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Creators/Authors contains: "Kerkez, Branko"

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  1. A sudden surge of data has created new challenges in water management, spanning quality control, assimilation, and analysis. Few approaches are available to integrate growing volumes of data into interpretable results. Process-based hydrologic models have not been designed to consume large amounts of data. Alternatively, new machine learning tools can automate data analysis and forecasting, but their lack of interpretability and reliance on very large data sets limits the discovery of insights and may impact trust. To address this gap, we present a new approach, which seeks to strike a middle ground between process-, and data-based modeling. The contribution of this work is an automated and scalable methodology that discovers differential equations and latent state estimations within hydrologic systems using only rainfall and runoff measurements. We show how this enables automated tools to learn interpretable models of 6 to 18 parameters solely from measurements. We apply this approach to nearly 400 stream gaging sites across the US, showing how complex catchment dynamics can be reconstructed solely from rainfall and runoff measurements. We also show how the approach discovers surrogate models that can replicate the dynamics of a much more complex process-based model, but at a fraction of the computational complexity. We discuss how the resulting representation of watershed dynamics provides insight and computational efficiency to enable automated predictions across large sensor networks. 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available November 1, 2025
  2. Wireless sensor networks support decision-making in diverse environmental contexts. Adoption of these networks has increased dramatically due to technological advances that have increased value while lowering cost. However, real-time information only allows for reactive management. As most interventions take time, predictions across these sensor networks enable better planning and decision making. Prediction models across large water level and discharge sensor networks do exist. However, they have limitations in their accessibility, automaticity, and data requirements. We present an open-source method for automatically generating computationally cheap rainfall-runoff models for any depth or discharge sensor given only its measurements and location. We characterize reliability in a real-world case study across 200,000 km, evaluate long-term accuracy, and assess sensitivity to measurement noise and errors in catchment delineation. The method’s accuracy, computational efficiency, and automaticity make it a valuable asset to support operational decision making for diverse stakeholders including bridge inspectors and utilities. 
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  3. Retrofitting urban watersheds with wireless sensing and control technologies will enable the next generation of autonomous water systems. While many studies have highlighted the benefits of real-time controlled gray infrastructure, few have evaluated real-time controlled green infrastructure. Motivated by a controlled bioretention site where phosphorus is a major runoff pollutant, phosphorus removal was simulated over a range of influent concentrations and storm conditions for three scenarios: a passive, uncontrolled bioretention cell (baseline), a real-time controlled cell (autonomous upgrade), and a cell with soil amendments (passive upgrade). Results suggest the autonomous upgrade matched the pollutant treatment performance of the baseline scenario in half the spatial footprint. The autonomous upgrade also matched the performance of the passive upgrade; suggesting real-time control may provide a ‘digital’ alternative to existing, passive upgrades. These findings may help site- and cost-constrained stormwater managers meet their water quality goals. 
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  4. “Smart” water systems are transforming the field of stormwater management by enabling real-time monitoring and control of previously static infrastructure. While the localized benefits of active control are well-established, the potential for system-scale control of watersheds is poorly understood. This study shows how a real-world smart stormwater system can be leveraged to shape streamflow within an urban watershed. Specifically, we coordinate releases from two internet-controlled stormwater basins to achieve desired control objectives downstream—such as maintaining the flow at a set-point, and generating interleaved waves. In the first part of the study, we describe the construction of the control network using a low-cost, open-source hardware stack and a cloud-based controller scheduling application. Next, we characterize the system’s control capabilities by determining the travel times, decay times, and magnitudes of various waves released from the upstream retention basins. With this characterization in hand, we use the system to generate two desired responses at a critical downstream junction. First, we generate a set-point hydrograph, in which flow is maintained at an approximately constant rate. Next, we generate a series of overlapping and interleaved waves using timed releases from both retention basins. We discuss how these control strategies can be used to stabilize flows, thereby mitigating streambed erosion and reducing contaminant loads into downstream waterbodies. 
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  5. Leveraging recent advances in technologies surrounding the Internet of Things , “smart” water systems are poised to transform water resources management by enabling ubiquitous real-time sensing and control. Recent applications have demonstrated the potential to improve flood forecasting, enhance rainwater harvesting, and prevent combined sewer overflows. However, adoption of smart water systems has been hindered by a limited number of proven case studies, along with a lack of guidance on how smart water systems should be built. To this end, we review existing solutions, and introduce open storm —an open-source, end-to-end platform for real-time monitoring and control of watersheds. Open storm includes (i) a robust hardware stack for distributed sensing and control in harsh environments (ii) a cloud services platform that enables system-level supervision and coordination of water assets, and (iii) a comprehensive, web-based “how-to” guide, available on open-storm.org, that empowers newcomers to develop and deploy their own smart water networks. We illustrate the capabilities of the open storm platform through two ongoing deployments: (i) a high-resolution flash-flood monitoring network that detects and communicates flood hazards at the level of individual roadways and (ii) a real-time stormwater control network that actively modulates discharges from stormwater facilities to improve water quality and reduce stream erosion. Through these case studies, we demonstrate the real-world potential for smart water systems to enable sustainable management of water resources. 
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