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Creators/Authors contains: "Hickerson, Michael"

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  1. Monitoring the “health” of an ecological community is a critical component of conservation planning. We propose that aggregating intraspecific genetic variation across all species of an ecological community (Community Genetic Distribution; CGD) provides a new way to measure biodiversity that is unifying across taxa, economically scalable, and geographically transferable. Such community-scale data provides information about past dynamics that can unveil processes structuring contemporary biodiversity, and can identify communities that are resilient to perturbation. Using the CGD, high-throughput biodiversity genetic inventories (e.g. metabarcoding/eDNA) can be leveraged to identify the genetic signatures of pristine and disturbed systems. We show examples of the CGD from empirical systems, how it responds through space and time to human disturbance, and how it successfully recovers restoration and succession gradients from metabarcoding datasets with the goal of obtaining insight on community genetic health and developing indicator metrics which can identify communities that are resilient to perturbation. We outline ways in which the CGD complements and extends information in the suite of currently described essential biodiversity variables, and how it can contribute to the targets of the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework. 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available May 12, 2026
  2. Abstract Understanding global patterns of genetic diversity is essential for describing, monitoring, and preserving life on Earth. To date, efforts to map macrogenetic patterns have been restricted to vertebrates, which comprise only a small fraction of Earth’s biodiversity. Here, we construct a global map of predicted insect mitochondrial genetic diversity from cytochrome c oxidase subunit 1 sequences, derived from open data. We calculate the mitochondrial genetic diversity mean and genetic diversity evenness of insect assemblages across the globe, identify their environmental correlates, and make predictions of mitochondrial genetic diversity levels in unsampled areas based on environmental data. Using a large single-locus genetic dataset of over 2 million globally distributed and georeferenced mtDNA sequences, we find that mitochondrial genetic diversity evenness follows a quadratic latitudinal gradient peaking in the subtropics. Both mitochondrial genetic diversity mean and evenness positively correlate with seasonally hot temperatures, as well as climate stability since the last glacial maximum. Our models explain 27.9% and 24.0% of the observed variation in mitochondrial genetic diversity mean and evenness in insects, respectively, making an important step towards understanding global biodiversity patterns in the most diverse animal taxon. 
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  3. Abstract Biodiversity accumulates hierarchically by means of ecological and evolutionary processes and feedbacks. Within ecological communities drift, dispersal, speciation, and selection operate simultaneously to shape patterns of biodiversity. Reconciling the relative importance of these is hindered by current models and inference methods, which tend to focus on a subset of processes and their resulting predictions. Here we introduce massive ecoevolutionary synthesis simulations (MESS), a unified mechanistic model of community assembly, rooted in classic island biogeography theory, which makes temporally explicit joint predictions across three biodiversity data axes: (i) species richness and abundances, (ii) population genetic diversities, and (iii) trait variation in a phylogenetic context. Using simulations we demonstrate that each data axis captures information at different timescales, and that integrating these axes enables discriminating among previously unidentifiable community assembly models. MESS is unique in generating predictions of community‐scale genetic diversity, and in characterizing joint patterns of genetic diversity, abundance, and trait values. MESS unlocks the full potential for investigation of biodiversity processes using multidimensional community data including a genetic component, such as might be produced by contemporary eDNA or metabarcoding studies. We combine MESS with supervised machine learning to fit the parameters of the model to real data and infer processes underlying how biodiversity accumulates, using communities of tropical trees, arthropods, and gastropods as case studies that span a range of data availability scenarios, and spatial and taxonomic scales. 
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