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Abstract Axial Seamount, an extensively instrumented submarine volcano, lies at the intersection of the Cobb–Eickelberg hot spot and the Juan de Fuca ridge. Since late 2014, the Ocean Observatories Initiative (OOI) has operated a seven-station cabled ocean bottom seismometer (OBS) array that captured Axial’s last eruption in April 2015. This network streams data in real-time, facilitating seismic monitoring and analysis for volcanic unrest detection and eruption forecasting. In this study, we introduce a machine learning (ML)-based real-time seismic monitoring framework for Axial Seamount. Combining both supervised and unsupervised ML and double-difference techniques, we constructed a comprehensive, high-resolution earthquake catalog while effectively discriminating between various seismic and acoustic events. These events include earthquakes generated by different physical processes, acoustic signals of lava–water interaction, and oceanic sources such as whale calls. We first built a labeled ML-based earthquake catalog that extends from November 2014 to the end of 2021 and then implemented real-time monitoring and seismic analysis starting in 2022. With the rapid determination of high-resolution earthquake locations and the capability to track potential precursory signals and coeruption indicators of magma outflow, this system may improve eruption forecasting by providing short-term constraints on Axial’s next eruption. Furthermore, our work demonstrates an effective application that integrates unsupervised learning for signal discrimination in real-time operation, which could be adapted to other regions for volcanic unrest detection and enhanced eruption forecasting.
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A Specific Earthquake Processing Workflow for Studying Long‐Lived, Explosive Volcanic Eruptions With Application to the 2008 Okmok Volcano, Alaska, Eruption
Abstract By providing unrivaled resolution in both time and space, volcano seismicity helps to chronicle and interpret eruptions. Standard earthquake detection methods are often insufficient as the eruption itself produces continuous seismic waves that obscure earthquake signals. We address this problem by developing an earthquake processing workflow specific to a high‐noise volcanic environment and applying it to the explosive 2008 Okmok Volcano eruption. This process includes applying single‐channel template matching combined with machine‐learning and fingerprint‐based techniques to expand the existing earthquake catalog of the eruption. We detected an order of magnitude more earthquakes, then located, relocated, determined locally calibrated magnitudes, and classified the events in the enhanced catalog. This new high‐resolution earthquake catalog increases the number of observations by about a factor of 10 and enables the detailed spatiotemporal seismic analysis during a large eruption.
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- Award ID(s):
- 2102069
- PAR ID:
- 10411748
- Publisher / Repository:
- DOI PREFIX: 10.1029
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth
- Volume:
- 128
- Issue:
- 5
- ISSN:
- 2169-9313
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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