Soil nitrous oxide (N2O) emissions exhibit high variability in intensively managed cropping systems, which challenges our ability to understand their complex interactions with controlling factors. We leveraged 17 years (2003–2019) of measurements at the Kellogg Biological Station Long‐Term Ecological Research (LTER)/Long‐Term Agroecosystem Research (LTAR) site to better understand the controls of N2O emissions in four corn–soybean–winter wheat rotations employing conventional, no‐till, reduced input, and biologically based/organic inputs. We used a random forest machine learning model to predict daily N2O fluxes, trained separately for each system with 70% of observations, using variables such as crop species, daily air temperature, cumulative 2‐day precipitation, water‐filled pore space, and soil nitrate and ammonium concentrations. The model explained 29%–42% of daily N2O flux variability in the test data, with greater predictability for the corn phase in each system. The long‐term rotations showed different controlling factors and threshold conditions influencing N2O emissions. In the conventional system, the model identified ammonium (>15 kg N ha−1) and daily air temperature (>23°C) as the most influential variables; in the no‐till system, climate variables such as precipitation and air temperature were important variables. In low‐input and organic systems, where red clover (
- Award ID(s):
- 1832042
- PAR ID:
- 10357092
- Publisher / Repository:
- Environmental Data Initiative
- Date Published:
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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COLLECTION INFORMATION:
- Time period(s): 2011 to 2013
- Location(s): Hickory Corners, MI, United States
- Long-term Experiment: Cropping Biodiversity Gradient Experiment
- Further Site Information: https://lter.kbs.msu.edu/research/long-term-experiments/biodiversity-gradient/