This content will become publicly available on April 1, 2027

Title: Greater climate change adaptation potential in populations of Quercus macrocarpa at edges of latitudinal gradient
Summary With current climate trajectories, tree populations will encounter novel selection pressures that risk local extinction if they are unable to acclimate or adapt. Within a reciprocal transplant experiment withQuercus macrocarpaL. established across a latitudinal gradient, we asked: (1) Is there genetic variation within populations? (2) Are there differences in the direction and strength of selection? (3) Do traits within populations differ in adaptation potential in response to future climate conditions?Within each population in each of three gardens (Minnesota, Illinois, and Oklahoma), we estimated genetic variance for nine traits grouped in three realms: physiology, spectral reflectance features, and morphology/growth. We also analyzed selection on these traits and assessed their potential adaptive response to selection.Our results indicate that traits related to morphology and growth have high genetic variance and are under strong directional selection in warmer gardens. The populations that represent extreme ends of the climatic gradient have high potential to adapt to climate change, based on their responses to selection in the warmest garden (Oklahoma).These results inform strategies to improve species resilience by providing seed source information relevant to managers planning assisted migration to promote climate change adaptation.  more » « less
Award ID(s):
2425352 2021898
PAR ID:
10686804
Author(s) / Creator(s):
 ;  ;  ;  ;  ;  ;  ;  ;  
Publisher / Repository:
Wiley
Date Published:
Journal Name:
New Phytologist
Volume:
250
Issue:
2
ISSN:
0028-646X
Page Range / eLocation ID:
1313 to 1329
Format(s):
Medium: X
Sponsoring Org:
National Science Foundation
More Like this
  1. Abstract Flowering phenology can vary considerably even at fine spatial scales, potentially leading to temporal reproductive isolation among habitat patches. Climate change could alter flowering synchrony, and hence temporal isolation, if plants in different microhabitats vary in their phenological response to climate change. Despite the importance of temporal isolation in determining patterns of gene flow, and hence population genetic structure and local adaptation, little is known about how changes in climate affect temporal isolation within populations.Here, we use flowering phenology and floral abundance data of 50 subalpine plant species over 44 years to test whether temporal isolation between habitat patches is affected by spring temperature. For each species and year, we analysed temporal separation in peak flowering and flowering overlap between habitat patches separated by 5–950 m.Across our study species, warmer springs were associated with more temporal differentiation in flowering peaks among habitat patches, and less flowering overlap, increasing potential for temporal isolation within populations.Synthesis. By reducing opportunities for mating among plants in nearby habitat patches, our results suggest that warmer springs may reduce opportunities for gene flow within populations, and, consequently, the capacity of plant populations to adapt to environmental changes. 
    more » « less
  2. Summary In coevolving species, parasites locally adapt to host populations as hosts locally adapt to resist parasites. Parasites often outpace host local adaptation since they have rapid life cycles, but host diversity, the strength of selection, and external environmental influence can result in complex outcomes.To better understand local adaptation in host–parasite systems, we examined locally adapted switchgrass (Panicum virgatum), and its leaf rust pathogen (Puccinia novopanici) across a latitudinal range in North America. We grew switchgrass genotypes in 10 replicated multiyear common gardens, measuring rust severity from natural infection in a ‘host reciprocal transplant’ framework for testing local adaptation. We conducted genome‐wide association mapping to identify genetic loci associated with rust severity.Genetically differentiated rust populations were locally adapted to northern and southern switchgrass, despite host local adaptation to environmental conditions in the same regions. Rust resistance was polygenic, and distinct loci were associated with rust severity in the north and south. We narrowed a previously identified large‐effect quantitative trait locus for rust severity to a candidate YELLOW STRIPE‐LIKE gene and linked numerous other loci to defense‐related genes.Overall, our results suggest that both hosts and parasites can be simultaneously locally adapted, especially when parasites impose less selection than other environmental factors. 
    more » « less
  3. Summary Genetic load can reduce fitness and hinder adaptation. While its genetic underpinnings are well established, the influence of environmental variation on genetic load is less well characterized, as is the relationship between genetic load and putatively adaptive genetic variation. This study examines the interplay among climate, species range dynamics, adaptive variation, and mutational load – a genomic measure of genetic load – inVitis arizonica, a wild grape native to the American Southwest.We estimated mutational load and identified climate‐associated adaptive genetic variants in 162 individuals across the species' range. Using a random forest model, we analyzed the relationship between mutational load, climate, and range shifts.Our findings linked mutational load to climatic variation, historical dispersion, and heterozygosity. Populations at the leading edge of range expansion harbored higher load and fewer putatively adaptive alleles associated with climate. Climate projections suggest thatV. arizonicawill expand its range by the end of the century, accompanied by a slight increase in mutational load at the population level.This study advances understanding of how environmental and geographic factors shape genetic load and adaptation, highlighting the need to integrate deleterious variation into broader models of species response to climate change. 
    more » « less
  4. Shifting range limits are predicted for many species as the climate warms. However, the rapid pace of climate change will challenge the natural dispersal capacity of long-lived, sessile organisms such as forest trees. Adaptive responses of populations will, therefore, depend on levels of genetic variation and plasticity for climate-responsive traits, which likely vary across the range due to expansion history and current patterns of selection. Here, we study levels of genetic and plastic variation for phenology and growth traits in populations of red spruce ( Picea rubens ), from the range core to the highly fragmented trailing edge. We measured more than 5000 offspring sampled from three genetically distinct regions (core, margin and edge) grown in three common gardens replicated along a latitudinal gradient. Genetic variation in phenology and growth showed low to moderate heritability and differentiation among regions, suggesting some potential to respond to selection. Phenology traits were highly plastic, but this plasticity was generally neutral or maladaptive in the effect on growth, revealing a potential liability under warmer climates. These results suggest future climate adaptation will depend on the regional availability of genetic variation in red spruce and provide a resource for the design and management of assisted gene flow. This article is part of the theme issue ‘Species’ ranges in the face of changing environments (Part II)’. 
    more » « less
  5. Summary Joshua trees are long‐lived perennial monocots native to the Mojave Desert in North America. Composed of two species,Yucca brevifoliaandY. jaegeriana(Asparagaceae), Joshua trees are imperiled by climate change, with decreases in suitable habitat predicted under future climate change scenarios. Relatively little is understood about the ecophysiology of Joshua trees across their range, including the extent to which populations are locally adapted or phenotypically plastic to environmental stress.Plants in our common gardens showed evidence of Crassulacean acid metabolism photosynthesis (CAM) in a pilot experiment, despite no prior report of this photosynthetic pathway in these species. We further studied the variation and strength of CAM within a single common garden, measuring seedlings representing populations across the range of the two species.A combination of physiology and transcriptomic data showed low levels of CAM that varied across populations but were unrelated to home environmental conditions. Gene expression confirmed CAM activity and further suggested differences in carbon and nitrogen metabolism betweenY. brevifoliaandY. jaegeriana.Together the results suggest greater physiological diversity between these species than initially expected, particularly at the seedling stage, with implications for future survival of Joshua trees under a warming climate. 
    more » « less