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Abstract We present our current best estimate of the plausible observing scenarios for the Advanced LIGO, Advanced Virgo and KAGRA gravitational-wave detectors over the next several years, with the intention of providing information to facilitate planning for multi-messenger astronomy with gravitational waves. We estimate the sensitivity of the network to transient gravitational-wave signals for the third (O3), fourth (O4) and fifth observing (O5) runs, including the planned upgrades of the Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo detectors. We study the capability of the network to determine the sky location of the source for gravitational-wave signals from the inspiral of binary systems of compact objects, that is binary neutron star, neutron star–black hole, and binary black hole systems. The ability to localize the sources is given as a sky-area probability, luminosity distance, and comoving volume. The median sky localization area (90% credible region) is expected to be a few hundreds of square degrees for all types of binary systems during O3 with the Advanced LIGO and Virgo (HLV) network. The median sky localization area will improve to a few tens of square degrees during O4 with the Advanced LIGO, Virgo, and KAGRA (HLVK) network. During O3, the median localization volume (90% credible region) is expected to be on the order of $$10^{5}, 10^{6}, 10^{7}\mathrm {\ Mpc}^3$$ 10 5 , 10 6 , 10 7 Mpc 3 for binary neutron star, neutron star–black hole, and binary black hole systems, respectively. The localization volume in O4 is expected to be about a factor two smaller than in O3. We predict a detection count of $$1^{+12}_{-1}$$ 1 - 1 + 12 ( $$10^{+52}_{-10}$$ 10 - 10 + 52 ) for binary neutron star mergers, of $$0^{+19}_{-0}$$ 0 - 0 + 19 ( $$1^{+91}_{-1}$$ 1 - 1 + 91 ) for neutron star–black hole mergers, and $$17^{+22}_{-11}$$ 17 - 11 + 22 ( $$79^{+89}_{-44}$$ 79 - 44 + 89 ) for binary black hole mergers in a one-calendar-year observing run of the HLV network during O3 (HLVK network during O4). We evaluate sensitivity and localization expectations for unmodeled signal searches, including the search for intermediate mass black hole binary mergers.
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Finding cosmic anisotropy with networks of next-generation gravitational-wave detectors
The standard cosmological model involves the assumption of isotropy and homogeneity, a principle that is generally well motivated but is now in conflict with various anisotropies found using independent astrophysical probes. These anisotropies tend to take the form of dipoles; while some can be explained by simple kinematic effects, many others are not fully understood. Thus, generic phenomenological models are being considered, such as a dipole in the luminosity distance. We demonstrate how such a dipole could be measured using gravitational waves from binary neutron star mergers observed by six different networks of gravitational-wave detectors, ranging from upgraded LIGO detectors to anticipated next-generation ground-based observatories. We find that, for example, a network of three next-generation detectors would produce strong constraints on a dipole’s amplitude (∼20%) and location (∼220 deg^2) after just one year of observing. We demonstrate that the constraints scale with the number of detections, enabling projections for multiple years of observing. Our findings indicate that future observations of binary neutron star mergers would improve upon existing dipole constraints, provided that at least one next-generation detector is built. We also assess directional sensitivity of the dipole measurements by varying the dipole’s location on a grid across the sky. We find that for a network of three next-generation detectors, the variation in the constraints is only ∼1% for the amplitude and ≲1.6% for the location, indicating that the location of the dipole will not greatly impact our ability to measure its effects.
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- PAR ID:
- 10627151
- Publisher / Repository:
- American Physical Society
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Physical Review D
- Volume:
- 111
- Issue:
- 10
- ISSN:
- 2470-0010
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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- Free Publicly Accessible Full Text
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Accepted Manuscript
- Journal Article:
- https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevD.111.103530
