skip to main content
US FlagAn official website of the United States government
dot gov icon
Official websites use .gov
A .gov website belongs to an official government organization in the United States.
https lock icon
Secure .gov websites use HTTPS
A lock ( lock ) or https:// means you've safely connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites.


Title: Source–sink dynamics within a complex life history
Abstract Source–sink patch dynamics occur when movement from sources stabilizes sinks by compensating for low local vital rates. The mechanisms underlying source–sink dynamics may be complicated in species that undergo transitions between discrete life stages, particularly when stages have overlapping habitat requirements and similar movement abilities. In these species, for example, the demographic effects of movement by one stage may augment or offset the effects of movement by another stage. We used a stream salamander system to investigate patch dynamics within this form of complex life history. Specifically, we tested the hypothesis that the salamanderGyrinophilus porphyriticusexperiences source–sink dynamics in riffles and pools, the dominant geomorphic patch types in headwater streams. We estimated stage‐specific survival probabilities in riffles and pools and stage‐specific movement probabilities between the two patch types using 8 years of capture–recapture data on 4491 individuals, including premetamorphic larvae and postmetamorphic adults. We then incorporated survival and movement probabilities into a stage‐structured, two‐patch model to determine the demographic interactions between riffles and pools. Monthly survival probabilities of both stages were higher in pools than in riffles. Larvae were more likely to move from riffles to pools, but adults were more likely to move from pools to riffles, despite experiencing much lower survival in riffles. In simulations, eliminating interpatch movements by both stages indicated that riffles are sinks that rely on immigration from pools for stability. Allowing only larvae to move stabilized both patch types, but allowing only adults to move destabilized pools due to the demographic cost of adult emigration. These results indicated that larval movement not only stabilizes riffles, but also offsets the destabilizing effects of maladaptive adult movement. Similar patch dynamics may emerge in any structured population in which movement and local vital rates differ by age, size, or stage. Addressing these forms of internal demographic structure in patch dynamics analyses will help to refine and advance general understanding of spatial ecology.  more » « less
Award ID(s):
1637685
PAR ID:
10405009
Author(s) / Creator(s):
 ;  ;  ;  
Publisher / Repository:
Wiley Blackwell (John Wiley & Sons)
Date Published:
Journal Name:
Ecology
Volume:
104
Issue:
4
ISSN:
0012-9658
Format(s):
Medium: X
Sponsoring Org:
National Science Foundation
More Like this
  1. We lack a strong understanding of how organisms with complex life histories respond to climate variation. Many stream-associated species have multi-stage life histories that are likely to influence the demographic consequences of floods and droughts. However, tracking stage specific demographic responses requires high-resolution, long-term data that are rare. We used eight years of capture-recapture data for the headwater stream salamander Gyrinophilus porphyriticus to quantify the effects of flooding and drying magnitude on stage-specific vital rates and population growth. Drying reduced larval recruitment but increased the probability of metamorphosis (i.e., adult recruitment). Flooding reduced adult recruitment but had no effect on larval recruitment. Larval and adult survival declined with flooding but were unaffected by drying. Annual population growth rates (lambda, ) declined with flooding and drying. Lambda also declined over the study period (2012 – 2021), although mean  was 1.0 over this period. Our results indicate that G. porphyriticus populations are resilient to hydrologic variation due to compensatory effects on recruitment of larvae vs. adults (i.e., reproduction vs. metamorphosis). Complex life cycles may enable this resilience to climate variation by creating opportunities for compensatory demographic responses across stages. However, more frequent and intense hydrologic variation in the latter half of this study contributed to a decline in  over time, suggesting that increasing environmental variability poses a threat even when demographic compensation occurs. 
    more » « less
  2. Changes in the amount, intensity, and timing of precipitation are increasing hydrologic variability in many regions, but we have little understanding of how these changes are affecting freshwater species. Stream-breeding amphibians—a diverse group in North America—may be particularly sensitive to hydrologic variability during aquatic larval and metamorphic stages. Here, we tested the prediction that hydrologic variability in streams decreases survival through metamorphosis in the salamander Gyrinophilus porphyriticus , reducing recruitment to the adult stage. Using a 20-y dataset from Merrill Brook, a stream in northern New Hampshire, we show that abundance of G. porphyriticus adults has declined by ∼50% since 1999, but there has been no trend in larval abundance. We then tested whether hydrologic variability during summers influences survival through metamorphosis, using capture–mark–recapture data from Merrill Brook (1999 to 2004) and from 4 streams in the Hubbard Brook Experimental Forest (2012 to 2014), also in New Hampshire. At both sites, survival through metamorphosis declined with increasing variability of stream discharge. These results suggest that hydrologic variability reduces the demographic resilience and adaptive capacity of G. porphyriticus populations by decreasing recruitment of breeding adults. They also provide insight on how increasing hydrologic variability is affecting freshwater species, and on the broader effects of environmental variability on species with vulnerable metamorphic stages. 
    more » « less
  3. Climate change is increasing the frequency and intensity of droughts and floods, which will likely have disproportionate effects on freshwater organisms. Stream salamanders are often top predators in small, fishless headwater streams that are highly responsive to hydrologic changes. Although these salamanders persist in dynamic stream environments, we lack the empirical understanding of how they respond to variable drought and flooding intensity that would allow us to predict future responses to climate-related changes in hydrology. We used 3 y (2019–2021) of data from passive integrated transponder (PIT)-tag surveys to characterize how movement distance, movement direction, and home-range size of the Northern Spring Salamander Gyrinophilus porphyriticus (Green, 1827) vary across a range of hydrologic conditions. Most notably, this PIT-tag data included a period of severe drought in the late summer of 2020. We found that total distance moved and home-range size increased with drought intensity. Total distance moved was not related to peak discharge at the range of flooding experienced across this study (<5-y flood recurrence intervals). Larval movements were skewed downstream after large floods but were skewed upstream across all other conditions. The direction of adult movements did not differ across extreme flood or drought conditions. Overall, adults moved greater distances and had larger home ranges than larvae (median movement = 1.9 m vs 1.6 m; median home range = 5 m2 vs 4 m2). We also found adults using moist terrestrial microhabitats for up to 14 consecutive days, even during moderate drought. Our results suggest that headwater salamanders will move more as drought intensity increases in the future. We interpret these movements as behavior used to find habitable, moist environments as stream reaches dry. These results suggest that adequate instream and riparian refuges will become more important for stream salamander survival as climate change progresses. 
    more » « less
  4. Holometabolous insects display drastically different morphologies across life stages (i.e., larvae vs. adults). Morphological differences across life stages, such as different sizes and coloration, likely result in differential survival, as predators may find individuals of one life stage more conspicuous and/or more energetically profitable than another. Furthermore, prey conspicuousness may vary temporally because both the sensory environment and predator sensory abilities differ between day and night. Here, we investigated how the interaction between life stage (caterpillar vs. moth) and time of day (day vs. night) influences predation of the white-lined sphinx (Lepidoptera: Hyles lineata). We predicted that caterpillars would be less susceptible to predation than adult moths, as adults are larger and have a more conspicuous shape. After quantifying predation for 72 h during dawn and dusk using 199 plasticine replicas each of adults and caterpillars, predation on adult replicas was twice that of predation on caterpillar replicas. Furthermore, replicas were six times more likely to be predated on during the day than during the night. Lastly, attacks were made mainly by birds, which carried out 86% of the attacks on adult models and 85% of those on caterpillar models. These data support the hypothesis that predation rates differ across life stages in holometabolous insects. This research lays a foundation for further investigation into how specific differences in morphology across life stages affect predation and survival in holometabolous insects. 
    more » « less
  5. In structured populations, persistence under environmental change may be particularly threatened when abiotic factors simultaneously negatively affect survival and reproduction of several life cycle stages, as opposed to a single stage. Such effects can then be exacerbated when species interactions generate reciprocal feedbacks between the demographic rates of the different species. Despite the importance of such demographic feedbacks, forecasts that account for them are limited as individual-based data on interacting species are perceived to be essential for such mechanistic forecasting—but are rarely available. Here, we first review the current shortcomings in assessing demographic feedbacks in population and community dynamics. We then present an overview of advances in statistical tools that provide an opportunity to leverage population-level data on abundances of multiple species to infer stage-specific demography. Lastly, we showcase a state-of-the-art Bayesian method to infer and project stage-specific survival and reproduction for several interacting species in a Mediterranean shrub community. This case study shows that climate change threatens populations most strongly by changing the interaction effects of conspecific and heterospecific neighbours on both juvenile and adult survival. Thus, the repurposing of multi-species abundance data for mechanistic forecasting can substantially improve our understanding of emerging threats on biodiversity. 
    more » « less