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1. The shelf sources of estuarine inflow

   https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-20-0080.1  

   Brasseale, Elizabeth; MacCready, Parker (May 2021, Journal of Physical Oceanography)

   Abstract The inflow to an estuary originates on the shelf. It flushes the estuary and can bring in nutrients, heat, salt, and hypoxic water, having consequences for estuarine ecosystems and fjordic glacial melt. However, the source of estuarine inflow has only been explored in simple models that do not resolve interactions between inflow and outflow outside of the estuarine channel. This study addressed the estuary inflow problem using variations on a three-dimensional primitive equation model of an idealized estuarine channel next to a sloping, unstratified shelf with mixing provided by a single frequency, 12-hour tide. Inflow was identified using particle tracking, momentum budgets, and Total Exchange Flow. Inflow sources were found in shelf water downstream of the estuary, river plume water, and shelf water upstream of the estuary. Downstream is defined here with respect to the direction of coastal trapped wave propagation, which is to the right for an observer looking seaward from the estuary mouth in the northern hemisphere. Downstream of the estuary and offshore of the plume, the dynamics were quasi-geostrophic, consistent with previous simple models. The effect of this inflowing current on the geometry of the river plume front was found to be small. Novel sources of inflow were identified which originated from within the plume and upstream of the estuary. 

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2. Surface macro- and micro-nutrients within the Copper River plume region respond to along-shore winds

   https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marchem.2025.104508  

   Ortega, ELS; Reister, I; Danielson, SL; Aguilar-Islas, AM (May 2025, Marine Chemistry)

   T he Copper River is a major source of freshwater to the Northern Gulf of Alaska (NGA) shelf with a seasonal cycle t hat reaches peak discharge in summer. This glacially-fed river also provides a large input of dissolved chemicals t o the NGA, and because of its large particle load, it impacts the distribution of particle-reactive elements. Summertime sampling of shelf water properties was carried out within the Copper River plume region during two y ears: first during a period of upwelling-favorable winds and higher river discharge (4–7 July 2019) and later during lower river discharge and more typical downwelling conditions (11–13 July 2020). Although these wind conditions were observed in separate years, both can occur over the course of a single summer. We found that the e xport of most nutrients to surface shelf waters was enhanced under upwelling-favorable winds accompanied by higher river discharge compared to downwelling conditions and lower discharge. For example, greater cross- shelf plume transport in 2019 resulted in higher mid-shelf surface inventories for nitrate +nitrite (N +N), silicic acid (H4 SiO 4 ), phosphate (PO4 3 − ), dissolved Fe (dFe), and dissolved Cu (dCu) compared to 2020. Entrainment of relatively macronutrient-rich subsurface waters under upwelling conditions may also have contributed t o the enhancement of these mid-shelf nutrient inventories. The observed high N:P ratios in plume waters were likely driven by the scavenging of P within particle-laden plume waters. Similarly, we observed lower than expected [dFe] (1.58 to 6.12 nM) in particle-laden plume waters, likely a result of enhanced scavenging combined with low concentrations of dissolved Fe-binding ligands. Although dNi and dZn have a river source, we observed lower concentrations in surface shelf waters under upwelling conditions, suggesting enhanced dilution b y relatively micronutrient-poor subsurface waters. Results highlight the influence of sub-seasonal variations in atmospheric forcing on nutrient distributions and suggest that this forcing also impacts the location and timing of primary production hotspots during summer, adding to the ecological mosaic of the NGA across a range of temporal and spatial scales. 

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3. Wind‐Enhanced Separation of Large‐Scale River Plumes From Coastal Corners

   https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JC020969  

   Whitney, Michael M (July 2024, Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans)

   Abstract Idealized models are analyzed to quantify how large‐scale river plumes interact with coastal corners with and without wind‐driven currents. The configuration has a corner formed by two perpendicular shelves (with constant slope) that are joined with a coastal radius of curvature (r_c). The buoyant plume originates from an upstream point source. Ther_cand wind forcing are varied among runs. Steep‐ and gentle‐slope runs are compared for some situations. Without winds, plumes separate from corners withr_csmaller than two inertial radii (r_i); this threshold is twice ther_c < r_itheoretical separation criterion. After separation, no‐wind plumes form an anticyclonic bulge, and reattach farther downstream. Offshore excursion increases asr_cdecreases. A downwelling‐favorable wind component along the upstream coast (τ_sx) favors separation by increasing total plume speed. An upwelling‐favorable wind component along the downstream coast (τ_sy) also increases offshore excursion. Winds blowing obliquely offshore with both these wind components advect the plume farther offshore. Wind‐driven currents that steer plumes in this situation include a downshelf jet originating on the upstream shelf and continuing around the coastal corner and beyond, offshore and upshelf surface transport downstream of the corner, and surface Ekman transport on the outer shelf. Multiple linear regressions quantify plume position sensitivity tor_c,τ_sx, andτ_sy; results are discussed in a dynamical context. Globally, many river plumes interact with coastal corners under various wind conditions. 

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4. The Limits of Ocean Forcing on the Exchange Flow of the Salish Sea

   https://doi.org/10.1029/2025JC022384  

   Sanchez, R; Giddings, S N; Lemagie, E (May 2025, Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans)

   Abstract The dynamics of ocean‐estuary exchange depend on a variety of local and remote ocean forcing mechanisms where local mechanisms include those directly forcing the estuary such as tides, river discharge, and local wind stress; remote forcing includes forcing from the ocean such as coastal wind stress and coastal stratification variability. We use a numerical model to investigate the limits of oceanic influence, such as wind‐driven upwelling, on the Salish Sea exchange flow and salt transport. We find that along‐shelf winds substantially modulate flow throughout the Strait of Juan de Fuca until flow reaches sill‐influenced constrictions. At these constrictions the exchange flow variability becomes sensitive to local tidal and river forcing. The salt exchange variability is tidally dominated at Admiralty Inlet and upwelling has little impact on seasonal salt exchange variability. While within Haro Strait, the salt exchange variability is driven by a mix of coastal upwelling and local forcing including river discharge. There, the transition from oceanic to local control of salt exchange occurs over a longer distance and is primarily identifiable in the increasing variability of bulk outflowing salinity values. The differences between the two locations highlight how ocean variability interacts with both tidal pumping and gravitational circulation. We also distinguish between transient ocean forcing which can modify fjord properties near the mouth of the strait and seasonal ocean forcing which primarily affects along‐strait pressure gradients. The results have implications for understanding the transport variability of biogeochemical variables that are influenced by both along‐shelf winds and local sources. 

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5. Seasonal Source Water Changes and Winds Contribute to the Development of Hypoxia in St Helena Bay Within the Southern Benguela Upwelling System

   Carlson, A; Siedlecki, S; Granger, J; Veitch, J; Pitcher, G; Fearon, G; Soares, F; Zhou, M; Flynn, R; Fawcett, S (April 2025, Journal of geophysical research Oceans)

   St Helena Bay (SHB), a retentive zone in the productive southern Benguela Upwelling System off western South Africa, experiences seasonal hypoxia and episodic anoxic events that threaten local fisheries. To understand the drivers of oxygen variability in SHB, we queried 25 years of dissolved oxygen (DO) observations alongside high‐resolution wind and hydrographic data, and dynamical data from a high‐resolution model. At 70 m in SHB (mid‐bay), upwelling‐favorable winds in spring drove replenishment of cold, oxygenated water. Hypoxia developed in summer, becoming most severe in autumn. Bottom waters in autumn were replenished with warmer, less oxygenated water than in spring—suggesting a seasonal change in source waters upwelled into the bay. Downwelling and deep mixing in winter ventilated mid‐bay bottom waters, which reverted to hypoxic conditions during wind relaxations and reversals. In the nearshore (20 m), hypoxia occurred specifically during periods of upwelling‐favorable wind stress and was most severe in autumn. Using a statistical model, we extended basic hydrographic observations to nitrate and DO concentrations and developed metrics to identify the accumulation of excess nutrients on the shelf and nitrogen‐loss to denitrification, both of which were most prominent in autumn. A correspondence of the biogeochemical properties of hypoxic waters at 20 m to those at 70 m implicates the latter as the source waters upwelled inshore in autumn. We conclude that wind‐driven upwelling drives the replenishment of respired bottom waters in SHB with oxygenated waters, noting that less‐oxygenated water is imported later in the upwelling season, which exacerbates hypoxia. 

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