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SUMMARY Powerful infrasound (acoustic waves $$\lt $$20 Hz) can be produced by explosive volcanic eruptions. The long-range propagation capability, over hundreds to thousands of kilometers, of atmospheric infrasound motivates the development of regional or even global scale volcano-infrasound monitoring systems. Infrasound propagation paths are subject to spatiotemporal atmospheric dynamics, which lead to deviations in the direction-of-arrival (back-azimuth) observed at sensor arrays and contribute to source location uncertainty. Here, we further investigate the utility of empirical climatologies combined with 3-D ray tracing for providing first-order estimates of infrasound propagation paths and back-azimuth deviation corrections. The intended application is in scenarios requiring rapid or pre-computed infrasound propagation calculations, such as for a volcano-infrasound monitoring system. Empirical climatologies are global observationally based function fitting models of the atmosphere, representing robust predictors of the bulk diurnal to seasonal atmospheric variability. Infrasound propagation characteristics have previously been shown to have strong seasonal and diurnal components. At the International Monitoring System infrasound station IS22, New Caledonia, quasi-continuous multiyear infrasound array detections show oscillating azimuthal variations for arrivals from volcanoes in Vanuatu, including Yasur ($$\sim$$400 km range), Ambrym ($$\sim$$670 km range) and Lopevi ($$\sim$$650 km range). We perform 3-D ray tracing to model infrasound propagation from the Ambrym and Yasur volcano locations to IS22 every six hours (00:00, 06:00, 12:00 and 18:00 UTC) for every day of 2004 and 2019 for Ambrym and Yasur, respectively and evaluate the results as compared to the multiyear observations. We assess a variety of models and parametrizations, including both empirical climatologies and hybrid descriptions; range-independent and range-dependent atmospheric discretizations; and unperturbed and perturbed range-independent empirical climatologies. The hybrid atmospheric descriptions are composed of fifth generation reanalysis descriptions (ERA 5) from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts below $$\sim$$80 km altitude combined with empirical climatologies above. We propose and employ simple parametric perturbations to the empirical climatologies, which are designed to enhance the stratospheric duct and compensate for missing gravity wave perturbations not included in the climatologies, and thereby better match observations. We build year-long back-azimuth deviation interpolations from the simulations and compare them with three different multiyear array detection data sets from IS22 covering from 2003 up to 2022. Through a systematic comparison, we find that the range-independent empirical climatologies can capture bulk azimuth deviation variability and could thus be useful for rapid infrasound propagation calculation scenarios, particularly during favourable sustained propagation ducting conditions. We show that the hybrid models better describe infrasound propagation during periods of weak stratospheric ducting and during transient atmospheric changes such as stratospheric wind reversals. Overall, our results support the notion that climatologies, if perturbed to compensate for missing gravity wave structure, can improve rapid low-latency and pre-computed infrasound source discrimination and location procedures. 

Abstract A new episode of unrest and phreatic/phreatomagmatic/magmatic eruptions occurred at Ambae volcano, Vanuatu, in 2017–2018. We installed a multi-station seismo-acoustic network consisting of seven 3-component broadband seismic stations and four 3-element (26–62 m maximum inter-element separation) infrasound arrays during the last phase of the 2018 eruption episode, capturing at least six reported major explosions towards the end of the eruption episode. The observed volcanic seismic signals are generally in the passband 0.5–10 Hz during the eruptive activity, but the corresponding acoustic signals have relatively low frequencies (< 1 Hz). Apparent very-long-period (< 0.2 Hz) seismic signals are also observed during the eruptive episode, but we show that they are generated as ground-coupled airwaves and propagate with atmospheric acoustic velocity. We observe strongly coherent infrasound waves at all acoustic arrays during the eruptions. Using waveform similarity of the acoustic signals, we detect previously unreported volcanic explosions at the summit vent region based on constant-celerity reverse-time-migration (RTM) analysis. The detected acoustic bursts are temporally related to shallow seismic volcanic tremor (frequency content of 5–10 Hz), which we characterise using a simplified amplitude ratio method at a seismic station pair with different distances from the vent. The amplitude ratio increased at the onset of large explosions and then decreased, which is interpreted as the seismic source ascent and descent. The ratio change is potentially useful to recognise volcanic unrest using only two seismic stations quickly. This study reiterates the value of joint seismo-acoustic data for improving interpretation of volcanic activity and reducing ambiguity in geophysical monitoring. 

SUMMARY Yasur volcano, Vanuatu is a continuously active open-vent basaltic-andesite stratocone with persistent and long-lived eruptive activity. We present results from a seismo-acoustic field experiment at Yasur, providing locally dense broad-band seismic and infrasonic network coverage from 2016 July 27 to August 3. We corroborate our seismo-acoustic observations with coincident video data from cameras deployed at the crater and on an unoccupied aircraft system (UAS). The waveforms contain a profusion of signals reflecting Yasur’s rapidly occurring and persistent explosive activity. The typical infrasonic signature of Yasur explosions is a classic short-duration and often asymmetric explosion waveform characterized by a sharp compressive onset and wideband frequency content. The dominant seismic signals are numerous repetitive very-long-period (VLP) signals with periods of ∼2–10 s. The VLP seismic events are ‘high-rate’, reoccurring near-continuously throughout the data set with short interevent times (∼20–60 s). We observe variability in the synchronization of seismic VLP and acoustic sources. Explosion events clearly delineated by infrasonic waveforms are underlain by seismic VLPs. However, strong seismic VLPs also occur with only a weak infrasonic expression. Multiplet analysis of the seismic VLPs reveals a systematic progression in the seismo-acoustic source decoupling. The same dominant seismic VLP multiplet occurs with and without surficial explosions and infrasound, and these transitions occur over a timescale of a few days during our field campaign. We subsequently employ template matching, stacking, and full-waveform inversion to image the source mechanism of the dominant VLP multiplet. Inversion of the dominant VLP multiplet stack points to a composite source consisting of either a dual-crack (plus forces) or pipe-crack (plus forces) mechanism. The derived mechanisms correspond to a point-source directly beneath the summit vents with centroid depths in the range ∼900–1000 m below topography. All mechanisms suggest a northeast trending crack dipping relatively shallowly to the northwest and indicate a VLP source centroid and mechanism controlled by a stable structural geologic feature beneath Yasur. We interpret the results in the framework of gas slug ascent through the conduit responsible for Yasur explosions. The VLP mechanism and timing with infrasound (when present) are explained by a shallow-buffered top-down model in which slug ascent is relatively aseismic until reaching the base of a shallow section. Slug disruption in this shallow zone triggers a pressure disturbance that propagates downward and couples at the conduit base (VLP centroid). If the shallow section is open, an explosion propagates to the surface, producing infrasound. In the case of (the same multiplet) VLPs occurring without surficial explosions and weak or no infrasound, the decoupling of the dominant VLPs at ∼900–1000 m depth from surficial explosions and infrasound strongly indicates buffering of the terminal slug ascent. This buffering could be achieved by a variety of conditions at or directly beneath the vents, such as a high-viscosity layer of crystal-rich magma, a debris cap from backfill, a foam layer, or a combination of these. The dominant VLP at Yasur captured by our experiment has a source depth and mechanism separated from surface processes and is stable over time.