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Abstract This paper presents an innovative approach for predicting the relative populations of protein conformations using AlphaFold 2, an AI-powered method that has revolutionized biology by enabling the accurate prediction of protein structures. While AlphaFold 2 has shown exceptional accuracy and speed, it is designed to predict proteins’ ground state conformations and is limited in its ability to predict conformational landscapes. Here, we demonstrate how AlphaFold 2 can directly predict the relative populations of different protein conformations by subsampling multiple sequence alignments. We tested our method against nuclear magnetic resonance experiments on two proteins with drastically different amounts of available sequence data, Abl1 kinase and the granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor, and predicted changes in their relative state populations with more than 80% accuracy. Our subsampling approach worked best when used to qualitatively predict the effects of mutations or evolution on the conformational landscape and well-populated states of proteins. It thus offers a fast and cost-effective way to predict the relative populations of protein conformations at even single-point mutation resolution, making it a useful tool for pharmacology, analysis of experimental results, and predicting evolution.
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Ensemble epistasis: thermodynamic origins of nonadditivity between mutations
Abstract Epistasis—when mutations combine nonadditively—is a profoundly important aspect of biology. It is often difficult to understand its mechanistic origins. Here, we show that epistasis can arise from the thermodynamic ensemble, or the set of interchanging conformations a protein adopts. Ensemble epistasis occurs because mutations can have different effects on different conformations of the same protein, leading to nonadditive effects on its average, observable properties. Using a simple analytical model, we found that ensemble epistasis arises when two conditions are met: (1) a protein populates at least three conformations and (2) mutations have differential effects on at least two conformations. To explore the relative magnitude of ensemble epistasis, we performed a virtual deep-mutational scan of the allosteric Ca2+ signaling protein S100A4. We found that 47% of mutation pairs exhibited ensemble epistasis with a magnitude on the order of thermal fluctuations. We observed many forms of epistasis: magnitude, sign, and reciprocal sign epistasis. The same mutation pair could even exhibit different forms of epistasis under different environmental conditions. The ubiquity of thermodynamic ensembles in biology and the pervasiveness of ensemble epistasis in our dataset suggests that it may be a common mechanism of epistasis in proteins and other macromolecules.
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- Award ID(s):
- 1844963
- PAR ID:
- 10321567
- Editor(s):
- Masel, J
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Genetics
- Volume:
- 219
- Issue:
- 1
- ISSN:
- 1943-2631
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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Abstract Epistasis is caused by genetic interactions among mutations that affect fitness. To characterize properties and potential mechanisms of epistasis, we engineered eight double mutants that combined mutations from the rho and rpoB genes of Escherichia coli. The two genes encode essential functions for transcription, and the mutations in each gene were chosen because they were beneficial for adaptation to thermal stress (42.2 °C). The double mutants exhibited patterns of fitness epistasis that included diminishing returns epistasis at 42.2 °C, stronger diminishing returns between mutations with larger beneficial effects and both negative and positive (sign) epistasis across environments (20.0 °C and 37.0 °C). By assessing gene expression between single and double mutants, we detected hundreds of genes with gene expression epistasis. Previous work postulated that highly connected hub genes in coexpression networks have low epistasis, but we found the opposite: hub genes had high epistasis values in both coexpression and protein–protein interaction networks. We hypothesized that elevated epistasis in hub genes reflected that they were enriched for targets of Rho termination but that was not the case. Altogether, gene expression and coexpression analyses revealed that thermal adaptation occurred in modules, through modulation of ribonucleotide biosynthetic processes and ribosome assembly, the attenuation of expression in genes related to heat shock and stress responses, and with an overall trend toward restoring gene expression toward the unstressed state.more » « less
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- Free Publicly Accessible Full Text
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Accepted Manuscript1.0
- Journal Article:
- https://doi.org/10.1093/genetics/iyab105
