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This work provides the first theoretical study on the ability of graph Message Passing Neural Networks (gMPNNs) -- such as Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) -- to perform inductive out-of-distribution (OOD) link prediction tasks, where deployment (test) graph sizes are larger than training graphs. We first prove non-asymptotic bounds showing that link predictors based on permutation-equivariant (structural) node embeddings obtained by gMPNNs can converge to a random guess as test graphs get larger. We then propose a theoretically-sound gMPNN that outputs structural pairwise (2-node) embeddings and prove non-asymptotic bounds showing that, as test graphs grow, these embeddings converge to embeddings of a continuous function that retains its ability to predict links OOD. Empirical results on random graphs show agreement with our theoretical results.
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This content will become publicly available on July 13, 2026
Towards characterizing the value of edge embeddings in GNNs
Graph neural networks (GNNs) are the dominant approach to solving machine learning problems defined over graphs. Despite much theoretical and empirical work in recent years, our understanding of finer-grained aspects of architectural design for GNNs remains impoverished. In this paper, we consider the benefits of architectures that maintain and update edge embeddings. On the theoretical front, under a suitable computational abstraction for a layer in the model, as well as memory constraints on the embeddings, we show that there are natural tasks on graphical models for which architectures leveraging edge embeddings can be much shallower. Our techniques are inspired by results on time-space tradeoffs in theoretical computer science. Empirically, we show architectures that maintain edge embeddings almost always improve on their node-based counterparts—frequently significantly so in topologies that have “hub” nodes.
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- Award ID(s):
- 2403275
- PAR ID:
- 10609090
- Publisher / Repository:
- International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML), 2025
- Date Published:
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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