An official website of the United States government
Abstract Environmental factors and individual attributes, and their interactions, impact survival, growth and reproduction of an individual throughout its life. In the clonal rotiferBrachionus, low food conditions delay reproduction and extend lifespan. This species also exhibits maternal effect senescence; the offspring of older mothers have lower survival and reproductive output. In this paper, we explored the population consequences of the individual‐level interaction of maternal age and low food availability.We built matrix population models for both ad libitum and low food treatments, in which individuals are classified both by their age and maternal age. Low food conditions reduced population growth rate () and shifted the population structure to older maternal ages, but did not detectably impact individual lifetime reproductive output.We analysed hypothetical scenarios in which reduced fertility or survival led to approximately stationary populations that maintained the shape of the difference in demographic rates between the ad libitum and low food treatments. When fertility was reduced, the populations were more evenly distributed across ages and maternal ages, while the lower‐survival models showed an increased concentration of individuals in the youngest ages and maternal ages.Using life table response experiment analyses, we compared populations grown under ad libitum and low food conditions in scenarios representing laboratory conditions, reduced fertility and reduced survival. In the laboratory scenario, the reduction in population growth rate under low food conditions is primarily due to decreased fertility in early life. In the lower‐fertility scenario, contributions from differences in fertility and survival are more similar, and show trade‐offs across both ages and maternal ages. In the lower‐survival scenario, the contributions from decreased fertility in early life again dominate the difference in .These results demonstrate that processes that potentially benefit individuals (e.g. lifespan extension) may actually reduce fitness and population growth because of links with other demographic changes (e.g. delayed reproduction). Because the interactions of maternal age and low food availability depend on the population structure, the fitness consequences of an environmental change can only be fully understood through analysis that takes into account the entire life cycle.
more »
« less
Evaluating the importance of individual heterogeneity in reproduction to Weddell seal population dynamics using integral projection models
1. Identifying and accounting for unobserved individual heterogeneity in vital rates in demographic models is important for estimating population-level vital rates and identifying diverse life-history strategies, but much less is known about how this individual heterogeneity influences population dynamics. 2. We aimed to understand how the distribution of individual heterogeneity in reproductive and survival rates influenced population dynamics using vital rates from a Weddell seal population by altering the distribution of individual heterogeneity in reproduction, which also altered the distribution of individual survival rates through the incorporation of our estimate of the correlation between the two rates and assessing resulting changes in population growth. 3. We constructed an integral projection model (IPM) structured by age and reproductive state using estimates of vital rates for a long-lived mammal that has recently been shown to exhibit large individual heterogeneity in reproduction. Using output from the IPM, we evaluated how population dynamics changed with different underlying distributions of unobserved individual heterogeneity in reproduction. 4. Results indicate that the changes to the underlying distribution of individual heterogeneity in reproduction cause very small changes in the population growth rate and other population metrics. The largest difference in the estimated population growth rate resulting from changes to the underlying distribution of individual heterogeneity was less than 1%. 5. population level compared to the individual level. Although individual heterogeneity in reproduction may result in large differences in the lifetime fitness of individuals, changing the proportion of above- or below-average breeders in the population results in much smaller differences in annual population growth rate. For a long-lived mammal with stable and high adult-survival that gives birth to a single offspring, individual heterogeneity in reproduction has a limited effect on population dynamics. We posit that the limited effect of individual heterogeneity on population dynamics may be due to canalization of life-history traits.
more »
« less
- PAR ID:
- 10429080
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Journal of Animal Ecology
- ISSN:
- 0021-8790
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- 1-12
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
More Like this
-
-
Synopsis Climate resilience, a focus of many recent studies, has been examined from ecological, physiological, and evolutionary perspectives. However, sampling biases toward adults, males, and certain species have made establishing the link between environmental change and population-level change problematic. Here, we used data from four laboratory studies, in which we administered pre- and postnatal stressors, such as suboptimal incubation temperature, heat stress, and food restriction, to zebra finches. We then quantified hatching success, posthatch survival, and reproductive success, to parameterize age-structured population dynamics models with the goal of estimating the effect of the stressors on relative population growth rates. Using the same model structure, we tested the hypothesis that early life stages influence population growth rate more than later life stages. Our models suggested that stressful events during embryonic development, such as suboptimal incubation temperatures and reduced gas exchange for the embryos, have a greater total impact on population growth than posthatch stressors, such as heat stress and food restriction. However, among life history traits, differences in hatching success and sex ratio of offspring in response to stressors changed population growth rates more than differences in any other demographic rate estimates. These results suggest that when predicting population resilience against climate change, it is critical to account for effects of climate change on all life stages, including early stages of life, and to incorporate individuals’ physiology and stress tolerance that likely influence future stress responses, reproduction, and survival.more » « less
-
Abstract PremiseUnderstanding how population dynamics vary in space and time is critical for understanding the basic life history and conservation needs of a species, especially for narrow endemic species whose populations are often in similar environments and therefore at increased risk of extinction under climate change. Here, we investigated the spatial and temporal variation in population dynamics ofRanunculus austro‐oreganus, a perennial buttercup endemic to fragmented prairie habitat in one county in southern Oregon. MethodsWe performed demographic surveys of three populations ofR. austro‐oreganusover 4 years (2015–2018). We used size‐structured population models and life table response experiments to investigate vital rates driving spatiotemporal variation in population growth. ResultsOverall,R. austro‐oreganushad positive or stable stochastic population growth rates, though individual vital rates and overall population growth varied substantially among sites and years. All populations had their greatest growth in the same year, suggesting potential synchrony associated with climate conditions. Differences in survival contributed most to spatial variation in population growth, while differences in reproduction contributed most to temporal variation in population growth. ConclusionsPopulations of this extremely narrow endemic appear stable, with positive growth during our study window. These results suggest that populations ofR. austro‐oreganusare able to persist if their habitat is not eliminated by land‐use change. Nonetheless, its narrow distribution and synchronous population dynamics suggest the need for continued monitoring, particularly with ongoing habitat loss and climate change.more » « less
-
Abstract Thermal performance curves (TPCs) are important tools for predicting the sensitivity of populations to climate change. However, the interactive ways that temperature affects multiple life‐history components lead to different fitness outcomes. These interactions are poorly understood for modular animals, especially over the lifespan of individual colonies, which limits our capacity to connect physiological and demographic responses.The goal of this study was to assess and compare the relationships between temperature and different life‐history components in a modular animal to reveal the mechanisms underlying TPCs for fitness.We reared replicated clones of the marine bryozoanBugula neritinaacross a thermal gradient (16 values) ranging from 23 to 32°C, which reflected the upper thermal range of seasonal variation in the field. TPCs were constructed for survival (measured as zooids states within a colony), growth rate, development to reproductive maturity and reproductive capacity, which were measured over much of the realized lifespan expected under field conditions (~30 days).The effect of temperature was more acute on zooid states rather than whole‐colony survival, and increased temperature increased the frequency of polypide regression. Most colonies reached reproductive maturity up to ~30°C, but growth rate and reproduction decreased at temperatures beyond ~25°C. The decline in reproductive capacity over temperatures above ~25°C was then due to the decline in the production of zooids capable of brooding embryos and zooids transitioning to regressed states up until about 30°C and transitioning to dead state beyond that.Higher temperatures are often considered to affect reproduction by interfering with gametogenesis and post‐zygotic pathways, but in modular animals, changes in growth rate and module states could indirectly cause temperature sensitivity of reproduction. Our study has implications for the role of temperature in driving the sampled population's dynamics by setting the number of generations that occur during the time window when temperatures are conducive to reproduction. Our results also have implications for the generality and predictability of temperature on population persistence across unitary and modular animals. Read the freePlain Language Summaryfor this article on the Journal blog.more » « less
-
Gray, David A (Ed.)The lifetime fitness of an individual is determined by the integrated results of survival and reproduction. Improving our understanding of variation in survival senescence within and between species will therefore provide greater insight into the evolution of different life history strategies. Survival is influenced by multiple factors, consequently, variation in patterns of senescence is expected between individuals and sexes and across mating systems and the continuum of life history strategies. To date there is little consensus regarding the mechanisms driving the evolution of sex differences in actuarial senescence, necessitating the need for studies of sex-specific senescence for species across a wide range of life histories. The Weddell seal is a species of long-lived mammal that displays moderate polygyny and little sexual size dimorphism, which makes it an unusual species compared to other long-lived mammals that share the polygynous mating system. Here we used 37 years of data for 1,879 female and 1,474 male Weddell seals from Erebus Bay, Antarctica, to estimate and compare sex-specific patterns of survival rates using basis splines which allow flexible modeling of age-specific patterns. We found that males had lower rates of survival throughout life and higher rates of actuarial senescence after early adulthood compared to females. These results add to our understanding of sex-specific survival rates in the species and contribute information for a long-lived, polygynous species that should aid in achieving a broader understanding of aging between sexes and across the tree of life.more » « less
- Free Publicly Accessible Full Text
-
Accepted Manuscript1.0
- Journal Article:
- https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2656.13975
