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  1. Abstract

    In unconventional reservoirs, optimal completion controls are essential to improving well productivity and reducing costs. In this article, we propose a statistical model to investigate associations between shale oil production and completion parameters (e.g., completion lateral length, total proppant, number of hydraulic fracturing stages), while accounting for the influence of spatially heterogeneous geological conditions on hydrocarbon production. We develop a non-parametric regression method that combines a generalized additive model with a fused LASSO regularization for geological homogeneity pursuit. We present an alternating augmented Lagrangian method for model parameter estimations. The novelty and advantages of our method over the published ones are a) it can control or remove the heterogeneous non-completion effects; 2) it can account for and analyze the interactions among the completion parameters. We apply our method to the analysis of a real case from a Permian Basin US onshore field and show how our model can account for the interaction between the completion parameters. Our results provide key findings on how completion parameters affect oil production in that can lead to optimal well completion designs.

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