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Response to Comment on “Models predict planned phosphorus load reduction will make Lake Erie more toxic”

https://doi.org/10.1126/science.ade2277

Hellweger, Ferdi L.; Schampera, Charlotte; Martin, Robbie M.; Eigemann, Falk; Smith, Derek J.; Dick, Gregory J.; Wilhelm, Steven W. (November 2022, Science)

Huisman et al . claim that our model is poorly supported or contradicted by other studies and the predictions are “seriously flawed.” We show their criticism is based on an incomplete selection of evidence, misinterpretation of data, or does not actually refute the model. Like all ecosystem models, our model has simplifications and uncertainties, but it is better than existing approaches hat ignore biology and do not predict toxin concentration.
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Response to “Model assumptions limit implications for nitrogen and phosphorus management”: The need to move beyond the phosphorus = biomass = toxin doctrine

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jglr.2022.10.001

Wilhelm, Steven W.; Hellweger, Ferdi L.; Martin, Robbie M.; Schampera, Charlotte; Eigemann, Falk; Smith, Derek J.; Dick, Gregory J. (October 2022, Journal of Great Lakes Research)

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Models predict planned phosphorus load reduction will make Lake Erie more toxic

https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abm6791

Hellweger, Ferdi L.; Martin, Robbie M.; Eigemann, Falk; Smith, Derek J.; Dick, Gregory J.; Wilhelm, Steven W. (May 2022, Science)

A mechanistic, molecular-level model of a toxin-producing cyanobacterium explains ecology and informs management.
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