covered.</p><p>Icebergs pose an additional threat to drilling operations and will require the JOIDES Resolution to move off station if an iceberg approaches a site location. In these instances, we will deploy a free-fall funnel (FFF) to allow for hole reentry after the iceberg passes.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Coring in glacial sediment</head><p>Core recovery from ship-based drilling on Antarctica's continental shelves has been variable and is primarily affected by the nature of the sediment and adverse weather and ice conditions. Previous drilling during Leg 28 demonstrated that reasonably good core recovery is possible (up to 67% for that expedition) for the proposed Ross Sea sites. On the continental shelf, recovery is likely to be lowest in the upper ~50 mbsf. Below that depth, the driller can use weight on bit to help stabilize drilling and improve core recovery. Less consolidated sediment will be more difficult to recover, which may particularly impact the Pliocene-Pleistocene sequences at Site EBOCS-04B. Heave in the Ross Sea should be lower than other Antarctic regions (e.g., Prydz Bay, Wilkes Land, and the Antarctic Peninsula) due to reduced storm frequency in the Ross Sea sector and the dampening influence of sea ice north of the Ross Sea polynya.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Other operational risks</head><p>The proposed penetration at some sites (up to 1000 mbsf) presents several challenges for successful drilling. Hole stability is always a risk during coring operations, and the risk increases with longer open hole sections. Casing long open-hole sections (especially over intervals of unconsolidated sediment) is the best way to mitigate this risk, but we do not plan to case any holes during this expedition. Casing adds a significant amount of operational time and would also be compromised if ice approached the site. Instead, we will use drilling mud to help stabilize the open hole, although lower annular velocities will make hole cleaning more challenging in the deeper sections of these holes. Increasing flow rates to clean the hole could result in washing out unconsolidated sections in the upper part of the hole. This could lead to hole stability problems toward the end of drilling and during logging operations.</p><p>We will likely need to deploy a FFF for some holes in order to allow reentry capability if we have to move off site during coring operations. There are several risks associated with FFF deployment. The FFF can be dislodged while pulling out of the hole or can become buried or impossible to use for reentry. The use of a FFF also leaves the open-hole section open for a longer duration, which can contribute to hole stability problems.</p><p>A stuck drill string is always a risk during coring operations and can consume expedition time with attempts to free the stuck drill string. If the drill string cannot be extracted, then additional time is spent to sever the stuck pipe. This process can result in the complete loss of the hole, lost equipment, and lost time while starting a new hole. The JOIDES Resolution carries sufficient spare drilling equipment to enable the continuation of coring, but the time lost to the expedition can be significant.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Downhole logging risks</head><p>There are a few risks involved in any downhole logging operations. First, the upper parts of the holes have been open longer before logging, and high levels of fluid circulation might have been used to raise the cuttings and clear the hole. Therefore, the hole could be washed out (wide) over intervals through unconsolidated sediment, and log quality will be reduced for those tools that need good contact with the borehole wall (density, porosity, FMS resistivity images, and VSI check shots). Second, there is a risk of bridging where the hole closes up. This bridging would mean either not reaching the total depth of the hole or, in the worst case scenario, getting a tool string stuck in the hole. A good guide to this will be the conditions encountered during drilling and a wiper trip before logging. If the risk is considered to be significant, the radioactive source will be left out of the density tool.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Sampling and data sharing strategy</head><p>Shipboard and shore-based researchers should refer to the IODP Sample, Data, and Obligations policy (<ref type="url">http://www.iodp.org/topresources/program-documents/policies-and-guidelines</ref>). This document outlines the policy for distributing IODP samples and data to research scientists, curators, and educators. The document also defines the obligations that sample and data recipients incur.</p><p>The Sample Allocation Committee (SAC) must approve all requests for core samples and data. The SAC is composed of the Co-Chief Scientists, Expedition Project Manager, and IODP Curator on shore or curatorial representative on board the ship. The SAC will work with the entire scientific party to formulate a formal expedition-specific sampling plan for shipboard and postexpedition sampling.</p><p>Scientists are expected to submit sample and data requests using the Sample and Data Request Database (<ref type="url">http://iodp.tamu.edu/ sdrm</ref>) several months before the beginning of the expedition. Based on shipboard and shore-based research plans submitted by this deadline, the SAC will prepare a tentative sampling plan that will be revised on the ship as dictated by recovery and expedition objectives. The sampling plan will be subject to modification depending upon the actual material recovered and collaborations that may evolve between scientists during the expedition. Modification of the strategy during the expedition must be approved by the SAC.</p><p>The minimum permanent archive will be the standard archive half of each core. All sample frequencies and sizes must be justified on a scientific basis and will depend on core recovery, the full spectrum of other requests, and the expedition objectives. Some redundancy of measurement is unavoidable, but minimizing the duplication of measurements among the shipboard party and identified shore-based collaborators will be a factor in evaluating sample requests.</p><p>If some critical intervals are recovered, there may be considerable demand for samples from a limited amount of cored material. These intervals may require special handling, a higher sampling density, reduced sample size, or continuous core sampling for the highest priority research objectives.</p><p>Following Expedition 374, cores will be delivered to the IODP Gulf Coast Repository in College Station, Texas (USA). All collected data and samples will be protected by a 1 y moratorium period following the completion of the postexpedition sampling meeting, during which time data and samples will be available only to the Expedition 374 science party and approved shore-based participants.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Expedition scientists and scientific participants</head><p>The current list of participants for Expedition 374 can be found at <ref type="url">http://iodp.tamu.edu/scienceops/expeditions/ross_-</ref>sea_ice_sheet_history.html.      <ref type="bibr">(Zachos et al., 2001)</ref>. C. Long-term trend in deep-sea temperature through the Cenozoic based on removal of the ice volume component of the benthic &#948; 18 O record using sequence stratigraphic records (black line with gray uncertainty band) and Mg/Ca estimates of deep-sea temperatures <ref type="bibr">(Cramer et al., 2009)</ref> and scaled &#948; 18 O for the past 10 My <ref type="bibr">(Miller et al., 2011)</ref>. D. Reconstruction of sea level lowstands (i.e., black lines) with minimum uncertainty ranges (gray shading) and smoothed trend (black dotted line) using sequence stratigraphy for the New Jersey margin. Sea levels &gt;70 m imply a significant tectonic component to this record, particularly prior to the Oligocene <ref type="bibr">(Kominz et al., 2008)</ref>.   <ref type="bibr">(Wilson et al., 2013)</ref>. Thus, the timing of Ross Sea overdeepening has important implications for sea level budgets and for understanding mass balance controls. G. The integration of sedimentologic data with modeling was key to the success of ANDRILL (blue circle). Despite discontinuous sedimentation, targeting time intervals with short duration magnetic reversals enabled orbital-scale WAIS reconstructions. Models indicate that grounded ice sheets occur at Expedition 374 sites (EBOCS-01 to 04; black circles) during periods of maximum Antarctic ice volume. These ice-proximal sites will enable the assessment of the Antarctic contributions to sea level lowstands, building significantly on the record of ANDRILL. Not all modeled glacial maxima are characterized by advance of ice to the continental shelf edge. (alternate) will recover a younger section below RSU4 (inferred to be deposited during the MMCO). Site EBOCS-02B will recover a higher resolution record of subglacial tills and glaciomarine meltwater outwash sediments above RSU4 (late Miocene?). Seismic line locations are shown in Figure <ref type="figure">F2</ref>.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Phytoplankton Boron</head></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>EBOCS-02B</head><p>EBOCS-01D  <ref type="table">272 72 72 2 2  72 72 72 2  72 72 2  72 2 2 2 2 2  72 2 2  72 72 2  7 72 72 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  7 7 72 72 72 2 2  7 7 72 2  (14 1 14 4 4 4 4  14 1  (14 4  (14 14  ( 4  ( (1 1 M</ref> </p><p>02 02 02 0 02 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 02 0 0 0 0 02 2 0 02 02 0 0 02  Figure <ref type="figure">F10</ref>. Stratigraphic linkages and targets for Sites EBOCS-03C (RSU3, RSU2, and RSU1) and 04B (RSU2 and RSU1; blue line). These reflectors may be traced from the shelf to continental slope/rise Sites RSCR-01B (alternate, shown) and 02B (not shown). On the continental slope, the onlapping reflectors above RSU3 (magenta) at alternate Site RSCR-01B (part A) are interpreted as the fine-grained distal component of a trough mouth fan, with reworking by along-slope currents, overlying a levee system (below RSU3). RSCR-02B (not shown) consists of levee deposits above and below RSU3 and is a more continuous Neogene to Quaternary record (see Site summaries for details). Seismic line locations are shown in Figure <ref type="figure">F2</ref>.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>Glacial delta</head><p>Eastern Basin </p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>EBOCS-03C</head><p>I06290-Y2C I06290-Y2A</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>I06290-Y2</head><p>Figure <ref type="figure">AF8</ref>. Contoured bathymetric maps showing location of proposed primary Site EBOCS-04B on seismic reflection Profiles PD90-30 (Figure <ref type="figure">AF9</ref>) and NBP9601-T16 (Figure <ref type="figure">A10</ref>). A. Bathymetry from <ref type="bibr">Davey (2004)</ref>. Contour interval = 25 m. B. Swath bathymetry collected during seismic survey cruises. </p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>I06290-X4 I06290-X4</head><p>LGM? </p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head>I06290-X4 I06290-X4</head><p>LGM?  </p></div></body>
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