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Creators/Authors contains: "Fahey, Robert"

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  1. Despite decades of progress, much remains unknown about successional trajectories of carbon (C) cycling in north temperate forests. Drivers and mechanisms of these changes, including the role of different types of disturbances, are particularly elusive. To address this gap, we synthesized decades of data from experimental chronosequences and long-term monitoring at a well-studied, regionally representative field site in northern Michigan, USA. Our study provides a comprehensive assessment of changes in above- and belowground ecosystem components over two centuries of succession, links temporal dynamics in C pools and fluxes with underlying drivers, and offers several conceptual insights to the field of forest ecology. Our first advance shows how temporal dynamics in some ecosystem components are consistent across severe disturbances that reset succession and partial disturbances that slightly modify it: both of these disturbance types increase soil N availability, alter fungal community composition, and alter growth and competitive interactions between short-lived pioneer and longer-lived tree taxa. These changes in turn affect soil C stocks, respiratory emissions, and other belowground processes. Second, we show that some other ecosystem components have effects on C cycling that are not consistent over the course of succession. For example, canopy structure does not influence C uptake early in succession, but becomes important as stands develop, and the importance of individual structural properties changes over the course of two centuries of stand development. Third, we show that in recent decades, climate change is masking or overriding the influence of community composition on C uptake, while respiratory emissions are sensitive to both climatic and compositional change. In synthesis, we emphasize that time is not a driver of C cycling; it is a dimension within which ecosystem drivers such as canopy structure, tree and microbial community composition change. Changes in those drivers, not in forest age, are what control forest C trajectories, and those changes can happen quickly or slowly, through natural processes or deliberate intervention. Stemming from this view and a whole-ecosystem perspective on forest succession, we offer management applications from this work and assess its broader relevance to understanding long-term change in other north temperate forest ecosystems. 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available February 24, 2026
  2. Trees in proximity to power lines can cause significant damage to utility infrastructure during storms, leading to substantial economic and societal costs. This study investigated the effectiveness of non-parametric machine learning algorithms in modeling tree-related outage risks to distribution power lines at a finer spatial scale. We used a vegetation risk model (VRM) comprising 15 predictor variables derived from roadside tree data, landscape information, vegetation management records, and utility infrastructure data. We evaluated the VRM’s performance using decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), k-Nearest Neighbor (k-NN), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and support vector machine (SVM) techniques. The RF algorithm demonstrated the highest performance with an accuracy of 0.753, an AUC-ROC of 0.746, precision of 0.671, and an F1-score of 0.693. The SVM achieved the highest recall value of 0.727. Based on the overall performance, the RF emerged as the best machine learning algorithm, whereas the DT was the least suitable. The DT reported the lowest run times for both hyperparameter optimization (3.93 s) and model evaluation (0.41 s). XGBoost and the SVM exhibited the highest run times for hyperparameter tuning (9438.54 s) and model evaluation (112 s), respectively. The findings of this study are valuable for enhancing the resilience and reliability of the electric grid. 
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  3. Structural diversity, characterizing the volumetric capacity and physical arrangement of biotic components in an ecosystem, controls critical ecosystem functions like light interception, hydrology, and microclimate. This product generates structural diversity metrics for the NEON sites, sourced from the Discrete-Return LiDAR Point Cloud from the NEON Aerial Observation Platform (DP1.30003.001; collected in March 2023). Using R programming, we computed the metrics detailing height, heterogeneity, and density at 30 m, aligned to the Landsat grids, for 243 site years in 57 NEON sites from 2013 to 2022. 
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  4. Abstract An ice storm simulation was performed at the Hubbard Brook Experimental Forest to evaluate impacts of these extreme weather events on northern hardwood forests. Water was pumped from the main branch of Hubbard Brook and sprayed above the forest canopy in subfreezing conditions so that it rained down and froze on contact with trees. The experiment consisted of five treatments, including a control (no ice) and three target levels of radial ice accretion: low (6.4 mm), mid (12.7 mm), and high (19.0 mm). Two of the mid-level treatment plots (midx2) were iced in back-to-back years to evaluate impacts of consecutive storms. This dataset consists of hemispherical photographs of the forest canopy with leaves on and off the trees before and after the various ice treatments. These data were gathered as part of the Hubbard Brook Ecosystem Study (HBES). The HBES is a collaborative effort at the Hubbard Brook Experimental Forest, which is operated and maintained by the USDA Forest Service, Northern Research Station. 
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  5. Canopy defoliation is an important source of disturbance in forest ecosystems that has rarely been represented in large-scale manipulation experiments. Scalable crown to canopy level experimental defoliation is needed to disentangle the effects of variable intensity, timing, and frequency on forest structure, function, and mortality. We present a novel pressure-washing-based defoliation method that can be implemented at the canopy-scale, throughout the canopy volume, targeted to individual leaves or trees, and completed within a timeframe of hours or days. Pressure washing proved successful at producing consistent leaf-level and whole-canopy defoliation, with 10%–20% reduction in leaf area index and consistent leaf surface area removal across branches and species. This method allows for stand-scale experimentation on defoliation disturbance in forested ecosystems and has the potential for broad application. Studies utilizing this standardized method could promote mechanistic understanding of defoliation effects on ecosystem structure and function and development of synthetic understanding across forest types, ecoregions, and defoliation sources. 
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  6. To evaluate the effects of ice storm disturbance on forest canopy structure and complexity terrestrial lidar data were collected within the Hubbard Brook Ice Storm Experiment plots starting in 2015 (prior to ice treatment) and annually thereafter. Data were collected using a ground-based portable canopy lidar (PCL) system during the growing season in August of each year along 5 permanently marked 30 m transects in each 20 x 30 m ISE plot. These data were gathered as part of the Hubbard Brook Ecosystem Study (HBES). The HBES is a collaborative effort at the Hubbard Brook Experimental Forest, which is operated and maintained by the USDA Forest Service, Northern Research Station. 
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