skip to main content


Title: Machine-Learning-Based High-Resolution Earthquake Catalog Reveals How Complex Fault Structures Were Activated during the 2016–2017 Central Italy Sequence
Abstract The 2016–2017 central Italy seismic sequence occurred on an 80 km long normal-fault system. The sequence initiated with the Mw 6.0 Amatrice event on 24 August 2016, followed by the Mw 5.9 Visso event on 26 October and the Mw 6.5 Norcia event on 30 October. We analyze continuous data from a dense network of 139 seismic stations to build a high-precision catalog of ∼900,000 earthquakes spanning a 1 yr period, based on arrival times derived using a deep-neural-network-based picker. Our catalog contains an order of magnitude more events than the catalog routinely produced by the local earthquake monitoring agency. Aftershock activity reveals the geometry of complex fault structures activated during the earthquake sequence and provides additional insights into the potential factors controlling the development of the largest events. Activated fault structures in the northern and southern regions appear complementary to faults activated during the 1997 Colfiorito and 2009 L’Aquila sequences, suggesting that earthquake triggering primarily occurs on critically stressed faults. Delineated major fault zones are relatively thick compared to estimated earthquake location uncertainties, and a large number of kilometer-long faults and diffuse seismicity were activated during the sequence. These properties might be related to fault age, roughness, and the complexity of inherited structures. The rich details resolvable in this catalog will facilitate continued investigation of this energetic and well-recorded earthquake sequence.  more » « less
Award ID(s):
1759810
NSF-PAR ID:
10335710
Author(s) / Creator(s):
; ; ; ; ; ; ; ;
Date Published:
Journal Name:
The Seismic Record
Volume:
1
Issue:
1
ISSN:
2694-4006
Page Range / eLocation ID:
11 to 19
Format(s):
Medium: X
Sponsoring Org:
National Science Foundation
More Like this
  1. Abstract

    The Raton Basin has been an area of injection induced seismicity for the past two decades. Previously, the reactivated fault zone structures and spatiotemporal response of seismicity to evolving injection have been poorly constrained due to sparse publicly available seismic monitoring. The application of a machine‐learning phase picker to 4 years of continuous seismic data from a local array enables the detection and location of ∼38,000 earthquakes. The events from 2016 to 2020 are ∼2.5–6 km below sea level and range from ML < −1 to 4.2. Most earthquakes occur within previously identified ∼N‐S zones of seismicity, however our new catalog illuminates that these zones are composed of many short faults with variable orientations. The two most active zones, the Vermejo Park and Tercio zones, are potentially linked by small intermediate faults. In total, we find ∼60 short (<3 km long) basement faults with strikes from WNW to NNE. Faulting mechanisms are predominantly normal but some variability, including reverse dip‐slip and oblique‐slip, is observed. The Trinidad fault zone, which previously hosted a Mw5.3 earthquake in 2011, is quiescent during 2016–2020, likely in response to both slow accumulation of tectonic strain after the 2011 sequence, and the significant decrease (80% reduction) in nearby wastewater injection from 2012 to 2016. Unlike some other regions, where induced seismicity was triggered in response to higher injection rates, the Raton Basin's frequency‐magnitude and spatiotemporal statistics are not distinguishable from tectonic seismicity. The similarity suggests that seismicity in the Raton Basin is predominantly releasing tectonic stress.

     
    more » « less
  2. null (Ed.)
    ABSTRACT The 2019 Ridgecrest earthquake sequence culminated in the largest seismic event in California since the 1999 Mw 7.1 Hector Mine earthquake. Here, we combine geodetic and seismic data to study the rupture process of both the 4 July Mw 6.4 foreshock and the 6 July Mw 7.1 mainshock. The results show that the Mw 6.4 foreshock rupture started on a northwest-striking right-lateral fault, and then continued on a southwest-striking fault with mainly left-lateral slip. Although most moment release during the Mw 6.4 foreshock was along the southwest-striking fault, slip on the northwest-striking fault seems to have played a more important role in triggering the Mw 7.1 mainshock that happened ∼34  hr later. Rupture of the Mw 7.1 mainshock was characterized by dominantly right-lateral slip on a series of overall northwest-striking fault strands, including the one that had already been activated during the nucleation of the Mw 6.4 foreshock. The maximum slip of the 2019 Ridgecrest earthquake was ∼5  m, located at a depth range of 3–8 km near the Mw 7.1 epicenter, corresponding to a shallow slip deficit of ∼20%–30%. Both the foreshock and mainshock had a relatively low-rupture velocity of ∼2  km/s, which is possibly related to the geometric complexity and immaturity of the eastern California shear zone faults. The 2019 Ridgecrest earthquake produced significant stress perturbations on nearby fault networks, especially along the Garlock fault segment immediately southwest of the 2019 Ridgecrest rupture, in which the coulomb stress increase was up to ∼0.5  MPa. Despite the good coverage of both geodetic and seismic observations, published coseismic slip models of the 2019 Ridgecrest earthquake sequence show large variations, which highlight the uncertainty of routinely performed earthquake rupture inversions and their interpretation for underlying rupture processes. 
    more » « less
  3. ABSTRACT Rapid association of seismic phases and event location are crucial for real‐time seismic monitoring. We propose a new method, named rapid earthquake association and location (REAL), for associating seismic phases and locating seismic events rapidly, simultaneously, and automatically. REAL combines the advantages of both pick‐based and waveform‐based detection and location methods. It associates arrivals of different seismic phases and locates seismic events primarily through counting the number of P and S picks and secondarily from travel‐time residuals. A group of picks are associated with a particular earthquake if there are enough picks within the theoretical travel‐time windows. The location is determined to be at the grid point with the most picks, and if multiple locations have the same maximum number of picks, the grid point among them with smallest travel‐time residuals. We refine seismic locations using a least‐squares location method (VELEST) and a high‐precision relative location method (hypoDD). REAL can be used for rapid seismic characterization due to its computational efficiency. As an example application, we apply REAL to earthquakes in the 2016 central Apennines, Italy, earthquake sequence occurring during a five‐day period in October 2016, midway in time between the two largest earthquakes. We associate and locate more than three times as many events (3341) as are in Italy's National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology routine catalog (862). The spatial distribution of these relocated earthquakes shows a similar but more concentrated pattern relative to the cataloged events. Our study demonstrates that it is possible to characterize seismicity automatically and quickly using REAL and seismic picks. 
    more » « less
  4. Abstract Analysis of earthquake spectra can aid in understanding source characteristics like stress drop and rupture complexity. There is growing interest in probing the similarities and differences of fault rupture for natural and human-induced seismic events. Here, we analyze waveform data from a shallow, buried geophone array that recorded seismicity during a hydraulic fracturing operation near Fox Creek, Alberta. Starting from a quality-controlled catalog of 4000 events between magnitude 0 and 3.2, we estimate source-spectral corner frequencies using methods that account for the band-limited nature of the sensor response. The stress-drop values are found to be approximately self-similar, but with a slight magnitude dependence in which larger events have higher stress drop (∼10 MPa). Careful analysis of the relative corner frequencies shows that individual fault and fracture segments experienced systematic variations in relative corner frequency over time, indicating a possible change in the stress state. Clustering analysis of source spectra based on the relative proportion of high- and low-frequency content relative to the Brune model further shows that event complexity evolves over time. In addition, the faults produce earthquakes with systematically larger stress-drop values than the fractures. Combined, these results indicate that the features activated by hydraulic fracturing experience observable changes in source behavior over time and exhibit different properties depending on the orientation, scale, and fabric of the structural feature on which they occur. 
    more » « less
  5. Abstract

    In September and October 2015, threeM4+ earthquakes occurred as a sequence along a fault northwest of the Cushing city, Oklahoma, followed by anotherM5 earthquake in November 2016. While previous studies have shown that moderate‐size earthquakes in Oklahoma are likely induced by wastewater injections, it is still not clear what controls the rupture process and spatiotemporal evolutions of seismicity during individual sequences. In this study, we investigated the rupture process of these fourM4‐5 events in 2015–2016 with finite fault model (FFM) inversions, and computed the static stress changes during this sequence. We found that the rupture processes of fourM4‐5 earthquakes were very complex, and each of them had several subevents with different rupture directivities. The 2016M5 earthquake started near the region where threeM4+ events initiated, but the majority of the slip occurred a few kilometers away in the northeast direction. In comparison, the 2015M4.3 event mainly ruptured toward the southwest direction. Due to data limitation and inversion uncertainties, we were unable to constrain the rupture directivities for the other twoM4+ events. The foreshocks 3 days before the firstM4+ earthquake in 2015 occurred in a region of positive shear stress changes caused by previous earthquakes in 2014–2015 on unmapped faults several kilometers to the south. Our results suggest small‐scale heterogeneity in controlling complex seismicity and rupture patterns in the 2015–2016 Cushing sequence, and possible triggering of this sequence by a small stress perturbation on order of a few kilopascals.

     
    more » « less