Direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs) are known to interfere with various intracellular stages of the hepatitis C virus (HCV) life cycle and have demonstrated efficacy in treating HCV infection. However, DAA monotherapy can lead to drug resistance due to mutations. This paper explores the impact of DAA therapy on HCV dynamics using a multiscale age-structured partial differential equation (PDE) model that incorporates intracellular viral RNA replication within infected cells and two strains of viruses representing a drug-sensitive strain and a drug-resistant mutant variant, respectively. We derived an equivalent ordinary differential equation (ODE) model from the PDE model to simplify mathematical analysis and numerical simulations. We studied the dynamics of the two virus strains before treatment and investigated the impact of mutations on the evolution kinetics of drug-sensitive and drug-resistant viruses, as well as the competition between the two strains during treatment. We also explored the role of DAAs in blocking HCV RNA replication and releasing new virus particles from cells. During treatment, mutations do not significantly influence the dynamics of various virus strains; however, they can generate low-level HCV that may be completely inhibited due to their poor fitness. The fitness of the mutant strain compared to the drug-sensitive strain determines which strain dominates the virus population. We also investigated the prevalence and drug resistance evolution of HCV variants during DAA treatment.
more »
« less
Assessing in vivo mutation frequencies and creating a high-resolution genome-wide map of fitness costs of Hepatitis C virus
Like many viruses, Hepatitis C Virus (HCV) has a high mutation rate, which helps the virus adapt quickly, but mutations come with fitness costs. Fitness costs can be studied by different approaches, such as experimental or frequency-based approaches. The frequency-based approach is particularly useful to estimate in vivo fitness costs, but this approach works best with deep sequencing data from many hosts are. In this study, we applied the frequency-based approach to a large dataset of 195 patients and estimated the fitness costs of mutations at 7957 sites along the HCV genome. We used beta regression and random forest models to better understand how different factors influenced fitness costs. Our results revealed that costs of nonsynonymous mutations were three times higher than those of synonymous mutations, and mutations at nucleotides A or T had higher costs than those at C or G. Genome location had a modest effect, with lower costs for mutations in HVR1 and higher costs for mutations in Core and NS5B. Resistance mutations were, on average, costlier than other mutations. Our results show that in vivo fitness costs of mutations can be site and virus specific, reinforcing the utility of constructing in vivo fitness cost maps of viral genomes.
more »
« less
- Award ID(s):
- 1655212
- PAR ID:
- 10338394
- Editor(s):
- Wahl, Lindi
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- PLOS Genetics
- Volume:
- 18
- Issue:
- 5
- ISSN:
- 1553-7404
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- e1010179
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
More Like this
-
-
null (Ed.)Understanding within-host evolution is critical for predicting viral evolutionary outcomes, yet such studies are currently lacking due to difficulty involving human subjects. Hepatitis C virus (HCV) is an RNA virus with high mutation rates. Its complex evolutionary dynamics and extensive genetic diversity are demonstrated in over 67 known subtypes. In this study, we analyzed within-host mutation frequency patterns of three HCV subtypes, using a large number of samples obtained from treatment-naïve participants by next-generation sequencing. We report that overall mutation frequency patterns are similar among subtypes, yet subtype 3a consistently had lower mutation frequencies and nucleotide diversity, while subtype 1a had the highest. We found that about 50% of genomic sites are highly conserved across subtypes, which are likely under strong purifying selection. We also compared within-host and between-host selective pressures, which revealed that Hyper Variable Region 1 within hosts was under positive selection, but was under slightly negative selection between hosts, which indicates that many mutations created within hosts are removed during the transmission bottleneck. Examining the natural prevalence of known resistance-associated variants showed their consistent existence in the treatment-naïve participants. These results provide insights into the differences and similarities among HCV subtypes that may be used to develop and improve HCV therapies.more » « less
-
Abstract The cost of testing can be a substantial contributor to hepatitis C virus (HCV) elimination program costs in many low- and middle-income countries such as Georgia, resulting in the need for innovative and cost-effective strategies for testing. Our objective was to investigate the most cost-effective testing pathways for scaling-up HCV testing in Georgia. We developed a Markov-based model with a lifetime horizon that simulates the natural history of HCV, and the cost of detection and treatment of HCV. We then created an interactive online tool that uses results from the Markov-based model to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of different HCV testing pathways. We compared the current standard-of-care (SoC) testing pathway and four innovative testing pathways for Georgia. The SoC testing was cost-saving compared to no testing, but all four new HCV testing pathways further increased QALYs and decreased costs. The pathway with the highest patient follow-up, due to on-site testing, resulted in the highest discounted QALYs (123 QALY more than the SoC) and lowest costs ($127,052 less than the SoC) per 10,000 persons screened. The current testing algorithm in Georgia can be replaced with a new pathway that is more effective while being cost-saving.more » « less
-
Abstract Hepatitis C virus (HCV) is 15 times more prevalent among persons in Spain’s prisons than in the community. Recently, Spain initiated a pilot program, JAILFREE-C, to treat HCV in prisons using direct-acting antivirals (DAAs). Our aim was to identify a cost-effective strategy to scale-up HCV treatment in all prisons. Using a validated agent-based model, we simulated the HCV landscape in Spain’s prisons considering disease transmission, screening, treatment, and prison-community dynamics. Costs and disease outcomes under status quo were compared with strategies to scale-up treatment in prisons considering prioritization (HCV fibrosis stage vs. HCV prevalence of prisons), treatment capacity (2,000/year vs. unlimited) and treatment initiation based on sentence lengths (>6 months vs. any). Scaling-up treatment by treating all incarcerated persons irrespective of their sentence length provided maximum health benefits–preventing 10,200 new cases of HCV, and 8,300 HCV-related deaths between 2019–2050; 90% deaths prevented would have occurred in the community. Compared with status quo, this strategy increased quality-adjusted life year (QALYs) by 69,700 and costs by €670 million, yielding an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of €9,600/QALY. Scaling-up HCV treatment with DAAs for the entire Spanish prison population, irrespective of sentence length, is cost-effective and would reduce HCV burden.more » « less
-
Hepatitis C Virus (HCV) is reported to develop GS-461203 resistance because of multiple mutations within the RNA-dependent RNA Polymerase (RdRp) of HCV. The lack of a high-resolution structure of these RdRp mutants in complex with GS-461203 hinders efforts to understand the drug resistance. Here we decipher the binding differences of GS-461203 in the wild type and mutated systems T179A or M289L of HCV RdRp Genotype 2a using homology modeling, molecular docking, and molecular dynamics simulation. Key residues responsible for GS-461203 binding were identified to be Arg48, Arg158, Asp318, Asp319, and Asp220, and that mutations T179A or M289L have caused conformational changes of GS-461203 in the RdRp active site. The affinities of GS-461203 were reduced in T179A system, but it became slightly stronger in the M289L system. Furthermore, we designed two new analogues of GS-461203 which encouragingly induced more stable interactions than GS-461203, and thus resulted in much better binding energies. This present study reveals how a single mutation, T179A or M289L, will modulate GS-461203 binding in HCV RdRp Genotype 2a, while introducing two novel analogues to overcome the drug resistance which may be good candidate for further experimental verification.more » « less
An official website of the United States government

