In response to a warming planet with earlier springs, migratory animals are adjusting the timing of essential life stages. Although these adjustments may be essential for keeping pace with resource phenology, they may prove insufficient, as evidenced by population declines in many species. However, even when species can match the tempo of climate change, other consequences may emerge when exposed to novel conditions earlier in the year. Here, using three long-term datasets on bird reproduction, daily insect availability, and weather, we investigated the complex mechanisms affecting reproductive success in an aerial insectivore, the tree swallow (
Savannah Sparrows (Passerculus sandwichensis) and Tree Swallows (Tachycineta bicolor) breed and forage in the same habitat on Kent Island, a boreal island in the Bay of Fundy, New Brunswick, but respond differently to the same weather conditions. The 2 passerines are similar in body size but because Tree Swallows depend upon small flying insects captured on the wing, they may be more sensitive to weather than Savannah Sparrows, which forage on insects and seeds on the ground and in shrubs and trees. To compare how reproductive success in the 2 species was affected by weather conditions, we took advantage of an 18-year dataset and used a model-building approach that controlled for year, adult sex and age, and field where they nested. We focused on 3 measures of reproductive success (hatching success, fledging success, and nestling condition) and different time periods (3- to 18-day time windows) before hatching or fledging. The responses of the 2 species differed in magnitude and direction. In Tree Swallows, adding weather variables to the basic model increased the explanatory power of fixed effects by 19.1%, illustrating the swallows’ sensitivity to weather. In contrast, in Savannah Sparrows, the addition of weather variables only increased the model’s explanatory power by 0.4% and the proportion of variation attributed to fixed factors by only 1.5%, which reflected the species’ hardiness in the face of inclement weather. Our results suggest that how a bird species forages and the nature of its prey may influence its sensitivity to weather and indicate that increased rainfall, strong winds and other events associated with climate change may affect Tree Swallows and other aerial insectivores more than ground-foraging birds such as Savannah Sparrows.
more » « less- PAR ID:
- 10373041
- Publisher / Repository:
- Oxford University Press
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Ornithology
- Volume:
- 139
- Issue:
- 4
- ISSN:
- 0004-8038
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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