A crucial factor influencing the mass balance of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet is the Amundsen Sea Low (ASL), a climatological low‐pressure region situated off the West Antarctic coast. However, albeit the deepening of the ASL since the 1950s has been attributed to anthropogenic forcing, the multi‐decadal variability of the ASL remains poorly understood, because of a lack of long observations. Here, we apply a newly developed data assimilation method to reconstruct the ASL over 1870–2000. We study the forced and internal variability of the ASL using our new reconstruction in concert with existing large ensembles of climate model simulations. Our findings robustly demonstrate that an atmospheric teleconnection originating from the tropical Indo‐Pacific is the main driver of ASL variability at the multi‐decadal time scale, with resemblance to the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation. Since the mid‐20th century, anthropogenic forcing has emerged as a dominant contributor to the strengthening of the ASL.
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Abstract Free, publicly-accessible full text available August 28, 2025 -
Abstract. The response of the hydrological cycle to anthropogenic climatechange, especially across the tropical oceans, remains poorly understood due to the scarcity of long instrumental temperature and hydrological records. Massive shallow-water corals are ideally suited to reconstructing past oceanic variability as they are widely distributed across the tropics,rapidly deposit calcium carbonate skeletons that continuously record ambient environmental conditions, and can be sampled at monthly to annualresolution. Climate reconstructions based on corals primarily use the stable oxygen isotope composition (δ18O), which acts as a proxy for sea surface temperature (SST), and the oxygen isotope composition ofseawater (δ18Osw), a measure of hydrological variability. Increasingly, coral δ18O time series are paired with time series of strontium-to-calcium ratios (Sr/Ca), a proxy for SST, from the same coral to quantify temperature and δ18Osw variabilitythrough time. To increase the utility of such reconstructions, we presentthe CoralHydro2k database, a compilation of published, peer-reviewed coral Sr/Ca and δ18O records from the Common Era (CE). The database contains 54 paired Sr/Ca–δ18O records and 125 unpaired Sr/Ca or δ18O records, with 88 % of these records providing data coverage from 1800 CE to the present. A quality-controlled set of metadata with standardized vocabulary and units accompanies each record, informing the useof the database. The CoralHydro2k database tracks large-scale temperatureand hydrological variability. As such, it is well-suited for investigationsof past climate variability, comparisons with climate model simulationsincluding isotope-enabled models, and application in paleodata-assimilation projects. The CoralHydro2k database is available in Linked Paleo Data (LiPD) format with serializations in MATLAB, R, and Python and can be downloaded from the NOAA National Center for Environmental Information's Paleoclimate Data Archive at https://doi.org/10.25921/yp94-v135 (Walter et al., 2022).more » « less
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Abstract. Paleoclimate archives, such as high-resolution ice core records, provide ameans to investigate past climate variability. Until recently, the Law Dome(Dome Summit South site) ice core record remained one of fewmillennial-length high-resolution coastal records in East Antarctica. A newice core drilled in 2017/2018 at Mount Brown South, approximately 1000 kmwest of Law Dome, provides an additional high-resolution record that willlikely span the last millennium in the Indian Ocean sector of EastAntarctica. Here, we compare snow accumulation rates and sea saltconcentrations in the upper portion (∼ 20 m) of three MountBrown South ice cores and an updated Law Dome record over the period1975–2016. Annual sea salt concentrations from the Mount Brown South siterecord preserve a stronger signal for the El Niño–Southern Oscillation(ENSO; austral winter and spring, r = 0.533, p < 0.001, Multivariate El Niño Index) compared to a previously defined Law Dome record of summer sea salt concentrations (November–February, r = 0.398, p = 0.010, SouthernOscillation Index). The Mount Brown South site record and Law Dome recordpreserve inverse signals for the ENSO, possibly due to longitudinalvariability in meridional transport in the southern Indian Ocean, althoughfurther analysis is needed to confirm this. We suggest that ENSO-related seasurface temperature anomalies in the equatorial Pacific drive atmosphericteleconnections in the southern mid-latitudes. These anomalies areassociated with a weakening (strengthening) of regional westerly winds tothe north of Mount Brown South that correspond to years of low (high) seasalt deposition at Mount Brown South during La Niña (El Niño)events. The extended Mount Brown South annual sea salt record (whencomplete) may offer a new proxy record for reconstructions of the ENSO overthe recent millennium, along with improved understanding of regionalatmospheric variability in the southern Indian Ocean, in addition to thatderived from Law Dome.more » « less
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null (Ed.)Abstract. Reconstructions of global hydroclimate during the Common Era (CE; the past ∼2000 years) are important for providing context for current and future global environmental change. Stable isotope ratios in water are quantitative indicators of hydroclimate on regional to global scales, and these signals are encoded in a wide range of natural geologic archives. Here we present the Iso2k database, a global compilation of previously published datasets from a variety of natural archives that record the stable oxygen (δ18O) or hydrogen (δ2H) isotopic compositions of environmental waters, which reflect hydroclimate changes over the CE. The Iso2k database contains 759 isotope records from the terrestrial and marine realms, including glacier and ground ice (210); speleothems (68); corals, sclerosponges, and mollusks (143); wood (81); lake sediments and other terrestrial sediments (e.g., loess) (158); and marine sediments (99). Individual datasets have temporal resolutions ranging from sub-annual to centennial and include chronological data where available. A fundamental feature of the database is its comprehensive metadata, which will assist both experts and nonexperts in the interpretation of each record and in data synthesis. Key metadata fields have standardized vocabularies to facilitate comparisons across diversearchives and with climate-model-simulated fields. This is the firstglobal-scale collection of water isotope proxy records from multiple typesof geological and biological archives. It is suitable for evaluatinghydroclimate processes through time and space using large-scale synthesis,model–data intercomparison and (paleo)data assimilation. The Iso2k databaseis available for download at https://doi.org/10.25921/57j8-vs18 (Konecky and McKay, 2020) and is also accessible via the NOAA/WDS Paleo Datalanding page: https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/study/29593 (last access: 30 July 2020).more » « less