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Abstract Rural America is often depicted as a distressed and left‐behind place, with limited opportunities for the children growing up there. This paper addresses this topic by examining the dynamics of rural places over the past four decades and how these changes impact the economic mobility of children raised in poor rural households. Employing a place‐based framework, we utilise sequence analysis to identify dominant trajectories of change for more than 8000 rural communities. Our analysis reveals highly diverse community trajectories that connect deindustrialisation and racial inequality to elevated and rising poverty rates in certain places, while also documenting more favourable poverty trends elsewhere. These diverging local outcomes shed new light on the conflicting narratives surrounding rural America. We then demonstrate that, among children from poorer households, exposure to community poverty is predictive of adult economic mobility, patterns which are partly mediated by family stability and child poverty. Our finding that poorchildrenface additional disadvantages when they also grow up in poorplacessuggests a potential role for place‐based policies and redistribution to help ameliorate these disparities.more » « less
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Uhl, Johannes H.; Hunter, Lori M.; Leyk, Stefan; Connor, Dylan S.; Nieves, Jeremiah J.; Hester, Cyrus; Talbot, Catherine; Gutmann, Myron (, Landscape and Urban Planning)
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Iglesias, Virginia; Stavros, Natasha; Balch, Jennifer K; Barrett, Kimiko; Cobian-Iñiguez, Jeanette; Hester, Cyrus; Kolden, Crystal A; Leyk, Stefan; Nagy, R Chelsea; Reid, Colleen E; et al (, Environmental Research Letters)Abstract Increasing fire impacts across North America are associated with climate and vegetation change, greater exposure through development expansion, and less-well studied but salient social vulnerabilities. We are at a critical moment in the contemporary human-fire relationship, with an urgent need to transition from emergency response to proactive measures that build sustainable communities, protect human health, and restore the use of fire necessary for maintaining ecosystem processes. We propose an integrated risk factor that includes fire and smoke hazard, exposure, and vulnerability as a method to identify ‘fires that matter’, that is, fires that have potentially devastating impacts on our communities. This approach enables pathways to delineate and prioritise science-informed planning strategies most likely to increase community resilience to fires.more » « less
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