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Creators/Authors contains: "Flanagan, Paul"

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  1. Abstract Land-use land-cover change affects weather and climate. This paper quantifies land–atmosphere interactions over irrigated and nonirrigated land uses during the Great Plains Irrigation Experiment (GRAINEX). Three coupling metrics were used to quantify land–atmosphere interactions as they relate to convection. They include the convective triggering potential (CTP), the low-level humidity index (HIlow), and the lifting condensation level (LCL) deficit. These metrics were calculated from the rawinsonde data obtained from the Integrated Sounding Systems (ISSs) for Rogers Farm and York Airport along with soundings launched from the three Doppler on Wheels (DOW) sites. Each metric was categorized by intensive observation period (IOP), cloud cover, and time of day. Results show that with higher CTP, lower HIlow, and lower LCL deficit, conditions were more favorable for convective development over irrigated land use. When metrics were grouped and analyzed by IOP, compared to nonirrigated land use, HIlowwas found to be lower for irrigated land use, suggesting favorable conditions for convective development. Furthermore, when metrics were grouped and analyzed by clear and nonclear days, CTP values were higher over irrigated cropland than nonirrigated land use. In addition, compared to nonirrigated land use, the LCL deficit during the peak growing season was lower over irrigated land use, suggesting a favorable condition for convection. It is found that with the transition from the early summer to the mid/peak summer and increased irrigation, the environment became more favorable for convective development over irrigated land use. Finally, it was found that regardless of background atmospheric conditions, irrigated land use provided a favorable environment for convective development. 
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  2. Abstract In the U.S. Great Plains (GP), diagnosing precipitation variability is key in developing an understanding of the present and future availability of water in the region. Building on previous work investigating U.S. GP pluvial years, this study uses ERA twentieth century (ERA-20C) reanalysis data to investigate key circulation anomalies driving GP precipitation anomalies during a subset of GP pluvial years (called in this paper Pattern pluvial years). With previous research showing links between tropical Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies and GP climate variability, this study diagnoses the key circulation anomalies through an analysis of SSTs and their influence on the atmosphere. Results show that during Pattern southern Great Plains (SGP) pluvial years, central tropical Pacific SST anomalies are coincident with key atmospheric anomalies across the Pacific basin and North America. During northern Great Plains (NGP) Pattern pluvial years, no specific pattern of oceanic anomalies emerges that forces the circulation anomaly feature inherent in specific NGP pluvial years. Utilizing the results for SGP pluvial years, a conceptual model is developed detailing the identified pathway for the occurrence of circulation patterns that are favorable for pluvial years over the SGP. Overall, results from this study show the importance of the identified SGP atmospheric anomaly signal and the potential for predictability of such events. 
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