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Title: Mid-Brunhes strengthening of the Indian Ocean Dipole caused increased equatorial East African and decreased Australasian rainfall: MID-BRUNHES INDIAN OCEAN DIPOLE
Award ID(s):
9986757
NSF-PAR ID:
10278037
Author(s) / Creator(s):
; ; ; ;
Date Published:
Journal Name:
Geophysical Research Letters
Volume:
37
Issue:
6
ISSN:
0094-8276
Page Range / eLocation ID:
n/a to n/a
Format(s):
Medium: X
Sponsoring Org:
National Science Foundation
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  1. Abstract

    In this study, the Indian Ocean upper-ocean variability associated with the subtropical Indian Ocean dipole (SIOD) is investigated. We find that the SIOD is associated with a prominent southwest–northeast sea level anomaly (SLA) dipole over the western-central south Indian Ocean, with the north pole located in the Seychelles–Chagos thermocline ridge (SCTR) and the south pole at southeast of Madagascar, which is different from the distribution of the sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA). While the thermocline depth and upper-ocean heat content anomalies mirror SLAs, the air–sea CO2 flux anomalies associated with SIOD are controlled by SSTA. In the SCTR region, the westward propagation of oceanic Rossby waves generated by anomalous winds over the eastern tropical Indian Ocean is the major cause for the SLAs, with cyclonic wind causing negative SLAs during positive SIOD (pSIOD). Local wind forcing is the primary driver for the SLAs southeast of Madagascar, with anticyclonic winds causing positive SLAs. Since the SIOD is correlated with ENSO, the relative roles of the SIOD and ENSO are examined. We find that while ENSO can induce significant SLAs in the SCTR region through an atmospheric bridge, it has negligible impact on the SLA to the southeast of Madagascar. By contrast, the SIOD with ENSO influence removed is associated with an opposite SLA in the SCTR and southeast of Madagascar, corresponding to the SLA dipole identified above. A new subtropical dipole mode index (SDMI) is proposed, which is uncorrelated with ENSO and thus better represents the pure SIOD effect.

     
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  2. Abstract

    Indian Ocean meridional heat transport (MHTIO) drives climate and ecosystem impacts, through changes to ocean temperature. Improved understanding of natural variability in tropical and subtropical MHTIOis needed to contextualize observations and future projections. Previous studies suggest that El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) can drive variability in MHTIO. However, it is unclear whether internally generated IOD can drive variability in MHTIO, or if the apparent relationship between IOD and MHTIOarises because both are modulated by ENSO. Here, we use a model experiment which dynamically removes ENSO to determine the role of internally forced IOD on MHTIO. We find that IOD is not linked to anomalies in MHTIO. Nevertheless, internal atmospheric variability drives significant MHTIOvariability. There is little evidence for decadal or multidecadal variability in MHTIO, suggesting this may be a region where an anthropogenic trend rises above the level of internal variability sooner.

     
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