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We compare the random error statistics (uncertainties) of COSMIC (Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere and Climate, C1) and COSMIC-2 (C2) radio occultation (RO) bending angles and refractivities for the months of August 2006 and 2021 over the tropics and subtropics using the three-cornered hat method. The uncertainty profiles are similar for the two RO missions in the troposphere. However, a higher percentage of C2 profiles reach close to the surface in the moisture-rich tropics, an advantage of the higher signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) in C2. C2 uses signals from both GPS (Global Positioning System) and GLONASS Global Navigation System Satellites (GNSS). The GPS occultations show smaller uncertainties in the stratosphere and lower mesosphere (30–60 km) than the GLONASS occultations, a result of more accurate GPS clocks. Therefore, C2 (GPS) uncertainties are smaller than C1 uncertainties between 30–60 km while the C2 (GLONASS) uncertainties are larger than those of C1. The uncertainty profiles vary with latitude at all levels. We find that horizontal gradients in temperature and water vapor, and therefore refractivity, are the major cause of uncertainties in the tropopause region and troposphere through the violation of the assumption of spherical symmetry in the retrieval of bending angles and refractivity.
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This content will become publicly available on May 27, 2026
Evaluation of biases and uncertainties in ROMEX radio occultation observations
Abstract. The Radio Occultation Modeling EXperiment (ROMEX) is an international collaboration to test the impact of varying numbers of radio occultation (RO) profiles in operational numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. An average of 35,000 RO profiles per day for September–November 2022 from 13 different missions are being used in experiments at major NWP centers. This paper evaluates properties of ROMEX data, with emphasis on the three largest datasets: COSMIC-2 (C2), Spire, and Yunyao. The penetration rates (percent of profiles reaching different levels above the surface) of most of the ROMEX datasets are similar, with more than 80 % of all occultations reaching 2 km or lower and more than 50 % reaching 1 km or lower. The relative uncertainties of the C2, Spire, and Yunyao bending angles and refractivities are estimated using the three-cornered hat method. They are similar on the average in the region of overlap (45° S–45° N). Larger uncertainties occur in the tropics compared to higher latitudes below 20 km. Relatively small variations in longitude exist. The assimilation of ROMEX data caused small degradations in biases in several NWP models. We investigate biases in the observations by comparing them to each other and to models. C2 bending angles appear to be biased by about +0.1–0.15 % compared to Spire and other ROMEX data. These apparent biases, some of which are representativeness or sampling differences, are caused by the different orbits of C2 and other ROMEX missions around the non-spherical Earth and the associated varying radii of curvature (radius of a sphere that best fits the Earth’s surface curvature at a given location and orientation of the RO occultation plane and is used in the RO BA retrievals).
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- Award ID(s):
- 2054356
- PAR ID:
- 10615418
- Publisher / Repository:
- EGUsphere
- Date Published:
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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