An official website of the United States government
Abstract Soil moisture heterogeneity can induce mesoscale circulations due to differential heating between dry and wet surfaces, which can, in turn, trigger precipitation. In this work, we conduct cloud-permitting simulations over a 100 km × 25 km idealized land surface, with the domain split equally between a wet region and a dry region, each with homogeneous soil moisture. In contrast to previous studies that prescribed initial atmospheric profiles, each simulation is run with fixed soil moisture for 100 days to allow the atmosphere to equilibrate to the given land surface rather than prescribing the initial atmospheric profile. It is then run for one additional day, allowing the soil moisture to freely vary. Soil moisture controls the resulting precipitation over the dry region through three different mechanisms: as the dry domain gets drier, (i) the mesoscale circulation strengthens, increasing water vapor convergence over the dry domain, (ii) surface evaporation declines over the dry domain, decreasing water vapor convergence over the dry domain, and (iii) precipitation efficiency declines due to increased reevaporation, meaning proportionally less water vapor over the dry domain becomes surface precipitation. We find that the third mechanism dominates when soil moisture is small in the dry domain: drier soils ultimately lead to less precipitation in the dry domain due to its impact on precipitation efficiency. This work highlights an important new mechanism by which soil moisture controls precipitation, through its impact on precipitation reevaporation and efficiency.
more »
« less
Anomalously Darker Land Surfaces Become Wetter Due To Mesoscale Circulations
Abstract “Land radiative management” (LRM)—intentionally increasing land surface albedo to reduce regional temperatures—has been proposed as a form of geoengineering. Its effects on local precipitation and soil moisture over long timescales are not well understood. We use idealized cloud‐permitting simulations and a conceptual model to understand the response of precipitation and soil moisture to a mesoscale albedo anomaly at equilibrium. Initially, differential heating between a high‐albedo anomaly and the lower‐albedo surrounding environment drives mesoscale circulations, increasing precipitation and soil moisture in the surrounding environment. However, over time, increasing soil moisture reduces the differential heating, eliminating the mesoscale circulations. At equilibrium, the fractional increase in simulated soil moisture is up to 1.3 times the fractional increase in co‐albedo (one minus albedo). Thus, LRM may increase precipitation and soil moisture in surrounding regions, enhancing evaporative cooling and spreading the benefits of LRM over a wider region than previously recognized.
more »
« less
- Award ID(s):
- 2129576
- PAR ID:
- 10462180
- Publisher / Repository:
- DOI PREFIX: 10.1029
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Geophysical Research Letters
- Volume:
- 50
- Issue:
- 17
- ISSN:
- 0094-8276
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
More Like this
-
-
Abstract Deforestation, urbanization and construction of wind farms can change the land surface roughness, which can further influence surface heat fluxes and thus weather and climate. Land surface roughness anomalies can dynamically trigger convergence through changing mean wind speed. Here, we report a new mechanism, in which roughness anomalies cause thermally direct mesoscale circulations and anomalous precipitation. To study this mechanism, we conduct cloud‐permitting simulations over an idealized land surface with prescribed surface roughness anomalies. Anomalously high roughness increases turbulent mixing near the surface, which decreases land surface temperature and outgoing longwave radiation. The additional surface net radiation partly goes into greater sensible heat flux, which triggers mesoscale circulations driven by differential heating. As a result, precipitation over the high‐roughness anomaly is generally larger than that over the low‐roughness background. This new mechanism, not present in climate models, may be relevant to storm formation over wind farms, cities and forests.more » « less
-
Abstract Diminishing Arctic sea ice has led to enhanced evaporation from the Arctic marginal seas (AMS), which is expected to alter precipitation over land. In this work, AMS evaporation is numerically tracked to quantify its contribution to cold-season (October–March) precipitation over land in the Northern Hemisphere during 1980–2021. Results show a significant 32% increase in AMS moisture contribution to land precipitation, corresponding to a 16% increase per million square km loss of sea ice area. Especially over the high-latitude land, despite the fractional contribution of AMS to precipitation being relatively low (8%), the augmented AMS evaporation contributed disproportionately (42%) to the observed upward trend in precipitation. Notably, northern East Siberia exhibited a substantial rise in both the amount and fraction of extreme snowfall sourced from the AMS. Our findings underscore the importance of the progressively ice-free Arctic as an important contributor to the escalating levels of cold-season precipitation and snowfall over northern high-latitude land.more » « less
-
Abstract Deep convection associated with large-scale tropical atmospheric circulations governs tropical precipitation. Under anthropogenic warming, the weakened Walker and Hadley circulations alter tropical rainfall. Ocean circulations are also expected to change due to global warming, impacting tropical atmospheric circulation systems. From the perspective of ocean heat uptake, we investigate how ocean circulation change modulates tropical atmospheric circulation and vertical motion under CO2warming by comparing fully coupled and slab-ocean simulations. We find that the slowed South Equatorial Current and subtropical cells in the Pacific induce anomalous advective warming, reducing ocean heat uptake in the central-western tropical Pacific. This, combined with increased downward radiation at the top of atmosphere and horizontal moisture advection, escalates the moisture static energy in the air column and promotes ascent in this region, shifting the Pacific Walker circulation eastward and strengthening the Pacific Hadley circulation. Across the tropical Indian Ocean, ocean heat uptake shows a dipole-like change, increasing in the eastern Indian Ocean and seas surrounding marine continents while decreasing in the western Indian Ocean. The former ocean heat uptake increase is triggered by anomalous oceanic vertical advective cooling, which abates the moisture static energy in the air column and inhibits the ascent in the area. The latter ocean heat uptake decrease is prompted by anomalous oceanic advective warming from both horizontal and vertical directions, which enhances the moisture static energy in the air column, resulting in anomalous upward motions. Over most of the tropics, ocean dynamics help attenuate the strengthening of the gross moist stability due to CO2increase, thereby promoting ascent or weakening descent in the atmosphere. Significance StatementLarge-scale tropical atmospheric circulations are expected to weaken as a result of global warming, having a significant impact on tropical precipitation. Because the atmosphere and oceans are inextricably linked, any subtle change in one can affect the other. For this reason, it is critical to understand the role of ocean circulation change in steering the response of large-scale tropical atmospheric circulation to anthropogenic warming. This study approaches the aforementioned scientific question from the novel perspective of ocean heat uptake. It demonstrates how changes in ocean circulation affect heat uptake over tropical oceans, modifying vertical motion and the Walker and Hadley cells in the tropical atmosphere in a warming climate.more » « less
-
Abstract Southwest North America is projected by models to aridify, defined as declining summer soil moisture, under the influence of rising greenhouse gases. Here, we investigate the driving mechanisms of aridification that connect the oceans, atmosphere, and land surface across seasons. The analysis is based on atmosphere model simulations forced by imposed sea surface temperatures (SSTs). For the historical period, these are the observed ones, and the model is run to 2041 using SSTs that account for realistic and plausible evolutions of Pacific Ocean and Atlantic Ocean interannual to decadal variability imposed on estimates of radiatively forced SST change. The results emphasize the importance of changes in precipitation throughout the year for declines in summer soil moisture. In the worst-case scenario, a cool tropical Pacific and warm North Atlantic lead to reduced cool season precipitation and soil moisture. Drier soils then persist into summer such that evapotranspiration reduces and soil moisture partially recovers. In the best-case scenario, the opposite states of the oceans lead to increased cool season precipitation but higher evapotranspiration prevents this from increasing summer soil moisture. Across the scenarios, atmospheric humidity is primarily controlled by soil moisture: drier soils lead to reduced evapotranspiration, lower air humidity, and higher vapor pressure deficit (VPD). Radiatively forced change reduces fall precipitation via anomalous transient eddy moisture flux divergence. Fall drying causes soils to enter winter dry such that, even in the best-case scenario of cool season precipitation increase, soil moisture remains dry. Radiative forcing reduces summer precipitation aided by reduced evapotranspiration from drier soils. Significance StatementSouthwest North America has long been projected to undergo aridification under rising greenhouse gases. In this model-based paper, we examine how coupling across seasons between the atmosphere and land system moves the region toward reduced summer soil moisture. The results show the dominant control on summer soil moisture by precipitation throughout the year. It also shows that even in best-case scenarios when changes in decadal modes of ocean variability lead to increases in cool season precipitation, rising spring and summer evapotranspiration means this does not translate into increased summer soil moisture. The work places projections of regional aridification on a firmer basis of understanding of the ocean driving of the atmosphere and its coupling to the land system.more » « less
