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1. The Limits of Ocean Forcing on the Exchange Flow of the Salish Sea

   https://doi.org/10.1029/2025JC022384  

   Sanchez, R; Giddings, S N; Lemagie, E (May 2025, Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans)

   Abstract The dynamics of ocean‐estuary exchange depend on a variety of local and remote ocean forcing mechanisms where local mechanisms include those directly forcing the estuary such as tides, river discharge, and local wind stress; remote forcing includes forcing from the ocean such as coastal wind stress and coastal stratification variability. We use a numerical model to investigate the limits of oceanic influence, such as wind‐driven upwelling, on the Salish Sea exchange flow and salt transport. We find that along‐shelf winds substantially modulate flow throughout the Strait of Juan de Fuca until flow reaches sill‐influenced constrictions. At these constrictions the exchange flow variability becomes sensitive to local tidal and river forcing. The salt exchange variability is tidally dominated at Admiralty Inlet and upwelling has little impact on seasonal salt exchange variability. While within Haro Strait, the salt exchange variability is driven by a mix of coastal upwelling and local forcing including river discharge. There, the transition from oceanic to local control of salt exchange occurs over a longer distance and is primarily identifiable in the increasing variability of bulk outflowing salinity values. The differences between the two locations highlight how ocean variability interacts with both tidal pumping and gravitational circulation. We also distinguish between transient ocean forcing which can modify fjord properties near the mouth of the strait and seasonal ocean forcing which primarily affects along‐strait pressure gradients. The results have implications for understanding the transport variability of biogeochemical variables that are influenced by both along‐shelf winds and local sources. 

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2. Estuarine Exchange Flow in the Albemarle‐Pamlico Estuarine System

   https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JC021919  

   Yin, Dongxiao; Harris, Courtney K; Warner, John C (August 2025, Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans)

   Abstract Estuarine exchange flow controls the salt balance and regulates biogeochemistry in an estuary. The Albemarle‐Pamlico estuarine system (APES) is the largest coastal lagoon in the U.S. and historically susceptible to a series of environmental issues including salt water intrusion and eutrophication, yet its estuarine exchange flow is poorly understood. Here, we investigate the estuarine exchange flow in the APES, its tributary estuaries (Pamlico and Neuse), and sub‐basin Albemarle Sound using the total exchange flow analysis framework based on results from a deterministic numerical model. We find the following: (a) Dynamics controlling estuarine exchange flow in the APES vary spatially and depend on timescales considered. At inlets, estuarine exchange flows respond to both tidal prism and residual water levels at weather‐to‐spring/neap timescales. At a long quasi‐steady timescale represented as annual means, estuarine exchange flow is dominated by barotropic flow. Within the tributary estuaries, estuarine exchange flows at timescales of wind periods are controlled by wind‐induced straining, whereas the quasi‐steady state condition is dominated by gravitational circulation. At Albemarle Sound, exchange flow is dominated by the residual water levels at weather‐to‐spring/neap timescales, while at quasi‐steady state it is controlled by barotropic flow. (b) At the quasi‐steady annual timescale, the salt content decreases with river discharge. At the weather‐to‐spring/neap timescales, salt content is insensitive to variations in estuarine exchange flow, except for within Albemarle Sound. (c) Estuarine exchange flow likely influences the biogeochemistry of the APES by playing a key role in regulating the flushing efficiency and material exchange, a role that has been previously overlooked. 

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3. Mixing in a Salinity Variance Budget of the Salish Sea is Controlled by River Flow

   https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-21-0227.1  

   Broatch, Erin M.; MacCready, Parker (October 2022, Journal of Physical Oceanography)

   Abstract A salinity variance framework is used to study mixing in the Salish Sea, a large fjordal estuary. Output from a realistic numerical model is used to create salinity variance budgets for individual basins within the Salish Sea for 2017–19. The salinity variance budgets are used to quantify the mixing in each basin and estimate the numerical mixing, which is found to contribute about one-third of the total mixing in the model. Whidbey Basin has the most intense mixing, due to its shallow depth and large river flow. Unlike in most other estuarine systems previously studied using the salinity variance method, mixing in the Salish Sea is controlled by the river flow and does not exhibit a pronounced spring–neap cycle. A “mixedness” analysis is used to determine when mixed water is expelled from the estuary. The river flow is correlated with mixed water removal, but the coupling is not as tight as with the mixing. Because the mixing is so highly correlated with the river flow, the long-term average approximation M = Q r s out s in can be used to predict the mixing in the Salish Sea and Puget Sound with good accuracy, even without any temporal averaging. Over a 3-yr average, the mixing in Puget Sound is directly related to the exchange flow salt transport. 

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4. Lateral Transport Controls the Tidally Averaged Gravitationally Driven Estuarine Circulation: Tidal Mixing Effects

   https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-23-0221.1  

   Kukulka, Tobias; Chant, Robert J (August 2024, Journal of Physical Oceanography)

   Abstract In classic models of the tidally averaged gravitationally driven estuarine circulation, denser salty oceanic water moves up the estuary near the bottom, while less dense riverine water flows toward the ocean near the surface. Traditionally, it is assumed that the associated pressure gradient forces and salt advection are balanced by vertical mixing. This study, however, demonstrates that lateral (across the estuary width) transport processes are essential for maintaining the estuarine circulation. This is because for realistic estuarine bathymetry, the depth-integrated salt transport up the estuary is enhanced in the deeper estuary channel. A closed salt budget then requires the lateral transport of this excess salt in the deeper channel toward the estuarine flanks. To understand how such lateral transport affects the estuarine salt and momentum balances, we devise an idealized model with explicit lateral transport focusing on tidally averaged lateral mixing effects. Solutions for the along-estuary velocity and salinity are nondimensionalized to depend only on one single nondimensional parameter, referred to as the Fischer number, which describes the relative importance of lateral to vertical tidal mixing. For relatively strong lateral tidal mixing (greater Fischer number), salinity and velocity variations are predominantly vertical. For relatively weak lateral tidal mixing (smaller Fischer number), salinity and velocity variations are predominantly lateral. Overall, lateral transport greatly affects the estuarine circulation and controls the estuarine salinity intrusion length, which is demonstrated to scale inversely with the Fischer number. 

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5. Exchange Flows in Tributary Creeks Enhance Dispersion by Tidal Trapping

   https://doi.org/10.1007/s12237-021-00969-4  

   Garcia, Adrian_Mikhail P; Geyer, W Rockwell; Randall, Noa (March 2022, Estuaries and Coasts)

   Abstract The North River estuary (Massachusetts, USA) is a tidal marsh creek network where tidal dispersion processes dominate the salt balance. A field study using moorings, shipboard measurements, and drone surveys was conducted to characterize and quantify tidal trapping due to tributary creeks. During flood tide, saltwater propagates up the main channel and gets “trapped” in the creeks. The creeks inherit an axial salinity gradient from the time-varying salinity at their boundary with the main channel, but it is stronger than the salinity gradient of the main channel because of relatively weaker currents. The stronger salinity gradient drives a baroclinic circulation that stratifies the creeks, while the main channel remains well-mixed. Because of the creeks’ shorter geometries, tidal currents in the creeks lead those in the main channel; therefore, the creeks never fill with the saltiest water which passes the main channel junction. This velocity phase difference is enhanced by the exchange flow in the creeks, which fast-tracks the fresher surface layer in the creeks back to the main channel. Through ebb tide, the relatively fresh creek outflows introduce a negative salinity anomaly into the main channel, where it is advected downstream by the tide. Using high-resolution measurements, we empirically determine the salinity anomaly in the main channel resulting from its exchange with the creeks to calculate a dispersion rate due to trapping. Our dispersion rate is larger than theoretical estimates that neglect the exchange flow in the creeks. Trapping contributes more than half the landward salt flux in this region. 

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