Polarimetric variables such as differential phase ΦDPand its range derivative, specific differential phase
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Abstract K DP, contain useful information for improving quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) and microphysics retrieval. However, the usefulness of the current operationally utilized estimation method ofK DPis limited by measurement error and artifacts resulting from the differential backscattering phaseδ . The contribution ofδ can significantly influence the ΦDPmeasurements and therefore negatively affect theK DPestimates. Neglecting the presence ofδ within non-Rayleigh scattering regimes has also led to the adoption of incorrect terminology regarding signatures seen within current operationalK DPestimates implying associated regions of unrealistic liquid water content. A new processing method is proposed and developed to estimate bothK DPandδ using classification and linear programming (LP) to reduce bias inK DPestimates caused by theδ component. It is shown that by applying the LP technique specifically to the rain regions of Rayleigh scattering along a radial profile, accurate estimates of differential propagation phase, specific differential phase, and differential backscattering phase can be retrieved within regions of both Rayleigh and non-Rayleigh scattering. This new estimation method is applied to cases of reported hail and tornado debris, and the LP results are compared to the operationally utilized least squares fit (LSF) estimates. The results show the potential use of the differential backscattering phase signature in the detection of hail and tornado debris. -
Abstract Recent operationally driven research has generated a framework, known as the three ingredients method and mesovortex warning system, that can help forecasters anticipate mesovortex development and issue warnings within quasi-linear convective systems (QLCSs). However, dual-polarization radar data has not yet been incorporated into this framework. Therefore, several dual- and single-polarization radar signatures associated with QLCS mesovortices were analyzed to determine if they could provide additional information about mesovortex development and intensity. An analysis of 167 mesovortices showed that 1)
K DPdrops precede ∼95% of mesovortices and provide an initial indication of where a mesovortex may develop; 2) midlevelK DPcores are a potentially useful precursor signature because they precede a majority of mesovortices and have higher magnitudes for mesovortices that produce wind damage or tornadoes; 3) low-levelK DPcores and areas of enhanced spectrum width have higher magnitudes for mesovortices that produce wind damage or tornadoes but tend to develop at about the same time as the mesovortex, which makes them more useful as diagnostic than as predictive signatures; and 4) as range from the radar increases, the radar signatures become less useful in anticipating mesovortex intensity but can still be used to anticipate mesovortex development or build confidence in mesovortex existence.Significance Statement The purpose of this study is to look at weather radar features that might help forecasters predict the development and intensity of tornadoes and strong winds within linear thunderstorm systems. Our results show that the intensity and trends of some radar features are helpful in showing when these hazards might develop and how strong they might be, while other radar features are less helpful. This information can help forecasters focus on the most useful radar features and ultimately provide the best possible warnings.