Calving is a key process for the future of our ice sheets and oceans, but representing it in models remains challenging. Among numerous possible calving parameterisations, the crevasse-depth law remains attractive for its clear physical interpretation and its performance in models. In its classic form, however, it requires ad hoc and arguably unphysical modifications to produce crevasses that are deep enough to result in calving. Here, we adopt a recent analytical approach accounting for the feedback between crevassing and the stress field at floating ice shelves, and we generalise the framework by adding non-zero ice tensile strength and basal friction and by applying it to grounded marine-terminating glaciers. We show that the revised formulation removes the need for ad hoc modifications and predicts that full-thickness calving should occur when grounded glaciers reach flotation, provided the calving front ice thickness is greater than around 400 m. The revised formulation also predicts no calving for ice thinner than around 400 m, suggesting that calving at such glacier fronts is not driven purely by horizontal forces. We find good observational support from both grounded marine-terminating glaciers and floating ice shelves for this analysis. We advance the revised crevasse-depth formulation as a step towards understanding differing calving styles and a better representation of calving in numerical models.
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Horizontal force-balance calving laws: Ice shelves, marine- and land-terminating glaciers
Abstract Predicting calving in glacier models is challenging, as observations of diverse calving styles appear to contradict a universal calving law. Here, we generalize and apply the analytical Horizontal Force-Balance fracture model from ice shelves to land- and marine-terminating glaciers. We consider different combinations of “crack configurations” including surface crevasses with or without meltwater above saltwater- or meltwater-filled basal crevasses. Our generalized crevasse-depth model analytically reveals that, in the absence of meltwater, the calving criterion depends on two dimensionless variables: buttressingBand dimensionless water levelλ. Using a calving regime diagram, we quantitatively demonstrate that glaciers are generally more prone to calving with reduced buttressingBand lower water levelλ. For a specified set of$$B, \lambda$$and crack configuration, an analytical calving law can be derived. For example, the calving law for an ice shelf, land-, or marine-terminating glacier with a dry surface crevasse above a saltwater basal crevasse reduces to a state with no buttressing (B= 0). With climate warming, glaciers are expected to become more vulnerable to calving due to meltwater-driven surface and basal crevassing. Our findings provide a framework for understanding diverse calving styles.
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- Award ID(s):
- 2344690
- PAR ID:
- 10663287
- Publisher / Repository:
- Journal of Glaciology
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Journal of Glaciology
- Volume:
- 71
- ISSN:
- 0022-1430
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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