- Home
- Search Results
- Page 1 of 1
Search for: All records
-
Total Resources2
- Resource Type
-
0000000002000000
- More
- Availability
-
20
- Author / Contributor
- Filter by Author / Creator
-
-
Blackmore, Elizabeth N (2)
-
Lloyd-Smith, James O (2)
-
#Tyler Phillips, Kenneth E. (0)
-
#Willis, Ciara (0)
-
& Abreu-Ramos, E. D. (0)
-
& Abramson, C. I. (0)
-
& Abreu-Ramos, E. D. (0)
-
& Adams, S.G. (0)
-
& Ahmed, K. (0)
-
& Ahmed, Khadija. (0)
-
& Aina, D.K. Jr. (0)
-
& Akcil-Okan, O. (0)
-
& Akuom, D. (0)
-
& Aleven, V. (0)
-
& Andrews-Larson, C. (0)
-
& Archibald, J. (0)
-
& Arnett, N. (0)
-
& Arya, G. (0)
-
& Attari, S. Z. (0)
-
& Ayala, O. (0)
-
- Filter by Editor
-
-
& Spizer, S. M. (0)
-
& . Spizer, S. (0)
-
& Ahn, J. (0)
-
& Bateiha, S. (0)
-
& Bosch, N. (0)
-
& Brennan K. (0)
-
& Brennan, K. (0)
-
& Chen, B. (0)
-
& Chen, Bodong (0)
-
& Drown, S. (0)
-
& Ferretti, F. (0)
-
& Higgins, A. (0)
-
& J. Peters (0)
-
& Kali, Y. (0)
-
& Ruiz-Arias, P.M. (0)
-
& S. Spitzer (0)
-
& Sahin. I. (0)
-
& Spitzer, S. (0)
-
& Spitzer, S.M. (0)
-
(submitted - in Review for IEEE ICASSP-2024) (0)
-
-
Have feedback or suggestions for a way to improve these results?
!
Note: When clicking on a Digital Object Identifier (DOI) number, you will be taken to an external site maintained by the publisher.
Some full text articles may not yet be available without a charge during the embargo (administrative interval).
What is a DOI Number?
Some links on this page may take you to non-federal websites. Their policies may differ from this site.
-
Blackmore, Elizabeth N; Lloyd-Smith, James O (, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences)In the centuries following Christopher Columbus’s 1492 voyage to the Americas, transoceanic travel opened unprecedented pathways in global pathogen circulation. Yet no biological transfer is a single, discrete event. We use mathematical modeling to quantify historical risk of shipborne pathogen introduction, exploring the respective contributions of journey time, ship size, population susceptibility, transmission intensity, density dependence, and pathogen biology. We contextualize our results using port arrivals data from San Francisco, 1850 to 1852, and from a selection of historically significant voyages, 1492 to 1918. We offer numerical estimates of introduction risk across historically realistic ranges of journey time and ship population size, and show that both steam travel and shipping regimes that involved frequent, large-scale movement of people substantially increased risk of transoceanic pathogen circulation.more » « less
An official website of the United States government
