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			<titleStmt><title level='a'>Shock-powered radio precursors of neutron star mergers from accelerating relativistic binary winds</title></titleStmt>
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				<publisher></publisher>
				<date>01/14/2021</date>
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				<bibl> 
					<idno type="par_id">10309742</idno>
					<idno type="doi">10.1093/mnras/staa3794</idno>
					<title level='j'>Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society</title>
<idno>0035-8711</idno>
<biblScope unit="volume">501</biblScope>
<biblScope unit="issue">3</biblScope>					

					<author>Navin Sridhar</author><author>Jonathan Zrake</author><author>Brian D Metzger</author><author>Lorenzo Sironi</author><author>Dimitrios Giannios</author>
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			<abstract><ab><![CDATA[ABSTRACT            During the final stages of a compact object merger, if at least one of the binary components is a magnetized neutron star (NS), then its orbital motion substantially expands the NS’s open magnetic flux – and hence increases its wind luminosity – relative to that of an isolated pulsar. As the binary orbit shrinks due to gravitational radiation, the power and speed of this binary-induced inspiral wind may (depending on pair loading) secularly increase, leading to self-interaction and internal shocks in the outflow beyond the binary orbit. The magnetized forward shock can generate coherent radio emission via the synchrotron maser process, resulting in an observable radio precursor to binary NS merger. We perform 1D relativistic hydrodynamical simulations of shock interaction in the accelerating binary NS wind, assuming that the inspiral wind efficiently converts its Poynting flux into bulk kinetic energy prior to the shock radius. This is combined with the shock maser spectrum from particle-in-cell simulations, to generate synthetic radio light curves. The precursor burst with a fluence of ∼1Jy·ms at ∼GHz frequencies lasts ∼1–500ms following the merger for a source at ∼3 Gpc (Bd/1012 G)8/9, where Bd is the dipole field strength of the more strongly magnetized star. Given an outflow geometry concentrated along the binary equatorial plane, the signal may be preferentially observable for high-inclination systems, that is, those least likely to produce a detectable gamma-ray burst.]]></ab></abstract>
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<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"> <ab><ref type="bibr">amini et al. 2019)</ref></ab><p>. The origin of the gamma-ray emission <ref type="bibr">(Abbott et al. 2017c)</ref>, which was detected despite our viewing the event at an angle 20 &#8226; outside the core of the jet, remains a subject of ongoing debate <ref type="bibr">(Goldstein et al. 2017;</ref><ref type="bibr">Kasliwal et al. 2017;</ref><ref type="bibr">Nakar et al. 2018;</ref><ref type="bibr">Metzger, Thompson &amp; Quataert 2018;</ref><ref type="bibr">Beloborodov, Lundman &amp; Levin 2018)</ref>. Unfortunately, given the low luminosities of the gamma-ray and afterglow emission from events like GW170817, most future GW-detected mergers at greater distances will not produce detectable jetted emission <ref type="bibr">(Metzger &amp; Berger 2012;</ref><ref type="bibr">Beniamini et al. 2019)</ref>. No additional gamma-ray coincidences were reported during LIGO/Virgo's third observing run, despite the discovery of at least one additional NS-NS merger, GW190425 (The <ref type="bibr">LIGO Scientific Collaboration et al. 2020)</ref>. Consistent with this, an analysis by <ref type="bibr">Dichiara et al. (2020)</ref> which cross-correlates short GRB sky positions with nearby galaxies, finds an all-sky rate of only 0.5-3 short GRBs per year within the 200 Mpc horizon distance of Advanced LIGO at design sensitivity.</p><p>The kilonova and non-thermal emission which accompanied GW170817 chiefly result from processes -large mass ejection and jet formation -which take place after the merger is complete. Compared to the post-merger phase, less theoretical work been dedicated to EM emission during the late inspiral phase prior to coalescence. Nevertheless, the discovery and characterization of such precursor emission -observed prior to other EM counterparts (and potentially even before the end of the GW chirp) -would be of great importance. It could provide unique information on the state of the binary and its constituent stars prior to their destruction (e.g. Ramirez-Ruiz, Andrews &amp; Schr&#248;der 2019), as well as offer a potential 'pre-warning' signal to enable additional prompt EM follow-up (e.g. <ref type="bibr">Schnittman et al. 2018)</ref>. Furthermore, in some cases, such as massive BH-NS binaries in which the NS is swallowed whole before being tidally disrupted <ref type="bibr">(McWilliams &amp; Levin 2011)</ref> or massive NS-NS systems which undergo prompt collapse to a BH <ref type="bibr">(Paschalidis &amp; Ruiz 2019)</ref>, the post-merger counterparts may be dim or non-existent; in such cases a precursor signal may be the best way to detect and localize this subset of GW events.</p><p>If at least one NS is magnetized, then the orbital motion of the companion NS or BH through its dipole magnetic field induces a strong voltage and current along the magnetic field lines connecting the two objects <ref type="bibr">(Lipunov &amp; Panchenko 1996;</ref><ref type="bibr">Vietri 1996;</ref><ref type="bibr">Hansen &amp; Lyutikov 2001;</ref><ref type="bibr">McWilliams &amp; Levin 2011;</ref><ref type="bibr">Piro 2012;</ref><ref type="bibr">Lai 2012;</ref><ref type="bibr">D'Orazio &amp; Levin 2013;</ref><ref type="bibr">Palenzuela et al. 2013;</ref><ref type="bibr">Ponce et al. 2014;</ref><ref type="bibr">D'Orazio et al. 2016;</ref><ref type="bibr">Wang et al. 2018;</ref><ref type="bibr">Paschalidis &amp; Ruiz 2019;</ref><ref type="bibr">Lyutikov 2019;</ref><ref type="bibr">Crinquand, Cerutti &amp; Dubus 2019;</ref><ref type="bibr">Gourgouliatos &amp; Lynden-Bell 2019)</ref>, in analogy with the unipolar inductor model for the Jupiter-Io system <ref type="bibr">(Goldreich &amp; Lynden-Bell 1969)</ref>. A separate source of EM power arises due to the magnetic dipole radiation generated by the orbital acceleration of the magnetized primary, which is independent of the conducting properties of the companion <ref type="bibr">(Ioka &amp; Taniguchi 2000;</ref><ref type="bibr">Carrasco &amp; Shibata 2020)</ref>. By tapping into the orbital energy of the binary, these interactions can in principle power EM emission that increases in strength as the orbital velocity increases and the binary separation decreases approaching merger.</p><p>Resistive magnetohydrodynamic (MHD, <ref type="bibr">Palenzuela et al. 2013</ref>) and force-free <ref type="bibr">(Most &amp; Philippov 2020;</ref><ref type="bibr">Carrasco &amp; Shibata 2020)</ref> numerical simulations show that the magnetic field geometry of the merging binary system can be complex and time-dependent, with the magnetic field lines connecting the NSs being periodically torn open to infinity. Dissipation may also occur in spiral current sheets that develop beyond the binary orbit <ref type="bibr">(Carrasco &amp; Shibata 2020)</ref>. Averaged over many orbits, a fraction of the power dissipated in the circuit is dissipated as 'heat' (particle acceleration) in the magnetosphere, while the remainder is carried to large distances by a Poynting flux along the open field lines. <ref type="bibr">Metzger &amp; Zivancev (2016)</ref> argue that if particle acceleration in the magnetosphere near the binary gives rise to non-thermal (e.g. synchrotron) emission, this radiation is unlikely to escape to the distant observer, because such a high density of &gt; MeV photons within such a compact volume will result in copious electronpositron pair production via &#947; -&#947; annihilation <ref type="bibr">(Usov 1992)</ref>. They hypothesized that the final stages of the inspiral may generate a 'pair fireball', similar to early models of GRB outflows <ref type="bibr">(Paczynski 1986;</ref><ref type="bibr">Goodman 1986</ref>). However, even making generous assumptions about the fraction of the power of magnetospheric interaction emerging in the MeV gamma-ray band, <ref type="bibr">Metzger &amp; Zivancev (2016)</ref> found that precursor gamma-ray emission is only detectable by Fermi Gammaray Burst Monitor (GBM) to a distance of 10 Mpc.</p><p>Recently, <ref type="bibr">Beloborodov (2020a)</ref> put forth the prospects of observing X-ray precursors to NS mergers via quasi-periodic flaringakin to magnetar bursts -of magnetized NS mergers. However, a coherent radio emission, if produced, provides a more promising precursor signal because of the comparatively greater sensitivity of radio telescopes (e.g. <ref type="bibr">Hansen &amp; Lyutikov 2001)</ref>. Radio emission which emerges as a short (&#8764; millisecond duration) burst comparable to the final few orbits of the binary could in principle be observable as a cosmological fast radio burst (FRB) with properties similar to those recently discovered <ref type="bibr">(Lorimer et al. 2007;</ref><ref type="bibr">Thornton et al. 2013)</ref>. Energy released by magnetospheric interaction during the very final stages of a BH-NS or NS-NS merger inspiral has long been speculated to give rise to a single (non-repeating) FRB-like signal <ref type="bibr">(Usov &amp; Katz 2000;</ref><ref type="bibr">Hansen &amp; Lyutikov 2001;</ref><ref type="bibr">Moortgat &amp; Kuijpers 2003;</ref><ref type="bibr">Totani 2013;</ref><ref type="bibr">Zhang 2013;</ref><ref type="bibr">Mingarelli, Levin &amp; Lazio 2015;</ref><ref type="bibr">Metzger &amp; Zivancev 2016;</ref><ref type="bibr">Wang et al. 2016;</ref><ref type="bibr">Bhattacharyya 2017;</ref><ref type="bibr">Zhang 2019)</ref>. However, given the high-inferred volumetric rate of FRBs relative to NS-NS mergers, such 'one off' bursts can account for at most only a small fraction &#8764; 1 per cent of the total FRB population. Furthermore, many FRB sources have now been observed to repeat <ref type="bibr">(Spitler et al. 2016;</ref><ref type="bibr">CHIME/FRB Collaboration et al. 2019)</ref>, and the population of (thus far) non-repeaters may be consistent with those currently observed to recur (e.g. <ref type="bibr">Lu, Piro &amp; Waxman 2020)</ref>. <ref type="foot">1</ref>Even if the vast majority of the present FRB sample do not arise from NS-NS or NS-BH mergers, that does not exclude mergers from generating detectable radio emission. Most FRB surveys cover only a fraction of the sky with a limited duty cycle. By contrast, a targeted follow-up search with wide field of view observatories at low radio frequencies (few 100 MHz) is possible for mergers detected through their near-concomitant GW emissions because the latter offer a precise time window and a relatively precise sky position of 10-100 deg<ref type="foot">foot_1</ref> (when the merger is detected by three or more interferometers). <ref type="bibr">Callister et al. (2019)</ref> searched for transient radio emission within approximately one hour of the BH-BH merger event GW170104, offering a proof-of-concept of this technique. Upper limits have also been placed on coherent radio signals from short GRBs (e.g. <ref type="bibr">Palaniswamy et al. 2014;</ref><ref type="bibr">Kaplan et al. 2015;</ref><ref type="bibr">Anderson et al. 2018;</ref><ref type="bibr">Rowlinson &amp; Anderson 2019;</ref><ref type="bibr">Gourdji et al. 2020;</ref><ref type="bibr">Rowlinson et al. 2020)</ref>, however the distances to typical short GRBs are much greater than those of the closest GW-detected events. Furthermore, as we shall discuss, the beaming of the precursor radio emission may also differ from that of a GRB jet, the latter probably focused along the angular momentum axis of the binary.</p><p>Most models of merger radio precursors invoke particle acceleration or reconnection processes which are local to the inner magnetosphere, that is, on spatial scales comparable to the binary separation or light cylinder. radius. Magnetic reconnection can occur sporadically following the build-up of twist in the magnetic flux tubes connecting the stars (e.g. due to stellar spins or misaligned magnetospheres, <ref type="bibr">Most &amp; Philippov 2020)</ref> or in a spiral current sheet outside of the binary orbit <ref type="bibr">(Carrasco &amp; Shibata 2020</ref>). 2 Such reconnection events were argued to give rise to coherent radio emission, through either merging plasmoids beyond the light cylinder <ref type="bibr">(Lyubarsky 2019;</ref><ref type="bibr">Philippov et al. 2019)</ref> or further out of the binary via a synchrotron maser emission as outgoing blobs collide with ambient plasma (e.g. <ref type="bibr">Most &amp; Philippov 2020)</ref>. However, given the highly dissipative environment and resulting high compactness in the inner magnetosphere, this region may become heavily loaded in pairs during the final stages of the inspiral <ref type="bibr">(Metzger &amp; Zivancev 2016)</ref>; this could prevent the escape of radio waves, due to induced Figure <ref type="figure">1</ref>. A schematic diagram of the binary merger-induced accelerating pulsar wind, and the associated radio emission (&#947; radio ). Top panel (a) shows the system from an equatorial plane (side view), where the magnetic field lines of the strongly magnetized pulsar (left-hand sphere) are seen to be opened to infinity by the orbital motion of the primary or by interaction with the companion star (right-hand sphere; NS or a BH) at a binary separation radius a, well within the light cylinder of the rotating magnetically dominated pulsar. The binary wind is ejected opposite to the strongly magnetized star (at a given time), whose Lorentz factor ( wind ) increases with decreasing binary separation, a. The binary wind, over several orbits traces a spiral pattern beyond a, that can be noticed from a top view of the system (panel b). It is the interaction of the smallest yet fastest spiral at the end of the binary inspiral phase with the earlier emanated larger yet slower spiral wind, that causes the formation of an FS at radius a, and the associated coherent radio emission via synchrotron maser process. Note that the inspiral wind, and the shock emission are beamed along the orbital equatorial plane, and the direction of both the NS dipole moment (&#956;) and the orbital angular velocity ( orb ) are roughly normal to the plane of emission.</p><p>Compton scattering <ref type="bibr">(Lyubarsky 2008)</ref> or other plasma processes, from the immediate vicinity of the binary orbit.</p><p>In this paper, we instead consider a new precursor emission mechanism that occurs on much larger radial scales well outside the binary orbit (Fig. <ref type="figure">1</ref>). In the potentially common scenario that one NS is substantially more strongly magnetized than the other (e.g. if one pulsar is young with a strong dipole magnetic field B 1 10 12 G and the other 'recycled' with a much weaker field B 2 10 10 G, see the double pulsar, <ref type="bibr">Kramer &amp; Stairs 2008)</ref>, the magnetic flux of the more strongly magnetized star which intersects the orbit of the companion will be open to infinity (e.g. <ref type="bibr">Palenzuela et al. 2013;</ref><ref type="bibr">Carrasco &amp; Shibata 2020)</ref>. In a time-averaged sense, this enhanced open flux will generate an equatorial outflow in the orbital plane with a power and bulk Lorentz factor which can (for a reasonable set of assumptions) increase in a secular manner approaching merger. This accelerating binary-induced wind -akin to a pulsar 'spinning up' instead of the usual magnetic braking -will generate relativistic internal shocks in the binary plane on scales well outside the binary orbit as the late portion of the wind interacts with the earlier wind. These shocks will furthermore be magnetized, giving rise to synchrotron maser emission in the radio band (e.g. <ref type="bibr">Plotnikov &amp; Sironi 2019;</ref><ref type="bibr">Metzger, Margalit &amp; Sironi 2019</ref>) observable as a brief FRB-like signal.</p><p>This paper is organized as follows. In Section 2, we describe the merger-induced binary pulsar wind and present analytic estimates of the properties of the internal shocks. In Section 3, we describe our numerical simulation setup of the shock interaction for various binary wind models. In Section 4, we present the hydrodynamical results of shock interaction, and the associated FRB. In Section 5, we discuss observational prospects for detecting the signal and the caveats. In Section 6, we summarize our conclusions.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head n="2">B I NA RY-I N D U C E D AC C E L E R AT I N G P U L S A R W I N D</head></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head n="2.1">Time-dependent wind properties</head><p>The spin-down Poynting luminosity of an isolated rotating magnetized NS can be expressed as (e.g. <ref type="bibr">Bucciantini et al. 2006</ref>)</p><p>where is the angular rotation rate, &#956; &#8801; B d R 3 ns is the dipole moment of the NS of radius R ns , and B d is the surface dipole field strength. Here, f is the fraction of the magnetic flux threading the NS surface which is open to infinity, normalized to its value f &#8776; R ns /2R L for an isolated dipole wind with aligned magnetic and rotation axes in the limit R L R ns , where R L &#8801; c/ is the light cylinder radius. One effect of the close orbiting binary companion of radius R c &#8764; R ns in a binary of semimajor axis a R L may be to open additional closed field lines (e.g. <ref type="bibr">Palenzuela et al. 2013)</ref> for finite ranges of companion's resistivity <ref type="bibr">(Lai 2012)</ref>, such that the amount of magnetic flux is enhanced over that of an isolated pulsar by an amount :</p><p>Compared to the case of an isolated pulsar, the open flux fraction has been reduced by a factor of &#8764;2R c /(4&#960; a) to account for the azimuthal angle subtended by the binary companion, and increased by a factor of &#8776;R L /a = c/(2 orb a) because field lines crossing the equatorial plane exterior to the binary separation a (instead of the light cylinder radius) are now open, where orb = (GM tot /a 3 ) 1/2 is the orbital frequency of the binary of total mass M tot (see <ref type="bibr">Fern&#225;ndez &amp; Metzger 2016</ref> for further discussion). This corresponds to the 'U/u' case simulated by <ref type="bibr">Palenzuela et al. (2013)</ref>, which as already mentioned is the most likely magnetic field configuration characterizing merging NS binary progenitors. A similar configuration should characterize BH-NS mergers because the BH is not magnetized. Substituting equation ( <ref type="formula">2</ref>) into (1), the power of the binary wind,</p><p>.</p><p>(3) is an extremely sensitive function of the binary separation, &#278; &#8733; a -7 , where in the final line we have assumed an equal mass binary M tot = 2M ns with M ns = 1.4M , and R ns = 12 km. Lai (2012) derive a similar expression similar to equation (3) as the maximum power which can be dissipated in the closed 'binary circuit' before the generation of a strong toroidal magnetic field from the poloidal current leads to magnetic field line inflation and reconnection. Here, we hypothesize that an order-unity fraction of this maximum power emerges as a quasi-steady magnetized wind from the binary equatorial plane.</p><p>Even if the companion does not itself open the magnetic flux bundles, a separate source of EM power arises due to the magnetic dipole radiation generated by the orbital acceleration of the magnetized primary, which is independent of the properties of the companion. This gives a contribution to the power of <ref type="bibr">(Ioka &amp; Taniguchi 2000</ref></p><p>similar in its normalization and scaling with binary separation as equation ( <ref type="formula">3</ref>). The power emitted by the 'binary wind' (equations 3 and 4) eclipses that of the single more highly magnetized pulsar ( &#278; from equation ( <ref type="formula">1</ref>) with f = f and where now = 2&#960; /P for the pulsar spin-period P) for semimajor axes smaller than a critical value,</p><p>The binary is driven to coalescence by GWs, such that its semimajor axis shrinks with time t according to,</p><p>where a(t = 0) &#8801; a 0 is the initial binary separation, t m, 0 &#8801; t m (a 0 ) is the time to merge starting from a 0 , and</p><p>where in the first line we have assumed equal bodies of mass M ns = M tot /2 and in the second line we have taken M ns = 1.4 M . It will prove convenient to introduce the time until merger as an alternative variable,</p><p>in terms of which</p><p>Thus, from equation (3), we have &#278; &#8733; a -7 &#8733; t -7/4 for times</p><p>The open magnetic flux lines will carry rest mass as well as energy, likely in the form of electron/positron pairs. For ordinary pulsar winds, the wind mass-loss rate, &#7744;, is typically thought to scale with the Goldreich-Julian (GJ) value,</p><p>where &#956; &#177; is the pair multiplicity, and</p><p>are the GJ current and charge density at the light cylinder, respectively.</p><p>The dynamics of the binary-induced winds considered here, as well as the external EM and photon environment, are drastically different than isolated pulsar winds (e.g. <ref type="bibr">Wada, Shibata &amp; Ioka 2020)</ref>. For example, the outflow may be loaded by plasma generated via &#947; -&#947; annihilation due to high-energy radiation from reconnection or other forms of dissipation in the magnetosphere (e.g. <ref type="bibr">Metzger &amp; Zivancev 2016)</ref>. Nevertheless, performing the na&#239;ve exercise of replacing the NS rotation rate with that of the binary orbit in equation ( <ref type="formula">11</ref>), that is, &#8594; orb , then one finds &#7744;GJ &#8733; a -3 &#8733; t -3/4 .</p><p>Throughout this paper, we parametrize the dependence of the wind mass-loss rate on binary separation as</p><p>where m is a free parameter which takes on the value m = 3 if &#7744; &#8733; &#7744;GJ but is highly uncertain as it depends on the mechanism of wind pair-loading. We define a wind 'mass loading' parameter &#951; according to</p><p>A wind that fully converts its energy to kinetic form can achieve a bulk Lorentz factor &#951; by large radii, but in general &#951; in cases where the bulk remains in Poynting flux or is otherwise lost (e.g. as radiation). Substituting equations ( <ref type="formula">3</ref>) and (11) into equation ( <ref type="formula">14</ref>), we obtain</p><p>for the case with &#7744; = &#7744;GJ . For young, high-voltage pulsars such as the Crab pulsar, observations and theory show that &#956; &#177; 10 5 (e.g. <ref type="bibr">Kennel &amp; Coroniti 1984;</ref><ref type="bibr">Timokhin &amp; Harding 2019)</ref>, which applied to our case near the end of the inspiral (e.g. a 4R ns ) would imply &#951; 10 5 for B d = 10 12 G. However, this may substantially underestimate the mass loading in the NS merger case (e.g. due to &#947; -&#947; pair creation in the inner magnetosphere), in which case &#951; would be substantially less.</p><p>For &#7744; = &#7744;GJ and &#956; &#177; = constant (m = 3), equation ( <ref type="formula">15</ref>) predicts that &#951; &#8733; a -4 will increase approaching the merger. Even in the more general case m = 3 (equation 14), &#951; increases with time as long as m &lt; 7. In this case the binary-driven wind will grow in both power and speed, inevitably giving rise to self-interaction and the generation of internal shocks within the wind.</p><p>The strength of the internal shocks depends not just on the evolution of &#951;, but also on the four-velocity attained by the wind at large radii r well outside its launching point near the binary orbit. In models of axisymmetric pulsar winds <ref type="bibr">(Goldreich &amp; Julian 1970)</ref>, the bulk Lorentz factor achieved near the fast magnetosonic surface outside the light cylinder is = &#951; 1/3 , while the asymptotic magnetization of the wind (ratio of Poynting flux to kinetic energy flux) is &#963; = &#951; 2/3 , that is, the acceleration is highly inefficient and most of the energy remains trapped in magnetic form. However, observations of pulsar wind nebulae reveal that -at least by the location of the wind termination shock -the wind has nearly fully converted its magnetic energy into bulk kinetic energy, that is, &#951;; &#963; 1 <ref type="bibr">(Kennel &amp; Coroniti 1984)</ref>. Several ideas have been proposed to explain this anomalous acceleration (the '&#963; problem', <ref type="bibr">Lyubarsky &amp; Kirk 2001;</ref><ref type="bibr">Sironi &amp; Spitkovsky 2011;</ref><ref type="bibr">Porth, Komissarov &amp; Keppens 2013;</ref><ref type="bibr">Zrake &amp; Arons 2017;</ref><ref type="bibr">Cerutti, Philippov &amp; Dubus 2020)</ref>, but none are universally agreed upon. A similar inference of rapid and efficient acceleration of pulsar winds has been invoked to account for the gamma-ray flares of the Crab pulsar <ref type="bibr">(Aharonian, Bogovalov &amp; Khangulyan 2012</ref>) and of gamma-ray binaries <ref type="bibr">(Khangulyan et al. 2012)</ref>.</p><p>In this paper, we assume the binary-driven wind manages to solve its '&#963; problem' and hence to achieve a bulk Lorentz factor close to the maximal value, i.e.</p><p>by the radii r r sh at which internal shocks occur. The wind selfinteraction will then be mediated by strong shocks of moderate magnetization, which can be approximately modelled as hydrodynamical (i.e. neglecting magnetic fields). If the winds instead were to maintain &#963; 1 to large radii, then the resulting strongly magnetized shocks could be considerably weaker. However, as we show below (equation 20), under a reasonable assumptions for acceleration of the wind, we naturally expect &#963; &#8764; 1 by the radius of internal shocks. Nonetheless, the shock can still be strong for &#963; 1 if the post-shock region is weakly magnetized -likely as a result of shock-driven magnetic reconnection, which can be faithfully probed with resistive magnetohydrodynamical simulations. We leave a detailed study of the magnetized shock case to future work, though we comment on how it would effect our predictions in Section 5.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head n="2.2">Internal shocks: analytic estimates</head><p>The accelerating binary wind will collide with the earlier, slower phases of the wind ejecta, generating magnetized ultrarelativistic shocks. In this section we provide analytic estimates of this interaction and the resulting radio emission in particular, tractable limits, which we later test with numerical simulations (Section 4).</p><p>Given the rapid rise of the outflow power &#278; &#8733; a -7 , most of the total wind energy, </p><p>The fast shell released at the end of the merger initially expands with f 1, reaching a radius r sh ct by a time t after the merger. Throughout the remainder of this section we ignore deceleration of the fast shell; the conditions for this 'freely coasting' evolution to be valid are estimated below.</p><p>A question immediately arises: did the inspiral wind material met by the fast shell at radius r sh expand freely prior to that point, or had it earlier collided/shocked with the even slower material ahead of it? Let us assume the former and check the conditions under which this assumption is violated. If the upstream inspiral wind has not decelerated appreciably since injection, then the slow wind released t prior to the merger will reach r sh by a time t after the merger given by</p><p>where the second equality makes use of equation ( <ref type="formula">18</ref>). This expression also assumes that [ t] is much smaller than the fast shell f and hence is not accurate for small t. For m 5, the wind met by the fast shell at r sh is 'pristine' and corresponds to that ejected at the time t satisfying equation ( <ref type="formula">19</ref>). By contrast, for m 5 we obtain the seemingly unphysical result that t increases with increasing t, which instead shows that the inspiral wind will hit earlier ejecta prior to interacting with the fast shell (and hence equation 19 cannot be used).</p><p>As discussed near the end of the previous section, we have assumed that the wind has largely converted its Poynting flux into bulk kinetic energy by the radius of internal shock interaction. We now check whether such efficient acceleration is possible under a specific assumption regarding the acceleration mechanism of the wind. Following <ref type="bibr">Granot, Komissarov &amp; Spitkovsky (2011)</ref>, the Lorentz factor of the impulsively ejected fast shell will grow with radius from the wind launching point r 0 2a (near the fast magnetosonic point, where &#951; 1/3 , Goldreich &amp; Julian 1970) as</p><p>thus reaching its maximal value ( &#951;; &#963; 1) by the radius</p><p>Assuming efficient acceleration, the radius of the shock generated by the fast shell corresponding to an observer time &#8764;t f is given by (equation 19),</p><p>where in the final line we have taken typical values a &#8764; 12 km and t f &#8764; 1 ms. Thus, we generally expect that the shell will have accelerated to nearly its maximal Lorentz factor ( &#8764; &#951;) but also that the residual magnetization of the wind material will not be too low &#963; &#8764; 1. We now check the condition for the fast shell to appreciably decelerate by sweeping up pristine (previously unshocked) inspiral wind. The rest mass swept up by the fast shell as it meets material released at times t prior to the merger grows as M rest &#8764; &#7744; t &#8733; t (4-m)/4 and hence is dominated by the matter already present in the fast shell for m &gt; 4. On the other hand, what matters for deceleration is the swept-up comoving inertial mass M th &#8733; M rest &#947; th which accounts also for the thermal Lorentz factor &#947; th 1 of relativistically hot gas behind the shock. The latter should scale with the Lorentz factor of the forward shock (FS) sh , that is, &#947; th &#8733; sh f /2 &#8733; t (7 -m)/4 , where we have made use of equation ( <ref type="formula">19</ref>). Thus, M th &#8733; t (11 -m)/2 will grow with increasing t for m &lt; 11/2 = 5.5, leading to a violation of our assumption of constant velocity of the fast shell and hence also a violation of the assumptions entering equation ( <ref type="formula">19</ref>). The regimes of wind interaction are summarized in Table <ref type="table">1</ref>.</p><p>We now estimate the properties of the maser emission in the regime of freely coasting evolution of the fast shell (5.5 &lt; m &lt; 7). The upstream rest-frame pair density met by the fast shell, as it meets Coasting fast shell &lt;5.5</p><p>Fast shell sweeps up more than its own inertial mass, decelerates &gt;5</p><p>Coasting fast shell meets unshocked binary wind &lt;5</p><p>Coasting fast shell meets earlier-shocked binary wind &lt;4</p><p>Coasting fast shell sweeps up more than its own rest mass 3 'GJ' scaling (equation 11)</p><p>inspiral wind released at time t, is given by</p><p>where in the final line we have used equation ( <ref type="formula">19</ref>).</p><p>Observer time is connected to lab-frame time according to the standard expression,</p><p>, <ref type="bibr">(25)</ref> such that equation ( <ref type="formula">24</ref>) becomes,</p><p>For moderate upstream magnetization &#963; 1, the spectral energy distribution (SED) of the maser peaks at a few times the plasma frequency of the upstream medium &#957; p = (4&#960; n &#177; e 2 /m e ) 1/2 <ref type="bibr">(Plotnikov &amp; Sironi 2019)</ref>, which boosted into the observer frame corresponds to a peak emission frequency</p><p>where</p><p>where we have used equation ( <ref type="formula">17</ref>) and take</p><p>The spectral peak of the radio emission will thus start at high frequencies at t f and drift lower after that time.</p><p>The luminosity of the maser emission is given by</p><p>where L e is the electron kinetic luminosity entering the FS seen by the external observer, f &#958; &#8764; 10 -3 -10 -2 is the maser radiative efficiency defined relative to the kinetic energy of the electrons <ref type="bibr">(Plotnikov &amp; Sironi 2019)</ref>, and f b &lt; 1 is geometric beaming factor due to the fraction of the total solid angle subtended by the binary outflow (e.g. the wedge near the binary equatorial plane; Fig. <ref type="figure">1</ref>). The shock luminosity in the observer frame is given by</p><p>Even though the fast shell is not significantly decelerated for m &gt; 5.5, the total energy dissipated by the shock, t f L e dt obs &#8764; &#278;f t f , is of the same order of magnitude as the total energy of the fast shell.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head n="2.2.1">Example (m = 6)</head><p>As an example, for m = 6 we have &#957; pk &#8733; t -9/4 obs . The spectral peak of the maser emission will cross down through observer bandpass (central frequency &#957; obs ) on a time-scale</p><p>where again we take t f = 1.2 ms. We identify t FRB as the characteristic duration of the observed radio burst as seen by a telescope with bandwidth &#957; &#8764; &#957; obs .</p><p>Note that to produce a detectable burst we require that &#957; obs &gt; &#957; pk, f (t FRB &gt; t f ), thus placing an upper limit on the final Lorentz factor f 8650</p><p>Likewise, there is a maximum burst duration</p><p>set by the time after which the fast shell will reach wind material released at large binary separations a a bin (equation 5) when the wind of the isolated pulsar dominates that of the binary.</p><p>The isotropic radio luminosity reaches a peak value</p><p>and decays thereafter as</p><p>The isotropic radiated energy of the burst E FRB &#8776; L r t obs &#8733; t -1/2 obs over a time-scale &#8764;t obs is a weak function of time. Its value measured by an observer at frequency &#8764;&#957; obs on the time-scale t FRB is given by</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head n="3">S I M U L AT I O N S O F S H O C K I N T E R AC T I O N</head><p>For the magnetic field configuration of the two stars most likely to be realized in nature, the binary-induced outflow should be concentrated in the orbital plane (Fig. <ref type="figure">1</ref>). Furthermore, although the outflow will emerge opposite of the weakly magnetized star on the radial scale of the binary separation &#8764;a, upon averaging over many orbits the outflow will become approximately azimuthally symmetric upon reaching large radii a where the internal shock interaction we are modelling takes place.</p><p>For simplicity, we perform 1D calculations of the wind interaction along the radial direction corresponding to the equatorial plane. We model the outflow under the assumption of spherical symmetry, with the understanding that due to relativistic beaming the emission may only be observable for observers within a limited solid angle of binary equatorial plane subtended by the outflow (i.e. all outflow properties and observed luminosities are understood to be isotropic equivalent quantities). This section describes the simulation setup and the code used in our numerical calculations.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head n="3.1">Numerical set-up</head><p>We consider the wind launched from the binary during the final stages of the inspiral, as the semimajor axis shrinks from some specified initial distance a 0 to a final size a f . We take a f = 2R ns = 24 km in our simulations, appropriate to NS-NS mergers. For yet smaller separations a a f , additional complications arise (e.g. deviations from point-mass inspiral picture, tidal mass loss from the star(s)baryon loading in the wind, non-dipolar contributions to the magnetic field, etc.), and therefore we ignore the very final phase.</p><p>The binary separation at the beginning of the simulation, a 0 , must be chosen large enough so as to generate a sufficient upstream medium for the subsequent wind (the bulk of the energy of which is released near the end of the inspiral) to interact with and, potentially, be decelerated by. On the other hand, larger values of a 0 require a longer simulation time prior to and after the merger to follow the full GW inspiral and shock interaction, respectively. In our numerical simulations, we take a 0 /a f = 3-10 = 6-20 R ns as a compromise between these considerations. This is still a factor 2 smaller than the total range of binary separation over which the binary wind dominates that of the single pulsar (equation 5). Defining the start of the calculation as t = 0, the merger takes place at t = t m [a 0 ] &#8801; t m, 0 &#8776; 0.1-12 s (for a 0 /a f = 3-10), and the physical part of the wind injected from the inner boundary of the simulation is assumed to terminate just prior to the merger at t t m, 0t f &#8776; t m, 0 , where t f &#8776; 1.2 ms.</p><p>Since the shock interaction takes place at radial distances a f , we fix the inner boundary of our simulation grid at r in = a f , rather than following the binary contraction self-consistently. In general, the injected wind power, &#278;in , can be divided into kinetic and magnetic components,</p><p>where &#963; in &#8801; &#278;mag / &#278;kin is the magnetization, and</p><p>where B in (t) and &#961; in (t) are the lab-frame magnetic field strength and rest-frame mass density injected at the inner boundary, and in is the bulk Lorentz factor of the injected wind.</p><p>As discussed in Section 2.1, we assume that the wind is able to accelerate over a short radial baseline, effectively immediately converting its energy entirely into kinetic form. Hence, we take &#963; in = 0 and perform purely hydrodynamical simulations of the shock interaction (however, note that a moderate value of &#963; = 0.1 is assumed in calculating the properties of the shock maser emission; Section 4.1.2). Future work will perform MHD simulations exploring the more general case of highly magnetized winds &#963; in 1. As summarized in Fig. <ref type="figure">2</ref> and Table <ref type="table">2</ref>, the time-dependent wind properties are specified via boundary conditions at the inner domain of the simulation grid. Following equation ( <ref type="formula">18</ref>), the kinetic luminosity of the injected wind &#278; = &#278;kin evolves according to</p><p>where the initial wind power &#278;0 &#8776; &#278;in [t f ](a 0 /a f ) -7 is chosen such that the final wind power &#278;in [t f ] &#8801; &#278;f &#8776; (10 3 -10 7 ) &#278;0 following equation (3), for different values of m. Likewise, the mass-loss rate of the wind injected from the inner boundary evolves as (equation <ref type="formula">18</ref>)</p><p>where &#7744;0 = &#278;0 / 0 c 2 (equation 14) and 0 = 1.5. For numerical stability, we gradually taper the wind power and mass-loss rate just after the merger (t t m, 0 ), instead of abruptly shutting the engine ) from an initial separation of a 0 , and the dotted black vertical lines denote the time when the central engine is turned off (t m, 0t f ).</p><p>The colours (red -blue) depict different assumptions for the wind mass-loss power-law index m &#8712; [3, 7] (see Table <ref type="table">2</ref>).</p><p>off. This is achieved in equations ( <ref type="formula">38</ref>) and ( <ref type="formula">39</ref>) by multiplying the wind power by a tapering function,</p><p>We have checked that the precise form of the tapering does not significantly affect the overall shock dynamics relevant to the radio emission.</p><p>We vary the power-law index m &#8712; [3, 7] in order to explore a diversity of wind mass-loading behaviour (Section 2.2). The values of &#278;0 and &#7744;0 are chosen such that the initial outflow Lorentz factor in (t = 0) = 0 + 1.01 2.5 for all models. For our chosen set-up, different values of m and initial inspiral radius a 0 /a f result in different values for the peak in [t f ] f &#8764; 3-115 of the outflow achieved near the end of the inspiral (Fig. <ref type="figure">2</ref> and Table <ref type="table">2</ref>). These relatively modest peak Lorentz factors were chosen for purposes of numerical stability (Section 3.2), despite being much smaller than are likely achieved in the actual wind (e.g. equation 15 and surrounding discussion). However, in so far as we are able to capture the shock dynamics in the ultrarelativistic regime, in our final analysis, we can simply Notes: a brief description of the defining parameters of each performed simulation (identifier in first column) is as follows. [a] Power-law index of the mass-loss rate (equation 13); [b] ratio of the initial (a 0 ) to final binary semimajor axis (a f = 2R ns ); [c] time until merger from an initial separation of a 0 ; [d,e] ratio of the maximum wind power (3 &#215; 10 44 erg s -1 ) and mass-loss rate achieved near the end of the inspiral phase to their initial values; [f] Lorentz factor of the fastest shell ejected at the end of the inspiral phase; and [g] simulation duration in lab frame t sim .</p><p>rescale the shock properties and radio emission to the physical values of &#278;f and f (Section 5).</p><p>The medium exterior to the binary, into which the inspiral wind enters at the start of the simulation (t = 0), is taken to be that of a steady wind of power &#278;0 , mass-loss rate &#7744;0 , and Lorentz factor 0 . Physically, this wind could represent the ordinary spin-down powered pulsar wind prior to the binary orbit entering the light cylinder, albeit for larger values of a 0 &#8776; a bin (equation 5) than adopted in our numerical simulations. We have checked that the pre-existing wind does not affect the shock interaction during the times we simulate. All of the wind material is ejected with a low thermal pressure (p gas /&#961;c 2 = 10 -3 , where p gas is the gas pressure as defined in the upcoming section).</p><p>After the binary wind is shut-off at t m, 0t f , we continue to run the simulations to later times, t sim 2 f t f (a 0 /a f ) 4/3 , to capture the interaction between the fast shell released at the end of the inspiral with the slowest material released at the beginning (Table <ref type="table">2</ref> compiles the simulation run time). For numerical stability, the same small residual wind power &#278;0 and mass-loss rate &#7744;0 of the pre-inspiral wind are also injected at late times after the merger t m, 0 ; however, this slow late-time wind does not immediately catch up to the fast shell and has no appreciable impact on the FS properties at larger radii of greatest interest.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head n="3.2">Numerical code and simulation scheme</head><p>Our numerical simulations are performed using MARA3, an opensource higher order Godunov code first described in <ref type="bibr">Zrake &amp; MacFadyen (2012)</ref>. The code has been extended with an Eulerian-Lagrangian moving mesh scheme that evolves the mesh vertices along with the outflowing plasma, similar to the scheme described in <ref type="bibr">Duffell &amp; MacFadyen (2013)</ref>. This approach automatically concentrates numerical resolution in regions of high compression naturally arising around the FS. As mentioned above, we neglect the dynamical importance of the magnetic fields, assuming that the wind converts its Poynting flux to bulk kinetic energy at smaller radii than we simulate.</p><p>The code solves the special relativistic hydrodynamical equations in flux-conservative form,</p><p>where the vector of conserved quantities U = (D, S, &#964; ) T consists of the lab-frame mass density D = &#961;, radial momentum density S = &#961;h 2 v/c 2 , and energy density (excluding rest-mass) &#964; = &#961;h 2p gas -Dc 2 . = (1v 2 /c 2 ) -1 is the gas Lorentz factor, and h = c 2 + &#949; + p gas /&#961; is specific enthalpy. &#949;, p gas , and &#961; denote the specific internal energy, gas pressure, and proper mass density, respectively. We adopt a gamma-law equation of state p gas = (&#947; ad -1)&#949;&#961;c 2 , with adiabatic index &#947; ad = 4/3. In making this choice, we are neglecting the effects of radiative cooling of the post-shock, that is, we take the evolution to be adiabatic. The validity of this assumption will depend on the detailed composition of the binary wind (e.g. the presence of ions, which cool less effectively than pairs) and the synchrotron cooling timescale of these particles relative to the expansion rate. A more thorough exploration of the dynamical effects of cooling is left to future work (see also a discussion in Section 5.3).</p><p>The vector of fluxes is given by</p><p>and the geometrical source term is S geom = (0, 0, 2p gas /r) T . Equation ( <ref type="formula">41</ref>) is discretized in terms of the extrinsic conserved quantities, Q i = i UdV integrated over each control volume. The control volumes are spherical shells whose inner and outer boundaries are moved to enforce a zero-mass-flux condition. The discretized solution is updated in time using the method of lines and an explicit second-order Runge-Kutta integration, whose base scheme is given by</p><p>Here, Fi&#177;1/2 are the Godunov fluxes through the inner and outer cell boundaries, A i+1/2 = 4&#960;r 2 i+1/2 is the area of the cell boundary at i + 1/2, V i is the cell volume, and S i,geom is the geometrical source term sampled half-way between r i + 1/2 and r i -1/2 . The Godunov fluxes are given by F = F * -U * v * , where v * is the speed of the contact discontinuity, and U * and F * are the intrinsic conserved quantities and associated fluxes at the i + 1/2 cell interface. The starred quantities are obtained by sampling the solution (which is self-similar in r/t) of the Riemann problem (U i , U i+1 ) at r/t = v * . This solution is approximated using the Harten-Lax-van Leer contact (HLLC) solver of <ref type="bibr">Mignone &amp; Bodo (2006)</ref>. The cell interfaces are advanced in time according to the same Runge-Kutta time-integration scheme, where</p><p>New cells are inserted at the radial inner boundary r = r in by adding an additional face at r in when the innermost face has advanced past r in + &#948;r, where &#948;r is chosen based on the desired grid resolution. The fluid state of the inserted zone is set according to the wind inner boundary condition described in equations ( <ref type="formula">36</ref>) and (39). Due to the high compression factor arising at high-shocks, cells can become very narrow, requiring a prohibitively short time-step to satisfy the Courant-Friedrichs-Lewy (CFL) condition. Cells that are compressed below a threshold value &#948;r min are joined with an adjacent cell in a conservative fashion, by erasing the interface between the two cells and combining their extrinsic conserved quantities. To minimize the size disparity of adjacent zones, the removed interface is always the one between the too-small cell, and the smaller of its two neighbours. We also employ a conservative cell-splitting technique to keep from under-resolving rarified regions where the cells grow larger than &#948;r max . The parameters &#948;r min and &#948;r max are typically kept within an order of magnitude of one another.</p><p>The outer edge of the simulation domain is placed at L box /c = 10 3 s (L box &#8776; [3 &#215; 10 13 ] cm 10 7 a f ) and the initial grid has a resolution of 512 cells per decade. The 1D nature of our special relativistic hydrodynamical (SRHD) simulations enables us to study the evolution of the ejecta at high resolution for longer durationsfrom the initial acceleration until late time deceleration phase. The duration of each simulated model, t sim , are listed in Table <ref type="table">2</ref>.</p><p>2D simulations of decelerating relativistic ejecta by <ref type="bibr">Duffell &amp; MacFadyen (2013)</ref> have shown that the onset of Rayleigh-Taylor (RT) instability can disrupt the contact discontinuity, and generate turbulence in the shocked gas. The mixing causes the shocked gas to acquire more entropy and internal energy. This results in the reverse shock (RS) being pushed to smaller radii, and delays its observed emission relative to equivalent 1D models which are artificially stabilized against RT. We do not expect this phenomenon to change our overall results, as the radio emission in our model primarily arises from the FS (Section 4.1.2), which is generally unaffected by the development of RT.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head n="4">S I M U L AT I O N R E S U LT S</head><p>This section describes the results of our hydrodynamical simulations of the binary wind interaction and our method of post-processing the inferred FS properties to obtain light curves of the radio maser emission. As described in Section 2.2, the final stage of the inspiral generates a highly energetic relativistic shell which then propagates into the density field laid down by the earlier inspiral wind. The dynamics of this shell -and hence of the dominant FS it generatesdepends on the properties of the upstream binary wind, in particular how quickly the mass-loss rate (parametrized by the power-law index, m) rises with decreasing binary separation (Table <ref type="table">2</ref>). We start in Section 4.1 by analysng first the m6a10 model in detail (Table <ref type="table">2</ref>), as the m = 6 case falls in the regime m &gt; 5.5 for which the final shell is expected to coast freely (Table <ref type="table">1</ref>), and for which analytic results were obtained in Section 2.2. Then in Section 4.2, we explore the m5a10 model as a representative case which samples the m &lt; 5.5 regime, for which stronger deceleration of the fast shell may be expected. We do not analyse the m = 7 model, corresponding to a constant wind velocity, because as expected no shocks were seen to develop.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head n="4.1">Coasting fast shell (m = 6)</head></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head n="4.1.1">Hydrodynamics of the shock interaction</head><p>Fig. <ref type="figure">2</ref> shows the time evolution of the injected wind properties for all the critical regimes of wind interaction (3 &#8804; m &#8804; 7; Table <ref type="table">1</ref>), with a small initial separation of a 0 /a f = 3. Compared to most of our other models with a 0 /a f = 3 (Table <ref type="table">2</ref>), the large initial binary separation a 0 /a f = 10 extends the start of the simulation prior to the merger to &#8776; 12 s. Though still not in the expected physical range, this relatively longer lead-in allows us to follow the dynamical interaction of the fast shell with the earlier inspiral wind material to larger radii and for a longer duration, before the FS enters regions influenced by the steady pulsar wind (the initial outflow assumed to exist on the grid prior to the inspiral phase simulated).</p><p>Self-interaction within the inspiral wind gives rise to an outwardly propagating shock complex. In general, the complex is expected to include an FS propagating into the unshocked inspiral wind, an RS propagating back through fast shell (and ultimately the post-merger wind), and a contact discontinuity separating the two regions of shocked gas. There furthermore exists a complex series of shocks and other features in the post-merger wind region -caused due to the interaction of RS with the post-merger wind -which we largely neglect in what follows as they are neither physical nor germane to the synchrotron maser emission, which originates from the energetically dominant FS generated by the fast shell. Fig. <ref type="figure">3</ref> illustrates the radial profiles of the gas density, pressure, entropy, and velocity at various snapshots in time (colour coded with respect to the time after merger, tt m, 0 ). In order to better highlight the different structures and discontinuities of the hydrodynamical parameters associated with the shock complex, we employ an Eulerian radial coordinate R &#8801; (rr &#961; )/r in , where r &#961; is the location of the peak density on the grid, and r in is the inner edge of the simulation box.</p><p>The yellow line in Fig. <ref type="figure">3</ref> shows a snapshot taken soon after the merger (tt m, 0 &#8764; 1 s). Although the inspiral ejecta is spatially extended ( ct m, 0 &#8764; 10 11 cm; R 4), most of its energyestimated to be &#8764;5 &#215; 10 41 erg (equation 17) -is carried by the narrow shell at R &#8764; 0. This narrow shell has a width of f ct f &#8764; 3 &#215; 10 7 cm, with a bulk Lorentz factor of f &#8764; 16 (see Table <ref type="table">2</ref>) -being the fastest portion of the entire ejecta. The peak seen at R &#8764; 0 in the spatial extent of &#961;r 2 (Fig. <ref type="figure">3a</ref>) also indicates that most of the total ejected wind mass is located in the same shell. At this early time after the merger, strong interaction between the fastest and slower parts of the inspiral wind have not yet developed.</p><p>However, by the second snapshot (orange line in Fig. <ref type="figure">3</ref>; tt m, 0 &#8764; 9 s), a high-density spike appears ahead of the fast shell. This is accompanied by a discontinuous jump in entropy (at R &#8764; 0 + of Fig. <ref type="figure">3c</ref>), indicating the formation of the nascent FS, as the fast shell interacts with the upstream inspiral wind. The shocked downstream material in the posterior tail of the fast shell starts exhibiting semblance of an RS. This feature is seen at R &#8764; -0.03 (see inset of Fig. <ref type="figure">3</ref>) with a peak in entropy (panel c) and a drop in the Lorentz factor ( f &#8764; 6; panel d) with respect to the fast shell ahead of it ( f &#8764; 16), and propagates behind into the post-merger pulsar wind at later times. Given the coasting shell evolution expected in the m = 6 case, the prompt RS -formed as a result of the interaction of the FS with the upstream inspiral wind -is too weak to influence the dynamics of the fast shell. The kinetic energy of the fast shell is efficiently transferred to gas behind the FS (denoted by a vertical dashed line in Fig. <ref type="figure">3</ref>) without any significant deceleration of the FS itself, due to the RS.</p><p>In the following stage, more wind material is swept up by the narrow fast shell, which then begins to broaden it. This can be observed at tt m, 0 21 s (magenta curves in Fig. <ref type="figure">3</ref>) by a modest drop in the density (at R &#8764; 0.0 of panel a), and a broadening of the fast shell behind the FS. The onset of the stratification of the fast shell into a distinct FS and a RS as seen in the previous stage (tt m, 0 &#8764; 9 s) is accompanied by the formation of the internal RSs that continue to propagate back into material released Figure <ref type="figure">3</ref>. Snapshots of the radial profiles of hydrodynamical quantities demonstrating the self-interaction of the inspiral-driven wind from the m6a10 model (m = 6; a 0 /a f = 10). To follow the narrow shock structure, we employ an Eulerian radial coordinate R &#8801; (rr &#961; )/r in , where r &#961; is the location of the peak density, and r in is the inner edge of the simulation box. Panel (a): comoving density (&#961;); panel (b): pressure (P); and panel (c): entropy log (P/&#961; &#947; ) where &#947; = 4/3 is the adiabatic index. Panel (d): bulk Lorentz factor. &#961; and P are multiplied by r 2 in order to compensate for their secular radial evolution in spherical coordinates. Vertical black dashed-dotted lines (at R = 0) denotes the location of the peak density, while dashed vertical lines denote the location of the FS. The density and pressure are shown in code units (but are scaled to physical units when calculating radio light curves). Different coloured lines denote different snapshots in time tt m, 0 after the merger. The inset in each panel shows a zoomed-in view around r &#961; (-0.15 &#8804; R &#8804; 0.15). after the merger (e.g. the discontinuous entropy jumps seen at R &lt; 0). The latter evolution is complex but is not physical (we are not attempting to model the post-merger phase) and, since the post-merger outflow carries little energy, has little impact on the FS.</p><p>Solid black curves in Fig. <ref type="figure">4</ref> show the time evolution of properties relevant to the upstream inspiral wind, FS, and its radio emission extracted from m6a10 simulation. These include the upstream density just ahead of the shock n &#177; , the Lorentz factor of the FS sh -well approximated to an accuracy of O( -1 sh ) by &#8730; 2 times the Lorentz factor of the immediate post-shock gas <ref type="bibr">(Blandford &amp; McKee 1976)</ref>, the peak frequency of the maser emission &#957; pk (equation 27), and the (bolometric) kinetic fluence L e &#8226; t (kinetic shock luminosity L e times lab time t). <ref type="foot">3</ref> After an initial transient phase during which the FS is still developing (and hence cannot be properly identified on the grid), sh evolves only weakly with time (&#8733; t &#945; , where &#945; = 1/8), roughly consistent with the expectation of coasting evolution for  <ref type="table">2</ref>), with respect to time in lab frame. Shock properties corresponding to fast shell coasting into pristine upstream medium (m = 6) are denoted by the black curves, and the red curves (m = 5) are representative of the m &lt; 5.5 regime wherein a decelerating fast shell drives through a pre-shocked upstream medium (see Table <ref type="table">1</ref>). The simulations are performed for an initial inspiral separation of a 0 /a f = 10. The top panel (a) denotes the upstream rest-frame mass density -corresponding to the earlier discharged inspiral wind -as intercepted by the FS; panel (b) shows the shock Lorentz factor; panel (c) shows the evolution of the peak of the synchrotron maser emission in observer frame; panel (d) depicts the fluence evolution of the burst -measured from the shock luminosity L e , and panel (e) illustrates the specific internal energy of the upstream medium entering the FS. n &#177; , &#957; pk , and L e &#8226; t are denoted in arbitrary units, and &#949; &#177; in units of c 2 , as defined in Section 3.2. In panels (a), (c), and (d), the black dotted lines represent the agreement of the (m = 6) simulation results with the analytical estimates -corresponding to the labelled equations in Section 2.2. Red dotted lines in all the panels, and the black dotted lines in panel (b) denote an empirically fitted power-law slope for respective shock properties. The moment of merger is denoted by the vertical black-red dashed line (for both the models, m5a10 and m6a10). The red band at 35 t [s] 42 denotes the RS crossing phase in the m5a10 model. m = 6. The evolution of n &#177; , L e &#8226; t and &#957; pk , also achieve power-lawlike behaviour with decay indices that agree well with the analytic expectations (equation 24, 27, and 30; shown as grey dotted lines in Fig. <ref type="figure">4</ref>).</p><p>In summary, the m = 6 case is characterized by a rapid transfer of the kinetic energy of the fast shell to the FS, with no deceleration of the Lorentz factor of the fastest material throughout the evolution, consistent with the expected coasting behaviour for m &gt; 5.5 (Section 2.2). The properties of the FS agree well with analytic predictions made under the assumption of free expansion and that the material met by the fast shell was not shocked at a prior stage.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head n="4.1.2">Synchrotron maser emission</head><p>Given the FS properties extracted from our simulations, we now describe how this information is used to calculate synthetic radio light curves using the results of particle-in-cell (PIC) simulations of the synchrotron maser emission from magnetized shocks <ref type="bibr">(Plotnikov &amp; Sironi 2019</ref>). The efficiency, f &#958; , and SED of the maser emission depend on the magnetization of the upstream wind &#963; . We take &#963; = 0.1 in our calculations to follow, for which f &#958; &#8764; 10 -3 based on 2D/3D calculations (see fig. <ref type="figure">B2</ref> of <ref type="bibr">Plotnikov &amp; Sironi 2019)</ref>. Neither the maser SED nor f &#958; depend sensitively on &#963; 1 in so far as its value is not so low (&#963; 1) that the shock is still mediated by Larmor gyration of the incoming particles <ref type="bibr">(Iwamoto et al. 2017)</ref>, as opposed to the Weibel instability <ref type="bibr">(Weibel 1959)</ref>.</p><p>The radiative efficiency and spectrum of the maser emission can also depend on the temperature of the upstream medium <ref type="bibr">(Babul &amp; Sironi 2020)</ref>. In particular, f &#958; is drastically suppressed if the upstream medium is relativistically hot, with an internal energy density &#949; 0.1c 2 <ref type="bibr">(Babul &amp; Sironi 2020)</ref>. However, as shown in the bottom panels of Fig. <ref type="figure">4</ref>, we find a cold upstream &#949; 10 -3 c 2 ahead of the FS in all of our simulations. This is not surprising in the m = 6 case, because the upstream medium is expected to be 'pristine' (unshocked prior to the arrival of the fast shell) for m &gt; 5.5 (Table <ref type="table">1</ref>). However, we find a similarly cold upstream even in our m &lt; 6 simulations (Section 4.2), as a result of the upstream shocked gas experiencing adiabatic losses prior to the arrival of the fast shell. We are thus justified in using calculations of the maser emission which assume a cold upstream <ref type="bibr">(Plotnikov &amp; Sironi 2019)</ref>.</p><p>The maser SED typically peaks at a Doppler boosted observer frequency &#957; pk &#8776; 3 sh &#957; p where &#957; p is the rest-frame plasma frequency of the upstream medium (equation 27 and surrounding discussion) and falls off rapidly at higher frequencies &#957; pk . From the time evolution of n &#177; and sh derived from our simulations (Fig. <ref type="figure">4</ref>), we calculate &#957; pk (t) and then use the maser spectrum &#957;L &#957; [&#957;/&#957; pk ] from <ref type="bibr">Plotnikov &amp; Sironi (2019)</ref> to calculate the observed luminosity in different frequency bands, where the spectrum is normalized such that &#8734; 0 L &#957; d&#957; = f &#958; L e . Finally, we convert from lab-frame time t to observer time t obs using the equation ( <ref type="formula">25</ref>) in order to generate light curves in each band. This methodology is depicted in the lefthand column of Fig. <ref type="figure">5</ref>, where different colours denote the position of different radio frequency bands (red: 0.5-1 GHz, green: 1.0-2.0 GHz, and blue: 2.0-3.0 GHz) at three snapshots in the shock evolution. At early times, the higher frequency radio bands overlap &#957; pk . However, as the shock propagates into lower density material, &#957; pk 3 sh &#957; p decreases and crosses lower frequency bands. The light curve (righthand column of Fig. <ref type="figure">5</ref>) in a given observing band centred at &#957; obs peaks on the time-scale t FRB (equation 31) when &#957; obs &#8764; &#957; pk (equation 27). The radio light curve peaks earlier at higher frequencies than at lower ones due to the downward sweeping nature of the signal.</p><p>As noted earlier, the wind Lorentz factor in our numerical simulations is limited to values O(10 2 ) for numerical reasons. This would result in values of &#957; pk near the end of the inspiral (equation 28) close to &#8764;10 15 Hz, that is, at optical/UV frequencies instead of the radio band. Thus, to account for more realistic wind Lorentz factors  <ref type="figure">4</ref>). Each row corresponds to a different snapshot in time (top: t obs &#8764; 0.03 s, middle: t obs &#8764; 0.06 s, and bottom: t obs &#8764; 1.5 s). Left-hand column: the SED &#957;L &#957; (in arbitrary units) of the synchrotron maser emission from magnetized shocks based on PIC simulations <ref type="bibr">(Plotnikov &amp; Sironi 2019)</ref>, calculated assuming magnetization &#963; = 0.1 in the inspiral wind. The frequency axis is normalized to the upstream plasma frequency &#957; p , whose values at different times are indicated at the top right corner of each panel. Coloured regions denote the contribution of particular frequency bands to the overall spectrum (red: 0.5-1.0 GHz, green: 1.0-2.0 GHz, and blue: 2.0-3.0 GHz). As the shock moves outwards through lower density material, &#957; p decreases and the &#957; obs moves up the high-frequency tail of the maser SED. Right-hand column: radio light curve in each frequency band shown on the left (same colour coding). The time of merger is denoted by vertical dashed lines, while the dotted line shows the analytically predicted power-law decay of the bolometric luminosity (equation 30).</p><p>10 which make the maser emission accessible to radio telescopes, in Fig. <ref type="figure">5</ref> we have re-scaled f from its normalization in the simulations up a value &#8764;10<ref type="foot">foot_5</ref> . This scaled-up f is chosen such that &#957; pk, f 1.2 GHz (see Fig. <ref type="figure">6a</ref>). Some FRBs are observed to exhibit temporal substructure within a given burst, with distinct spectral properties <ref type="bibr">(Farah et al. 2018;</ref><ref type="bibr">Gajjar et al. 2018)</ref>. A useful tool for visualizing such features is the dynamic energy spectrum ('waterfall plot'). The bottom left panel of Fig. <ref type="figure">6</ref>(a) shows a synthetic dynamic spectrum for the example from Fig. <ref type="figure">5</ref>, which we have calculated using light curves from 40 different frequency bins spanning the 0.1-1.3 GHz range. Bright (dark) regions denote the moments in time or frequency with enhanced (diminished) radio power. Due to frequency structure in the maser SED (Fig. <ref type="figure">5</ref>), the dynamic spectrum likewise shows sub-burst features, seen as narrow pockets of enhanced emission. The time integrated spectrum, illuminating the presence of burst substructures is depicted in the bottom right panel of Fig. <ref type="figure">6(a)</ref>. The dynamic spectrum is seen to exhibit downward drifting frequency behaviour in the burst substructure -with a frequency drift rate of &#957;f of &#8776;-23 MHz ms -1 in the 0.4-1.0 GHz range, and &#957;f of &#8776;-8 MHz ms -1 in the 0.1-0.4 GHz range. We note that this is qualitatively similar to that observed in several repeating FRBs <ref type="bibr">(Hessels et al. 2019;</ref><ref type="bibr">CHIME/FRB Collaboration et al. 2019;</ref><ref type="bibr">Caleb et al. 2020)</ref>. Although the binary NS merger precursors studied here are clearly not repeating events, similar physics of an outwardly-propagating shock wave may operate in other central engine models <ref type="bibr">(Metzger et al. 2019</ref>).</p><p>An important caveat (see Section 5.3 for more) to our above calculations is that we do not include the effects of differential arrival time of emission across the relativistic shock front, which will act to smooth out short temporal structure in the burst <ref type="bibr">(Beniamini &amp; Kumar 2020)</ref>. We have also neglected the effects of attenuation of the radio signal by induced Compton scattering in the wind material ahead of the shock <ref type="bibr">(Lyubarsky 2008)</ref>. Although induced scattering can play an important role in shaping the maser emission in the case of an effectively stationary upstream medium <ref type="bibr">(Metzger et al. 2019)</ref>, its effects are less severe when the upstream is itself a relativistic wind <ref type="bibr">(Beloborodov 2020b)</ref>.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head n="4.2">Decelerating fast shell (3 &#8804; m &#8804; 5)</head><p>While the m = 6 models provide an ideal way to test the results of our numerical simulations against analytic predictions, the coasting nature of the fast shell and a pristine unshocked upstream medium are assumptions that are expected to break down for m &#8804; 5.5. For m &#8804; 5.5, the fast shell sweeps up more than its own inertial mass from an upstream medium (which itself has been earlier shocked; Table <ref type="table">1</ref>), resulting in a stronger RS and more significant deceleration of the fast shell. Having established the reliability of our numerical results in the m &gt; 5.5 case -with the matching of analytical estimates, we now rely on hydrodynamical simulations alone to explore the shock evolution in the m &lt; 5.5 regime.</p><p>We choose the m = 5 case to explore in detail. Akin to our simulation of the m6a10 model, we choose an initial binary separation of a 0 /a f = 10 for simulating the inspiral wind interaction in the m = 5 case, to sufficiently probe the wind interaction for a meaningfully long duration (before it interacts with the initial pulsar wind). We find qualitatively similar behaviour of the wind interaction during the early phases in the m = 3 and 4 models with a shorter initial separation (a 0 /a f = 3; Table <ref type="table">2</ref>), but do not explore these models in depth because they could not be run long enough (large enough a 0 /a f ) to capture the asymptotic behaviour of the shock deceleration. 4  Fig. <ref type="figure">7</ref> shows snapshots in the evolution of the inspiral wind for the m5a10 model, similar to that previously shown in Fig. <ref type="figure">3</ref> for the m = 6 model. In addition to the FS generated by the fastest shell released at the end of the inspiral (Section 4.1), the upstream wind in the m = 5 case now contains an additional, slower shock complex generated by the interaction of the inspiral wind with the pre-inspiral (constant power) 'pulsar' wind. However, this pre-shock region is too far ahead of the fast shell (R &gt; 4) to have any direct influence on the evolution of the dominant FS at early times when most of the shock generated power is being released. We hereafter focus on the evolution of the FS generated by the fast shell (solid red curves in Fig. <ref type="figure">4</ref>), as this generates the greatest kinetic luminosity. Less luminous radio emission could occur prior to the end of the inspiral from weaker internal shocks ahead of the final shock, but we do not explore that here.</p><p>Unlike the m = 6 case, where the fast shell rapidly transfers its kinetic energy to the FS, the FS in the m = 5 case only develops by tt m, 0 &#8764; 23 s after merger,<ref type="foot">foot_7</ref> as seen by a small discontinuous peak in the entropy at R = 0 + in Fig. <ref type="figure">7</ref> (orange curve; dashed vertical lines denoting FS are not drawn for this snapshot in time due to the proximity of the FS to the black dashed-dotted line at R = 0). The radial profile of the gas Lorentz factor reveals the presence of the uniform fast shell prior to tt m, 0 23 s (yellow curve), with most of it still intact at R &lt; 0, behind the nascent FS. However, by tt m, 0 = 34 s (light magenta curve), the RS has passed through the head of the fast shell towards its tail, as seen prominently at R &#8764; -0.9. By the next snapshot at tt m, 0 = 44 s, the RS has already reached post-merger wind (R &lt; -1), at which point both the fast shell and FS have been decelerated. This phase is accompanied by heating of gas behind the FS, as revealed by the increase in the entropy (panel c). The decelerating shock phase due to RS crossing through the fast shell is shown as a red shaded region in Fig. <ref type="figure">7</ref>.</p><p>The RS crossing phase is followed by a phase of approximately coasting behaviour of the shock velocity ( sh &#8764; 80 at t 43 s; red curve in Fig. <ref type="figure">4b</ref>). However, within this phase, the slope of the upstream density (dn &#177; /dt) encountered by the FS is seen to change, with a break at t &#8764; 53 s. Until this break point (44 t 53), the slopes of the peak synchrotron frequency (d&#957; pk /dt) and the shock fluence (d(L e &#8226; t)/dt) of the m5a10 model resembles that of m6a10 model, albeit with a consistently higher value of both the observables. After the break point (at t 53 s), upstream density follows a power-law profile, n &#177; &#8733; t &#945; , where the slope is empirically measured to be &#945; = -9 (red dotted line in Fig. <ref type="figure">4a</ref>). This precipitous decrease in n &#177; is accompanied by a steeper decline in &#957; pk and L e &#8226; t, each following a power-law profile with a slope of -4.5. Note that observable properties like &#957; pk and L e &#8226; t in m = 5 drop faster than for m = 6 case.</p><p>Finally at times tt m, 0 80 s, the FS is being influenced by upstream gas which has been shocked by interacting with the preinspiral pulsar wind, resulting in an abrupt decline in the upstream density and shock fluence. However, as already mentioned, this phase (or at least the time-scale on which it occurs in the simulation) is not physical because the shocked material being encountered by the FS is an artefact of the steady pulsar wind assumed as an initial condition prior to the simulated phase. Therefore, the shock properties from this phase are not reported in our results, and not used for the calculation of the radio emission.</p><p>The shock properties extracted for the m5a10 model from the relativistic hydrodynamical simulation are then convolved with the synchrotron maser SED, to obtain the radio light curves and spectrum, following the procedures detailed in Section 4.1.2. The dynamical spectrum of the FRB produced by a decelerating shock encountering a pre-shocked inspiral wind is displayed in Fig. <ref type="figure">6(b)</ref>. Here, we see a &#957;f of &#8776;-75 MHz ms -1 in the 0.4-1.0 GHz range, and a &#957;f of &#8776;-30 MHz ms -1 in the 0.1-0.4 GHz range. This presence of a break in the drift frequency rate is qualitatively similar to that seen in m = 6 case. The faster speed of the FS in m = 5 case and a steeper decline in the observable quantities (&#957; pk and L e &#8226; t) conspire together to yield a relatively shorter duration FRB, with the peak frequency drifting down at a rate 3 times than that of the m = 6 case.</p><p>In summary, the properties of the dominant FS in the m = 5 case are qualitatively similar to that of the m = 6 case, with the notable exception of a strong RS which passes through the ejecta (on an observer time &#8764;t f ) and abruptly decreases (at least temporarily) the Lorentz factor and kinetic luminosity of the shock. However, because the shocks are adiabatic in our set-up, this energy is not 'lost' but may instead be eventually transferred back to the FS; indeed, this may be seen by the mild acceleration of sh at t 43 s (see Fig. <ref type="figure">4</ref>). After the RS crossing phase, the FS shock properties (relevant to the synchrotron maser emission) appear to decay as power laws which are steeper than the m = 6 case. In a more realistic set-up, we expect A description of all the other quantities illustrated here can be found in Fig. <ref type="figure">3</ref>. that this self-similar phase of shock evolution would last considerably longer than in our simulation, before the fast shell eventually reaches the region of the wind dominated by the single pulsar wind.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head n="5">O B S E RVAT I O NA L P RO S P E C T S</head><p>This section discusses observational prospects for detecting the shock-powered radio precursor emission from NS mergers and addresses some caveats of our results.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head n="5.1">Parameter space of radio transients</head><p>One of the biggest uncertainties in our proposed scenario is the dependence of the wind mass loading on binary separation (or, equivalently, time until merger). It is fortunate then that our numerical results for the time-dependent FS properties (Fig. <ref type="figure">4</ref>) show broadly similar evolution in both the freely expanding (5.5 &lt; M &lt; 7) and decelerating (3 &#8804; m &lt; 5.5) cases. In what follows, we apply our analytic results for the m = 6 case (Section 2.2) to explore the range of shock-powered emission. Qualitatively similar results should apply to the more general m &lt; 7 cases.</p><p>Fig. <ref type="figure">8</ref> shows the energy E FRB (equation 35) and duration t FRB (equation 31) of the predicted radio emission (at fiducial observing frequencies &#957; obs = 0.1 and 1 GHz) as a function of two unknowns: the surface magnetic field B d of the more strongly magnetized NS and the final Lorentz factor f of the binary wind (related to the uncertain wind mass loading). We also show the constraints imposed on f and the emission duration (1 ms t FRB 500 ms) by the conditions needed to produce an observable burst (&#957; obs &gt; &#957; pk, f ; equation 32) and for the binary wind to interact with itself instead of the single pulsar wind (equation 33).</p><p>Figure <ref type="figure">8</ref>. Properties of the radio burst precursor as a function of the surface magnetic dipole field of the NS (B d ; abscissa) and the peak Lorentz factor of the inspiral wind ejecta ( f ; ordinate). The energy (E FRB ) and the duration of the radio burst (t FRB ) are depicted by the coloured bands and black solid line contours, respectively (equations 35 and 31). The colour-faded regions in the top left and bottom right corners of the plot constitute those values of f and B d , for which no observable FRB emission is possible. The emission with t FRB t f &#8764; 1 ms is suppressed due to the observing frequency &#957; obs being smaller than the peak frequency of the maser spectrum &#957; pk (equation 32), and at t FRB 500 ms, the assumptions of our model may break down due to the potential interaction of the fast shell with the isolated pulsar wind (of assumed spin period P = 0.1 s; equation 33). The E FRB and t FRB contours are calculated assuming a maser efficiency f &#958; = 10 -3 , geometric beaming fraction f b = 0.1, and observing frequency &#957; obs = 1.0 GHz (left-hand figure), and &#957; obs = 0.1 GHz (right-hand figure). The wind mass-loss rate is modelled by a power law with an index m = 6, corresponding to a coasting fast shell of ejecta meeting unshocked inspiral wind. The white dashed line in the right-hand panel (b) is set by the observed fluence upper limits to prompt radio emission that accompanied the short gamma-ray bursts GRB150424A <ref type="bibr">(Kaplan et al. 2015)</ref> and GRB170112A <ref type="bibr">(Anderson et al. 2018)</ref>.</p><p>The burst energy depends most sensitively on the NS magnetic field, ranging from E FRB &#8764; 10 34 erg for a weakly magnetized pulsar (B d &#8764; 10 11 G) to E FRB 10 41 erg for a magnetar primary (B d 10 14 G). These energies, as well as the range of burst durations t FRB &#8764; 1-500 ms, broadly overlap those of observed FRBs (e.g. <ref type="bibr">Thornton et al. 2013;</ref><ref type="bibr">Bochenek et al. 2020;</ref><ref type="bibr">The CHIME/FRB Collaboration et al. 2020)</ref>. The required range of Lorentz factors ( f &#8764; 10 2 -10 5 for B d &#8764; 10 11 -10 15 G) to produce an observable signal, requires mass loading of the binary wind corresponding to values of the effective pair multiplicity &#956; &#177; &#8764; 10 6 -10 11 (equation 15), which is higher than in rotational-powered pulsar winds (e.g. <ref type="bibr">Timokhin &amp; Harding 2019)</ref>. However, note that this pair multiplicity is calculated during the final moments before merger (a 2R ns ), whence the existence of additional dissipation processes and high compactness of the binary interaction region near the final inspiral could substantially enhance pair creation (e.g. <ref type="bibr">Metzger &amp; Zivancev 2016)</ref>.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head n="5.2">Detection rates and strategies</head><p>There are several strategies for detecting the radio counterparts we have described. First, they could be discovered 'blindly' by existing surveys (and, indeed, may already be present in FRB samples). A radio telescope with a fluence sensitivity of F lim at &#957; obs = 1 GHz can detect a burst of energy E FRB (equation 35) out to a distance</p><p>where we have used equation <ref type="bibr">(35)</ref>. Given the local volumetric rate of NS-NS mergers inferred by LIGO/Virgo of R &#8776; 320 +490 -240 Gpc -3 yr -1 (The LIGO Scientific Collaboration &amp; the Virgo Collaboration 2020), the all-sky rate of NS-NS merger-associated FRBs above  <ref type="bibr">2016;</ref><ref type="bibr">Bhandari et al. 2018</ref>).</p><p>Due to their different beaming patterns, mergers that produce detectable FRB emission may not be accompanied by a GRB (see below). However, other post-merger counterparts which generate more isotropic emission -such as an optical/infrared kilonova (e.g. <ref type="bibr">Metzger et al. 2010)</ref> or a radio afterglow (e.g. Nakar &amp; Piran 2011)are potentially more promising. It is not currently feasible to followup a large enough sample of FRBs at optical or radio wavelengths to discover such counterparts, given the large distances D rad Gpc of the sources and the small fraction of FRBs which may be associated with this formation channel. However, the sky positions of many FRBs will be followed up automatically by future deep surveys, such as the Vera C. Rubin Observatory and the Square Kilometer Array, enabling a more systematic search.</p><p>In addition to producing coherent radio emission, the shocks we have described will heat pairs to relativistic temperatures, simultaneously generating (incoherent) synchrotron radiation (e.g. <ref type="bibr">Metzger et al. 2019)</ref>. For an e &#177; -pair upstream this emission will peak at optical or X-ray wavelengths <ref type="bibr">(Beloborodov 2020b)</ref>, though can occur in the gamma-ray range if the upstream is baryon loaded. However, even assuming the entire energy of the inspiral wind &#8764;E f is converted into gamma-rays (&#8764;10 -8 -10 -9 erg cm -2 ), such emission is only detectable by wide-field facilities like Fermi GBM to a few tens of Mpc <ref type="bibr">(Metzger &amp; Zivancev 2016)</ref>. The narrow fields of view of sensitive X-ray and optical telescope facilities also likely preclude them detecting thermal synchrotron emission from the FRBgenerating shocks we have described.</p><p>Radio precursor bursts could also be discovered via targeted follow-up of NS-NS or BH-NS mergers which are first detected through their GW emission. The sky-position and orientationaveraged NS-NS detection range during the upcoming LIGO/Virgo O4 run is expected to be D GW 150 Mpc <ref type="bibr">(Abbott et al. 2018</ref>). However, due to the nature of the GW beaming pattern, the range for the approximately edge-on systems (those predicted to give rise to the brightest emission in our scenario; Fig. <ref type="figure">1</ref>) is smaller than average,</p><p>where f b, GW factors-in the effect of inspiral orientation on the GW beaming pattern in determining the NS-NS detection range, and ranges from 0.5 to 1.5 for inspiral orientations between edge-on and face-on, respectively <ref type="bibr">(Schutz 2011;</ref><ref type="bibr">Metzger &amp; Berger 2012)</ref>. Given that D rad &gt; D GW, edge for a range of plausible magnetic fields strengths B d &#8764; 10 11 -10 12 G, the rate of GW events accompanied by an FRB signal could be as high as<ref type="foot">foot_8</ref> </p><p>&#7748;GW &#8776; 4&#960; 3</p><p>The predicted FRB signal (of duration t FRB ) starts roughly simultaneously with the end of the GW inspiral (Figs <ref type="figure">4</ref> and<ref type="figure">5</ref>) (though some radio emission can start before the merger due to stronger internal shocks between earlier stages of the inspiral wind). However, the FRB signal will arrive on Earth delayed relative to the GWs by an additional amount, t GW , due to the finite propagation speed of radio waves through ionized plasma, where DM = d 0 n e ds is total dispersion measure of the burst along the path of propagation, n e is the free electron density, and d the source distance. The DM in general includes contributions from the Milky Way interstellar medium (ISM, &#8764;40 pc cm -3 at high Galactic latitudes; <ref type="bibr">Cordes &amp; Lazio 2002)</ref>, its halo (50-80 pc cm -3 ; Prochaska &amp; Zheng 2019), intergalactic medium (24 pc cm -3 (z/0.02), where z is the redshift corresponding to D GW, edge &#8764; 75 pc cm -3 ; <ref type="bibr">Ioka 2003;</ref><ref type="bibr">Inoue 2004;</ref><ref type="bibr">Lorimer et al. 2007;</ref><ref type="bibr">Karastergiou et al. 2015)</ref>, and the local host ISM and halo. These local DM contributions including from the inspiral wind itself is considered negligible. Given that DM[D GW, edge ] 115 pc cm -3 , we expect the propagation delay to be t GW [D GW, edge ] 0.48 s t FRB in some circumstances.</p><p>Radio wavelength coverage of GW sky regions on timescales of seconds or less after the end of the GW inspiral is currently possible only at low frequencies &#8764;100 MHz due to the very large field of dipole antenna arrays (such as OVRO-LWA; <ref type="bibr">Anderson et al. 2019)</ref> which cover a large fraction of the sky and hence can catch FRB counterparts to GW events serendipitously. However, rapid GWtriggered follow-up is not yet feasible at higher radio frequencies &#8764;1 GHz where telescopes are significantly more sensitive. In the future this technique may be more promising, particularly given improvements in technology and planned improvements in GW detection pipelines to provide shorter -or even negative -latency GW detections (e.g. <ref type="bibr">James et al. 2019)</ref>.</p><p>Finally, one could also target short GRB to search for potential early radio counterparts of NS-NS or NS-BH merger. The righthand panel of Fig. <ref type="figure">8</ref> shows upper limits on the energy of the putative radio burst E FRB associated with two short GRBs for which prompt radio follow-up observations were conducted <ref type="bibr">(Kaplan et al. 2015;</ref><ref type="bibr">Anderson et al. 2018</ref>; see also <ref type="bibr">Rowlinson &amp; Anderson 2019;</ref><ref type="bibr">Gourdji et al. 2020;</ref><ref type="bibr">Rowlinson et al. 2020)</ref>. The observed upper limit on radio fluence, with a range of ad-hoc burst durations, can be used alongside equations ( <ref type="formula">31</ref>) and ( <ref type="formula">35</ref>) to obtain the upper limits on the magnetic field of the NS B d , and the Lorentz factor of the fastest shell f , as per our model. The dark region delimited by the white dashed line in Fig. <ref type="figure">8</ref>(ii) corresponds to those values of the intrinsic parameters B d and f , that are not allowed by the observed radio fluence upper limits, for different burst durations. Depending on the calculated value of f , these limits appear to rule out NS-NS mergers containing magnetars (B d 10 14 -10 15 G) for the considered observations. However, due to geometric effects, the FRB emission we predict is unlikely to be detectable in coincidence with a GRB. The binary wind -and hence its shock-generated radio emission -is expected to be focused along the binary orbital plane (Fig. <ref type="figure">1</ref>), well outside the direction of the GRB jet (typically 10 &#8226; of the binary rotational axis, e.g. Berger 2014).</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head n="5.3">Caveats and uncertainties</head><p>We now discuss several caveats and uncertainties that potentially affect our conclusions.</p><p>(i) Energy dissipation: one uncertainty in our assumption is that a large fraction of the total energy dissipated by magnetic interaction between the binary stars emerges in the form of an ordered outflow, as opposed to dissipation close to the stars. <ref type="bibr">Palenzuela et al. (2013)</ref> find that the total dissipated energy is nearly equally partitioned in between the radiated Poynting energy and Joule heating (acceleration) of particles. Note that this is in the most probable configuration (considered here) of an NS binary with individual dipole moments along the same direction with widely different magnitudes. However, the constituents of the binary can as well have misaligned dipole moments, in which case, a larger fraction of the ejected energy will be in the form of Poynting energy compared to heating up of particles. The energy which is dissipated in the form of charged particle acceleration in the magnetosphere may generate an initially opaque pair fireball, which expands to several times the binary radius before becoming transparent, releasing a prompt burst of &#8764; MeV gamma-rays <ref type="bibr">(Metzger &amp; Zivancev 2016)</ref>. In this work, we have not considered any potential impact of photon-loading at small scales on the relativistic wind which generates internal shocks at much larger radii.</p><p>(ii) Dimensionality: the relativistic hydrodynamical simulations of interacting inspiral wind in this work are performed in 1D (along the radial outflow direction). The emission from the FS can be expected to be visible from a range of viewing angles, which depends upon the beaming angle of the outflow. This corresponds to the solid angle of the fast shell ejected at the end of the inspiral, which requires multidimensional simulations to accurately capture the subtended solid angle. In this work, we parametrize the uncertainty associated with the emission solid angle by a geometric beaming factor, f b set to a constant 10 per cent (equations 34 and 46). However, we note that the outflow can, in principle, subtend a different solid angle at earlier times (smaller binary separation), and therefore the isotropic luminosity of the wind (along the direction of the FRB set by the fast shell) might be changing in a way different than just &#278; -potentially due to evolving f b .</p><p>(iii) Magnetic fields: we have neglected the dynamical impact of magnetic fields on the shock properties. Although this is a reasonable assumption if the wind has solved its '&#963; problem' (see Introduction) by the radius of the shock interaction, this is not guaranteed to be the case. If instead the magnetization of the wind remains &#963; 1 then the shocks will be substantially weaker <ref type="bibr">(Zhang &amp; Kobayashi 2005;</ref><ref type="bibr">Giannios, Mimica &amp; Aloy 2008;</ref><ref type="bibr">Mizuno et al. 2009;</ref><ref type="bibr">Mimica &amp; Aloy 2010)</ref> and the efficiency of the maser emission will drop <ref type="bibr">(Plotnikov &amp; Sironi 2019)</ref>. It is still possible in this case that forced reconnection would occur in the outflow, liberating the magnetic energy and generating coherent radio emission through another mechanism (e.g. <ref type="bibr">Lyubarsky 2020;</ref><ref type="bibr">Most &amp; Philippov 2020)</ref>.</p><p>(iv) Mass loading: we have assumed that the mass-loading of the binary wind increases with decreasing binary separation &#7744; &#8733; a -m , and increases slower than the wind power &#278; &#8733; a -7 , that is, m &lt; 7, such that the wind Lorentz factor increases in time, giving rise to shocks. Although the na&#239;ve GJ scaling (m = 3) satisfies this constraints, other plausible assumptions (e.g. m &#8805; 7, where a fixed or growing fraction of &#278; goes into pair rest mass) would not. However, we note that the issue of wind acceleration is potentially coupled to the above issue of the wind magnetization. If the wind is only partially able to accelerate by the radius of internal shocks (e.g. via reconnection between 'stripes' of alternating magnetic polarity, <ref type="bibr">Lyubarsky &amp; Kirk 2001;</ref><ref type="bibr">Drenkhahn &amp; Spruit 2002)</ref>, then the four-velocity should scale inversely with the radial length-scale of the stripes. In ordinary pulsar winds (with misaligned rotational and magnetic axes), the stripe length-scales with the light cylinder radius. However, in the binary wind case the stripes may instead scale with the size of the binary orbit &#8764;a. Since the latter decreases approaching the merger, all else being equal, the velocity achieved by the wind at a fixed distance from the binary should grow in time.</p><p>(v) Radiative cooling and instabilities: we neglect the effects of radiative cooling of the shock-heated electron/positrons on the dynamics of the shock interaction in the inspiral wind, despite the fact that synchrotron cooling is likely to be rapid on the dynamical time-scale <ref type="bibr">(Metzger et al. 2019;</ref><ref type="bibr">Beloborodov 2020b)</ref>. Given that the FS dynamics is largely driven by ballistic motion of the fast shell, the presence of cooling should not qualitatively affect its evolution relative to the predictions of the adiabatic case. However, we cannot exclude that fast cooling generates instabilities that negatively impact the production of the maser emission. For example, <ref type="bibr">Duffell &amp; MacFadyen (2014)</ref> demonstrate that a shock front experiences RT corrugations and significant turbulence behind it in the presence of cooling -which they approximate with a softer equation of state (&#947; &lt; 4/3). While we leave the full-fledged relativistic MHD modelling of inspiral winds with radiative cooling effects to a future work, we speculate that such instabilities at the shock interface can generate short time-scale variability in the orientation of the upstream magnetic field and hence in the polarization <ref type="bibr">(Nimmo et al. 2020)</ref>.</p><p>(vi) Additional emission: we have assumed that secular time-scale evolution of the wind properties gives rise to the shock emission. If the wind properties are instead highly variable on time-scales much shorter than the GW inspiral time (e.g. <ref type="bibr">Most &amp; Philippov 2020)</ref>, then shock interaction between the ejecta from discrete 'flares' (or from discrete flare ejecta propagating into the otherwise quasisteady binary wind) would provide an additional source of radio emission.</p></div>
<div xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0"><head n="6">C O N C L U S I O N S</head><p>We have proposed a concrete mechanism to transform a significant fraction (up to f &#958; &#8764; 10 -3 ) of the total Poynting energy released by the GW inspiral of a magnetized compact object binary (NS-NS or BH-NS) into a burst of coherent radio emission. The predicted radio emission -with a typical duration of 1 &#8764; 500 ms -exhibits properties similar to the observed FRBs. Several past works have proposed mechanisms for generating coherent radio emission from NS mergers. Here, we go beyond most previous efforts by simulating the first dynamic spectrum (and radio light curves) of an FRB to our knowledge from first principles, and go on to make specific and quantitative predictions for the luminosity, temporal-frequency evolution, geometric beaming of the signal relative to the binary orientation, and prospects of observing them.</p><p>In the paradigm proposed here, the power and the speed of a magnetically dominated pulsar's wind is enhanced secularly during the final stages of merger (equation 4). This enhancement gives rise to shocks via self-interaction of the inspiral wind in the outflowing ejecta -whose properties are contingent on the uncertain mass loading in the wind (Section 2.1), &#7744; &#8733; a -m that we parametrize by m. The wind pair loading is challenging to calculate from first principles, even in the case of ordinary pulsar winds. Nevertheless, in so far as m &lt; 7, the qualitative features of the fast shell generated at the end of the inspiral, and the resulting synchrotron maser emission, are relatively robust. We have identified different regimes of m which result in qualitatively different strength of the RS and behaviour during the deceleration process (Table <ref type="table">1</ref>). However, all of these regimes ultimately result in the transfer of the majority of the energy released by the end of the inspiral into an FS, which is then available to generate synchrotron emission sweeping across a relatively wide range of radio frequencies.</p><p>We analytically derive (Section 2.2) -and confirm via hydrodynamical simulations (Section 4.1) -the properties of the FS and the radio emission for a wind model that gives raise to a coasting fast shell. For coasting shock case, the properties of the radio burst (e.g. energy E FRB and duration t FRB ) are also derived as a function of the central engine's intrinsic parameters -the dipole field (B d ) of the NS and the ejecta speed f (Section 2.2.1). The wind models that give rise to decelerating FS, on the other hand, are explored solely via hydrodynamical simulations (Section 4.2). The properties of the FS extracted from the hydrodynamical simulations are used alongside the spectra of synchrotron maser emission obtained from PIC simulations, in order to simulate the generated FRB in various radio bands, for the case of a coasting fast shell model (Section 4.1.2), and a decelerating FS model (Section 4.2) independently.</p><p>For a strong -but not unreasonable -primary magnetic field strength B d 10 12 G, we predict the burst fluence at &#8764;GHz band to be sufficiently bright to be detected to &#8764;Gpc distances by existing radio survey telescopes. Indeed, such merger counterparts could already be lurking in existing FRB samples, as mergers can account for &#8764;1 per cent ( 40 d -1 ) of the total all-sky FRB rate (equation 45). Out of these bursts, a few per year are predicted to be contemporaneous with GW detections (equation 47). FRBs from this channel could be identified as a subset of non-repeating class of FRBs which exhibit downward-drifting frequency structure (Fig. <ref type="figure">6</ref>), similar to that seen thus far exclusively from recurring FRBs <ref type="bibr">(Hessels et al. 2019)</ref>. This is not a coincidence because the mechanism for generating coherent radio emission proposed here for NS mergers from magnetized relativistic shocks is closely related to that which are proposed in magnetar flares as an explanation for repeating FRBs (e.g. <ref type="bibr">Beloborodov et al. 2018;</ref><ref type="bibr">Metzger et al. 2019)</ref>. Host galaxy demographics may also help to distinguish an FRB subpopulation arising from NS-NS or BH-NS mergers. While growing evidence shows that the majority of FRBs trace star formation (e.g. <ref type="bibr">Bhandari et al. 2020;</ref><ref type="bibr">Heintz et al. 2020)</ref>, NS mergers -due to natal birth kicks and a long delay time until merger -can be traced to various galaxy types (e.g. <ref type="bibr">Belczynski et al. 2006;</ref><ref type="bibr">Margalit, Berger &amp; Metzger 2019)</ref> with a wide range of expected offsets -both spatial and temporalfrom star formation.</p></div><note xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0" place="foot" n="1" xml:id="foot_0"><p>Scenarios for generating recurring FRBs due to magnetospheric interaction from wide NS-NS binaries, on much longer time-scales of decades to centuries before coalescence, are discussed by<ref type="bibr">Gourgouliatos &amp; Lynden-Bell (2019)</ref> and<ref type="bibr">Zhang (2020)</ref>.</p></note>
			<note xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0" place="foot" n="2" xml:id="foot_1"><p>In addition to magnetosphere interaction, tidal resonant excitation of modes in the NS crust provides an additional way to tap into the orbital energy of the merging binary<ref type="bibr">(Tsang et al. 2012;</ref><ref type="bibr">Tsang 2013</ref>). If such modes shatter the crust, then &#8764;10 46 -10 47 erg may be released seconds prior to merger, some fraction of which will also couple to the magnetosphere in the form of outwardly propagating Alfv&#233;n waves, which could generate coherent radio emission upon decaying at large radii<ref type="bibr">(Kumar &amp; Bo&#353;njak 2020;</ref><ref type="bibr">Lu et al. 2020;</ref><ref type="bibr">Yuan et al. 2020)</ref>.MNRAS 501,</p></note>
			<note xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0" place="foot" xml:id="foot_2"><p>3184-3202 (2021)    Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/mnras/article/501/3/3184/6096429 by Purdue University Libraries ADMN user on 14 December 2021</p></note>
			<note xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0" place="foot" xml:id="foot_3"><p>MNRAS 501,3184-3202 (2021)    Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/mnras/article/501/3/3184/6096429 by Purdue University Libraries ADMN user on 14 December 2021</p></note>
			<note xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0" place="foot" n="3" xml:id="foot_4"><p>Since sh is approximately constant, lab time t and observer time t obs = t/(2 2 sh ) are roughly proportional, and hence L e &#8226; t shows the time evolution of the observed fluence. MNRAS 501, 3184-3202 (2021) Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/mnras/article/501/3/3184/6096429 by Purdue University Libraries ADMN user on 14 December 2021</p></note>
			<note xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0" place="foot" n="4" xml:id="foot_5"><p>This is because in models with low mass loadings (m = 3, 4), the maximum value of f O(102 ) that would be attained can cause the numerical scheme to suffer from a failure to recover the primitive variables from the conserved quantities<ref type="bibr">(Mart&#237; &amp; M&#252;ller 2003)</ref>.MNRAS</p></note>
			<note xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0" place="foot" xml:id="foot_6"><p>501, 3184-3202 (2021) Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/mnras/article/501/3/3184/6096429 by Purdue University Libraries ADMN user on 14 December 2021</p></note>
			<note xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0" place="foot" n="5" xml:id="foot_7"><p>This delay is simply a consequence of the larger f 150 which increases the lab-frame time for shock interaction, t int &#8733; 2 f (a 0 /a f ) 4/3 .</p></note>
			<note xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0" place="foot" n="6" xml:id="foot_8"><p>We do not include the rate of GW events from BH-NS merger channel accompanying FRBs due to the uncertain nature of GW190814, and the low significance of GW190426 152155 and other BH-NS candidates.</p></note>
			<note xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0" place="foot" xml:id="foot_9"><p>This paper has been typeset from a T E X/L A T E X file prepared by the author.MNRAS 501, 3184-3202 (2021) Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/mnras/article/501/3/3184/6096429 by Purdue University Libraries ADMN user on 14 December 2021</p></note>
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