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Abstract The dynamical evolution of the solar system is chaotic with a Lyapunov time of only ∼5 Myr for the inner planets. Due to the chaos it is fundamentally impossible to accurately predict the solar system’s orbital evolution beyond ∼50 Myr based on present astronomical observations. We have recently developed a method to overcome the problem by using the geologic record to constrain astronomical solutions in the past. Our resulting optimal astronomical solution (called ZB18a) shows exceptional agreement with the geologic record to ∼58 Ma (Myr ago) and a characteristic resonance transition around 50 Ma. Here we show that ZB18a and integration of Earth’s and Mars’ spin vector based on ZB18a yield reduced variations in Earth’s and Mars’ orbital inclination and Earth’s obliquity (axial tilt) from ∼58 to ∼48 Ma—the latter being consistent with paleoclimate records. The changes in the obliquities have important implications for the climate histories of Earth and Mars. We provide a detailed analysis of solar system frequencies (gandsmodes) and show that the shifts in the variation in Earth’s and Mars’ orbital inclination and obliquity around 48 Ma are associated with the resonance transition and caused by changes in the contributions to the superposition ofsmodes, plusg–smode interactions in the inner solar system. Theg–smode interactions and the resonance transition (consistent with geologic data) are unequivocal manifestations of chaos. Dynamical chaos in the solar system hence not only affects its orbital properties but also the long-term evolution of planetary climate through eccentricity and the link between inclination and axial tilt.
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Passing Stars as an Important Driver of Paleoclimate and the Solar System’s Orbital Evolution
Abstract Reconstructions of the paleoclimate indicate that ancient climatic fluctuations on Earth are often correlated with variations in its orbital elements. However, the chaos inherent in the solar system’s orbital evolution prevents numerical simulations from confidently predicting Earth’s past orbital evolution beyond 50–100 Myr. Gravitational interactions among the Sun’s planets and asteroids are believed to set this limiting time horizon, but most prior works approximate the solar system as an isolated system and neglect our surrounding Galaxy. Here we present simulations that include the Sun’s nearby stellar population, and we find that close-passing field stars alter our entire planetary system’s orbital evolution via their gravitational perturbations on the giant planets. This shortens the timespan over which Earth’s orbital evolution can be definitively known by a further ∼10%. In particular, in simulations that include an exceptionally close passage of the Sun-like star HD 7977 2.8 Myr ago, new sequences of Earth’s orbital evolution become possible in epochs before ∼50 Myr ago, which includes the Paleocene–Eocene Thermal Maximum. Thus, simulations predicting Earth’s past orbital evolution before ∼50 Myr ago must consider the additional uncertainty from passing stars, which can open new regimes of past orbital evolution not seen in previous modeling efforts.
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- Award ID(s):
- 2405121
- PAR ID:
- 10490819
- Publisher / Repository:
- DOI PREFIX: 10.3847
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- The Astrophysical Journal Letters
- Volume:
- 962
- Issue:
- 2
- ISSN:
- 2041-8205
- Format(s):
- Medium: X Size: Article No. L28
- Size(s):
- Article No. L28
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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