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1. An alternate vegetation type proves resilient and persists for decades following forest conversion in the North American boreal biome

   https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2745.13446  

   Hansen, Winslow D. ; Fitzsimmons, Ryan ; Olnes, Justin ; Williams, A. Park ; Matlack, ed., Glenn ( July 2020 , Journal of Ecology)

   Climate change and natural disturbances are catalysing forest transitions to different vegetation types, but whether these new communities are resilient alternate states that will persist for decades to centuries is not known. Here, we test how changing climate, disturbance and biotic interactions shape the long‐term fate of a deciduous broadleaf forest type that replaces black spruce after severe wildfires in interior Alaska, USA.

   We simulated postfire deciduous forest that replaced black spruce after severe fires in 2004 for tens to hundreds of years under different climate scenarios (contemporary, mid 21st century, late 21st century), fire return intervals (11–250 years), distances to seed source (50–1,000 m) and browsing intensities (background, moderate, chronic). We identified combinations of conditions where deciduous forest remained the dominant vegetation type and combinations where it returned to black spruce forest, transitioned to mixed forest (where deciduous species and black spruce co‐dominate) or converted to nonforest.

   Deciduous forest persisted in 86% of simulations and was most resilient if fire return intervals were short (≤50 years). When transitions to another vegetation type occurred, mixed forest was most common, particularly when fire return intervals were long (>50 years) and the nearest seed source was 500 m or farther. Moderate and chronic browsing also reduced deciduous sapling growth and survival, helping black spruce compete if fire return intervals were long and seed source was distant. Dry soils occasionally caused conversion to nonforest following short‐interval fire when simulations were forced with a late 21st‐century climate scenario that projects warming and increased vapor pressure deficit. Return to black spruce forest almost never occurred.

   Synthesis. Conversion from black spruce to deciduous forest is already underway at regional scales in interior Alaska, and similar transitions have been widely observed throughout the North American boreal biome. We show that this boreal deciduous forest type is likely a resilient alternate state that will persist through the 21st century, which is important, because future vegetation outcomes will shape biophysical feedbacks to regional climate and influence subsequent disturbance regimes.

    

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2. Lipid biomarkers recording marine microbial community structure changes through the Frasnian‐Famennian mass extinction event

   https://doi.org/10.1111/gbi.12568  

   Chen, Jian ; Hogancamp, Nicholas ; Lu, Man ; Ikejiri, Takehito ; Malina, Natalia ; Ojeda, Ann ; Sun, YongGe ; Lu, YueHan ( July 2023 , Geobiology)

   Abstract Studying the response and recovery of marine microbial communities during mass extinction events provides an evolutionary window through which to understand the adaptation and resilience of the marine ecosystem in the face of significant environmental disturbances. The goal of this study is to reconstruct changes in the marine microbial community structure through the Late Devonian Frasnian‐Famennian (F‐F) transition. We performed a multiproxy investigation on a drill core of the Upper Devonian New Albany Shale from the Illinois Basin (western Kentucky, USA). Aryl isoprenoids show green sulfur bacteria expansion and associated photic zone euxinia (PZE) enhancement during the F‐F interval. These changes can be attributed to augmented terrigenous influxes, as recorded collectively by the long‐chain/short‐chain normal alkane ratio, carbon preference index, C 30 moretane/C 30 hopane, and diahopane index. Hopane/sterane ratios reveal a more pronounced dominance of eukaryotic over prokaryotic production during the mass extinction interval. Sterane distributions indicate that the microalgal community was primarily composed of green algae clades, and their dominance became more pronounced during the F‐F interval and continued to rise in the subsequent periods. The 2α‐methylhopane index values do not show an evident shift during the mass extinction interval, whereas the 3β‐methylhopane index values record a greater abundance of methanotrophic bacteria during the extinction interval, suggesting enhanced methane cycling due to intensified oxygen depletion. Overall, the Illinois Basin during the F‐F extinction experienced heightened algal productivity due to intensified terrigenous influxes, exhibiting similarities to contemporary coastal oceans that are currently undergoing globalized cultural eutrophication. The observed microbial community shifts associated with the F‐F environmental disturbances were largely restricted to the extinction interval, which suggests a relatively stable, resilient marine microbial ecosystem during the Late Devonian. 

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3. The recovery of plant community composition following passive restoration across spatial scales

   https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2745.14063  

   Ladouceur, Emma ; Isbell, Forest ; Clark, Adam T. ; Harpole, W. Stanley ; Reich, Peter B. ; Tilman, G. David ; Chase, Jonathan M. ( February 2023 , Journal of Ecology)

   Human impacts have led to dramatic biodiversity change which can be highly scale‐dependent across space and time. A primary means to manage these changes is via passive (here, the removal of disturbance) or active (management interventions) ecological restoration. The recovery of biodiversity, following the removal of disturbance, is often incomplete relative to some kind of reference target. The magnitude of recovery of ecological systems following disturbance depends on the landscape matrix and many contingent factors. Inferences about recovery after disturbance and biodiversity change depend on the temporal and spatial scales at which biodiversity is measured.

   We measured the recovery of biodiversity and species composition over 33 years in 17 temperate grasslands abandoned after agriculture at different points in time, collectively forming a chronosequence since abandonment from 1 to 80 years. We compare these abandoned sites with known agricultural land‐use histories to never‐disturbed sites as relative benchmarks. We specifically measured aspects of diversity at the local plot‐scale (α‐scale, 0.5 m²) and site‐scale (γ‐scale, 10 m²), as well as the within‐site heterogeneity (β‐diversity) and among‐site variation in species composition (turnover and nestedness).

   At our α‐scale, sites recovering after agricultural abandonment only had 70% of the plant species richness (and ~30% of the evenness), compared to never‐ploughed sites. Within‐site β‐diversity recovered following agricultural abandonment to around 90% after 80 years. This effect, however, was not enough to lead to recovery at our γ‐scale. Richness in recovering sites was ~65% of that in remnant never‐ploughed sites. The presence of species characteristic of the never‐disturbed sites increased in the recovering sites through time. Forb and legume cover declines in years since abandonment, relative to graminoid cover across sites.

   Synthesis.We found that, during the 80 years after agricultural abandonment, old fields did not recover to the level of biodiversity in remnant never‐ploughed sites at any scale. β‐diversity recovered more than α‐scale or γ‐scale. Plant species composition recovered, but not completely, over time, and some species groups increased their cover more than others. Patterns of ecological recovery in degraded ecosystems across space and long time‐scales can inform targeted active restoration interventions and perhaps, lead to better outcomes.

    

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4. Less fuel for the next fire? Short‐interval fire delays forest recovery and interacting drivers amplify effects

   https://doi.org/10.1002/ecy.4042  

   Braziunas, Kristin H. ; Kiel, Nathan G. ; Turner, Monica G. ( April 2023 , Ecology)

   As 21st‐century climate and disturbance dynamics depart from historic baselines, ecosystem resilience is uncertain. Multiple drivers are changing simultaneously, and interactions among drivers could amplify ecosystem vulnerability to change. Subalpine forests in Greater Yellowstone (Northern Rocky Mountains, USA) were historically resilient to infrequent (100–300 year), severe fire. We sampled paired short‐interval (<30‐year) and long‐interval (>125‐year) post‐fire plots most recently burned between 1988 and 2018 to address two questions: (1) How do short‐interval fire, climate, topography, and distance to unburned live forest edge interact to affect post‐fire forest regeneration? (2) How do forest biomass and fuels vary following short‐interval versus long‐interval severe fires? Mean post‐fire live tree stem density was an order of magnitude lower following short‐interval versus long‐interval fires (3240 vs. 28,741 stems ha⁻¹, respectively). Differences between paired plots were amplified at longer distances to live forest edge. Surprisingly, warmer–drier climate was associated with higher seedling densities even after short‐interval fire, likely relating to regional variation in serotiny of lodgepole pine (Pinus contortavar.latifolia). Unlike conifers, density of aspen (Populus tremuloides), a deciduous resprouter, increased with short‐interval versus long‐interval fires (mean 384 vs. 62 stems ha⁻¹, respectively). Live biomass and canopy fuels remained low nearly 30 years after short‐interval fire, in contrast with rapid recovery after long‐interval fire, suggesting that future burn severity may be reduced for several decades following reburns. Short‐interval plots also had half as much dead woody biomass compared with long‐interval plots (60 vs. 121 Mg ha⁻¹), primarily due to the absence of large snags. Our results suggest differences in tree regeneration following short‐interval versus long‐interval fires will be especially pronounced where serotiny was high historically. Propagule limitation will also interact with short‐interval fires to diminish tree regeneration but lessen subsequent burn severity. Amplifying driver interactions are likely to threaten forest resilience under expected trajectories of a future fire.

    

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5. Short-interval fires increasing in the Alaskan boreal forest as fire self-regulation decays across forest types

   https://doi.org/doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6353983  

   Buma, B. ; Hayes, K. ; Weiss, S. ; Lucash, M. ( March 2022 , Scientific report)

   Climate drivers are increasingly creating conditions conducive to higher frequency fires. In the coniferous boreal forest, the world’s largest terrestrial biome, fires are historically common but relatively infrequent. Post-fire, regenerating forests are generally resistant to burning (strong fire self-regulation), favoring millennial coniferous resilience. However, short intervals between fires are associated with rapid, threshold-like losses of resilience and changes to broadleaf or shrub communities, impacting carbon content, habitat, and other ecosystem services. Fires burning the same location 2 + times comprise approximately 4% of all Alaskan boreal fire events since 1984, and the fraction of short-interval events (< 20 years between fires) is increasing with time. While there is strong resistance to burning for the first decade after a fire, from 10 to 20 years post-fire resistance appears to decline. Reburning is biased towards coniferous forests and in areas with seasonally variable precipitation, and that proportion appears to be increasing with time, suggesting continued forest shifts as changing climatic drivers overwhelm the resistance of early postfire landscapes to reburning. As area burned in large fire years of ~ 15 years ago begin to mature, there is potential for more widespread shifts, which should be evaluated closely to understand finer grained patterns within this regional trend. 

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