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Branched glycerol dialkyl glycerol tetraethers (brGDGTs) have shown great promise in lacustrine temperature reconstructions across different continents. While brGDGTs have been reported from many different regions and global brGDGT-temperature calibrations have been developed with various methods, southern North America remains an understudied area with little available data. In this study, we analyzed 101 lake surface sediment samples across Mexico and Central America and compared their distributions with those in other lacustrine systems. Nine major brGDGTs were found in all samples. We investigated the relationships between the distribution of the fractional abundances of the nine major brGDGTs and temperature and developed regional calibrations for Mean Annual Temperature using three different approaches, including a novel machine learning method – Ridge Regression. All the regional calibrations provide similar results with very close error ranges (RMSE = 3.1 ◦C). The majority of global brGDGT-temperature calibrations tend to reconstruct lower temperatures when it is below 15 ◦C. Interestingly, regional brGDGT calibrations appear to reduce the “cold bias”, but the various global and regional calibrations tested here are not significantly different in their predictive capability.
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Soil and Air Temperature Calibrations Using Branched GDGTs for the Tropical Andes of Colombia: Toward a Pan‐Tropical Calibration
Abstract Branched glycerol dialkyl glycerol tetraethers (brGDGTs) are bacterial cell membrane lipids that, when preserved in sedimentary archives, can be used to infer continental paleotemperatures. Although commonly used global calibrations capture a relationship between the distribution of brGDGTs and temperature, they underestimate temperatures for tropical regions as much as ~16°C. Furthermore, some global calibrations reach saturation at around 24–25°C, and, in general, they have root‐mean‐squared errors (RMSEs ≈ ~4°C) that are too large for them to resolve small variations in paleoclimate variability in tropical regions. We present an in situ regional calibration of soil brGDGTs along altitudinal transects on both flanks of the Eastern Cordillera of Colombia in the northern tropical Andes that spans ~3,200 m in elevation and 17°C and 19°C in mean annual soil and air temperatures, respectively. These new soil and air regional calibrations yield RMSEs of 1.5°C and 1.9°C, respectively. When combined with existing data from elsewhere in the tropics, the integrated data (n = 175) not only fit a linear calibration with a RMSE of 2.7°C but also fit a nonlinear calibration with a RMSE of 2.2°C. These calibrations allow for a more precise and reliable reconstruction of past temperatures in the tropics than global calibrations.
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- Award ID(s):
- 1929199
- PAR ID:
- 10453166
- Publisher / Repository:
- DOI PREFIX: 10.1029
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems
- Volume:
- 21
- Issue:
- 8
- ISSN:
- 1525-2027
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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