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Abstract Rapid ice loss from the Greenland ice sheet since 1992 is due in equal parts to increased surface melting and accelerated ice flow. The latter is conventionally attributed to ocean warming, which has enhanced submarine melting of the fronts of Greenland’s marine-terminating glaciers. Yet, through the release of ice sheet surface meltwater into the ocean, which excites near-glacier ocean circulation and in turn the transfer of heat from ocean to ice, a warming atmosphere can increase submarine melting even in the absence of ocean warming. The relative importance of atmospheric and oceanic warming in driving increased submarine melting has, however, not been quantified. Here, we reconstruct the rate of submarine melting at Greenland’s marine-terminating glaciers from 1979 to 2018 and estimate the resulting dynamic mass loss. We show that in south Greenland, variability in submarine melting was indeed governed by the ocean, but, in contrast, the atmosphere dominated in the northwest. At the ice sheet scale, the atmosphere plays a first-order role in controlling submarine melting and the subsequent dynamic mass loss. Our results challenge the attribution of dynamic mass loss to ocean warming alone and show that a warming atmosphere has amplified the impact of the ocean on the Greenland ice sheet.
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An Improved and Observationally‐Constrained Melt Rate Parameterization for Vertical Ice Fronts of Marine Terminating Glaciers
Abstract Submarine melting at Greenland's marine terminating glaciers is a crucial, yet poorly constrained process in the coupled ice‐ocean system. Application of Antarctic melt rate representations, derived for floating glacier tongues, to non‐floating marine terminating glaciers commonly found in Greenland, results in a dramatic underestimation of submarine melting. Here, we revisit the physical theory underlying melt rate parameterizations and leverage recently published observational data to derive a novel melt rate parameterization. This is the first parameterization that (a) consistently comprises both convective‐ and shear‐dominated melt regimes, (b) includes coefficients quantitatively constrained using observational data, and (c) is applicable to any vertical glacier front. We show that, compared to the current state‐of‐the‐art approach, the scheme provides an improved fit to observed melt rates on the scale of the terminating front, offering an opportunity to incorporate this critical missing forcing into ocean circulation models.
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- Award ID(s):
- 1924546
- PAR ID:
- 10444031
- Publisher / Repository:
- DOI PREFIX: 10.1029
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Geophysical Research Letters
- Volume:
- 49
- Issue:
- 18
- ISSN:
- 0094-8276
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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