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  1. Abstract

    The structure of the east Pacific Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) as simulated in the Community Earth System Model version 2 (CESM2) is greatly improved as compared to its previous version, CESM version 1. Examination of intermediate model versions created as part of the development process for CESM2 shows the improvement in the ITCZ is well correlated with a reduction in the relative warmth of southeast Pacific sea surface temperatures (SSTs) as compared to the broader tropical mean. Cooling SST in this region enhances the zonal SST and surface pressure gradients and reduces the anomalously southward SST gradient present in boreal spring in early version of CESM2. The improvements in southeast Pacific SST are attributed to increases in low cloud cover and the associated shortwave cloud forcing over the southeast. Sensitivity tests using fixed SST simulations demonstrate the increase in cloud cover between two intermediate model versions, 119 and 125, to be driven by removal of the dependence of autoconversion and accretion rates on cloud water variance as well as the removal of a secondary condensation scheme. Both of these changes reduce drizzle rates in warm clouds increasing cloud lifetime and cloud fraction in the stratocumulus to trade cumulus transition region. Themore »improvements in southeast Pacific shortwave cloud forcing and ITCZ climatology persist through subsequent changes to the cloud microphysics parameterizations. Despite improvements in the east Pacific ITCZ, the global mean ITCZ position and Pacific cold tongue bias strength do not exhibit a systematic improvement across the development simulations.

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  2. Abstract

    We examine the response of the Community Earth System Model Versions 1 and 2 (CESM1 and CESM2) to abrupt quadrupling of atmospheric CO2concentrations (4xCO2) and to 1% annually increasing CO2concentrations (1%CO2). Different estimates of equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) for CESM1 and CESM2 are presented. All estimates show that the sensitivity of CESM2 has increased by 1.5 K or more over that of CESM1. At the same time the transient climate response (TCR) of CESM1 and CESM2 derived from 1%CO2 experiments has not changed significantly—2.1 K in CESM1 and 2.0 K in CESM2. Increased initial forcing as well as stronger shortwave radiation feedbacks are responsible for the increase in ECS seen in CESM2. A decomposition of regional radiation feedbacks and their contribution to global feedbacks shows that the Southern Ocean plays a key role in the overall behavior of 4xCO2 experiments, accounting for about 50% of the total shortwave feedback in both CESM1 and CESM2. The Southern Ocean is also responsible for around half of the increase in shortwave feedback between CESM1 and CESM2, with a comparable contribution arising over tropical ocean. Experiments using a thermodynamic slab‐ocean model (SOM) yield estimates of ECS that are in remarkable agreement with those from fully coupledmore »Earth system model (ESM) experiments for the same level of CO2increase. Finally, we show that the similarity of TCR in CESM1 and CESM2 masks significant regional differences in warming that occur in the 1%CO2 experiments for each model.

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  3. Abstract

    The Community Earth System Model Version 2 (CESM2) has an equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) of 5.3 K. ECS is an emergent property of both climate feedbacks and aerosol forcing. The increase in ECS over the previous version (CESM1) is the result of cloud feedbacks. Interim versions of CESM2 had a land model that damped ECS. Part of the ECS change results from evolving the model configuration to reproduce the long‐term trend of global and regional surface temperature over the twentieth century in response to climate forcings. Changes made to reduce sensitivity to aerosols also impacted cloud feedbacks, which significantly influence ECS. CESM2 simulations compare very well to observations of present climate. It is critical to understand whether the high ECS, outside the best estimate range of 1.5–4.5 K, is plausible.

  4. Abstract

    An overview of the Community Earth System Model Version 2 (CESM2) is provided, including a discussion of the challenges encountered during its development and how they were addressed. In addition, an evaluation of a pair of CESM2 long preindustrial control and historical ensemble simulations is presented. These simulations were performed using the nominal 1° horizontal resolution configuration of the coupled model with both the “low‐top” (40 km, with limited chemistry) and “high‐top” (130 km, with comprehensive chemistry) versions of the atmospheric component. CESM2 contains many substantial science and infrastructure improvements and new capabilities since its previous major release, CESM1, resulting in improved historical simulations in comparison to CESM1 and available observations. These include major reductions in low‐latitude precipitation and shortwave cloud forcing biases; better representation of the Madden‐Julian Oscillation; better El Niño‐Southern Oscillation‐related teleconnections; and a global land carbon accumulation trend that agrees well with observationally based estimates. Most tropospheric and surface features of the low‐ and high‐top simulations are very similar to each other, so these improvements are present in both configurations. CESM2 has an equilibrium climate sensitivity of 5.1–5.3 °C, larger than in CESM1, primarily due to a combination of relatively small changes to cloud microphysics andmore »boundary layer parameters. In contrast, CESM2's transient climate response of 1.9–2.0 °C is comparable to that of CESM1. The model outputs from these and many other simulations are available to the research community, and they represent CESM2's contributions to the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6.

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