Volcanic summit craters are typically noted to form by roof collapse into a depressurized magma chamber or by explosive excavation. Recent examples of effusive activity (e.g., Kilauea Volcano, Hawai'i) allowed specifically for quantification of the collapse process. However, small spatiotemporal morphologic change related to background mass wasting and low‐level explosive activity has not been well quantified in volcanic craters. Telica volcano, Nicaragua, is a persistently restless basaltic‐andesite stratovolcano. Telica's persistent restlessness is caused by a long‐lived magmatic‐hydrothermal system with high‐temperature crater fumaroles and low‐frequency seismicity, punctuated by subdecadal, low‐explosivity (VEI 1–2) phreatic eruptions. We use photographic observations (1994 to 2017) and structure‐from‐motion point cloud construction and differencing (2011 to 2017) to analyze changes at Telica in the context of summit crater formation and eruptive precursors. Crater wall retreat (up to 40 m) spatially correlates with long‐lived high‐temperature fumaroles in the crater walls, whereas eruptions eject material (>5 m) from the crater floor through vent formation and/or clearing. These processes sustain a morphology similar to that of pit craters but without a shallow depressurized magma chamber. Our observations indicate system‐wide sealing prior to eruption by viscous magma in the conduit and eruption of a dome in 2017 and hydrothermal mineralization, not from vent covering talus; though, vent covering talus can redirect the shallow conduit. This study shows promise for photogrammetric techniques in correlating morphologic change with summit crater formation and volcanic activity and the power of long‐term visual observations in understanding active volcanic processes.
more »
« less
This content will become publicly available on January 29, 2027
From the ashes of VEI: Decoding explosivity, mass eruption rate and hazards in real time
Ash-producing volcanic eruptions are a major natural hazard. The explosivity of these eruptions has been described for decades by a semi-quantitative “Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI)” based on a number of interdependent factors (eruption duration, volume of ejected material, eruptive column height, tropospheric and stratospheric injection, and many qualitative descriptors), most of which could only be assessed after eruption had ceased. The utility of this semi-quantitative index has been questioned since then, yet its common usage persists. We suggest that if VEI is to be used in the future, it may as well be an index that can be determined in real time during an eruption, and one that strictly reflects eruption intensity. We find that the same value for the “traditional” Volcanic Explosivity Index of past eruptions can be estimated in real time during an eruption, based solely on eruption column height. This approach is not intended to replace the traditional VEI scale or supplant more detailed mechanistic approaches to mass eruption rate (MER); rather it can be used to provide a more immediate way of calculating the VEI and linking to MER, in real time while an eruption is taking place. As such, if the easily observed height can be measured, both MER and VEI can be estimated. This may facilitate emergency response by aviation, hazard management, and others to mitigate societal impact of hazardous eruptions. This scheme can be inverted to use volume-based VEI of ancient eruptions to roughly retrodict unobserved column height for key historic and pre-historic eruptions. Further, ash particle morphology reflects explosivity in terms of decompression rate at the vent of unobserved eruptions. With sufficiently rapid decompression, this could result in an observable bi-modal bubble size distribution. The morphology of ash particles reveals a threshold between VEI 3 and 4, above which there is sufficiently rapid decompression to trigger a second nucleation event near the vent.
more »
« less
- Award ID(s):
- 2211680
- PAR ID:
- 10684941
- Publisher / Repository:
- AGU
- Date Published:
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
More Like this
-
-
Volcanic Ash Transport and Dispersal Models (VATDMs) make real-time forecasts of tephra fall resulting from explosive eruptions possible. However, these predictions still mainly rely on eruption source parameters, such as erupted mass, total grain-size distribution, and plume height, gathered via thorough studies of past eruptions similar in nature. This dependency of eruption source parameters to analogous eruptions becomes particularly challenging when there are limited instances of similar events. An example is rhyodacitic to rhyolitic eruptions. This type of volcanic eruption has only been witnessed twice, at Chait´ en (2008–2009) and Cord´ on Caulle (2011− 2012), both in Chile. Here, we examine the 7.7 ka Cleetwood eruption of Mount Mazama (Oregon, USA), as a case study. This rhyodacitic eruption started explosively with two initial VEI 4, subplinian phases, and ended effusively with the emplacement of a rhyodacitic flow. We use the results of a detailed study of the proximal and medial tephra deposits as input in a VATDM to investigate the geometry and dimensions of the main plume formed during the Cleetwood eruption. We 1) constrain the erupted mass and calculate a detailed total grain-size distribution, 2) explore the Reanalysis 2 wind database to determine the direction and velocity of the local wind at the time of the eruption, and 3) use the VATDM Tephra2 with a grid-search method to estimate plume height, mass distribution within the plume, and the characteristics of tephra diffusion. We find that a vertical release of the erupted mass along a single line above the vent adequately replicates the measured mass loads but fails to simultaneously fit measured grain-size distributions at the same locations. We thus devise a method that not only accounts for a customized total grain-size distribution, real 1D wind patterns, and variable mass distribution within the plume, but also allows for adjustments to the size and location of an elliptical umbrella cloud. Using this method, we successfully replicate both local mass loads and high-resolution grain-size distributions and show that particles ≥0.125 mm from the lower Cleetwood unit were likely deposited from a 5 ×45 km2 umbrella reaching 16 km a.s.l., elongated in the direction of main wind intensity. This research contributes to enhancing the accuracy of predicting tephra transport from silicic volcanic eruptions. Moreover, it underscores the importance of utilizing grain-size data in combination with mass loads at specific locations to gain insights into the characteristics of the eruption plume, especially for eruptions that have not been directly observed.more » « less
-
Abstract. Mount Somma–Vesuvius is a stratovolcano that represents a geological hazard to the population of the city of Naples and surrounding towns in southern Italy. Historically, volcanic eruptions at Mt. Somma–Vesuvius (SV) include high-magnitude Plinian eruptions, such as the infamous 79 CE eruption that occurred after 295 years of quiescence and killed thousands of people in Pompeii and surrounding towns and villages. The last eruption at SV was in 1944 and showed a Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) of 3 (0.01 km3 of volcanic material erupted). Following the 1944 eruption, SV has been dormant for the past nearly 79 years, with only minor fumarolic and seismic activity. During its long history, centuries of dormancy at SV have ended with Plinian eruptions (VEI 6) that signal the beginning of a new cycle of eruptive activity. Thus, the current dormancy stage demands a need to better understand the mechanism involved in high-magnitude eruptions in order to better predict future eruption magnitude and style. Despite centuries of research on the SV volcanic system, many questions remain, including the evolution of magmatic volatiles from deep primitive magmas to shallower more evolved magmas. Developing a better understanding of the physical and chemical processes associated with volatile evolution at SV can provide insights into magma dynamics and the mechanisms that trigger highly explosive eruptions at SV. In this study, we present new data for the pre-eruptive volatile contents of magmas associated with four Plinian and two inter-Plinian eruptions at SV based on analyses of reheated melt inclusions (MIs) hosted in olivine. We correct the volatile contents of bubble-bearing MIs by taking into account the volatile contents of bubbles in the MIs. We recognize two groups of MIs: one group hosted in high-Fo olivine (Fo85–90) and relatively rich in volatiles and the other group hosted in low-Fo olivine (Fo70–69) and relatively depleted in volatiles. The correlation between volatile contents and compositions of host olivines suggests that magma fractionation took place under volatile-saturated conditions and that more differentiated magmas reside at shallower levels relative to less evolved/quasi-primitive magmas. Using the CO2 contents of corrected MIs hosted in Fo90 olivine from SV, we estimate that 347 to 686 t d−1 of magmatic CO2 exsolved from SV magmas during the last 3 centuries (38–75 Mt in total) of volcanic activity. Although this study is limited to only few SV magmas, we suggest that further study applying similar methods could shed light on the apparent lack of correlation between the volatile contents of MIs and the style and age of eruptions. Further, such studies could provide additional constraints on the origin of CO2 and the interaction between the carbonate platform and ascending magmas below SV.more » « less
-
null (Ed.)Eruption source parameters (in particular erupted volume and column height) are used by volcanologists to inform volcanic hazard assessments and to classify explosive volcanic eruptions. Estimations of source parameters are associated with large uncertainties due to various factors, including complex tephra sedimentation patterns from gravitationally spreading umbrella clouds. We modify an advection-diffusion model to investigate this effect. Using this model, source parameters for the climactic phase of the 2450 BP eruption of Pululagua, Ecuador, are different with respect to previous estimates (erupted mass: 1.5–5 × 1011 kg, umbrella cloud radius: 10–14 km, plume height: 20–30 km). We suggest large explosive eruptions are better classified by volume and umbrella cloud radius instead of volume or column height alone. Volume and umbrella cloud radius can be successfully estimated from deposit data using one numerical model when direct observations (e.g., satellite images) are not available.more » « less
-
Volcanic eruptions impact climate, subtly and profoundly. The size of an eruption is only loosely correlated with the severity of its climate effects, which can include changes in surface temperature, ozone levels, stratospheric dynamics, precipitation, and ocean circulation. We review the processes—in magma chambers, eruption columns, and the oceans, biosphere, and atmosphere—that mediate the climate response to an eruption. A complex relationship between eruption size, style, duration, and the subsequent severity of the climate response emerges. We advocate for a new, consistent metric, the Volcano-Climate Index, to categorize climate response to eruptions independent of eruption properties and spanning the full range of volcanic activity, from brief explosive eruptions to long-lasting flood basalts. A consistent metric for categorizing the climate response to eruptions that differ in size, style, and duration is critical for establishing the relationshipbetween the severity and the frequency of such responses aiding hazard assessments, and furthering understanding of volcanic impacts on climate on timescales of years to millions of years. ▪ We review the processes driving the rocky relationship between eruption size and climate response and propose a Volcano-Climate Index. ▪ Volcanic eruptions perturb Earth's climate on a range of timescales, with key open questions regarding how processes in the magmatic system, eruption column, and atmosphere shape the climate response to volcanism. ▪ A Volcano-Climate Index will provide information on the volcano-climate severity-frequency distribution, analogous to earthquake hazards. ▪ Understanding of the frequency of specific levels of volcanic climate effects will aid hazard assessments, planning, and mitigation of societal impacts.more » « less
An official website of the United States government
