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Predicting workload behavior during workload execution is essential for dynamic resource optimization in multi-processor systems. Recent studies have proposed advanced machine learning techniques for dynamic workload prediction. Workload prediction can be cast as a time series forecasting problem. However, traditional forecasting models struggle to predict abrupt workload changes. These changes occur because workloads are known to go through phases. Prior work has investigated machine learning-based approaches for phase detection and prediction, but such approaches have not been studied in the context of dynamic workload forecasting. In this paper, we propose phase-aware CPU workload forecasting as a novel approach that applies long-term phase prediction to improve the accuracy of short-term workload forecasting. Phase-aware forecasting requires machine learning models for phase classification, phase prediction, and phase-based forecasting that have not been explored in this combination before. Furthermore, existing prediction approaches have only been studied in single-core settings. This work explores phase-aware workload forecasting with multi-threaded workloads running on multi-core systems. We propose different multi-core settings differentiated by the number of cores they access and whether they produce specialized or global outputs per core. We study various advanced machine learning models for phase classification, phase prediction, and phase-based forecasting in isolation and different combinations for each setting. We apply our approach to forecasting of multi-threaded Parsec and SPEC workloads running on an 8-core Intel Core-i9 platform. Our results show that combining GMM clustering with LSTMs for phase prediction and phase-based forecasting yields the best phase-aware forecasting results. An approach that uses specialized models per core achieves an average error of 23% with up to 22% improvement in prediction accuracy compared to a phase-unaware setup.
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This content will become publicly available on June 2, 2026
Crafting the Future: Machine learning for ocean forecasting
Artificial intelligence and machine learning are accelerating research in Earth system science, with huge potential for impact and challenges in ocean prediction. Such algorithms are being deployed on different aspects of the forecasting workflow with the aim of improving its speed and skill. They include pattern classification and anomaly detection; regression and diagnostics; and state prediction from nowcasting to synoptic, sub-seasonal, and seasonal forecasting. This brief review emphasizes scientific machine learning methods that have the capacity to embed domain knowledge; to ensure interpretability through causal explanation, to be robust and reliable; to involve effectively high-dimensional statistical methods, supporting multi-scale and multi-physics simulations aimed at improving parameterization; and to drive intelligent automation, as well as decision support. An overview of recent numerical developments is discussed, highlighting the importance of fully data-driven ocean models for future expansion of ocean forecasting capabilities.
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- Award ID(s):
- 2103942
- PAR ID:
- 10635285
- Editor(s):
- -
- Publisher / Repository:
- Copernicus
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- State of the planet
- ISSN:
- 2752-0706
- Subject(s) / Keyword(s):
- -
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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