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McDowell, Nate G. ; Allen, Craig D. ; Anderson-Teixeira, Kristina ; Aukema, Brian H. ; Bond-Lamberty, Ben ; Chini, Louise ; Clark, James S. ; Dietze, Michael ; Grossiord, Charlotte ; Hanbury-Brown, Adam ; et al ( , Science)Forest dynamics arise from the interplay of environmental drivers and disturbances with the demographic processes of recruitment, growth, and mortality, subsequently driving biomass and species composition. However, forest disturbances and subsequent recovery are shifting with global changes in climate and land use, altering these dynamics. Changes in environmental drivers, land use, and disturbance regimes are forcing forests toward younger, shorter stands. Rising carbon dioxide, acclimation, adaptation, and migration can influence these impacts. Recent developments in Earth system models support increasingly realistic simulations of vegetation dynamics. In parallel, emerging remote sensing datasets promise qualitatively new and more abundant data on the underlying processes and consequences for vegetation structure. When combined, these advances hold promise for improving the scientific understanding of changes in vegetation demographics and disturbances.more » « less
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Rasmussen, Jakob G. ; Møller, Jesper ; Aukema, Brian H. ; Raffa, Kenneth F. ; Zhu, Jun ( , Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology)
Summary We consider statistical and computational aspects of simulation-based Bayesian inference for a spatial–temporal model based on a multivariate point process which is only observed at sparsely distributed times. The point processes are indexed by the sites of a spatial lattice, and they exhibit spatial interaction. For specificity we consider a particular dynamical spatial lattice data set which has previously been analysed by a discrete time model involving unknown normalizing constants. We discuss the advantages and disadvantages of using continuous time processes compared with discrete time processes in the setting of the present paper as well as other spatial–temporal situations.