The seismic moments observed for low‐frequency earthquakes (LFEs) vary over multiple orders of magnitude, even where the LFEs occur within families of similar events. Although this variability is typically interpreted to record a scale‐limited process at the LFE source, neither the slip per LFE nor the rupture area can be determined from seismological constraints. Here, we examine incrementally developed slickenfibers that have been proposed to record LFEs in exhumed subduction zones. These structures form through repeated, micron‐scale slip events across dilational irregularities in the fault plane, which are punctuated by cementation and sealing in the interstitial space. By statistically analyzing the geometry of inclusion trails delineating slip‐parallel mineral‐growth increments, we constrain the variability in slip per inferred LFE and test end‐member hypotheses regarding the controls on LFE moments. We find that that the slickenfibers exhibit characteristic slip increments, favoring a “slip‐limited” model that requires large variability in LFE rupture areas.
We identify and characterize four different low‐frequency earthquake (LFE) families (LFEs 1–4, ordered updip to downdip) that span the width of the transition zone in the Cascadia Subduction Zone beneath western Washington State. We find that LFE swarm duration, recurrence interval, and event size decrease systematically with increasing depth. LFE moments are observed to follow an exponential distribution rather than a power law distribution, allowing us to determine a characteristic event size for each family. Absolute locations of these LFE families place them very near the inferred Juan de Fuca‐North America plate interface. Relative relocation of individual LFEs within each family reveal elongation parallel to the plate convergence direction and narrow depth distributions with dips corresponding to plate interface models. We interpret the behavior of our LFE families as indicative of slow slip at those locations on the plate interface. The tidal response of LFE activity at LFEs 1, 2, and 3 during a large episodic tremor and slip (ETS) event follows a previously observed evolution, in which tidal response during the initial 1 to 2 days of slip at an LFE patch is much weaker than that during the next few days of slip. The brief bursts of activity at LFE4, although little affected by large episodic tremor and slip events, respond strongly to tidal stresses. Our observed along‐dip contrasts in recurrence behavior and tidal response provide evidence for stress transfer and increased frictional strength with position updip through the tremor zone.
more » « less- PAR ID:
- 10461263
- Publisher / Repository:
- DOI PREFIX: 10.1029
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems
- Volume:
- 20
- Issue:
- 2
- ISSN:
- 1525-2027
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- p. 1202-1217
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
More Like this
-
Abstract -
Abstract Long‐term slow slip events have been observed at several subduction zones around the globe, where they play an integral part in strain release along megathrust faults. Nevertheless, evidence for long‐term slow slip has remained elusive in the Cascadia subduction zone. Here we conduct a systematic analysis of 13 years of GNSS time series data from 2006 to 2019 and present evidence of at least one low‐amplitude long‐term slow slip event on the Cascadia subduction zone, with the possibility of others that are less resolved. Starting in mid‐2012, a 1.5‐year transient is observed in southern Cascadia, with a group of coastal GNSS stations moving ∼2 mm to the west. The data are modeled as a Mw 6.4 slow slip event occurring at 15–35 km depth on the plate interface, just updip of previously recognized short‐term slow slip and tremor. The event shares many characteristics with similar long‐term transient events on the Nankai subduction zone. However, the total fault slip amplitude is an order‐of‐magnitude smaller in Cascadia when compared to large events elsewhere, making long‐term slow slip detection challenging in Cascadia. While there are other westward long‐duration transients in the refined data set, the surface displacements are below the level of the noise or are limited spatially to a few neighboring stations, making interpretation unclear.
-
Abstract Subduction zones host some of Earth's most damaging natural hazards, including megathrust earthquakes and earthquake‐induced tsunamis. A major control on the initiation and rupture characteristics of subduction megathrust earthquakes is how the coupled zone along the subduction interface accumulates elastic strain between events. We present results from observations of slow slip events (SSEs) in Cascadia occurring during the interseismic period downdip of the fully coupled zone, which imply that the orientation of strain accumulation within the coupled zone can vary with depth. Interseismic GPS motions suggest that forces derived from relative plate motions across a shallow, offshore locked plate interface dominate over decadal timescales. Deeper on the plate interface, below the locked (seismogenic) patch, slip during SSEs dominantly occurs in the updip direction, reflecting a dip‐parallel force acting on the slab, such as slab pull. This implies that in subduction zones with obliquely convergent plate motions, the seismogenic zone of the megathrust is loaded by forces acting in two discrete directions, leading to a depth‐varying orientation of strain accumulation on the plate interface.
-
Abstract Tectonic and seismogenic variations in subduction forearcs can be linked through various processes associated with subduction. Along the Cascadia forearc, significant variations between different geologic expressions of subduction appear to correlate, such as episodic tremor-and-slip (ETS) recurrence interval, intraslab seismicity, slab dip, uplift and exhumation rates, and topography, which allows for the systematic study of the plausible controlling mechanisms behind these variations. Even though the southern Cascadia forearc has the broadest topographic expression and shortest ETS recurrence intervals along the margin, it has been relatively underinstrumented with modern seismic equipment. Therefore, better seismic images are needed before robust comparisons with other portions of the forearc can be made. In March 2020, we deployed the Southern Cascadia Earthquake and Tectonics Array throughout the southern Cascadia forearc. This array consisted of 60 continuously recording three-component nodal seismometers with an average station spacing of ∼15 km, and stations recorded ∼38 days of data on average. We will analyze this newly collected nodal dataset to better image the structural characteristics and constrain the seismogenic behavior of the southern Cascadia forearc. The main goals of this project are to (1) constrain the precise location of the plate interface through seismic imaging and the analysis of seismicity, (2) characterize the lower crustal architecture of the overriding forearc crust to understand the role that this plays in enabling the high nonvolcanic tremor density and short episodic slow-slip recurrence intervals in the region, and (3) attempt to decouple the contributions of subduction versus San Andreas–related deformation to uplift along this particularly elevated portion of the Cascadia forearc. The results of this project will shed light on the controlling mechanisms behind heterogeneous ETS behavior and variable forearc surficial responses to subduction in Cascadia, with implications for other analogous subduction margins.more » « less
-
Abstract We explore the evolution of slow slip on the Cascadia megathrust during two large episodic tremor and slip events and compare stress changes to the spatial evolution of tremor from Pacific Northwest Seismic Network tremor locations. We used displacement time series from ~72 GPS stations, along with the Extended Network Inversion Filter to solve for the time‐dependent fault slip. The 2010 (
Mw 6.8) and 2012 (Mw 6.8) events propagated northward and southward, respectively, allowing us to assess directional effects on slip behavior. We observed that tremor occurs on the leading edge of propagating slipping regions, well ahead of the highest slip rates, independent of the along‐strike propagation direction. Resolution tests using the actual tremor distributions to generate synthetic data show that our result of peak tremor rates leading peak slip rates is not due to biases introduced by temporal smoothing. Calculated stress changes due to the time‐dependent slip distributions imply that tremor is sensitive to kilopascals of stress, consistent with studies of tidally triggered tremor. Within the resolution of our model, our results are consistent with the hypothesis that significant tremor is triggered by stresses ahead of the highest slip rates. We also observe ongoing slip continuing several days after tremor has passed. Our observations are consistent with some numerical models of tremor patches that suggest that this behavior can be explained by densely packed asperities resulting in somewhat crack‐like propagation rather than a slip pulse that is as concentrated as the tremor activity.