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1. Measurements of the Emission Rates of Nitrogen Oxides and Greenhouse Gases From the Prudhoe Bay Oil Field

   https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JD041963  

   Hajny, K D; Kaeser, R; Starn, T K; Stirm, B H; Brockway, N; Peterson, P K; Bigge, K; Simpson, W R; Pratt, K A; Fuentes, J D; et al (August 2025, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres)

   Abstract Oil and gas production regions are significant sources of greenhouse gases and reactive pollutants such as nitrogen oxides (NO_x) and volatile organic compounds. Research has also shown that methane (CH₄) emissions reported to the Environmental Protection Agency's (EPA) Greenhouse Gas Reporting Program (GHGRP) are generally underestimated. The Arctic accounted for 5.5% of global oil and gas production in 2022 but is estimated to contain significant undiscovered resources. The emitted NO_xand volatile organic compounds can impact the composition and chemistry of the Arctic atmosphere. The Prudhoe Bay Oil Field in Alaska is one of the 10 largest oil fields in the US and has been approved for significant development expansion. However, only one recent study has reported measurements of its greenhouse gas emissions. We estimate the emission rates for carbon dioxide (CO₂), CH₄, and NO_xfrom the Prudhoe Bay Oil Field during the spring of 2022 using airborne mass balance methods and emission ratios. We also discuss emissions per energy produced and show an increase over time, with values higher than the national average for oil and gas producing regions, though within uncertainties. Our estimates are lower than the NO_xemission estimate reported in the National Emissions Inventory (NEI), as seen in other oil and gas studies, but fall within the uncertainty range of the greenhouse gases reported in the GHGRP. This work provides a valuable snapshot of emissions before further expansion of extraction activities. 

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2. Permafrost Region Greenhouse Gas Budgets Suggest a Weak CO ₂ Sink and CH ₄ and N ₂ O Sources, But Magnitudes Differ Between Top‐Down and Bottom‐Up Methods

   https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GB007969  

   Hugelius, G; Ramage, J; Burke, E; Chatterjee, A; Smallman, T L; Aalto, T; Bastos, A; Biasi, C; Canadell, J G; Chandra, N; et al (October 2024, Global Biogeochemical Cycles)

   Abstract Large stocks of soil carbon (C) and nitrogen (N) in northern permafrost soils are vulnerable to remobilization under climate change. However, there are large uncertainties in present‐day greenhouse gas (GHG) budgets. We compare bottom‐up (data‐driven upscaling and process‐based models) and top‐down (atmospheric inversion models) budgets of carbon dioxide (CO₂), methane (CH₄) and nitrous oxide (N₂O) as well as lateral fluxes of C and N across the region over 2000–2020. Bottom‐up approaches estimate higher land‐to‐atmosphere fluxes for all GHGs. Both bottom‐up and top‐down approaches show a sink of CO₂in natural ecosystems (bottom‐up: −29 (−709, 455), top‐down: −587 (−862, −312) Tg CO₂‐C yr⁻¹) and sources of CH₄(bottom‐up: 38 (22, 53), top‐down: 15 (11, 18) Tg CH₄‐C yr⁻¹) and N₂O (bottom‐up: 0.7 (0.1, 1.3), top‐down: 0.09 (−0.19, 0.37) Tg N₂O‐N yr⁻¹). The combined global warming potential of all three gases (GWP‐100) cannot be distinguished from neutral. Over shorter timescales (GWP‐20), the region is a net GHG source because CH₄dominates the total forcing. The net CO₂sink in Boreal forests and wetlands is largely offset by fires and inland water CO₂emissions as well as CH₄emissions from wetlands and inland waters, with a smaller contribution from N₂O emissions. Priorities for future research include the representation of inland waters in process‐based models and the compilation of process‐model ensembles for CH₄and N₂O. Discrepancies between bottom‐up and top‐down methods call for analyses of how prior flux ensembles impact inversion budgets, more and well‐distributed in situ GHG measurements and improved resolution in upscaling techniques. 

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3. Modeling Thermal and Biogeochemical Dynamics in Two Ponds Within Alaska's Yukon–Kuskokwim Delta: Impacts of Climatic Variability on Greenhouse Gas Fluxes

   https://doi.org/10.1029/2024MS004441  

   Mullen, A L; Jafarov, E E; Hung, J_K Y; Gurbanov, K; Stepanenko, V; Rogers, B M; Watts, J D; Natali, S M; Poulin, B A (April 2025, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems)

   Abstract Fluxes of carbon dioxide (CO₂) and methane (CH₄) from open water bodies are critical components of carbon‐climate feedbacks in high latitudes. Processes governing the spatial and temporal variability of these aquatic greenhouse gas (GHG) fluxes are still highly uncertain due to limited observational data sets and lack of modeling studies incorporating comprehensive thermal and biochemical processes. This research investigates how slight variations in climate propagate through the biogeochemical cycles of ponds and resulting impacts on GHG emissions. We examine the thermal and biogeochemical dynamics of two ponds in the Yukon–Kuskokwim Delta, Alaska, under varying climatic conditions to study the impacts on CO₂, CH₄, and oxygen (O₂) concentrations and fluxes. We performed multiple numerical experiments, using the LAKE process‐based model and field measurements, to analyze how these ponds respond to variations in air temperature, shortwave radiation, and snow cover. Our study demonstrates that ice cover duration and water temperature are primary climatic drivers of GHG fluxes. Climate experiments led to reductions in ice cover duration and increased water temperatures, which subsequently enhanced CH₄and CO₂gas emissions from two study ponds. On average, cumulative CH₄and CO₂emissions were 5% and 10% higher, respectively, under increases in air temperature and shortwave radiation. Additionally, we uncovered a need to incorporate groundwater influxes of dissolved gases and nutrients in order to fully represent processes governing aquatic biochemical activity. Our work highlights the importance of understanding local‐scale processes in predicting future Arctic contributions to GHG emissions. 

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4. Carbon fluxes in two temperate ponds are mediated by stratification and primary producers

   https://doi.org/10.1002/lno.70273  

   Holgerson, Meredith A; Ray, Nicholas E; Gannon, Kathryn A; Heathcote, Adam J (January 2026, Limnology and Oceanography)

   Abstract Ponds influence global carbon (C) cycling due to high rates of organic C (OC) burial and carbon dioxide (CO₂) and methane (CH₄) emissions. Here, we quantified OC burial rates and CO₂and CH₄concentrations and fluxes in two ponds that were similar in size and gross primary production, but differed in depth and dominant primary producers. The deeper (3.9 m) Texas Hollow Pond was phytoplankton dominated with stronger and longer (143 d) stratification compared to the shallower (2.7 m) macrophyte‐dominated Mud Pond (85 d). Both ponds exhibited high CO₂and CH₄emissions and high OC burial, yet C pathways differed. Strong stratification in Texas Hollow Pond led to anoxic bottom waters, benthic CO₂and CH₄accumulation, and limited OC decomposition, whereas Mud Pond remained oxygenated with similar gas concentrations across the water column. Texas Hollow Pond had 2.6 times higher CO₂emissions than Mud Pond, perhaps related to greater wetland C inputs in Texas Hollow. Despite similar diffusive CH₄emissions between ponds, the weakly stratified Mud Pond had twice as much CH₄ebullition, likely due to warmer waters and macrophyte‐derived OC fueling methanogenesis. In summary, slight differences in depth and light attenuation can regulate stratification, plant communities, oxygen availability, and C processing in ponds. Given that ponds are hotspots for C cycling and are sensitive to climate‐driven changes in stratification, understanding the mechanisms behind C processing is critical for local management and predicting global C budgets. 

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5. Interannual, summer, and diel variability of CH ₄ and CO ₂ effluxes from Toolik Lake, Alaska, during the ice-free periods 2010–2015

   https://doi.org/10.1039/D0EM00125B  

   Eugster, Werner; DelSontro, Tonya; Shaver, Gaius R.; Kling, George W. (January 2020, Environmental Science: Processes & Impacts)

   Accelerated warming in the Arctic has led to concern regarding the amount of carbon emission potential from Arctic water bodies. Yet, aquatic carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) and methane (CH 4 ) flux measurements remain scarce, particularly at high resolution and over long periods of time. Effluxes of methane (CH 4 ) and carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) from Toolik Lake, a deep glacial lake in northern Alaska, were measured for the first time with the direct eddy covariance (EC) flux technique during six ice-free lake periods (2010–2015). CO 2 flux estimates from the lake (daily average efflux of 16.7 ± 5.3 mmol m −2 d −1 ) were in good agreement with earlier estimates from 1975–1989 using different methods. CH 4 effluxes in 2010–2015 (averaging 0.13 ± 0.06 mmol m −2 d −1 ) showed an interannual variation that was 4.1 times greater than median diel variations, but mean fluxes were almost one order of magnitude lower than earlier estimates obtained from single water samples in 1990 and 2011–2012. The overall global warming potential (GWP) of Toolik Lake is thus governed mostly by CO 2 effluxes, contributing 86–93% of the ice-free period GWP of 26–90 g CO 2,eq m −2 . Diel variation in fluxes was also important, with up to a 2-fold (CH 4 ) to 4-fold (CO 2 ) difference between the highest nighttime and lowest daytime effluxes. Within the summer ice-free period, on average, CH 4 fluxes increased 2-fold during the first half of the summer, then remained almost constant, whereas CO 2 effluxes remained almost constant over the entire summer, ending with a linear increase during the last 1–2 weeks of measurements. Due to the cold bottom temperatures of this 26 m deep lake, and the absence of ebullition and episodic flux events, Toolik Lake and other deep glacial lakes are likely not hot spots for greenhouse gas emissions, but they still contribute to the overall GWP of the Arctic. 

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