skip to main content
US FlagAn official website of the United States government
dot gov icon
Official websites use .gov
A .gov website belongs to an official government organization in the United States.
https lock icon
Secure .gov websites use HTTPS
A lock ( lock ) or https:// means you've safely connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites.


Title: Dominant Modes of Terrain-Tied Vertical Motion Variability over the Payette River Basin of Idaho: Results from SNOWIE
Abstract Precipitation enhancement over complex terrain is predominantly driven by quasi-stationary, terrain-tied vertical motions, making their variability a critical factor in shaping precipitation distributions and accumulation. This study quantifies the dominant modes of terrain-tied vertical motion variability over the Payette River basin of Idaho. Principal component analysis is applied to a seasonal simulation spanning November 2016–April 2017, which encompassed the Seeded and Natural Orographic Wintertime Clouds: the Idaho Experiment (SNOWIE) field campaign (January–March 2017). The first mode, accounting for more than 20% of the variance in vertical motion, captures ridge-tied updrafts and represents the primary pattern of terrain-induced ascent. The second mode (8%) reflects how synoptic-scale variations modulate updraft orientation, distinguishing between north–south and east–west ridgelines. The third mode (6%) isolates variability in updraft width and magnitude. These three dominant modes of variability, which explain over one-third of the vertical velocity variance in the seasonal simulation, strongly influence the distribution of supercooled liquid water (SLW) and precipitation over the terrain. Results show that the dominant modes of vertical motion variability were consistent with patterns commonly observed during SNOWIE research flights. Additionally, we quantified vertical motion, SLW, and precipitation means as a function of phase space between the modes, demonstrating that enhanced SLW and precipitation occurred when quasi-stationary waves were present over the terrain.  more » « less
Award ID(s):
2348450
PAR ID:
10679422
Author(s) / Creator(s):
 ;  ;  ;  ;  ;  ;  ;  ;  ;  ;  
Editor(s):
Hu, Steve
Publisher / Repository:
American Meteorological Society
Date Published:
Journal Name:
Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology
Volume:
65
Issue:
4
ISSN:
1558-8424
Page Range / eLocation ID:
499 to 520
Subject(s) / Keyword(s):
Updrafts/downdrafts Winter/cool season Mountain meterology
Format(s):
Medium: X
Sponsoring Org:
National Science Foundation
More Like this
  1. Abstract This paper examines the controls on supercooled liquid water content (SLWC) and drop number concentrations (Nt,CDP) over the Payette River basin during the Seeded and Natural Orographic Wintertime Clouds: The Idaho Experiment (SNOWIE) campaign. During SNOWIE, 27.4% of 1-Hz in situ cloud droplet probe samples were in an environment containing supercooled liquid water (SLW). The interquartile range of SLWC, when present, was found to be 0.02–0.18 g m−3and 13.3–37.2 cm−3forNt,CDP, with the most extreme values reaching 0.40–1.75 g m−3and 150–320 cm−3in isolated regions of convection and strong shear-induced turbulence. SLWC andNt,CDPdistributions are shown to be directly related to cloud-top temperature and ice particle concentrations, consistent with past research over other mountain ranges. Two classes of vertical motions were analyzed as potential controls on SLWC andNt,CDP, the first forced by the orography and fixed in space relative to the topography (stationary waves) and the second transient, triggered by vertical shear and instability within passing synoptic-scale cyclones. SLWC occurrence and magnitudes, andNt,CDPassociated with fixed updrafts were found to be normally distributed about ridgelines when SLW was present. SLW was more likely to form at low altitudes near the terrain slope associated with fixed waves due to higher mixing ratios and larger vertical air parcel displacements at low altitudes. When considering transient updrafts, SLWC andNt,CDPappear more uniformly distributed over the flight track with little discernable terrain dependence as a result of time and spatially varying updrafts associated with passing weather systems. The implications for cloud seeding over the basin are discussed. 
    more » « less
  2. Abstract It is not uncommon for layers within the warm conveyor belt in a frontal system to become potentially unstable, releasing elevated convection. The present study examines this destabilization process over complex terrain, and resulting precipitation, with a focus on the surface coupling, orographic ascent, and the initiation and evolution of convective cells. This study uses detailed observations combined with numerical modeling of a baroclinic system passing over the Idaho Central Mountains in the United States on 7 February 2017. The data were collected as part of the Seeded and Natural Orographic Wintertime clouds: the Idaho Experiment (SNOWIE). Specifically, observations from a ground-based scanning X-band radar and an airborne profiling Doppler W-band radar along ~100 km long flight tracks aligned with the wind describe the development and evolution of convective cells above shallow stratiform orographic clouds. Convection-permitting numerical simulations of this event, with an inner domain grid resolution of 0.9 km, capture the emergence and vertical structure of the convective cells. Therefore, they are used to describe the advection of warm, moist air over a retreating warm front, cold air pooling within the Snake River Basin and adjacent valleys, destabilization in a moist layer above this shallow stable layer, and instability release in orographic gravity wave updrafts. In this case, the convective cells topped out near 6 km ASL, and the resulting precipitation fell mostly leeward of the ridge where convection was triggered, on account of strong cross-barrier flow. Sequential convection initiation over terrain ridges and rapid downwind transport led to banded precipitation structures. 
    more » « less
  3. Abstract Airborne vertically profiling Doppler radar data and output from a ∼1-km-grid-resolution numerical simulation are used to examine how relatively small-scale terrain ridges (∼10–25 km apart and ∼0.5–1.0 km above the surrounding valleys) impact cross-mountain flow, cloud processes, and surface precipitation in deep stratiform precipitation systems. The radar data were collected along fixed flight tracks aligned with the wind, about 100 km long between the Snake River Plain and the Idaho Central Mountains, as part of the 2017 Seeded and Natural Orographic Wintertime clouds: the Idaho Experiment (SNOWIE). Data from repeat flight legs are composited in order to suppress transient features and retain the effect of the underlying terrain. Simulations closely match observed series of terrain-driven deep gravity waves, although the simulated wave amplitude is slightly exaggerated. The deep waves produce pockets of supercooled liquid water in the otherwise ice-dominated clouds (confirmed by flight-level observations and the model) and distort radar-derived hydrometeor trajectories. Snow particles aloft encounter several wave updrafts and downdrafts before reaching the ground. No significant wavelike modulation of radar reflectivity or model ice water content occurs. The model does indicate substantial localized precipitation enhancement (1.8–3.0 times higher than the mean) peaking just downwind of individual ridges, especially those ridges with the most intense wave updrafts, on account of shallow pockets of high liquid water content on the upwind side, leading to the growth of snow and graupel, falling out mostly downwind of the crest. Radar reflectivity values near the surface are complicated by snowmelt, but suggest a more modest enhancement downwind of individual ridges. Significance Statement Mountains in the midlatitude belt and elsewhere receive more precipitation than the surrounding lowlands. The mountain terrain often is complex, and it remains unclear exactly where this precipitation enhancement occurs, because weather radars are challenged by beam blockage and the gauge network is too sparse to capture the precipitation heterogeneity over complex terrain. This study uses airborne profiling radar and high-resolution numerical simulations for four winter storms over a series of ridges in Idaho. One key finding is that while instantaneous airborne radar transects of the cross-mountain flow, vertical drafts, and reflectivity contain much transient small-scale information, time-averaged transects look very much like the model transects. The model indicates substantial surface precipitation enhancement over terrain, peaking over and just downwind of individual ridges. Radar observations suggest less enhancement, but the radar-based assessment is uncertain. The second key conclusion is that, even though orographic gravity waves are felt all the way up into the upper troposphere, the orographic precipitation enhancement is due to processes very close to the terrain. 
    more » « less
  4. Abstract Cloud seeding of wintertime orographic clouds in the western United States has been attempted to enhance snow production and snowpack. Due to the scarcity of long-term, high-resolution cloud and precipitation observations over complex terrain, few studies have explored variations in orographic snowfall amounts by comparing environmental conditions and cloud characteristics with surface snowfall distribution and quantity. This study analyzes the environmental conditions and cloud characteristics in relation to surface snowfall patterns for the 24 snowfall events observed during the 2017 Seeded and Natural Orographic Wintertime Clouds: The Idaho Experiment (SNOWIE). The investigation aims to understand: 1) What is the influence, if any, of wind, turbulence, and updraft strength on snowfall amounts, rates, and distribution? 2) What is the relationship, if any, of cloud properties and precipitation-forming effectiveness? and 3) Can cloud seeding modify controlling cloud characteristics sufficiently to increase precipitation in otherwise inefficient orographic clouds? The analysis over a 7200-km2observational domain revealed that the accumulated liquid-equivalent snowfall was <0.9 × 107m3and snowfall rates were <0.45 mm h−1for about half of the events. Low snowfall events were characterized by cloud-top temperatures >−20°C, fewer larger droplets, higher liquid water content, and lower ice water content compared to the other events. Cases with minimal background natural snowfall also permitted radar observation of seeding lines. In these cases, cloud seeding was mainly responsible for snowfall. The amount of silver iodide (AgI) released during cloud seeding did not correlate well with snowfall amount and rate. Significance StatementThis study illustrates the complexities of estimating snowfall in wintertime orographic clouds, underscoring the frequent inefficiency of these clouds in generating snowfall—a pivotal concern for regions dependent on snowpack for water resources. By analyzing environmental and cloud characteristics against snowfall patterns during the Seeded and Natural Orographic Wintertime Clouds: The Idaho Experiment (SNOWIE), the research provides critical insights into the complexities of precipitation formation. The findings, particularly on the impact of cloud seeding in enhancing snowfall under specific conditions, contribute significantly to our understanding of weather modification techniques. This research not only is vital for advancing scientific knowledge in understanding wintertime mountain cloud systems but also holds profound implications for water resource management, agriculture, and disaster preparedness in snow-dependent regions. 
    more » « less
  5. Abstract In Part II, two classes of vertical motions, fixed (associated with vertically propagating gravity waves tied to flow over topography) and transient (associated primarily with vertical wind shear and conditional instability within passing weather systems), were diagnosed over the Payette River basin of Idaho during the Seeded and Natural Orographic Wintertime Clouds: The Idaho Experiment (SNOWIE). This paper compares vertical motions retrieved from airborne Doppler radial velocity measurements with those from a 900-m-resolution model simulation to determine the impact of transient vertical motions on trajectories of ice particles initiated by airborne cloud seeding. An orographic forcing index, developed to compare vertical motion fields retrieved from the radar with the model, showed that fixed vertical motions were well resolved by the model while transient vertical motions were not. Particle trajectories were calculated for 75 cross-sectional pairs, each differing only by the observed and modeled vertical motion field. Wind fields and particle terminal velocities were otherwise identical in both trajectories so that the impact of transient vertical circulations on particle trajectories could be isolated. In 66.7% of flight-leg pairs, the distance traveled by particles in the model and observations differed by less than 5 km with transient features having minimal impact. In 9.3% of the pairs, model and observation trajectories landed within the ideal target seeding elevation range (>2000 m), whereas, in 77.3% of the pairs, both trajectories landed below the ideal target elevation. Particles in the observations and model descended into valleys on the mountains’ lee sides in 94.2% of cases in which particles traveled less than 37 km. 
    more » « less