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Abstract Increases in area of extent, severity, and frequency of wildfires across the western United States are presenting challenges to socio‐ecological systems, including shifts to alternative ecological states, loss of homes, and compromising human health. Wildfire suppression operations, such as constructing hand lines to limit the spread of fire, are an important part of wildland fire management, particularly in the wildland urban interface. Like other attributes of wildland fire activity and effects, suppression strategies and their effectiveness vary with ecological, topographic, climatological, and sociopolitical factors. However, there has been little research that examines the efficacy of suppression operations, specifically as they relate to forest composition. Here, we ask about the effectiveness of fire line construction based on adjacent stand composition. Specifically, we ask: (1) Are wildfire suppression lines preferentially constructed in stands with specific tree species? (2) How does species identity influence the probability that suppression lines hold when also considering differences in topography, climate, and extreme fire weather? We anticipated that suppression operations will be biased towards—and more effective in—stands with quaking aspen because they are often associated with less extreme fire behavior than many conifer species. We conducted our study in the southern Rocky Mountain ecoregion using fires (n = 36) that burned during 2019–2023 and included records of fire suppression operations (n = 4295). We used nonparametric statistical models to elucidate biases in the construction of fire lines and the effects of stand composition. We found quaking aspen was the least common tree species to be within fire footprints, yet fire lines were placed near quaking aspen 1.68–5.30 times more than commonly co‐occurring tree species. Fire growth, independent of stand composition, was the most important predictor for whether fire suppression lines were likely to hold but the percentage of fire lines that held differed between fires >40,500 ha and smaller events (65% vs. 82%, respectively). This research suggests that wildland firefighters preferentially located fire lines near aspen stands, perhaps due to the long‐held notion that aspen stands are less flammable. However, during extreme burning conditions fire lines are unlikely to hold regardless of stand composition.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available April 1, 2027
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The most destructive and deadly wildfires in US history were also fast. Using satellite data, we analyzed the daily growth rates of more than 60,000 fires from 2001 to 2020 across the contiguous US. Nearly half of the ecoregions experienced destructive fast fires that grew more than 1620 hectares in 1 day. These fires accounted for 78% of structures destroyed and 61% of suppression costs ($18.9 billion). From 2001 to 2020, the average peak daily growth rate for these fires more than doubled (+249% relative to 2001) in the Western US. Nearly 3 million structures were within 4 kilometers of a fast fire during this period across the US. Given recent devastating wildfires, understanding fast fires is crucial for improving firefighting strategies and community preparedness.more » « less
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Abstract This paper describes a dataset mined from the public archive (1999–2020) of the US National Incident Management System Incident Status Summary (ICS-209) forms (a total of 187,160 reports for 35,170 incidents, including 34,478 wildland fires). This system captures detailed daily/regular information on incident development and response, including social and economic impacts. Most (98.4%) reports are wildland fire-related, with other incident types including hurricane, hazardous materials, flood, tornado, search and rescue, civil unrest, and winter storms. The archive, although publicly available, has been difficult to use for research due to multiple record formats, inconsistent data entry, and no clean pathway from individual reports to high-level incident analysis. Here, we describe the open-source, reproducible methods used to produce a science-grade version of the data, including formal connections made to other published wildland fire data products. Among other applications, this integrated and spatially augmented dataset enables exploration of the daily progression of the most costly, damaging, and deadly environmental-hazard events in recent US history.more » « less
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Liu, Junguo (Ed.)Abstract Structure loss is an acute, costly impact of the wildfire crisis in the western conterminous United States (“West”), motivating the need to understand recent trends and causes. We document a 246% rise in West-wide structure loss from wildfires between 1999–2009 and 2010–2020, driven strongly by events in 2017, 2018, and 2020. Increased structure loss was not due to increased area burned alone. Wildfires became significantly more destructive, with a 160% higher structure-loss rate (loss/kha burned) over the past decade. Structure loss was driven primarily by wildfires from unplanned human-related ignitions (e.g. backyard burning, power lines, etc.), which accounted for 76% of all structure loss and resulted in 10 times more structures destroyed per unit area burned compared with lightning-ignited fires. Annual structure loss was well explained by area burned from human-related ignitions, while decadal structure loss was explained by state-level structure abundance in flammable vegetation. Both predictors increased over recent decades and likely interacted with increased fuel aridity to drive structure-loss trends. While states are diverse in patterns and trends, nearly all experienced more burning from human-related ignitions and/or higher structure-loss rates, particularly California, Washington, and Oregon. Our findings highlight how fire regimes—characteristics of fire over space and time—are fundamentally social-ecological phenomena. By resolving the diversity of Western fire regimes, our work informs regionally appropriate mitigation and adaptation strategies. With millions of structures with high fire risk, reducing human-related ignitions and rethinking how we build are critical for preventing future wildfire disasters.more » « less
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