An official website of the United States government
Abstract Continuous permafrost is present across the McMurdo Dry Valleys of southern Victoria Land, Antarctica. While summer active-layer thaw is common in the low-elevation portions of the Dry Valleys, active layers have not significantly thickened over time. However, in some locations, coastal Antarctic permafrost has begun to warm. Here, based on soil and meteorological measurements from 1993 to 2023, we show that wintertime soil temperatures have increased across multiple sites in the Dry Valleys, at rates exceeding the pace of summer soil warming. Linear warming trends over time are significant (P< 0.05) at six of seven soil monitoring sites. Winter warming is strongly correlated with increased numbers of down-valley wind events (Foehn/katabatics), but it may also be driven by increased incident longwave radiation at some stations (although winter longwave increase is not significant over time). While down-valley wind events increase winter warming, when down-valley wind events are excluded from the record, winter soil warming remains persistent and significant, suggesting that Antarctic soils are experiencing less cold winters over time in response to regional warming. Together, these observations suggest that some Antarctic permafrost may be approaching a transition to discontinuous permafrost in some regions as winter freezing intensity is reduced over time.
more »
« less
Varying population size of the Cape Royds Adélie penguin colony, 1955–2020: a synthesis
Abstract Among the longest Antarctic biological time series is that of Adélie penguinPygoscelis adeliaepopulation size at Cape Royds, 1955 to the present. Demographic trends over the 66 years fall into five periods: 1) decrease then recovery due to control of tourism from McMurdo Station/Scott Base; 2) further increase responding to the removal of > 20 000 trophically competing Antarctic minke whalesBalaenoptera bonaerensisfrom the colony's wintering area; 3) stabilization but not decrease upon the ban of whaling in 1982, and whale recovery, owing to increased winds facilitating McMurdo Sound Polynya presence (easier ocean access during nesting); 4) decrease in 2001–2005 when two mega-icebergs, B15A/C16, opposed the wind effect by increasing sea-ice cover, thus limiting ocean access; and 5) after iceberg departure, minimal recovery due to the increased velocity of the wind-generated Ross Gyre reducing penguin breeding probability. A multivariant model using 1998–2018 data confirmed the roles of gyre speed (negative) and open water (positive) in colony growth. Additional negative influence came from high nest predation by south polar skuasStercorarius maccormicki, reducing chick production, as well as perhaps increased trophic competition from nearby Weddell sealsLeptonychotes weddellii. Clearly, long time series increase our understanding of penguin population dynamics responding to a complexity of factors.
more »
« less
- Award ID(s):
- 1935870
- PAR ID:
- 10543099
- Publisher / Repository:
- Cambridge University Press
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Antarctic Science
- ISSN:
- 0954-1020
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- 1 to 14
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
More Like this
-
-
Fernandez, J (Ed.)Antarctic krill (Euphausia superba) are a key component of the Antarctic ecosystem linking primary and some secondary production to higher trophic levels including fish, penguins, seals, and whales. Understanding their response to environmental stimuli therefore provides insights into the trophic ecology of Antarctic systems. This laboratory study quantified the influence of penguin guano, a presumptive predator cue, chlorophyll concentration and flow speed on krill swimming behavior. In addition, ingestion rates with and without guano were measured. Such inquiries are necessary to determine if predator risk cues modify krill activities in ways that have consequences for other members of the Antarctic trophic web. Krill often exhibited acute turns when guano was present and varied their swimming speeds more when guano was present. These are both indicators of avoidance behavior to the negative chemical cues represented by penguin guano. Similarly, krill’s ingestion rates dropped significantly for a prolonged period of time in the presence of guano. This decrease in feeding will have impacts on krill’s nutritional value to their predators, prey uptake rates (prey survival) and the sequestration of carbon to the deep ocean as krill decrease their defecation rates. This study supports the hypothesis that krill use chemical signals to detect and behaviorally respond to food and predation risk.more » « less
-
Abstract Most of the Ross Sea has been designated a marine protected area (MPA), proposed ‘to protect ecosystem structure and function’. To assess effectiveness, the Commission for the Conservation of Antarctic Marine Living Resources (CCAMLR) selected Adélie (Pygoscelis adeliae) and emperor (Aptenodytes forsteri) penguins, Weddell seals (Leptonychotes weddellii) and Antarctic toothfish (Dissostichus mawsoni) as ecosystem change ‘indicator species’. Stable for decades, penguin and seal populations increased during 1998–2018 to surpass historical levels, indicating that change in ecosystem structure and function is underway. We review historical impacts to population trends, decadal datasets of ocean climate and fishing pressure on toothfish. Statistical modelling for Adélie penguins and Weddell seals indicates that variability in climate factors and cumulative extraction of adult toothfish may explain these trends. These mesopredators, and adult toothfish, all prey heavily on Antarctic silverfish (Pleuragramma antarcticum). Toothfish removal may be altering intraguild predation dynamics, leading to competitive release of silverfish and contributing to penguin and seal population changes. Despite decades of ocean/weather change, increases in indicator species numbers around Ross Island only began once the toothfish fishery commenced. The rational-use, ecosystem-based viewpoint promoted by CCAMLR regarding toothfish management needs re-evaluation, including in the context of the Ross Sea Region MPA.more » « less
-
Abstract Seasonal migration, driven by shifts in annual climate cycles and resources, is a key part of the life history and ecology of species across taxonomic groups. By influencing the amount of energy needed to move, external forces such as wind and ocean currents are often key drivers of migratory pathways exposing individuals to varying resources, environmental conditions, and competition pressures impacting individual fitness and population dynamics. Although wildlife movements in connection with wind and ocean currents are relatively well understood, movements within sea‐ice fields have been much less studied, despite sea ice being an integral part of polar ecology. Adélie penguins (Pygoscelis adeliae) in the southern Ross Sea, Antarctica, currently exist at the southernmost edge of their range and undergo the longest (~12,000 km) winter migration known for the species. Within and north of the Ross Sea, the Ross Gyre drives ocean circulation and the large‐scale movement of sea ice. We used remotely sensed sea‐ice movement data together with geolocation‐based penguin movement data to test the hypothesis that penguins use gyre‐driven sea‐ice movement to aid their migration. We found that penguins traveled greater distances when their movement vectors were aligned with those of sea ice (i.e., ice support) and the amount of ice support received depended on which route a penguin took. We also found that birds that took an eastern route traveled significantly further north in two of the 3 years we examined, coinciding with higher velocities of sea ice in those years. We compare our findings to patterns observed in migrating species that utilize air or water currents for their travel and with other studies showing the importance of ocean/sea‐ice circulation patterns to wildlife movement and life history patterns within the Ross Sea. Changes in sea ice may have consequences not only for energy expenditure but, by altering migration and movement pathways, to the ecological interactions that exist in this region.more » « less
-
Adélie penguins (Pygoscelis adeliae) are bioindicators for the rapidly changing Antarctic environment, making understanding their population dynamics and behavior of high research priority. However, collecting detailed population data throughout the breeding season on many colonies is difficult due to Antarctica’s harsh conditions and remote location. The colonial breeding ecology of Adélie penguins has led to the evolution of a highly vocal species with individualized calls, making them well-suited for passive acoustic monitoring (PAM) with autonomous recording. PAM units can potentially provide an easily deployable and scalable way to collect fine-scale data on population estimates and breeding phenology. Here I present a framework for using acoustic indices to monitor phenology of dense penguin colonies even under high wind conditions. I evaluate the relationship between acoustic indices such as RMS amplitude and penguin colony size between distinct breeding stages (incubation, guard, crèche, and fledge) on Torgersen and Humble Islands in the West Antarctic Peninsula with an automated pipeline implemented in R. Using PAM to interpret penguin vocalizations for population size and breeding phenology estimates could lead to the development of a real-time remote monitoring system over a large spatial footprint, revealing Adélie penguin responses to climate change.more » « less
- Free Publicly Accessible Full Text
-
Accepted Manuscript1.0
- Journal Article:
- https://doi.org/10.1017/S0954102024000051
