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Abstract. Over the last century, northwestern Canada experienced some of the highest rates of tropospheric warming globally, which caused glaciers in the region to rapidly retreat. Our study seeks to extend the record of glacier fluctuations and assess climate drivers prior to the instrumental record in the Mackenzie and Selwyn mountains of northwestern Canada. We collected 27 10Be surface exposure ages across nine cirque and valley glacier moraines to constrain the timing of their emplacement. Cirque and valley glaciers in this region reached their greatest Holocene extents in the latter half of the Little Ice Age (1600–1850 CE). Four erratic boulders, 10–250 m distal from late Holocene moraines, yielded 10Be exposure ages of 10.9–11.6 ka, demonstrating that by ca. 11 ka, alpine glaciers were no more extensive than during the last several hundred years. Estimated temperature change obtained through reconstruction of equilibrium line altitudes shows that since ca. 1850 CE, mean annual temperatures have risen 0.2–2.3 ∘C. We use our glacier chronology and the Open Global Glacier Model (OGGM) to estimate that from 1000 CE, glaciers in this region reached a maximum total volume of 34–38 km3 between 1765 and 1855 CE and had lost nearly half their ice volume by 2019 CE. OGGM was unable to produce modeled glacier lengths that match the timing or magnitude of the maximum glacier extent indicated by the 10Be chronology. However, when applied to the entire Mackenzie and Selwyn mountain region, past millennium OGGM simulations using the Max Planck Institute Earth System Model (MPI-ESM) and the Community Climate System Model 4 (CCSM4) yield late Holocene glacier volume change temporally consistent with our moraine and remote sensing record, while the Meteorological Research Institute Earth System Model 2 (MRI-ESM2) and the Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate (MIROC) fail to produce modeled glacier change consistent with our glacier chronology. Finally, OGGM forced by future climate projections under varying greenhouse gas emission scenarios predicts 85 % to over 97 % glacier volume loss by the end of the 21st century. The loss of glaciers from this region will have profound impacts on local ecosystems and communities that rely on meltwater from glacierized catchments.
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This content will become publicly available on January 1, 2027
A 3He-based Holocene glacial chronology from Villarrica volcano, Chile
Understanding alpine glacier extent during past climate variability is instructive for determining the glacier response to future climate change. Villarrica volcano is a late Pleistocene stratovolcano located in Chile's Southern Volcanic Zone that was covered by the Patagonian Ice Sheet during the last glacial period, and still retains small remnant glaciers today. Moraines preserved several kilometers from the summit on different flanks of the volcano record a history of expanded glacier lengths during the Holocene. However, the precise ages of these moraines are unknown, and the Holocene glacial history of Villarrica remains poorly constrained, limiting our understanding of how glaciers in this region responded to Holocene climate change. To constrain the timing of these moraines, we analyzed cosmogenic 3He in olivine from 25 basaltic andesite moraine boulders for cosmogenic surface exposure dating. Our new chronology reveals multiple late Holocene glacier advances from different flanks of the volcano, with the glaciers culminating and abandoning their moraines during the early Neoglacial period at ∼3355 ± 190 a and ∼1735 ± 215 a, and during the last millennium spanning the Little Ice Age period at ∼720 ± 225 a, ∼370 ± 75 a, and in the last ∼200 years. Our analysis of Holocene climate proxies from south-central Chile indicates that the early Neoglacial advances and subsequent retreat likely reflect increased effective moisture delivered by intensified Southern Westerly Winds and associated shifts in their latitudinal position. In contrast, we interpret the last millennium glacier advances as primarily driven by reduced summer ablation linked to regional cooling, followed by glacier retreat due to increased temperatures. Our chronology and closely spaced moraine positions suggest that glacier retreat on Villarrica, and possibly the broader Southern Volcanic Zone, has been gradual during the late Holocene and interrupted by short-lived advances driven by varying changes in temperature and moisture.
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- Award ID(s):
- 2121372
- PAR ID:
- 10650766
- Publisher / Repository:
- Elsevier
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Quaternary Science Reviews
- Volume:
- 372
- Issue:
- C
- ISSN:
- 0277-3791
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- 109707
- Subject(s) / Keyword(s):
- Villarrica volcano Southern Volcanic Zone (SVZ) Patagonian Ice Sheet (PIS) Late Holocene Cosmogenic isotopes Glacial chronology Southern Hemisphere Paleoclimate
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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